River Flood Warning 117, NWS St. Louis, MO

382 
WGUS83 KLSX 091646
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois and Missouri...
 
  Mississippi River at Hannibal...Saverton Lock and Dam 22...Louisiana
  ....Clarksville Lock and Dam 24...Winfield Lock and Dam 25...Grafton
  ...Mel Price Locks and Dam...St. Louis...and Chester

.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 2 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and up to an additional quarter inch forecast in the 
next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-MOC127-101646-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-150711T0824Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.150708T2227Z.150709T1330Z.150710T0824Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Hannibal
* until late Friday night.
* At 11:15 AM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Hannibal        16.0   17.11      15.7   13.9   13.2   12.9   12.7

&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135

$$

ILC149-MOC173-101645-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-150710T2000Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.150709T0800Z.150709T1300Z.150709T2000Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Saverton LD22
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Saverton LD22   16.0   16.15      15.0   13.5   12.3   11.4   10.8

&&

LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111                       

$$

ILC149-MOC163-101645-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-150712T0600Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.150708T2300Z.150710T0000Z.150711T0600Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Louisiana
* until late Saturday night.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 17.0 feet...The parking area at the boat house floods.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Louisiana       15.0   16.89      16.7   14.5   13.4   12.7   12.3

&&

LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097

$$

ILC013-MOC163-101645-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-150712T1647Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.150709T0027Z.150710T0000Z.150711T1647Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Clarksville LD24
* until Sunday morning.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 27.4 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 27.2 feet...Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville off 
  Highway 79 begins flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Clarksville LD  25.0   27.15      27.1   25.4   23.6   22.4   21.6

&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081                       

$$

MOC113-ILC013-101645-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-150713T2200Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150711T0000Z.150712T2200Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield LD25
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 28.7 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 28.5 feet...Much of County Highways B and C in eastern 
  St. Charles County are flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   27.28      28.5   28.5   27.0   24.9   23.7

&&

LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       

$$

ILC083-MOC183-101645-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GRFI2.3.ER.150609T0910Z.150630T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Grafton
* until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by 
  Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Roads within Chataqua and Elsah begin 
  flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 23.4 feet...Huster Road and South Shore Drive, both at 
  the entrance to the South Shore subdivision in eastern St. Charles 
  County, are closed near this level.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Grafton         18.0   22.90      24.0   24.5   24.2   23.0   21.8

&&

LAT...LON 3881 9057 3888 9057 3899 9046 3895 9028
      3882 9048                       

$$

ILC119-MOC183-101645-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150716T1930Z/
/ALNI2.2.ER.150608T2330Z.150701T0930Z.150715T1930Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Mel Price Lock & Dam
* until Thursday July 16.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 28 feet by 
  Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 26.5 feet...Yachtview Drive begins flooding along the 
  entrance to Harbor Point Yacht Club within a foot of this height.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Highway 94 and the east end of Harbor Point 
  Road off of Highway 94 north of West Alton begin flooding within a 
  foot or so of this height.  Also, the access road to the Lincoln 
  Shields area off Highway 67 just west of the Clark bridge begins 
  flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Mel Price Lock  21.0   24.88      26.1   27.6   27.8   26.3   23.8

&&

LAT...LON 3891 9033 3895 9028 3883 9003 3881 9017
      3886 9017                       

$$

ILC163-MOC189-510-101645-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150717T0447Z/
/EADM7.2.ER.150616T1319Z.150701T0100Z.150716T0447Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at St. Louis
* until Thursday July 16.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 31.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 35.0 feet by 
  Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  before midnight.
* Impact:  At 35.0 feet...the floodgates at Gratiot Road railroad and 
  Choteau Street are closed.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  St. Louis       30.0   31.94      33.4   34.8   35.0   34.2   32.9

&&

LAT...LON 3881 9017 3883 9004 3826 9030 3826 9043
      3873 9024                       

$$

ILC077-157-MOC157-186-101645-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHSI2.2.ER.150608T1122Z.150703T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Chester
* until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 33.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 36.3 feet by 
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 36.0 feet...Chester water works pumphouse is threatened 
  by flood waters.  Highway 61 is closed at the bend at St. Marys and
  a detour is set up through town.
* Impact:  At 35.5 feet...In Perry County, Highway C is closed between
  County Roads 352 and 354 (the Levee Road).
* Impact:  At 35.0 feet...U.S. Highway 61 in Ste. Genevieve County 
  begins to flood.  Also, Ste. Genevieve flood gates are closed at 
  this level.
* Impact:  At 34.8 feet...Kaskaskia Street near the Menard Prison 
  begins flooding near this height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Chester         27.0   33.92      33.6   34.4   35.6   36.3   36.0


&&


LAT...LON 3826 9043 3826 9030 3769 8935 3769 8959
      3787 9003                       



$$

475 
WGUS83 KLSX 100225
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
925 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Illinois...Missouri...
 
