Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS St. Louis, MO

651 
WWUS53 KLSX 092344
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
644 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ILC061-083-117-119-100030-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150410T0030Z/
JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-GREENE IL-
644 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
GREENE...NORTHWESTERN MADISON...SOUTHWESTERN MACOUPIN AND EASTERN
JERSEY COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

AT 641 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JERSEYVILLE...
AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRIGHTON...KEMPER...SHIPMAN...BUNKER HILL...DELHI...FIDELITY...
PIASA...MEDORA...MILES STATION...CHESTERFIELD AND PLAINVIEW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3899 8992 3897 9038 3905 9041 3921 9044
      3929 9002
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 255DEG 22KT 3907 9030

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KANOFSKY

348 
WWUS53 KLSX 092355
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
655 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ILC061-100004-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150410T0030Z/
GREENE IL-
655 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3898 9022 3920 9026 3922 9016 3925 9001
      3899 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 264DEG 53KT 3908 9008

$$

ILC083-117-119-100030-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150410T0030Z/
JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-
655 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MADISON...SOUTHWESTERN MACOUPIN AND NORTHEASTERN JERSEY COUNTIES
UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

AT 653 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BRIGHTON...AND
MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...SPOTTERS REPORTED HAIL NEARLY THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS      
         SOUTH OF JERSEYVILLE WITH THIS STORM. GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL   
         HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHIPMAN...BUNKER HILL AND PLAINVIEW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3898 9022 3920 9026 3922 9016 3925 9001
      3899 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 264DEG 53KT 3908 9008

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KANOFSKY

250 
WWUS53 KLSX 092359
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
659 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ILC083-119-100009-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150410T0030Z/
JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-
659 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MADISON
AND NORTHEASTERN JERSEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3900 9015 3922 9015 3925 9001 3900 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 264DEG 53KT 3909 8998

$$

ILC117-100030-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150410T0030Z/
MACOUPIN IL-
659 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
MACOUPIN COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

AT 658 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHIPMAN...AND
MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. GOLF BALL HAIL WAS REPORTED IN    
         BRIGHTON.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BUNKER HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3900 9015 3922 9015 3925 9001 3900 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 264DEG 53KT 3909 8998

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KANOFSKY

237 
WWUS53 KLSX 100027
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
727 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ILC117-100038-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150410T0030Z/
MACOUPIN IL-
727 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MACOUPIN COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM.

LAT...LON 3900 9015 3922 9015 3925 9001 3900 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 264DEG 53KT 3913 8943

$$

KANOFSKY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
544 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2015

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 333 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2015

Scattered thunderstorms have developed along and ahead of the
advancing cold front from south central IA thru western MO into
northeast OK. The best combination of deep layer shear AOA 40 kts
and CAPE is basically north of I-70 and especially across far
northern MO into southern IA, and this is where the best
organization and supercell structures have been observed. Present
indications are that coverage of storms should increase through
the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening with the
advancing cold front as large scale ascent associated with the
ejecting upstream shortwave overspreads the region. A mixed mode
of storms is expected with more persistent supercell structures
most likely still along and north of I-70 where increasing deep
layer shear will be present in association with the mid level jet.
Deep layer shear is unidirectional which does not bode well for a
good tornado threat, but if we can get some locallized backing of
the surface winds the threat may increase, especially across
northeast MO into west central IL closer to the track of the
surface low. Otherwise the main threat is large hail and locally
damaging winds. I have trimmed back the flash flood watch to
generally St. Louis south and east through mid evening. Storm
motion at 50+ mph suggests a rather low heavy rain threat. All the
storms should be east of the CWA by 03z or so with gusty west
winds in the wake of the front and a period of post-frontal
stratus persisting for a good portion of the tonight period.

Glass

.LONG TERM:  (Friday through Next Thursday)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2015

Cyclonic flow will persist across the area Friday in the wake of
the cold front and attendant cyclone and mixing should contribute
to some gusty west winds, especially across the northern half of
the CWA. Not expecting much in the way of clouds and while temps
will be cooler, I prefer the warmer of the MOS guidance. A
secondary cold front will settle southward through the region on
Friday night with high pressure building thru the upper/mid MS
valley and into southern IL by 12z Sat. This surface high will
slowly retreat on Saturday allowing for seasonable temperatures.

