River Flood Warning 133, NWS St. Louis, MO

046 
WGUS83 KLSX 130047
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
747 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...

  Cuivre River at Old Monroe 

.This flood warning is a result of backwater from the Mississippi River...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-140047-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0133.150713T2100Z-150717T1630Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.150713T2100Z.150714T1800Z.150716T0430Z.NO/
747 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* Latest estimated stage is 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 25.4 feet early Tuesday
* afternoon.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0  E21.90      22.9   25.3   25.1   23.4   21.1


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

736 
WGUS83 KLSX 131757
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1257 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
    Cuivre River at Old Monroe

.This Flood Warning is a result of Mississippi River backwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-141757-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0133.150713T1900Z-150717T1500Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.150713T1900Z.150715T0000Z.150716T0300Z.NO/
1257 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until Friday morning.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this afternoon and
  crest near 25.5 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17  07/18

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0              25.3   25.0   23.3   21.1   19.2

&&

LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       


$$

381 
WGUS83 KLSX 140140
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
839 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
  
  
                     Cuivre River at
                      ...Old Monroe 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-150139-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0133.000000T0000Z-150717T1500Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150715T0000Z.150716T0300Z.NO/
839 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 25.5 feet by tomorrow evening.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17  07/18

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0    24.30     25.3   25.0   23.3   21.1   19.2


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

299 
WGUS83 KLSX 141611
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1111 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 
 
  Cuivre River at 
  
      Old Monroe 
  

.This Flood Warning is a result of backwater effects from the
Mississippi River...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-151611-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0133.000000T0000Z-150717T0600Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150714T1800Z.150715T1800Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Tuesday the estimated stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 24.5 feet late this afternoon
  before falling back below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/15  07/16  07/17  07/18  07/19

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   E24.30     24.3   22.3   20.0   18.6   17.9


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

446 
WGUS83 KLSX 150201
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
901 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri..
  
  
                     Cuivre River at
                      ...Old Monroe 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-160201-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0133.000000T0000Z-150717T0600Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150715T0600Z.150715T1800Z.NO/
901 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe.
* The latest stage was estimated at 24.5 feet.  
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall to near 24.3 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/15  07/16  07/17  07/18  07/19

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   24.50      24.3   22.3   20.0   18.6   17.9


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

690 
WGUS83 KLSX 151516
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1016 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Missouri...
 
 
  Cuivre River at 
  
      Old Monroe 
  

.This will be the final statement for this flood event...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-151546-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0133.000000T0000Z-150717T0600Z/
/OMNM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Cuivre River at Old Monroe.
* At 7:00 AM Wednesday the estimated stage was 23.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to continue to fall to near 19.6 feet Friday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/16  07/17  07/18  07/19  07/20

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   E23.90     21.7   19.6   18.5   18.1   17.7


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
345 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

.SHORT TERM:  (THROUGH LATE TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

JUST A SCATTERED DIURNAL CUMULUS FIELD ACROSS OUR AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH BETTER COVERAGE ACROSS THE OZARKS OF SOUTHEAST MO.
COULD NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON SHOWER/STORM IN THIS
AREA, BUT IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL BE DRY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR
THE ST LOUIS METRO AREA WITH CURRENT HEAT INDICES AROUND 102-103
ACROSS THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE A WARM MUGGY NIGHT
WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE 70S. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND DROP SOUTH SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH IL LATER TONIGHT. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
WESTWARD EXTENT OF THIS CONVECTION AS WARMER MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES, CAPPING SPREAD EASTWARD TONIGHT. THE GFS MODEL LOOKS
TOO FAR WEST WITH ITS QPF TONIGHT, WHILE THE NAM MODEL MAY BE TOO
FAR EAST WITH ITS QFF. DUE TO THIS UNCERTAINTY WILL JUST INCLUDE
CHANCE POPS MAINLY LATE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST MO AND WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST IL, NORTH AND EAST OF STL. ALTHOUGH THE
CONVECTION SHOULD IN THE WEAKENING STAGES AS IT DROPS SOUTH
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA,
IT MAY STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS
NORTHEAST MO AND WEST CENTRAL IL LATE TONIGHT.

GKS

.LONG TERM:  (MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS...BUT ITS DOMINANCE OVER OUR
REGION WILL WAX AND WANE AT TIMES. THE MODELS HAVE REMAINED
CONSISTENT IN SHOWING THE DOMINANCE OF THIS UPPER HIGH FADING LATE
MONDAY...AND ROUGHLY CORRESPONDING WITH A SURFACE COLD FRONT
DROPPING THRU MONDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER HIGH'S INFLUENCE IS THEN
EXPECTED TO EXPAND HEADING INTO THURSDAY AND THE WEEKEND AND THIS
ROUGHLY CORRESPONDS TO A SURFACE WARM FRONT PUSHING BACK THRU ON
THURSDAY.