    

               Mississippi River at
                ...Saverton LD22


Safety message:  Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-MOC173-100255-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-150710T2000Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.150709T0800Z.150709T1300Z.150709T2020Z.NO/
925 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Mississippi River at Saverton Lock and dam 22.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 3:20 PM Thursday.
* Forecast: The river will fall to near 12.2 feet by Saturday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

Mississippi River 
  Saverton LD22   16.0   15.76      14.7   12.2   10.9   10.4   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111                       



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
601 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

.SHORT TERM: (THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 344 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

FOCUS CONTINUES TO BE PRECIP CHANCES THRU TONIGHT.

CDFNT CURRENTLY STRETCHES ACROSS SRN AND SERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
ROUGHLY BETWEEN KUUV AND KFAM TO N OF KSLO.  AREA OF SHRA ACROSS
SWRN MO WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE FNT THIS MORNING. AFTER A BRIEF LULL
THIS AFTERNOON, MDLS PROG MCV TO REACH WRN MO. THIS MCV IS CURRENTLY
OVER NRN TX/WRN OK. EXACTLY WHERE THIS MCV WILL TRACK IS A LITTLE
UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER, GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
SRN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CWA TO RECEIVE ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIP.
MDLS ALSO SHOW PW VALUES AOA 2.0 INCHES TONIGHT. THE FNT WILL LIFT
NWD SLIGHTLY TONIGHT AS THE MCV APPROACHES, WITH AT LEAST SOME
PRECIP N OF THE FNT, BUT AS ALREADY MENTIONED, HOW FAR N REMAINS A
QUESTION. WITH THE LOCAL WRF, RAP, ECMWF AND TO SOME DEGREE THE GFS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT, HAVE TRENDED TWD THESE MDL SOLNS.

GIVEN THE RAINFALL YESTERDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA, WILL GO AHEAD
WITH ANOTHER FFA ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THIS WATCH MAY NEED TO
BE EXPANDED IN EITHER AREA, TIME OR BOTH.

AS FOR TEMPS, CONTINUED COOL TEMPS THRU TONIGHT, THO HIGH TEMPS MAY
NEED TO BE ADJUSTED TONIGHT DEPENDING ON HOW FAR N THE FNT TRAVELS.

TILLY

.LONG TERM: (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 420 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

MCV MENTIONED ABOVE IS EXPECTED TO BE PULLING OUT OF THE REGION
FRI MORNING. THE FNT SHUD CONTINUE TO LIFT NWD AS RIDGING BUILDS
OVERHEAD. HOWEVER, MDLS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST PRECIP THREAT WILL
LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON.

UPPER RIDGE STILL PROGD TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH
SW FLOW PUSHING THERMAL RIDGE INTO THE AREA. HAVE CONTINUED WARM
TREND THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. IT REMAINS POSSIBLE THAT
GOING FORECAST IS TOO COOL, HOWEVER, WITH QUESTIONS OF TSRA
DEVELOPEMENT TIMING AND PLACEMENT, WILL KEEP FORECAST AT WARMER
GUIDANCE FOR NOW.

MDLS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN TUES OR
WED. THIS WILL ALLOW A GREATER THREAT FOR PRECIP AND COOLER TEMPS
ACROSS THE REGION.

TILLY

&&

.AVIATION:  (FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 555 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

THE COLD FRONT MADE IT AS FAR SOUTH AS SPRINGFIELD TO CAPE
GIRARDEAU MISSOURI LINE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY IS
EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY IN
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA MOVES TOWARD MISSOURI. BOTTOM LINE IS MORE RAIN IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. BELIEVE ALL TERMINALS WILL BE DRY
UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING WITH CIELINGS GRADUALLY LIFTING AS THE
JULY SUN WORKS TO LIFT AND SCATTER THEM OUT. NORTHWEST WIND WILL
BECOME LIGHT AND THEN BECOME EASTERLY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:

IFR CEILING WILL GRADUALLY LIFT TODAY AND THE NORTHWEST WIND WILL
BECOME LIGHT. RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE
TERMINAL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE VALID
FORECAST PERIOD. CEILING AND VISIBILITY WILL LIKELY LOWER BACK
INTO MVFR IF NOT IFR CATEGORY FRIDAY MORNING.

CVKING

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR CRAWFORD MO-IRON MO-
     MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-
     WASHINGTON MO.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     AUDRAIN MO-BOONE MO-CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-FRANKLIN MO-
     GASCONADE MO-JEFFERSON MO-LINCOLN MO-MONITEAU MO-MONTGOMERY
     MO-OSAGE MO-PIKE MO-RALLS MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS CITY
     MO-ST. LOUIS MO-WARREN MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR RANDOLPH IL.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY
     IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-
     PIKE IL-ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
416 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-100930-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
416 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL. THERE IS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
REGION THROUGH TONIGHT.

MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON ALL POINTS OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER FROM
LA GRANGE TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE...ARE LIKELY FRIDAY
MORNING.

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
ONE INCH OR ANY OBSERVED FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TILLY