Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Watches in 2015
Flash Flood Watch 13, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this flash flood watch at Dec 27, 2015, 8:19 AM CST for 49 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 35 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 27, 2015, 8:19 AM CST (14:19 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 28, 2015, 7:26 PM CST
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
- Flood severity
- None
All 59 counties
Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 187 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -40 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 710 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 324 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 373 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
713 WGUS63 KLMK 271419 FFALMK URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 919 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE REST OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY .ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FOR LATE DECEMBER WILL WORK WITH A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PRODUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING TODAY ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. MONDAY A HEAVIER BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON. ON TOP OF ALREADY SOAKED GROUNDS...ANY INTENSE RAINS FOR ONE TO THREE HOURS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045-053-280000- /O.NEW.KLMK.FF.A.0013.151227T1419Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON- FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN- BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON- WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-NELSON-LARUE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM... SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON...JASPER...HUNTINGBURG... BROWNSTOWN...MILLTOWN...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...LEWISPORT... HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG... MULDRAUGH...BEAVER DAM...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... RADCLIFF...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE... HILLVIEW...BROOKS...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BUCKNER... CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...BEDFORD...MILTON...EMINENCE... NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...CAMPBELLSBURG...SHELBYVILLE... FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE 919 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 /819 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF INDIANA AND KENTUCKY... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN INDIANA...CLARK... CRAWFORD...DUBOIS...FLOYD...HARRISON...JEFFERSON...ORANGE... PERRY...SCOTT AND WASHINGTON. IN KENTUCKY...ANDERSON... BOURBON...BRECKINRIDGE...BULLITT...FAYETTE...FRANKLIN... GRAYSON...HANCOCK...HARDIN...HARRISON...HENRY...JEFFERSON... LARUE...MEADE...NELSON...NICHOLAS...OHIO...OLDHAM...SCOTT... SHELBY...SPENCER...TRIMBLE AND WOODFORD. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SLOW-MOVING FRONT COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BRING MODERATE TO AT TIMES HEAVY RAINS TO THE REGION TODAY AND THEN ANOTHER LINE OF STORMS WILL BRING THE THREAT FOR FLOODING MONDAY. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS WITH BOTH ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KYZ046>049-054>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-280000- /O.NEW.KLMK.FF.A.0013.151228T1600Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON- BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-WARREN- SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND- CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE...WINCHESTER...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE... HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE... LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN... PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON... COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS...JAMESTOWN...SALEM...BURKESVILLE... ALBANY 919 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 /819 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY... NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...BOYLE... CLARK...GARRARD...JESSAMINE...MADISON AND MERCER. IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...WASHINGTON. IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... ADAIR...ALLEN...BARREN...BUTLER...CASEY...CLINTON... CUMBERLAND...EDMONSON...GREEN...HART...LINCOLN...LOGAN... MARION...METCALFE...MONROE...RUSSELL...SIMPSON...TAYLOR AND WARREN. * FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS WILL GET A BAND OF INTENSE RAINFALL AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST MONDAY. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FALLING IN A QUICK PERIOD OF TIME COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS WITH BOTH ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ RJS
6 follow-up statements
797 WGUS63 KLMK 272051 FFALMK FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 351 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... .A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND SATURATED FROM SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 4 DAYS...ANY INTENSE RAINS FOR ONE TO THREE HOURS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045-053-280500- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON- FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN- BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON- WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-NELSON-LARUE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM... SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON...JASPER...HUNTINGBURG... BROWNSTOWN...MILLTOWN...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...LEWISPORT... HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG... MULDRAUGH...BEAVER DAM...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... RADCLIFF...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE... HILLVIEW...BROOKS...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BUCKNER... CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...BEDFORD...MILTON...EMINENCE... NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...CAMPBELLSBURG...SHELBYVILLE... FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE 351 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 /251 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER LINE OF STORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BRING AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS WITH BOTH ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KYZ046>049-054>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-280500- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.151228T1600Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON- BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-WARREN- SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND- CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE...WINCHESTER...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE... HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE... LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN... PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON... COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS...JAMESTOWN...SALEM...BURKESVILLE... ALBANY 351 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 /251 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY * FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD RESULT IN AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FALLING IN A QUICK PERIOD OF TIME. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS. ONGOING FLOODING MAY ALSO BE AGGRAVATED. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ RAS
