Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS St. Louis, MO

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

636 
WGUS63 KLSX 062054
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
354 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

ILZ058-059-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-
059>065-072-073-071100-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.150707T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-
JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-
SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...
HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...
ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
354 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BROWN IL...CALHOUN IL...
 GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MONROE IL...
 PIKE IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE 
 MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...
 GASCONADE MO...JEFFERSON MO...KNOX MO...LEWIS MO...LINCOLN 
 MO...MARION MO...MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...
 OSAGE MO...PIKE MO...RALLS MO...SHELBY MO...ST. CHARLES MO...
 ST. LOUIS CITY MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
  THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TO THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD TWO DAY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 
  INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 
  INCHES. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

GLASS

326 
WGUS63 KLSX 070852
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
352 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ILZ058-059-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-
059>065-072-073-072200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-
JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-
SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...
HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...
ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
352 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BROWN IL...CALHOUN IL...
 GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MONROE IL...
 PIKE IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE 
 MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...
 GASCONADE MO...JEFFERSON MO...KNOX MO...LEWIS MO...LINCOLN 
 MO...MARION MO...MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...
 OSAGE MO...PIKE MO...RALLS MO...SHELBY MO...ST. CHARLES MO...
 ST. LOUIS CITY MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND
  THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TO THE REGION...MAINLY TONIGHT
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD TWO DAY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4
  INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

346 
WGUS63 KLSX 071627
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1127 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ILZ060-064-065-069-070-074-079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-072200-
/O.EXA.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-MARION IL-
WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-
IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...FARMINGTON
1127 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND 
 SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN 
 ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CLINTON IL...FAYETTE IL...MARION IL...
 MONTGOMERY IL...RANDOLPH IL AND WASHINGTON IL. IN SOUTHEAST 
 MISSOURI...IRON MO...MADISON MO...REYNOLDS MO...ST. FRANCOIS 
 MO AND STE. GENEVIEVE MO.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TO THE REGION THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD TWO DAY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
  ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058-059-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-
059>065-072-073-072200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-
JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-
SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...
HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...
ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
1127 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BROWN IL...CALHOUN IL...
 GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MONROE IL...
 PIKE IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE 
 MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...
 GASCONADE MO...JEFFERSON MO...KNOX MO...LEWIS MO...LINCOLN 
 MO...MARION MO...MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...
 OSAGE MO...PIKE MO...RALLS MO...SHELBY MO...ST. CHARLES MO...
 ST. LOUIS CITY MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TO THE
  REGION...MAINLY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD TWO DAY
  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED
  AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

GKS

285 
WGUS63 KLSX 072050
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
350 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-095>102-MOZ019-027-035-036-052-061-
063>065-081200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-
JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LEWIS MO-MARION MO-
RALLS MO-PIKE MO-LINCOLN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
ST CHARLES...ST LOUIS
350 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BOND IL...BROWN IL...
 CALHOUN IL...CLINTON IL...FAYETTE IL...GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...
 MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MARION IL...MONROE IL...MONTGOMERY 
 IL...PIKE IL...ST. CLAIR IL AND WASHINGTON IL. IN MISSOURI...
 JEFFERSON MO...LEWIS MO...LINCOLN MO...MARION MO...PIKE MO...
 RALLS MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. LOUIS CITY MO AND ST. LOUIS MO.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TO THE REGION...
  MAINLY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD MULTI DAY
  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED
  AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ079-MOZ018-026-034-041-042-047>051-059-060-062-072>075-084-085-
099-081200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH IL-KNOX MO-SHELBY MO-MONROE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-
MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-FRANKLIN MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHESTER...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...
JEFFERSON CITY...UNION...FARMINGTON
350 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
 FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...RANDOLPH IL. IN 
 MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...
 CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...IRON MO...KNOX MO...
 MADISON MO...MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...OSAGE 
 MO...REYNOLDS MO...SHELBY MO...ST. FRANCOIS MO...STE. 
 GENEVIEVE MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TO THE REGION
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD MULTI DAY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO
  4 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

GLASS

705 
WGUS63 KLSX 080817
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
317 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

ILZ079-MOZ072>075-084-085-099-082200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH IL-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-
STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHESTER...FARMINGTON
317 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
 FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...RANDOLPH IL. IN 
 MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...IRON MO...MADISON MO...REYNOLDS MO...
 ST. FRANCOIS MO...STE. GENEVIEVE MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. SOME OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH TOTAL
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

