Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Louisville, KY

154 
WGUS73 KLMK 200824
FFSLMK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
424 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

INC025-061-117-123-175-201000-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150620T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON IN-PERRY IN-ORANGE IN-HARRISON IN-CRAWFORD IN-
424 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EDT/500 AM
CDT/ FOR CRAWFORD...NORTHERN HARRISON...ORANGE...NORTHERN PERRY AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 418 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED HIGH WATER 
ON BECKS MILL ROAD IN WASHINGTON COUNTY.  STEADY RAINS...HEAVY AT 
TIMES...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND ARE 
EXPECTED TO CREATE ADDITIONAL SPOTS OF FLOODING.  

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CORYDON...
  ENGLISH...
  SALEM...
  PAOLI...

  IN ADDITION...BROWNSTOWN...HANCOCK CHAPEL AND PUMPKIN CENTER ARE
  INCLUDED IN THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING.

  FLASH FLOOD PRONE AREA IN THIS WARNING...
  INTERSECTION OF APPLE LANE AND KINGS LANE OVERFLOWS DUE TO LOW
  LYING AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT
TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

REPORT FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3876 8590 3855 8585 3850 8589 3849 8599
      3842 8603 3833 8603 3827 8597 3819 8603
      3813 8627 3820 8637 3815 8632 3810 8647
      3809 8645 3801 8680 3825 8679 3825 8668
      3869 8669 3869 8632 3876 8629 3878 8620

$$

AMS

206 
WGUS53 KLMK 200956
FFWLMK
INC025-061-117-123-175-201300-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150620T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
556 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  NORTHERN HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  NORTHERN PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 900 AM EDT/800 AM CDT/

* AT 545 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED  
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL    
OVER THE WARNED AREA. BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES HAS FALLEN...ON TOP     
OF SATURATED GROUND. TWO ROADS WERE REPORTED CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING 
IN ORANGE COUNTY.  ALSO BECKS MILL ROAD HAD HIGH WATER ON IT IN 
WASHINGTON COUNTY.  AREAS OF FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO 
DEVELOP AS STEADY RAINS...HEAVY AT TIMES...CONTINUE.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...CORYDON...ENGLISH...SALEM...PAOLI...

  IN ADDITION...BROWNSTOWN...HANCOCK CHAPEL AND PUMPKIN CENTER ARE
  INCLUDED IN THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING.

  FLASH FLOOD PRONE AREA IN THIS WARNING...
  INTERSECTION OF APPLE LANE AND KINGS LANE OVERFLOWS DUE TO LOW
  LYING AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN 
THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

REPORT FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3876 8590 3855 8585 3850 8589 3849 8599
      3842 8603 3833 8603 3827 8597 3819 8603
      3813 8627 3820 8637 3815 8632 3810 8647
      3809 8645 3801 8680 3825 8679 3825 8668
      3869 8669 3869 8632 3876 8629 3878 8620

$$

AMS

378 
WGUS73 KLMK 201258
FFSLMK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
858 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

INC025-061-117-123-175-201308-
/O.EXP.KLMK.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150620T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON IN-PERRY IN-ORANGE IN-HARRISON IN-CRAWFORD IN-
858 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 900 AM EDT/800 AM CDT/ FOR
CRAWFORD...NORTHERN HARRISON...ORANGE...NORTHERN PERRY AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...

THE SHOWERS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

REPORT FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

LAT...LON 3876 8590 3855 8585 3850 8589 3849 8599
      3842 8603 3833 8603 3827 8597 3819 8603
      3813 8627 3820 8637 3815 8632 3810 8647
      3809 8645 3801 8680 3825 8679 3825 8668
      3869 8669 3869 8632 3876 8629 3878 8620

$$

RJS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1247 AM EDT Sat Jun 20 2015

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

...Forecast Update...
Updated at 1159 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2015

Feeder bands ahead of Bill are spiraling through the Bluegrass
region late this evening and will push out of the forecast area in
the next couple of hours. A bit of a lull lies along the I-65
corridor while steadier rain lies closer to the surface low to our
west. As the low level jet ramps up, anomalously high moisture will
impinge on a east/west boundary to our north, and this should result
in more widespread convection across our western and northern areas.
Rainfall rates are quite impressive given the tropical environment
and with some areas having a low flash flood guidance already, flash
flooding is the main concern for the overnight period.

Updated at 605 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2015

Convection continues to move slowly across the region this
afternoon.  Storms are generally concentrated into two areas...one
over near the Lexington Metro and the other over near the Louisville
Metro area.  The storms over near Lexington are strong, producing
torrential rainfall, gusty winds and frequent lightning.  The slow
movement may result in some flooding issues.  A flood advisory was
just issued for that area.

Second area of convection is over along the I-65 corridor and points
west.  Arcing band of convection will impact the Louisville area
shortly producing a brief period of torrential downpours and gusty
winds.

Storms out to the west of Louisville have been exhibiting rotation.
These storms are interacting with an east-west boundary that is
helping increase the SR Helicity.  Additional storms across Hancock
and Breckinridge are moving north and may start to rotate a bit more
once they cross the boundary which is lying across Perry and
Crawford counties in southern Indiana.  This area appears to be the
area at most risk for tornadoes over the next few hours.