The next period of unsettled weather will unfold in the Saturday
night through Sunday night time frame. Intensifying southerly flow
on the western periphery of the retreating surface high and in
association with falling surface pressures across the plains will
lead to the northward return of moisture. Initially the
surface/PBL based moisture will stay to our west on Saturday
night, however a veering South-southwesterly LLJ late Saturday
night into early Sunday morning will bring elevated moisture
return into western and central MO. This moisture advection and
the moisture convergence along with large scale ascent associated
with a migrating disturbance aloft should produced a complex of
showers and thunderstorms into at least western MO overnight
Saturday, which could push into western sections of the CWA by
daybreak Sunday. Convective trends which can be dominated on the
mesoscale are always hard to gage several days in advance, but if
the previously mentioned scenario is accurate, a east-southeast
moving complex of showers and thunderstorms will impact the CWA on
Sunday. The greatest threat would be central MO and I have boosted
pops into the high chance range. Showers and thunderstorms look
likely across much of the area on Sunday night as the next cold
front moves across the area with an environment characterized by
weak instability and rather steep lapse rates aloft.

A fairly active period with multiple days of storm potential
exists during the extended period from Tuesday through Thursday.
First an upper low/trof will be weakening as it moves northeastward
through the southern/central Plains into MS Valley by early Wed in
conjunction with a lifting warm front and low level moisture
return. Later in the period a deep trof will move out of the
western U.S./Rockies and into the MS valley.

Glass

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Friday Evening)
Issued at 513 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2015

A cold front extending from near UIN southwest to just west oF COU
will move through the St Louis metro area around 00Z Friday.
Thunderstorms will move through the St Louis metro area between
00-01Z Friday. Post frontal, MVFR cigs will move through UIN and
COU this evening and may graze the St Louis metro area later this
evening and into the overnight hours. Strong and gusty swly
surface winds in the St Louis metro area will veer around to a wly
direction early this evening after fropa. The surface wind should
weaken some late tonight. Little cloud cover on Friday, maybe few
diurnal cumulus clouds in the afternoon. A weak, dry secondary
cold front will move southeastward through the area Friday
afternoon.

Specifics for KSTL: Fast moving storms will move through the STL
area until 01Z early this evening. Strong and gusty s-swly surface
wind will veer around to a wly direction early this evening after
fropa. The wind speeds should weaken some late tonight, but then
may pick up a little bit again late Friday morning into the early
afternoon. The southern fringe of MVFR, post frontal stratus or
stratocumulus clouds may briefly move through STL late this
evening into the overnight hours. Little cloud cover expected
Friday and Friday evening, maybe a few diurnal cumulus clouds
Friday afternoon. Surface winds will become light Friday evening
after the passage of a weak secondary cold front, as a surface high
moves into northeast MO and west central IL.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 11 PM CDT this evening FOR Jefferson MO-
     St. Charles MO-St. Francois MO-St. Louis City MO-St. Louis
     MO-Ste. Genevieve MO-Washington MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 11 PM CDT this evening FOR Bond IL-
     Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-
     Randolph IL-St. Clair IL-Washington IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
429 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-101145-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
429 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS EASTERN MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE SEVERE AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS IS
ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND
SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER AS
WELL AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER ONE INCH THROUGH TONIGHT.

GLASS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
620 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     HAIL             CUBA                    38.06N  91.40W
04/09/2015  E0.25 INCH       CRAWFORD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GOSSELIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
621 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WINFIELD                39.00N  90.74W
04/09/2015                   LINCOLN            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            LIMBS DOWN WITH HAIL AS LARGE AS PENNIES.

&&

FUCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
624 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     HAIL             4 E TROY                38.98N  90.90W
04/09/2015  E1.25 INCH       LINCOLN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND WAS MODERATE AND NOT DAMAGING.

&&

FUCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
631 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     HAIL             WHITE HALL              39.44N  90.40W
04/09/2015  E0.25 INCH       GREENE             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
633 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TROY                    38.98N  90.98W
04/09/2015                   LINCOLN            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            NUMEROUS POWER LINES DOWN FORCED THE CLOSING OF HIGHWAY
            47 AT THE JUNCTURE OF HIGHWAY H AND HIGHWAY J.

&&

FUCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
635 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0633 PM     WALL CLOUD       ORCHARD FARMS           38.88N  90.45W
04/09/2015                   ST. CHARLES        MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            WALL CLOUD WITH NO ROTATION AT THE INTERSECTION OF HWY
            94 AND HWY H.

&&

FUCHS