MOZ018-026-034-041-042-047>051-059-060-062-082200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KNOX MO-SHELBY MO-MONROE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-
FRANKLIN MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...
UNION
317 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI...EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND 
 NORTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN 
 CENTRAL MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE 
 MO...MONITEAU MO AND OSAGE MO. IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
 FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...MONTGOMERY MO AND WARREN MO. IN 
 NORTHEAST MISSOURI...KNOX MO...MONROE MO AND SHELBY MO.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. SOME OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH TOTAL
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-095>102-MOZ019-027-035-036-052-061-
063>065-082200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-
JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LEWIS MO-MARION MO-
RALLS MO-PIKE MO-LINCOLN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
ST CHARLES...ST LOUIS
317 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BOND IL...BROWN IL...
 CALHOUN IL...CLINTON IL...FAYETTE IL...GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...
 MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MARION IL...MONROE IL...MONTGOMERY 
 IL...PIKE IL...ST. CLAIR IL AND WASHINGTON IL. IN MISSOURI...
 JEFFERSON MO...LEWIS MO...LINCOLN MO...MARION MO...PIKE MO...
 RALLS MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. LOUIS CITY MO AND ST. LOUIS MO.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. SOME OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH TOTAL
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

CVKING

013 
WGUS63 KLSX 082108
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
408 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

MOZ018-026-034-041-042-047>051-059-060-062-090000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KNOX MO-SHELBY MO-MONROE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-
FRANKLIN MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...
UNION
408 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI...EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND 
  NORTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN 
  CENTRAL MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE 
  MO...MONITEAU MO AND OSAGE MO. IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...MONTGOMERY MO AND WARREN MO. IN 
  NORTHEAST MISSOURI...KNOX MO...MONROE MO AND SHELBY MO.

* UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF AND
  END BY EARLY THIS EVENING. UNTIL THEN...FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES
  TO BE A THREAT ON SMALL STREAMS.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ019-027-035-036-052-
061-063>065-072>075-084-085-099-090600-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LEWIS MO-
MARION MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-LINCOLN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...HANNIBAL...
BOWLING GREEN...ST CHARLES...ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
408 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BOND IL...BROWN IL...
  CALHOUN IL...CLINTON IL...FAYETTE IL...GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...
  MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MARION IL...MONROE IL...MONTGOMERY 
  IL...PIKE IL...RANDOLPH IL...ST. CLAIR IL AND WASHINGTON IL. 
  IN MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...IRON MO...JEFFERSON MO...LEWIS 
  MO...LINCOLN MO...MADISON MO...MARION MO...PIKE MO...RALLS 
  MO...REYNOLDS MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. FRANCOIS MO...ST. 
  LOUIS CITY MO...ST. LOUIS MO...STE. GENEVIEVE MO AND 
  WASHINGTON MO.

* UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY

* PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING IS STILL A
  REAL THREAT.

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

CARNEY

680 
WGUS63 KLSX 090141
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
841 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

ILZ095>097-MOZ019-027-035-036-052-090245-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-LEWIS MO-MARION MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-
LINCOLN MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN
841 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT HAS ENDED. SOME
LIGHT RAIN IS STILL LIKELY THIS EVENING...BUT HEAVY RAIN CAPABLE
OF FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.

$$

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ061-063>065-072>075-
084-085-099-090600-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...ST LOUIS...
FARMINGTON
841 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...CLINTON IL...
 FAYETTE IL...GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON 
 IL...MARION IL...MONROE IL...MONTGOMERY IL...RANDOLPH IL...ST. 
 CLAIR IL AND WASHINGTON IL. IN MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...IRON 
 MO...JEFFERSON MO...MADISON MO...REYNOLDS MO...ST. CHARLES 
 MO...ST. FRANCOIS MO...ST. LOUIS CITY MO...ST. LOUIS MO...STE. 
 GENEVIEVE MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY

* PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS 
  EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING IS STILL A 
  REAL THREAT. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR 
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AND ULTIMATELY DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING ON 
  SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LARGER 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

CARNEY

783 
WGUS63 KLSX 090429
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1129 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015


ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ061-063>065-072>075-
084-085-099-090530-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...ST LOUIS...
FARMINGTON
1129 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN HAVE MOVED OUT
OF THE AREA.

$$

BYRD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1158 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.SHORT TERM: (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 331 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

THE EVENING LOOKS RATHER TRANQUIL ACROSS THE REGION WITH
DISSIPATING DIURNAL CU AND A FEW HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING ACROSS THE
AREA. THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS LEAD TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES TODAY AND GREATER MOISTURE. OVERNIGHT THERE ARE
INDICATIONS BY THE NAM AND ESPECIALLY THE RAP THAT WE MAY SEE SOME
SPOTTY ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MO
INTO EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MO IN THE NEAR DAWN HOURS, THEN
SHIFTING EAST ON MONDAY MORNING. A VERY WEAK PETURBATION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT, AND MORE IMPORTANTLY VEERING AND STRENGTHENING
LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE 3000-7000 FT LAYER AND ATTENDANT THERMAL AND
MOISTURE ADVECTION COULD GENERATE SOME ACTIVITY IN THE 07-15Z TIME
FRAME. I HAVE ADDED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO THE FORECAST WITH
THIS IN MIND. OTHERWISE MILDER TEMPERATURES ON TAP TONIGHT AND A
RATHER WARM DAY IS ON SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY. THE MODELS NOW ALL HAVE
A BIT SLOWER PROGRESS WITH THE COLD FRONT, NOT ENTERING FAR
NORTHWEST MO UNTIL THE 21-00Z TIME FRAME. GIVEN THIS SLOWER SPEED
AND LESSER CLOUDS EXPECTED WITH THE FORECAST WAA REGIME, I EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S WITH A FEW SPOTS AROUND 90. WE
COULD ALSO SEE SOME SPOTTY DIURNALLY DRIVEN PULSE STORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON IN THE BROAD WARM MOIST AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR.