719 WGUS63 KLMK 280428 FFALMK FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1128 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... .A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND SATURATED FROM SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 4 DAYS...ANY INTENSE RAINS FOR ONE TO THREE HOURS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045-053-281000- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON- FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN- BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON- WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-NELSON-LARUE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM... SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON...JASPER...HUNTINGBURG... BROWNSTOWN...MILLTOWN...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...LEWISPORT... HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG... MULDRAUGH...BEAVER DAM...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... RADCLIFF...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE... HILLVIEW...BROOKS...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BUCKNER... CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...BEDFORD...MILTON...EMINENCE... NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...CAMPBELLSBURG...SHELBYVILLE... FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE 1128 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 /1028 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES TONIGHT. A LINE OF STORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BRING AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS WITH BOTH ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KYZ046>049-054>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-281000- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.151228T1600Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON- BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-WARREN- SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND- CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE...WINCHESTER...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE... HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE... LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN... PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON... COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS...JAMESTOWN...SALEM...BURKESVILLE... ALBANY 1128 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 /1028 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * SOUTHERN KENTUCKY. * FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD RESULT IN AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FALLING IN A QUICK PERIOD OF TIME. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS. ONGOING FLOODING MAY ALSO BE AGGRAVATED. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 13
720 WGUS63 KLMK 280907 FFALMK FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 407 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... .A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WITH THE GROUND SATURATED FROM SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 4 DAYS...ANY INTENSE RAINS FOR ONE TO THREE HOURS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045-053-281715- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON- FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN- BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON- WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-NELSON-LARUE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM... SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON...JASPER...HUNTINGBURG... BROWNSTOWN...MILLTOWN...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...LEWISPORT... HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG... MULDRAUGH...BEAVER DAM...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... RADCLIFF...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE... HILLVIEW...BROOKS...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BUCKNER... CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...BEDFORD...MILTON...EMINENCE... NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...CAMPBELLSBURG...SHELBYVILLE... FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE 407 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 /307 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES THIS MORNING. A LINE OF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BRING AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS WITH BOTH ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KYZ046>049-054>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-281715- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.151228T1600Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON- BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-WARREN- SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND- CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE...WINCHESTER...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE... HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE... LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN... PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON... COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS...JAMESTOWN...SALEM...BURKESVILLE... ALBANY 407 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 /307 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * SOUTHERN KENTUCKY. * FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD RESULT IN AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FALLING IN A QUICK PERIOD OF TIME. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS. ONGOING FLOODING MAY ALSO BE AGGRAVATED. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 13
