Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 222, NWS St. Louis, MO

December 24, 2015Fayette County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Dec 24, 2015, 10:03 PM CST for Fayette County, Illinois. It took effect at Dec 26, 2015, 9:48 PM CST. It was in force for 8 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 24, 2015, 10:03 PM CST (04:03 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 26, 2015, 9:48 PM CST
Expired
Jan 3, 2016, 9:50 AM CST
In force
8 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Fayette County, IL

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kaskaskia River at Vandalia (VNDI2). The gauge peaked at 27.81 ft at Dec 27, 2015, 10:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderatemajor15202512/2512/2612/2712/2812/2912/3012/3101/0101/0201/0301/04
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05592500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

681 
WGUS43 KLSX 250403
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1003 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following river in Illinois... 

  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 

.This flood warning is based on expected heavy rainfall this upcoming 
weekend...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-260403-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0222.151227T1300Z-151230T1200Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.151227T1300Z.151228T0000Z.151229T1200Z.NO/
1003 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river stage will fluctuate but generally fall then begin rising
  later this weekend.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/25  12/26  12/27  12/28  12/29

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   16.74      17.2   14.5   17.7   19.4   18.0


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
18 follow-up statements
139 
WGUS83 KLSX 251635
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1035 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
  
               The Kaskaskia River at
               
               ...Vandalia
               

.This Flood Warning is a result of future rainfall through Monday...



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.

The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-261635-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.151227T0430Z-151231T2200Z/
/VNDI2.2.ER.151227T0430Z.151228T0000Z.151230T2200Z.NO/
1035 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The water level will fall to near 15.5 feet by tomorrow morning.
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.  
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/26  12/27  12/28  12/29  12/30

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   16.48      15.5   22.2   24.9   23.2   20.4


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
305 
WGUS83 KLSX 260101
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
701 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 

.This flood warning is based on expected heavy rainfall this weekend...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-270101-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0222.151227T0430Z-151231T2200Z/
/VNDI2.2.ER.151227T0430Z.151228T0000Z.151230T2200Z.NO/
701 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* At  6:30 PM Friday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late tomorrow  
  evening and continue to rise to near 25.5 feet by Sunday evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 25.8 feet...Along South 4th Street, numerous homes begin
  flooding near the St. Clair Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 25.5 feet...South 4th Street begins flooding near and 
  south of Jefferson Street in Vandalia.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/26  12/27  12/28  12/29  12/30

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   15.97      15.5   22.2   24.9   23.2   20.4


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
394 
WGUS83 KLSX 261638
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1038 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...


  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia


.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 5 inches of precipitation
forecast in the next 48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to rise
even higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this
developing situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-271638-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.151227T0817Z-160101T1609Z/
/VNDI2.2.ER.151227T0817Z.151229T0600Z.151231T1609Z.NO/
1038 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* from tonight to Thursday.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tonight...crest near
  25.4 feet Monday night and fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* Impact: At 26.0 feet...The Dively and Vandalia Levees begin to be overtopped.
* Impact: At 25.8 feet...Along South 4th Street, numerous homes begin flooding
  near the St. Clair Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 25.5 feet...South 4th Street begins flooding near and south of
  Jefferson Street in Vandalia.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly overtopped. 
  No residences are affected at this level.
* Impact: At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206 begins
  to flood near this height.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage. Minor flooding begins. Unprotected
  farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/27  12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   13.80      20.1   25.0   25.4   23.2   18.9

&&

LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919 3882 8922                       

$$
178 
WGUS43 KLSX 270351
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
951 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following river in Illinois...