GLASS

.LONG TERM: (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 331 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS LIKE A WET AND STORMY
PATTERN WITH WIDESPREAD MULTI-DAY AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2-4
INCHES. THE BIGGEST ISSUE IS JUST WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL MAY
FOCUS WITH THE MODELS HAVING SOME GROWING DIFFERENCES WITH TIME
FROM TUESDAY AND BEYOND WHERE THE FRONT MAY LIE. THE ECMWF HAS THE
MOST AGRESSIVE SOUTHWARD PUSH EARLY ON THEN WAVERS THE FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS WEEK. ALTERNATIVELY THE GFS AND NAM
BOTH DON'T MOVE THE FRONT AS FAR SOUTH AND THEN WAVER IT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE WAVES MOVE ALONG IT, FINALLY
PUSHING NORTH OF THE CWA BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE REGION SPANNING
THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL BE VERY MOIST AND A BROAD REGION OF DEEP LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL FOCUS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN. WE MAY ULTIMATELY NEED A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH ONCE WE CAN PIN DOWN THE REGION A BIT BETTER.

LOOKS LIKE PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DECREASE INTO NEXT WEEKEND
WITH A RETURN OF SUMMER HEAT.

GLASS

&&

.AVIATION:  (FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1142 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

EXPECT VSBYS WILL CONTINUE TO WAVER BETWEEN 4-6SM FOR MUCH OF THE
REST OF THE NIGHT. I THINK THERE'S TOO MUCH BOUNDARY LAYER WIND TO
SUPPORT FOG MUCH THICKER THAN THAT. HOWEVER...NOTICED THAT KUNO
CAME IN WITH AN 800FT CEILING AT 0435Z. EXPECT THESE IFR CEILINGS
TO SPREAD NORTH-NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. NOT
REALLY SURE HOW FAR NORTHEAST THESE LOW CLOUDS WILL GET BEFORE
SUNRISE, BUT AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR ARE DEFINITELY UNDER
THE GUN. MODEL GUIDANCE DOESN'T SEEM TO BE TOO INTERESTED IN
SPREADING THE CEILINGS AS FAR NORTH AS I-70, BUT I CAN'T RULE IT
OUT. STRATUS AND FOG/HAZE SHOULD DISSIPATE WITHIN 1-3 HOURS OF
SUNRISE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 12Z MONDAY MORNING, BUT THE WIDE-SPREAD NATURE OF THIS
PRECIPITATION MAKES IT UNLIKELY TO AFFECT ANY OF THE TAF SITES.
REMAINDER OF MONDAY SHOULD BE VFR WITH INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
FLOW...BECOMING GUSTY UP TO AROUND 20KTS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL, MOST
LIKELY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI. MORE
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
EVENING...MOSTLY OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:

EXPECT VSBY AT LAMBERT TO WAVER BETWEEN 5-6SM FOR THE REST OF THE
NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT STRATUS WHICH IS IN THE PROCESS OF
FORMING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI MAY MOVE UP TO OVERSPREAD THE
TERMINAL BY SUNRISE, BUT THE CHANCE THIS WILL HAPPEN DOES NOT LOOK
HIGH ENOUGH TO PUT A CEILING IN THE TAF AT THIS TIME. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM MAY BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE
TERMINAL DURING THE MORNING...BUT LIKE THE STRATUS IT LOOKS LIKE
PROBABILITIES ARE LOW THAT ANY PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT THE
TERMINAL. VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY WITH
INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW...BECOMING GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON.
THERE'S A BETTER CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT
PROBABLY ONLY 30% AT BEST. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
EVENING...BUT THERE'S ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT...TIMING AND COVERAGE ARE STILL UNCERTAIN SO HAVE LEFT
MENTION OUT FOR NOW.

CARNEY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1159 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-061200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
1159 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS DAYBREAK FOR
AREAS MAINLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON ALL POINTS OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER
FROM LA GRANGE TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION
MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON ALL POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS
RIVER FROM LA GRANGE TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

TES