Current thinking is that once we loose the heating of day toward
sunset, we'll transition from a severe weather threat to more of a
heavy rain/flood threat.

.SHORT TERM (Now through Saturday Night)...
Updated at 310 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2015

...Flash Flood Watch for Southern Indiana and Central Kentucky
Continues through Saturday...

In the short term, the remnants of tropical Cyclone Bill are
currently centered over southeastern MO.  Widespread cloudiness out
ahead of Bill has kept temperatures down below convective
thresholds.  However, skies have started to scour out and
differential heating combined with a moisture rich atmosphere has
led to convection developing.  The convection is rather disorganized
over central KY...mainly in just clusters.  More organization was
noted out over western KY and central TN where convective bands were
observed.  For the remainder of the afternoon, we expect convection
to become more widespread.  DCAPE values and microburst indices are
significantly lower than what we saw yesterday afternoon owing to
the lack of insolation of today.  Nonetheless, torrential rainfall
and gusty winds along with lightning will be the main weather
hazards.  Afternoon highs will top out in the mid-upper 80s in the
next hour or so with temperatures falling back into the upper 70s
and lower 80s this evening.

Convective coverage will increase tonight and continue through
Saturday morning as the actual remnants of Bill push eastward
through the region.  Utilizing an ensemble approach of the current
models, a general west to east motion is expected with Bill passing
through overnight.  While overall convective coverage will increase
tonight, the lack of instability will likely keep the threat of
thunderstorms more isolated to scattered.  However, high PWAT values
and deep warm cloud depths will allow storms to be effectiveness
rain producers.  Torrential rainfall and gusty winds will be the
primary threats.  With the actual low passing through the region, an
increase in low-level wind shear may provide an environment
favorable for a few isolated spin up tornadoes within the convective
bands...though the overall probabilities of tornado production are
rather low...but non-zero.  In general, we have bumped PoPs up to
100% for tonight as all locations should see rainfall.  Lows tonight
and Saturday night will be mild with readings only cooling into the
lower 70s.  Highs Saturday will be limited to the lower-middle 80s.

With regards to rainfall amounts, a widespread swatch of 2-3 inches
of rainfall is expected across the region.  Placing the heaviest
axis of rainfall is difficult, but the multi-model consensus
suggests somewhere from around Paducah to E-town to Richmond.
Isolated higher amounts of 3+ inches will be possible in some
isolated areas.  The area at most risk for flash flooding would be
across southern Indiana and that part of KY north of I-64 where
heavy convection dropped quite a bit of rainfall Thursday afternoon
and early this morning.  For this reason, the Flood Watch will
remain in effect through Saturday afternoon.

.LONG TERM (Sunday through Friday)...
Issued at 330 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2015

The synoptic pattern at the start of the long term period will
feature a ridge across much of the southern CONUS, which will slowly
build east/northeast into at least southern KY through the middle of
next week.

Above average uncertainty exists through much of the long term
period as the Ohio Valley will be on the periphery of the building
upper-level ridge across the southern CONUS.  Guidance is in a bit
of disagreement as to how far north this ridge will build, and the
strength/timing of individual waves sliding around this ridge in the
northwest flow aloft.

Forecast confidence is highest on Sunday afternoon into early Sunday
night.  Guidance suggests a PV anomaly will slide southeast through
the northwest flow aloft.  In response, a surface low will push
through the Great Lakes, dragging an associated cold front southeast
into central/southern IN.  Surface convergence along this front
coupled with ascent from the passing PV anomaly should be enough to
fire convection across portions of central/southern IN Sunday
afternoon, perhaps pushing into portions of northern KY by Sunday
evening.  The one limiting factor will be a decent cap which should
limit convection initially, but the overall consensus in the
guidance is that strong heating and the incoming forcing should
erode this cap by the afternoon hours.  Initially, storms could be
multicells/transient supercells given 30-40 knots of deep-layer
shear coupled with the strong instability (3000+ J/kg of MLCAPE).
However, this convection will likely merge into line segments by the
evening.  This means a hail threat initially may likely transition
to more of a wind threat with time as 0-3km shear vectors (oriented
mainly WNW to ESE) around 30 knots suggest line segments should be
able to keep upright convection along their cold pools.

Forecast confidence decreases by Monday through the end of next week
as guidance differs on the timing/strength of each wave riding the
periphery of the building ridge.  For now, will go with a general
blend of the 19/12Z GEFS and the 19/12Z ECMWF solutions.  This
places the highest chances for precipitation mainly across the
northeast half of the CWA through much of the week, with lower
chances across southern KY where subsidence from the ridge will
likely win out.  Any complex of storms will likely be on the
periphery of stronger mid-level flow, so these could be
strong/severe depending on the exact timing.

In areas where it doesn't rain, temperatures will
be quite hot!  Highs in the middle 90s look increasingly likely for
many areas in KY next week, which coupled with dewpoints in the 70s,
will bring heat indices above 100 degrees at times.  Heat advisories
could be needed for some areas next week given this expected
airmass, so stay tuned!