  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3.00 to 4.00 inches of observed rainfall
an additional 1.00 to 2.00 inches of rain is expected through Monday...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-280351-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.151227T0348Z-160102T1000Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T0000Z.160101T1000Z.NR/
951 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* At 9:30 PM Saturday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 28.1 feet by 
  Monday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 27.9 feet...U.S. Highway 51 south of Vandalia begins to 
  flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 27.5 feet...Near this level, the left bank levee just 
  south of the U.S. Highway 51 bridge is overtopped.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...The Dively and Vandalia Levees begin to be 
  overtopped.
* Impact:  At 25.8 feet...Along South 4th Street, numerous homes begin
  flooding near the St. Clair Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 25.5 feet...South 4th Street begins flooding near and 
  south of Jefferson Street in Vandalia.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/27  12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   18.43      22.4   27.8   28.0   27.8   23.5


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
600 
WGUS83 KLSX 271707
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1107 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...


  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 


.This Flood Warning is a result of 4 to 7 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and 2 to 3 inches forecast in the next 48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-281707-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160102T1418Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151228T1800Z.160101T1418Z.NR/
1107 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Saturday.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to have a broad crest near 28.2 feet from Monday
  morning through Tuesday and fall below flood stage Friday.
* Impact: At 27.9 feet...U.S. Highway 51 south of Vandalia begins to 
  flood near this height.
* Impact: At 27.5 feet...Near this level, the left bank levee just south of
  the U.S. Highway 51 bridge is overtopped.
* Impact: At 26.0 feet...The Dively and Vandalia Levees begin to be overtopped.
* Impact: At 25.8 feet...Along South 4th Street, numerous homes begin
  flooding near the St. Clair Street intersection.
* Impact: At 25.5 feet...South 4th Street begins flooding near and south of
  Jefferson Street in Vandalia.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly overtopped.
  No residences are affected at this level.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   22.79      28.0   28.2   27.2   24.0   18.5

&&

LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919 3882 8922                       

$$
891 
WGUS43 KLSX 280219
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
819 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3.00 inches of observed rainfall 
this weekend and an additional 1.50 inches of rain is expected through
Monday...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-290219-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160102T1704Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151228T0600Z.160101T1704Z.NR/
819 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 28.3 feet after
  midnight. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 27.9 feet...U.S. Highway 51 south of Vandalia begins to 
  flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 27.5 feet...Near this level, the left bank levee just 
  south of the U.S. Highway 51 bridge is overtopped.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...The Dively and Vandalia Levees begin to be 
  overtopped.
* Impact:  At 25.8 feet...Along South 4th Street, numerous homes begin
  flooding near the St. Clair Street intersection.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   27.65      28.3   28.2   24.7   19.1   14.7


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
126 
WGUS83 KLSX 281508
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
908 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 4.00 to 5.00 inches of observed rainfall
and an additional 1.00 to 2.00 inches of rain today...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-291508-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160103T0040Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151230T0000Z.160102T0040Z.NR/
908 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* At 8:30 AM Monday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 28.3 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact:  At 27.9 feet...U.S. Highway 51 south of Vandalia begins to 
  flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 27.5 feet...Near this level, the left bank levee just 
  south of the U.S. Highway 51 bridge is overtopped.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...The Dively and Vandalia Levees begin to be 
  overtopped.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   26.96      28.1   28.2   25.3   20.2   16.5


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
455 
WGUS83 KLSX 290221
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
821 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
  
              The Kaskaskia River at
              
               ...Vandalia
               
                

.This Flood Warning is a result of excessive heavy rainfall...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Heavy rains can cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-300221-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160103T0527Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151230T1200Z.160102T0527Z.NR/
821 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At 8:00 PM Monday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 28.3 feet by Wednesday morning.
  The water level will fall below flood stage Friday before midnight.
* Impact: At 27.9 feet...U.S. Hwy 51 south of Vandalia begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 27.5 feet...Near this level, the left bank levee just 
  south of the U.S. Highway 51 bridge is overtopped.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   26.45      26.8   28.3   26.7   21.3   17.0