557 WGUS63 KLMK 281820 FFALMK FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 120 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... .A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WITH THE GROUND SATURATED FROM SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 4 DAYS...ANY INTENSE RAINS FOR ONE TO THREE HOURS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045-053-290200- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON- FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN- BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON- WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-NELSON-LARUE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM... SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON...JASPER...HUNTINGBURG... BROWNSTOWN...MILLTOWN...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...LEWISPORT... HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG... MULDRAUGH...BEAVER DAM...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... RADCLIFF...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE... HILLVIEW...BROOKS...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BUCKNER... CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...BEDFORD...MILTON...EMINENCE... NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...CAMPBELLSBURG...SHELBYVILLE... FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE 120 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 /1220 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF INDIANA AND KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN INDIANA...CLARK...CRAWFORD...DUBOIS...FLOYD... HARRISON...JEFFERSON...ORANGE...PERRY...SCOTT AND WASHINGTON. IN KENTUCKY...ANDERSON...BOURBON...BRECKINRIDGE...BULLITT... FAYETTE...FRANKLIN...GRAYSON...HANCOCK...HARDIN...HARRISON... HENRY...JEFFERSON...LARUE...MEADE...NELSON...NICHOLAS...OHIO... OLDHAM...SCOTT...SHELBY...SPENCER...TRIMBLE AND WOODFORD. * UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING * A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN...WITH SATURATED GROUND AND HIGH FLOW ON AREA STREAMS...WILL RESULT IN FLOODING. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS WITH BOTH ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KYZ046>049-054>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-290200- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON- BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-WARREN- SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND- CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE...WINCHESTER...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE... HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE... LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN... PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON... COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS...JAMESTOWN...SALEM...BURKESVILLE... ALBANY 120 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 /1220 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...BOYLE...CLARK...GARRARD...JESSAMINE... MADISON AND MERCER. IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...WASHINGTON. IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...ADAIR...ALLEN...BARREN...BUTLER... CASEY...CLINTON...CUMBERLAND...EDMONSON...GREEN...HART... LINCOLN...LOGAN...MARION...METCALFE...MONROE...RUSSELL... SIMPSON...TAYLOR AND WARREN. * UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD RESULT IN AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FALLING IN A QUICK PERIOD OF TIME. * EXPECT AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS. ONGOING FLOODING MAY ALSO BE AGGRAVATED. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ RAS
279 WGUS63 KLMK 290016 FFALMK FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 716 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY... .A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...WITH THE GROUND SATURATED FROM SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 4 DAYS...ANY INTENSE RAINS COULD STILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE OHIO RIVER. INZ076-077-083-084-089-090-KYZ023>028-061-062-070>072-290130- /O.CAN.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ORANGE-WASHINGTON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON-HANCOCK- BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-BUTLER-EDMONSON-LOGAN- WARREN-SIMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM... JASPER...HUNTINGBURG...BROWNSTOWN...MILLTOWN...MARENGO... TELL CITY...CORYDON...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG... IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG...MULDRAUGH...BEAVER DAM... HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...RADCLIFF...FORT KNOX... MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN... FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE 716 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 /616 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IS ENDING AS A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH. $$ INZ078-079-091-092-KYZ029>043-045-053-290200- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SCOTT-JEFFERSON-FLOYD-CLARK-BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY- FRANKLIN-HARRISON-SPENCER-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON- NICHOLAS-NELSON-LARUE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...MOUNT WASHINGTON... SHEPHERDSVILLE...HILLVIEW...BROOKS...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE... BUCKNER...CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...BEDFORD...MILTON... EMINENCE...NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...CAMPBELLSBURG... SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE 716 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * A LINE OF SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS LESS THAN 1 INCH THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN COULD STILL CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. * AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS COULD STILL RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS WITH BOTH ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KYZ046>049-054>057-063>067-073>078-081-082-290200- /O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON- HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE- ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE...WINCHESTER...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE... GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...SCOTTSVILLE... GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS... JAMESTOWN...SALEM...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY 716 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 /616 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... * A FEW STORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD STILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. ANY BRIEF ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN WOULD BE ENOUGH TO AGITATE ALREADY SWOLLEN STREAMS. * AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS COULD STILL RISE TO AND ABOVE THEIR BANKS. ONGOING FLOODING MAY ALSO BE AGGRAVATED. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ BJS
063 WGUS63 KLMK 290126 FFALMK FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 826 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... INZ078-079-091-092-KYZ029>043-045>049-053>057-063>067-073>078-081- 082-290230- /O.CAN.KLMK.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151229T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SCOTT-JEFFERSON-FLOYD-CLARK-BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY- FRANKLIN-HARRISON-SPENCER-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON- NICHOLAS-NELSON-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-LARUE-MARION-BOYLE- GARRARD-MADISON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-ALLEN-BARREN- MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...MOUNT WASHINGTON... SHEPHERDSVILLE...HILLVIEW...BROOKS...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE... BUCKNER...CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...BEDFORD...MILTON... EMINENCE...NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...CAMPBELLSBURG... SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE... WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER... RICHMOND...BEREA...HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG... CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW... TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS... JAMESTOWN...SALEM...