Alert archive / Kentucky / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this special weather statement at Apr 8, 2015, 8:13 PM EDT for Harrison County, Nicholas County, Kentucky. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 8, 2015, 8:13 PM EDT (00:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 8, 2015, 8:55 PM EDT
- In force
- 42 min
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
Counties Harrison County, KY, Nicholas County, KY
The radar
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 409 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1029 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 163 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 8, 6:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 8, 6:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
649 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2015
...Updated Aviation Discussion...
...Forecast Update...
Issued at 525 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2015
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been converted to a Tornado Watch
across southern IN and has been extended until 10 PM EDT. Backed low
level flow and organized storms along the boundary have led to some
cells with significant rotation. Winds, hail, and isolated tornadoes
will be possible. South of the watch area, hail will continue to be
possible over the next couple of hours. This activity should then
diminish later this evening.
.SHORT TERM (Now through Thursday Night)...
Issued at 308 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2015
...More Strong Storms Possible This Evening and Tomorrow...
Multiple boundaries have set up across the region this afternoon.
SPC mesoanalysis shows all the CIN from earlier in the day has
eroded and we have become moderately unstable with 2500-3500 J/kg CAPE.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for southern Indiana for
this afternoon and early evening. However, given the multiple
boundaries and possibility for strong storms elsewhere around the
forecast area, extensions to the Watch are not out of the question
this afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
threats this afternoon, though a tornado or two cannot be ruled out
completely. The other concern for tonight will be the possibility of
training thunderstorms, particularly across southern IN and north
central KY. The latest runs of the HRRR have been suggesting this.
Given that flash flood values are under an inch an hour and storms
may train in this area, have gone ahead and issued a Flash Flood
Watch starting late this afternoon and continuing through tomorrow
night.
There should be a relative lull in the storms for much of the
overnight period as any storms that develop this afternoon will move
out late this evening. Think another complex associated with a weak
upper level wave will move in early tomorrow morning and continue
through the morning hours. Some small hail and gusty winds will be
possible with these storms.
There should be at least a short break in storm coverage tomorrow
afternoon ahead of the more significant chance for severe weather
along and ahead of the cold front tomorrow night. Moisture will pool
ahead of the front with strong southerly winds through the afternoon
tomorrow. Forcing will come from the upper level trough moving in
and an upper level jet. Shear will increase and hodographs exhibit
favorable clockwise curving tomorrow night. A broken line of showers
and thunderstorms looks to develop to our west congeal into a line
as it moves into the forecast area tomorrow evening. Damaging winds
will be the the main threat with the squall line, with a few
embedded tornadoes possible. If any cells do develop ahead of the
main line hail could be a threat as well.
Due to the repeated areas of convection moving across the region,
have kept the Flash Flood Watch in place through tomorrow night.
Repeated rains will only exacerbate or renew flooding problems.
.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
Issued at 241 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2015
Not much has changed in the thinking for the long term period. Due
to the ongoing storms an updated discussion will not be issued this
afternoon. The previous discussion is below.
Previous discussion
-------------------
Cold front should pass through the area during the pre-dawn hours
Friday in our west then sweep across the rest of central Kentucky
during the early morning hours. Westerly flow will bring in a drier
and quieter pattern Friday night.
Plan on a pleasant, sunny and seasonable Saturday with high pressure
over the lower Ohio Valley. Sunday will start off in similar fashion
but as the high quickly moves to the east, southerly return flow
will begin to push another slug of warm, moist air to the region.
Shower chances return Sunday night through Monday as a trough digs
across the central Plains. High-end chance to likely POPs look
reasonable early next week with near normal temperatures.
&&
.AVIATION (00Z TAF Update)...
Updated at 645 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2015
Scattered thunderstorms will continue across north central KY for
the next few hours. These storms will continue to affect SDF and LEX
off an on. Storms are expected to diminish by 03Z or so with drier
conditions for much of the rest of the night. A few showers may
develop around BWG over the next few hours, but storms are not
expected at this time.
The next complex of storms will begin to move in around 11-12Z.
These will affect all TAF sites tomorrow morning, moving out early
afternoon. Winds will increase tomorrow afternoon as a cold front
begins to approach from the west. South-southwesterly winds will be
sustained up to around 15 knots with gusts of 20-25 knots.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late Thursday night FOR KYZ023>025-
028>043-045>049-053>057-066-067.
IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late Thursday night FOR INZ076>079-083-
084-089>092.
&&
Update.........EER
Short Term.....EER
Long Term......BJS
Aviation.......EERHazardous weather outlook, Apr 8, 3:33 PM EDT, 4 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 333 PM EDT WED APR 8 2015 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-091945- ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN- PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE 333 PM EDT WED APR 8 2015 /233 PM CDT WED APR 8 2015/ ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 34 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LESSER CHANCES OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF A TORNADO AS WELL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED AS WELL. PLEASE REFER TO THAT FOR MORE INFORMATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY TO MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. THIS RAIN COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE. KYZ023>025-028>043-045>049-053>057-066-067-091945- HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY- BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY- JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY- MADISON KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG... ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE... LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE... FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG... VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN... SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER... HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...LIBERTY... STANFORD 333 PM EDT WED APR 8 2015 /233 PM CDT WED APR 8 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LESSER CHANCES OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF A TORNADO ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED AS WELL. PLEASE REFER TO THAT FOR MORE INFORMATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY TO MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. THIS RAIN COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE. KYZ026-027-061>065-070>078-081-082-091945- OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY- LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY- METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...MORGANTOWN... BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE... RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW... TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE... ALBANY 333 PM EDT WED APR 8 2015 /233 PM CDT WED APR 8 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LESSER CHANCES OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY TO MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. THIS RAIN COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE. EER/BJS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 8, 6:53 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
653 PM EDT WED APR 8 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0652 PM HAIL 2 SW SAINT MATTHEWS 38.23N 85.66W
04/08/2015 E0.75 INCH JEFFERSON KY PUBLIC
DIME SIZE HAIL AT BOWMAN FIELD.
&&
MRCSpecial weather statement, Apr 8, 6:53 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
653 PM EDT WED APR 8 2015
INZ090-KYZ030-031-034-082325-
HARRISON IN-JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-SHELBY KY-
653 PM EDT WED APR 8 2015
...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND 40 MPH WINDS...
AT 651 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES WEST OF VALLEY STATION...AND MOVING EAST
AT 45 MPH.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
VALLEY STATION...
ST. MATTHEWS...
SHIVELY...
PLEASURE RIDGE PARK...
OKOLONA...
LOUISVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...
LOUISVILLE BOWMAN FIELD...
PEWEE VALLEY AND ORCHARD GRASS HILLS...
THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
127 AND 137.
THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
10 AND 8.
THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
13 AND 9.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS...AND AVOID USING THE
TELEPHONE UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY.
&&
LAT...LON 3841 8540 3819 8529 3806 8601 3815 8607
3820 8596 3819 8596 3819 8590 3824 8584
3827 8576 3827 8574 3831 8567
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 250DEG 40KT 3814 8594
SCHOETTMERSpecial weather statement, Apr 8, 7:42 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
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</html>Special weather statement, Apr 8, 7:55 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 10:55 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Bourbon, Fayette, Woodford | 3 hr |
| Apr 9, 11:27 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Meade | 28 min |
| Apr 9, 12:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Jefferson | 19 min |
| Apr 9, 12:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Oldham | 22 min |
| Apr 9, 12:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Henry, Trimble | 21 min |
| Apr 9, 1:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Henry | 30 min |
| Apr 9, 2:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Franklin | 28 min |
| Apr 9, 2:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison, Scott | 32 min |
| Apr 9, 1:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Jefferson | 14 min |
| Apr 9, 4:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Crawford | 31 min |
| Apr 9, 4:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Clark, Floyd | 31 min |
| Apr 9, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Jefferson, Scott | 32 min |
| Apr 9, 4:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Floyd | 31 min |
| Apr 9, 4:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson | 19 min |
| Apr 9, 4:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson | 24 min |
| Apr 9, 5:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Scott | 30 min |
| Apr 9, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Jefferson, Scott, Washington | 31 min |
| Apr 9, 5:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Jefferson | 31 min |
| Apr 9, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson | 25 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Kentucky, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.