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
579 
WGUS83 KLSX 291508
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
908 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia affecting Fayette County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 4 to 6 inches of rainfall over 
the weekend...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-301508-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160103T0454Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151230T1200Z.160102T0454Z.NR/
908 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Saturday evening.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 27.5 feet by tomorrow 
   morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  before midnight.
* Impact:  At 27.9 feet...U.S. Highway 51 south of Vandalia begins to 
  flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 27.5 feet...Near this level, the left bank levee just 
  south of the U.S. Highway 51 bridge is overtopped.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...The Dively and Vandalia Levees begin to be 
  overtopped.
* Impact:  At 25.8 feet...Along South 4th Street, numerous homes begin
  flooding near the St. Clair Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 25.5 feet...South 4th Street begins flooding near and 
  south of Jefferson Street in Vandalia.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   26.11      27.5   26.3   21.7   16.9   15.3


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
534 
WGUS83 KLSX 300208
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
808 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
  
  
           The Kaskaskia River
             ...Vandalia 
             
             

.This Flood Warning is a result of the recent record setting rainfall...



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-310208-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160102T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At 7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The water level will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...The Dively and Vandalia Levees are overtopped.
* Impact:  At 25.8 feet...Along South 4th Street, numerous homes begin
  flooding near the St. Clair Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 25.5 feet...South 4th Street begins flooding near and 
  south of Jefferson Street in Vandalia.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   25.55      24.9   23.3   19.5   16.7   15.3


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
404 
WGUS83 KLSX 301436
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
836 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia affecting Fayette County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of excessive rainfall last weekend...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-311436-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160102T2300Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160101T2300Z.NO/
836 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03  01/04

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   24.49      22.0   19.1   16.4   15.3   14.7


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
728 
WGUS83 KLSX 310106
FLSLSX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
706 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  
  
               The Kaskaskia River at
               
                ...Vandalia 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue
follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-010106-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160102T2300Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160101T2300Z.NO/
706 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At 6:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped. No residences are affected at this level.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03  01/04

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   23.51      22.0   19.1   16.4   15.3   14.7


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
859 
WGUS83 KLSX 311445
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
845 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia affecting Fayette County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of excessive rainfall last
weekend...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-011445-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160103T1800Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160102T1800Z.NO/
845 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 22.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/01  01/02  01/03  01/04  01/05

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   22.34      20.5   18.5   16.6   15.7   15.3


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
250 
WGUS83 KLSX 010051
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
651 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 

.The initial Flood Warning was based on 5.00 to 6.00 inches of rainfall 
across the basin this past weekend into Monday...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-020051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160103T2024Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160102T2024Z.NO/
651 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* At 6:30 PM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage  
  early Saturday afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/01  01/02  01/03  01/04  01/05

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   21.62      20.7   18.7   16.8   15.8   15.4


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
260 
WGUS83 KLSX 011605
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1005 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
  
              The Kaskaskia River at
              
                ...Vandalia 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-021605-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160103T2136Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160102T2136Z.NO/
1005 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/02  01/03  01/04  01/05  01/06

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   20.62      18.8   16.9   16.3   16.0   15.8


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
455 
WGUS83 KLSX 020054
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
654 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia 

  Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW 

.This Flood Warning is a result of extreme rains this past weekend 
into Monday...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-030054-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160104T0600Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160103T0600Z.NO/
654 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* At 6:30 PM Friday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage  
  early Sunday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/02  01/03  01/04  01/05  01/06

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   20.03      19.3   17.6   16.5   16.1   15.9


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-030053-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.160102T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.160102T2100Z.160105T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
654 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW
* At 6:30 PM Friday the stage was 422.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 426.5 feet by Monday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 424.5 feet...Some cabins just below the dam are 
  inundated.
* Impact:  At 423.5 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Rural damage begins.  
  Township roads in Covington become inundated.
 