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY 826 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 /726 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF INDIANA AND KENTUCKY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A FEW SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...HOWEVER RAINFALL RATES AND COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED. $$ BJS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Dec 27, 7:45 AM CST, 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 7:45 AM CST, 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 845 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...Forecast Update... Updated 845 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2015 Had some briefly interesting reflectivity patters over southern Indiana earlier, but they have merged more into a line now, roughly along the cold front. Will continue to monitor cells that are right along the front for any strengthening, but otherwise should just be a soggy morning north of the Parkways. Hourly rain rates continue to support no need for a flash flood watch. However we are being set up for a better chance Monday because of these rains. We may issue a watch before the afternoon package, covering the threat for intense rainfalls with the line that moves through here Monday. Given that all parts of our forecast area now have received some rains these last few days, would lean toward that watch covering the entire forecast area. .SHORT TERM (Now through Monday)... Issued 249 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2015 ...Active Weather Through Monday Night... ...Winter Temperatures Return Late Next Week... As of 3 am, surface analysis showed a frontal boundary draped west/east from southern Illinois to central Indiana and northwest Ohio. South of this feature, the warm sector over southern Indiana and central Kentucky was characterized by near record warmth. In fact, the temperature at Louisville International Airport was 70 degrees at 2 am, one degree shy of the record high for today and an incredible 42 degrees above the normal low of 28 for late December. This crazy warm December weather is being fueled by an anomalously deep upper level closed low along the Texas/Mexico border, which is pumping rich Gulf moisture ahead of it along the MS River Valley. As this moisture hits the front, a tight frontogenetical band of rain showers and embedded showers has developed, but largely has stayed to our north. Minus a few warm advective showers breaking out across central Kentucky, it has been dry so far this morning. For today, the aforementioned front will slowly sag southward, the emphasis on slow. A time trend analysis of the model data shows a slowing trend, but we have confidence that by late morning and early afternoon, the front should be near the Ohio River, then drop toward southern Kentucky by late this evening. Before it does, temperatures will remain near record warm with max readings in the upper 60s (north) to mid 70s (south). For the northern areas, this will occur early, then readings will fall during the afternoon with the frontal passage. Plan on widespread showers and a few thunderstorms along/behind the front. Hi-res model data is capturing the ongoing rain fairly well, so leaned on that for POPs today. North of the KY Parkways stand the best chance for several hours of moderate to occasionally heavy rain with the highest totals expected over southern Indiana. Rainfall totals through midnight will vary from 1/2 to locally 1.5 inches across southern Indiana. 1, 3 and 6-hour Flash Flood Guidance varies from 1.5 to 3 inches, so will hold off a Flood Watch today, however there may be localized water issues in any perkier or training shower/storm. .LONG TERM (Monday Night through Saturday)... Issued at 302 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2015 The focus in the long term period is on the potential for strong to severe storms Monday afternoon/evening, including flash flooding. By Monday morning, the closed upper low is likely to be over northern Texas while at the surface, a sub-1000 mb low pressure system should be near Tulsa, OK. A large swath of precipitation will arc around this system, from New Orleans northwestward to Kansas City. Locally, our front will likely be near the TN/KY border but it will lift back north again as the surface low tracks to central Missouri. The dynamics with this system are impressive, with very strong winds at 850 mb /65+ kts/. Even at 925 mb, model data is showing winds to be near 50 kts. The low-level turning is quite impressive with easterly flow at the surface, but quickly veers to the south just off the surface. By early afternoon, a line of convection should be coming into western Kentucky. The impressive shear combined with MUCAPE of 300- 500 J/kg (sufficient in cool season) could favor strong to severe storms. Where the warm front eventually set ups (how far north it gets) will dictate how much of our area could see severe weather. At this time, southern KY looks most favored though our confidence remains below normal. Damaging winds would be the biggest threat but quick spin-up tornadoes are not out of the question either. The time frame looks to be mid afternoon to early evening. Our higher confidence lies in the heavy rainfall associated with this line. While it should be progressive, it will also contain intense rainfall rates, with 1 to 2 inches (locally higher?) falling in a much shorter time frame. A Flash Flood Watch is probably going to be needed to cover the Monday PM system. For flooding on our area rivers, see the hydrology discussion below. Precipitation should quickly end west to east Monday night, giving way to a much needed dry day on Tuesday. Temperatures in the wake of the system will still be above normal, but only by 5 to 10 degrees. For Tuesday night and Wednesday, a southern stream system will track from the Gulf Coast to the Carolinas, brushing parts of southern/southeast Kentucky. The trend with this system has been to stay further away, so POPs were nudged down by 10-20 percent on average. North of KY Parkways may end up dry for Wednesday, but will let the model consensus ride for now. Finally, a surge of seasonably cold air will arrive just in time for 2016. We'll have a couple dry days to round out the week with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Overnight lows will fall back into the 20s. && .HYDROLOGY... Updated 303 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2015 Recent rainfall totals have varied from 1 to locally 3 inches, mainly across southern Kentucky. However, we have a couple more rounds of rain to get through before a break in the weather pattern takes place. Between now and Monday night, an additional 1.5 to 3 inches may fall, with the highest totals across southern Indiana. This rain should come in 2 batches, the first being today with the front dropping south. The second will be with an line of showers/storms Monday night. Significant rises have already taken place on area rivers, streams and creeks with a few already in minor flood. Agricultural land is well saturated so additional rainfall will only make matters worse. Finally, even the main stem of