WHEN THE FRONT IS TO OUR NORTH...NAMELY THRU MONDAY AND AGAIN
HEADING INTO LATE THIS WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND...DANGEROUS LEVELS OF
HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BE A REAL CONCERN AND FOR THE ONGOING
SITUATION...A HEAT ADVISORY HAS ALREADY BEEN ISSUED AND WILL COVER
MUCH OF OUR REGION BY MONDAY.  THIS HANDLES WELL THE CURRENT
FORECAST AND NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE.  THE POTENTIAL HEAT AND
HUMIDITY EVENT FOR LATE WEEK IS TOO FAR OUT TO DEAL WITH HEADLINES
AT THE MOMENT BUT MERITS A CLOSE WATCH.

DESPITE A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THRU MONDAY NIGHT AND THE
FRONT SETTLING TO OUR SOUTH THRU WEDNESDAY...THERE WILL NOT BE A
SIGNIFICANT COOLDOWN ON TEMPS BUT PERHAPS ENOUGH OF ONE TO PLACE A
HOLD ON ANY HEAT HEADLINES.  MAX TEMPS ON TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE LOW-MID 90S...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THESE TEMPS IS LOWER
THAN MONDAY DUE TO LEFTOVER CLOUDS FROM FRONTAL PASSAGE AND PCPN
CHANCES FOR SOME AREAS.  THE ANTICIPATED DROP IN HUMIDITY FROM
MONDAY WILL MAKE ANY TEMPORAL EXTENSION OF A HEAT ADVISORY ENOUGH IN
DOUBT TO NOT TOUCH HEADLINES WITH THIS PACKAGE AND LET SUBSEQUENT
SHIFTS TAKE ANOTHER LOOK.

PCPN CHANCES FOR MONDAY SHOULD BE CONFINED MAINLY TO SOME SECTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST IL...WHICH WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF WHAT SHOULD BE A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WX EVENT FURTHER TO THE EAST...AND SOME AREAS OF
WEST-CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON
WITH WHAT SHOULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ALONG AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

THIS COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO DROP THRU THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
WITH SMALL CHANCES FOR STORMS.  THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD INITIALLY BE
WELL CAPPED BUT THIS CAP WILL ERODE ENOUGH ON APPROACH OF THE FRONT
WHERE IT SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED CONVECTION.  FRONT IS THEN
EXPECTED TO BE TO OUR SOUTH TUESDAY AND MUCH OF WEDNESDAY BEFORE
RIDING BACK NORTH THRU OUR AREA AS A WARM FRONT WITH ADDITIONAL
CHANCES FOR STORMS.

TES

&&

.AVIATION:  (FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

JUST FEW-SCT DIURNAL CUMULUS CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON, THEN SOME HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS TONIGHT. A WEAKENING MCS IS EXPECTED TO DROP
SOUTH OR SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH IL LATE TONIGHT WHICH MAY IMPACT
UIN, BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN EAST OF THE ST LOUIS METRO AREA. SWLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL: FEW-SCT DIURNAL CUMULUS CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.
ANY ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION SHOUD REMAIN SOUTH OF STL IN
THE OZARKS. MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH IL TONIGHT, BUT THIS WILL LIKELY STAY EAST
OF STL. JUST SCATTERED DIURNAL CUMULUS CLOUDS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. THE
ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE QUITE CAPPED WITH CONVECTION EAST OF STL.
SWLY SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...UP
TO 11-13 KTS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR AUDRAIN MO-BOONE
     MO-CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-CRAWFORD MO-FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-
     JEFFERSON MO-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-LINCOLN MO-MARION MO-MONITEAU
     MO-MONROE MO-MONTGOMERY MO-OSAGE MO-PIKE MO-RALLS MO-SHELBY
     MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-WARREN MO-WASHINGTON
     MO.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS
     CITY MO-ST. LOUIS MO.

IL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ADAMS IL-BOND IL-
     BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY
     IL-MACOUPIN IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-PIKE IL-
     RANDOLPH IL-WASHINGTON IL.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
357 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-131200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
357 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT FOR AREAS MAINLY
NORTH AND EAST OF SAINT LOUIS. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT
IN THE SAINT LOUIS METRO AREA AS TEMPERATURES ONLY FALL INTO 75 TO
80 DEGREE RANGE. THE HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES.

MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON ALL POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS
RIVER FROM LA GRANGE TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY FOR AREAS
NORTH AND EAST OF SAINT LOUIS...EXPAND FOR THE ENTIRE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DANGEROUS LEVELS OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT
LEAST EARLY MONDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...AS HEAT INDICES
PEAK AROUND 107 DEGREES MONDAY AFTERNOON.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. THE CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS THEN RETURNS AREAWIDE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
AS A WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH...AND THEN WILL BE MAINLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70 FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY.

MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER THROUGH THIS
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

TES