Alert archive / Missouri / Heat Advisories in 2015

Heat Advisory 3, NWS St. Louis, MO

July 16, 201529 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this heat advisory at Jul 16, 2015, 3:46 PM CDT for 29 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Jul 17, 2015, 3:55 AM CDT. It was in force for 64 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2015, 3:46 PM CDT (20:46 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 17, 2015, 3:55 AM CDT
Expired
Jul 19, 2015, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
64 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
All 46 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 313 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1260 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this heat advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heat advisory went out at Jul 16, 12:52 PM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 12:52 PM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 3:27 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
327 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-171200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
327 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.

MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER FROM LA
GRANGE LOCK AND DAM TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAINT LOUIS METROPOLITAN
AREA FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BECAUSE HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL REACH AT LEAST 100 DEGREES FOR FOUR DAYS IN A
ROW. THE MOST OPPRESSIVE DAYS WILL BE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WHEN
HEAT INDEX VALUES REACH BETWEEN 105 AND 110 DEGREES.

HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS OF 105
DEGREES OR GREATER ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA FROM SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

KANOFSKY

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 5:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXKnox51 min
Jul 16, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis41 min
Jul 16, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby38 min
Jul 16, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis50 min
Jul 16, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby47 min

Nearby

Heat Advisories in Missouri, 2015Heat Advisories in Illinois, 2015Every heat advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.