the Ohio from Markland Lock to Tell City will see significant rises that will last through this week and beyond. There's lots of water that will need to work through the river systems. Those with hydrologic interests along rivers, streams and creeks are urged to stay tuned for the latest updates and forecasts. && .AVIATION (12Z TAF Update)... Updated at 644 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2015 Surface cold front to the west/northwest will slide eastward during the forecast period and bring generally poor flying conditions to the terminals through much of the forecast period. Showers will be on the increase across the region this morning and should become widespread across the area by mid morning. Ceilings and visibility will start off as VFR very early, but quickly drop into the MVFR range as precipitation becomes more widespread. Surface winds will remain out of the southwest at 10-12kts with gusts up to 18-20kts being possible. Surface cold front should push through KSDF and KLEX this afternoon shifting winds from the SW to the NW then eventually north. In the post frontal wake, we'll see visibilities and ceilings drop into the IFR range by 19-21Z. Front should push through KBWG by 28/00Z shifting the winds there and dropping conditions down into IFR. IFR conditions look to continue into the overnight hours due to low ceilings and drizzle/mist. && .LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories... KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && Update.........RJS Short Term.....ZT Long Term......ZT Hydrology......ZT Aviation.......MJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 27, 2:18 AM CST, 6 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 318 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-280830- ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON- FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-BULLITT- OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON-WOODFORD- FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-NELSON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-LARUE-MARION-BOYLE- GARRARD-MADISON-BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN- LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL- CUMBERLAND-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM... SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON...JASPER...HUNTINGBURG...BROWNSTOWN... MILLTOWN...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE... HARDINSBURG...IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG...MULDRAUGH... BEAVER DAM...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...RADCLIFF... FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...HILLVIEW...BROOKS... LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BUCKNER...CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY... BEDFORD...MILTON...EMINENCE...NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE... CAMPBELLSBURG...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA... TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS... CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE... WILMORE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE... HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY... STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE... SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA... RUSSELL SPRINGS...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY 318 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 /218 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SLOW MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA TODAY. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL...THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. THIS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED WATER ISSUES...INCLUDING RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS AND PONDING ON ROADWAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM IS POISED TO AFFECT THE REGION ON MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS LOOKS TO BE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND INTENSE RAINFALL RATES WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS LINE OF STORMS...AND COULD POSE A FLASH FLOODING PROBLEM. RAINFALL WITH THIS LINE MAY BE 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR STRONG WINDS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ZT
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 27, 7:04 AM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
804 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015
INZ077-078-084-090>092-271330-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-CRAWFORD-FLOYD-CLARK-HARRISON-
804 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015
...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
HARRISON...SCOTT...NORTHWESTERN FLOYD...NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...
WASHINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTIES...
AT 803 AM EST...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSTOWN TO SALEM TO NEAR
ENGLISH...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SCOTTSBURG...SALEM...ENGLISH...NEW PROVIDENCE TOWN...CAREFREE TOWN...
VIENNA...AUSTIN...BLUE RIVER...NEW PEKIN...PALMYRA...MARENGO...
MILLTOWN...BORDEN...HARDINSBURG...LITTLE YORK...FREDERICKSBURG...
RAMSEY...NEW LIBERTY...HOGTOWN AND HARRISTOWN.
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY CAN RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN LOUISVILLE.
LAT...LON 3865 8569 3826 8614 3824 8656 3840 8639
3839 8631 3847 8631 3858 8618 3875 8606
3876 8594 3875 8592 3875 8590 3873 8589
3873 8587 3878 8580 3880 8580 3881 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 1303Z 260DEG 28KT 3870 8602 3860 8609 3830 8645
RJSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 10:39 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LMK | Hart | 23 hr |
| Dec 27, 9:16 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Trimble | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 9:20 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock, Jefferson, Meade, Ohio, Oldham and 1 more | 115 min |
| Dec 27, 10:09 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LMK | Ohio | 3 days |
| Dec 27, 10:43 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LMK | Jefferson, Oldham | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 11:10 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Henry, Oldham, Shelby | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 11:20 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Breckinridge, Bullitt, Hardin, Meade | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:07 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Trimble | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:52 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Franklin, Harrison, Scott | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 1:39 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Jefferson, Oldham | 111 min |
| Dec 27, 7:04 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Crawford, Scott, Washington | 26 min |
| Dec 27, 11:49 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LMK | Harrison, Washington | 45 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Kentucky, 2015Flash Flood Watches in Indiana, 2015Every flash flood watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.