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/02  01/03  01/04  01/05  01/06

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   422.54     422.9  424.4  425.6  426.5  426.5


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
438 
WGUS83 KLSX 021437
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
837 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
 
             
               The Kaskaskia River at
                ...Vandalia
                ...Carlyle Tailwater 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-031437-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160104T0730Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160103T0730Z.NO/
837 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At 8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/03  01/04  01/05  01/06  01/07

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   19.17      17.7   16.5   16.1   15.9   15.8


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-031436-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.160102T2229Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.160102T2229Z.160105T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
837 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TailWater.
* At 8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 422.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 426.0 feet by Monday evening.
  additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 424.5 feet...Some cabins just below the dam are inundated.
* Impact:  At 423.5 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Rural damage begins.  
  Township roads in Covington become inundated.
* Impact:  At 421.0 feet...Left bank in vicinity of the gage overflows
  with minor flooding of park lands.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/03  01/04  01/05  01/06  01/07

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   422.84     424.3  425.7  426.0  426.0  426.0


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
661 
WGUS83 KLSX 031550
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
950 AM CST SUN JAN 3 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-031620-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0222.000000T0000Z-160104T0730Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151229T1400Z.160103T0422Z.NO/
950 AM CST SUN JAN 3 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 10:22 PM Saturday.
* The river will continue to fall to 15.8 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/04  01/05  01/06  01/07  01/08

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   16.98      15.8   15.3   15.0   15.2   15.3


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 24, 6:32 PM CST, 3 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 6:32 PM CST, 3 hours 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
632 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 342 PM CST Thu Dec 24 2015

Low-mid level WAA and MCON along with frontogenetic forcing resulted
in an elongated region of light rain earlier today across central
and northeast MO. This regime is occurring in advance of a low-
amplitude disturbance which is dampening and now located in western
MO. Overall forcing has diminished and shifted to the northeast of
the CWA and only a narrow elongated ribbon of light rain still
persists in west central IL. Present indications is this will also
diminish and shift to the northeast the remainder of the afternoon
and early evening as the disturbance aloft and associated surface
cold front push east. There are some indications in the HRRR and GFS
that a new narrow band of precipitation may try to develop this
evening somewhere in the SE/EC MO into SW IL region in response to a
new region of low level MCON. I have add a slight chance of light
rain in SW IL this evening to account for this and some sprinkles
further west. Otherwise expecting several waves of clouds tonight
with current mid clouds and maybe a period of low clouds up north.
SREF probs and HRRR also suggesting some potential for fog from
across northern/central MO into western IL overnight. I added a
mention of patchy fog in this region, but the overall pattern in
post-frontal air mass with building surface high pressure is at
first glance not one typically associated with a lot of fog.

Glass

.LONG TERM:  (Friday through Next Thursday)
Issued at 342 PM CST Thu Dec 24 2015

(Friday)

Overall, it looks like a fairly tranquil Christmas Day across the
area.  Models continue to hint at WAA along the stalled frontal
boundary to our south generating an axis of convection from AR into
the lower Ohio Valley, with our far southern counties on the very
northern fringes of this activity. The 12z solutions have the axis
of this activity just south of our area, but since the last few
model cycles have wobbled a bit with the north/south placement of
this precip, I've maintained some very low PoPs over our far
southern counties.

Otherwise, it still appears tranquil conditions are on tap for the
region, with temperatures maintaining the very mild levels that have
been commonplace this December.  Highs are expected to range from
the middle and upper 40s northwest, to the middle 50s southeast.

Concern then turns to the long-advertised heavy rain threat for the
upcoming weekend and into early next week.  Due to some uncertainty
to the placement of the heaviest rain have opted not to go with any
hydro headlines...yet.  However, will be reissuing the EFP to
maintain awareness of the threat, which should come in two waves as
described below.

(Saturday Through Monday Night)

The long-advertised spell of wet weather should commence in earnest
either late Friday night or Saturday. Deep southerly flow is
expected to develop across the region in response to the upper level
system digging into the southwest US, and resultant isentropic
ascent over the area should be quite strong with the stalled frontal
boundary and low level baroclinic zone just to our south.  In
addition, UVV across the area will be enhance by several weak
shortwaves ejecting ahead of the main system.  Moisture should be no
problem as airmass will essentially be the same one that fueled
yesterdays storms in our area, with the increasing southerly flow
adding even more moisture to the unseasonably moist December
airmass. Again, models are wobbling a bit with the exact location of
the axis of the heaviest precip, but they are in excellent agreement
with the general idea that several rounds of convection will track
along and north of the frontal boundary as it attempts to push
north...from eastern OK into s MO and s IL...in the Saturday and
Saturday night time.

It appears that this first round of significant rain will wind down
on Sunday as shortwave in the northern branch of the westerlies
allows Canadian high to drop south, temporarily shutting down the
warm advection and nudging the frontal boundary back south.

Final wave of potentially heavy rain should impact the region on
Monday and Monday night as upper level low lifts out of Texas and
pushes northeast into the mid-Mississippi Valley.  Again, moisture-
laden AMS ans strong UVV should produce another band of moderate to
occasionally heavy rain...with embedded thunderstorms...that will
sweep across the area.

It's not totally out of the question that we could see a bit of
wintry precip Sunday night-Monday night.  First concern will be late
Sunday night and into early Monday as surface temps drop below
freezing with the southward surge of the Canadian high...while AMS
aloft remains well above freezing.  This threat should be brief and
on the northern fringes of the heavier rainfall...and with the very
warm ground temperatures am not expecting much of an impact from
this.  The second concern will be Monday night as the upper low
pushes across the area.   It's possible that the dropping freezing
levels beneath the low could cause the rain to change over to snow,
but not certain if the lower levels will cool enough for any
prolonged period of significant snowfall.

(Tuesday-Thursday)

Medium range progs suggest long wave trof will be parked over the
central CONUS during this time frame.  This will finally allow
Canadian air to dominate the region, which should yield more normal
typical wintertime temperatures.

Best holiday wishes to all...from the day shift of the National
Weather Service in St. Louis.

Truett

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Friday Evening)
Issued at 612 PM CST Thu Dec 24 2015

Weak SFC low near NE MO as of 00Z should weaken as it tracks NE
this evng. This feature will allow a weak cold front to move thru
the area tonight but should be much more than a wind shift. An
area of MVFR CIGS may graze UIN for a few hours this evng
otherwise expect VFR clouds with CIGS aoa 8 kft thru the remainder
of the prd. SFC ridge will pass to the north tomorrow allowing
winds to quickly become erly by Fri aftn. Guidance continues to
hint at fog dvlpmnt across the wrn and nthrn CWA but didn't hit it
too hard as the synoptic set up for fog is not good. FROPA this
evng...NW breeze with drying Dps and sporadic mid/high clouds
overnight should all act to inhibit or at least limit the fog.

Specifics for KSTL:

VFR fcst thru the prd. Weak cold front will pass thru the terminal
this evng with winds bcmng NWrly tonight. High pressure is fcst to
pass well to the north thru the prd allowing winds to veer to the
east by Fri aftn. Any CIGs should be aoa 8 kft.

2%

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis     39  54  47  63 /  10  10  50 100
Quincy          32  48  42  54 /  10   5  20  70
Columbia        33  52  45  59 /   5  10  60  80
Jefferson City  33  53  46  60 /   5  10  70  80
Salem           40  56  49  64 /  20  20  50  90
Farmington      39  54  49  64 /  20  20  60 100

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 24, 3:58 PM CST, 6 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
358 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-251115-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
358 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS PROLONGED
PERIOD OF WET WEATHER COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING ALONG AREA
STREAMS...CREEKS AND RIVERS. PLEASE SEE THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON THIS RAINFALL.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND INTO MONDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

TRUETT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 24, 10:11 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Clair13 days
Dec 25, 2:17 AM CSTFlash Flood WatchLSXBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 9 more4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.