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2015

The remnants of tropical cyclone Bill will move toward the region
this afternoon and then pass through the region tonight and
Saturday.  Spiral bands of convection will continue to develop
across the region this afternoon with the highest chances of
rainfall out across the western and southern areas.

Latest guidance has not really changed all that much with the QPF.
Currently we are not sticking to one particular deterministic model,
but rather utilizing the ensembles here.  That being said, a swatch
of 2 to 3 inches of rain looks very likely across much of southern
Indiana and central Kentucky.  Some isolated 3+ inch amounts will be
possible.  The axis of heaviest QPF still looks to be along and just
south of the Ohio River...roughly from Paducah to E-town to Richmond.

Flash flood guidance has come up slightly over the region.  Our
southern Indiana counties and far northern KY counties (along and
north of the I-64 corridor) are at most risk for flash flooding due
to heavy rainfall over the past few days.  Further south, like in
areas south of the BG and WKY Parkways, flash flood guidance values
are higher.

The current flood watch will remain in effect and no changes to the
area are expected.  Initial thoughts were that if significant
rainfall developed across southern KY today, that we might of needed
to expand it south.  The cloud cover has kept convection more
suppressed early this afternoon, but breaks in the cloud cover will
allow convection across TN to grow upscale and affect this region
later today.  Given the higher flash flood guidance across the south
and the initial lack of rainfall, no southward expansion is required
at this time.

Nevertheless, rain bands from Bill's remnants will affect the region
tonight and Saturday with periods of torrential rainfall.  This may
result in localized flood issues in some areas along with rises on
area creeks and streams.  Current deterministic and ensemble river
model guidance continues does not indicate the potential for
widespread river flooding.
&&

.AVIATION (06Z TAF Update)...
Updated at 1245 AM EDT Sat Jun 20 2015

Bill's circulation will pass over the TAF sites between 10-14z this
morning. Plan on east to southeast flow to become southerly through
10z, then turn southwesterly as the low passes. Spiral bands of
showers/storms will affect all sites, producing intermittent MVFR
restrictions. Low ceilings near the core of the system look to pass
over the sites around dawn, lasting through mid morning. Upstream
observations show this to be a mix of IFR and low-end MVFR. Time of
day /early morning/ suggests IFR more probable, so will introduce a
period of IFR ceilings at all sites.

Much improved conditions are expected by mid-day to early afternoon
as the system quickly pushes to the east and mid-level dry air works
in from the west. Precipitation should be over by 18-20z, last at
LEX, and low clouds will lift and possibly even scatter out by 21z.
Winds will remain elevated just off the surface late tonight and
Sunday morning, which should preclude fog formation.

Forecast Confidence
======================
Ceilings:   Medium
Visibility: Medium
Winds:      High
Tstorm:     Medium/High

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late tonight FOR KYZ023>043-045>049-
     053>057-066-067.

IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late tonight FOR INZ076>079-083-084-
     089>092.

&&

Update.........ZT
Short Term.....MJ
Long Term......KJD
Hydrology......MJ
Aviation.......ZT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
341 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-066-067-201945-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-
NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-
LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-CASEY KY-
LINCOLN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND...LIBERTY...STANFORD
341 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 /241 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL APPROACHES THE REGION.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. WITH THE REMNANTS OF BILL APPROACHING
THE AREA ...LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR VALUES WILL INCREASE AND AN
ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH ANY STRONG STORMS
THAT DEVELOP.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AT TIMES
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. SEE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SATURDAY THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WILL BRING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE OHIO VALLEY. LOCALIZED
FLOODING MAY BECOME A PROBLEM SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WITH LOCALLY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MOVES
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. GUSTY WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR
TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE.

ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. STORMS ON SUNDAY MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY.
STRONG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.

HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RETURN TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK POSSIBLY BRINGING
HEAT INDICES IN EXCESS OF 100 DEGREES AT TIMES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY STRONG WINDS OR FLOODING
THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

KYZ061>065-070>078-081-082-201945-
BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-
SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-
RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...
FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...
COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
341 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 /241 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL APPROACHES THE REGION.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SATURDAY THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WILL BRING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE OHIO VALLEY. LOCALIZED
FLOODING MAY BECOME A PROBLEM SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WITH LOCALLY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MOVES
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

OTHER ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STORMS ON SUNDAY MAY BECOME STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING BEING THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE
STORMS.

HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RETURN TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK POSSIBLY BRINGING
HEAT INDICES IN EXCESS OF 100 BY MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY STRONG WINDS OR FLOODING
THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

MJ/KD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1032 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

KYZ029>031-033>036-038>041-047-048-055-200315-
ANDERSON KY-BOYLE KY-BULLITT KY-FAYETTE KY-FRANKLIN KY-HENRY
KY-JEFFERSON KY-JESSAMINE KY-MERCER KY-OLDHAM KY-SCOTT KY-SHELBY
KY-SPENCER KY-WOODFORD KY-
1032 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 1030 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES WEST OF
TAYLORSVILLE TO LAWRENCEBURG TO DANVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  GEORGETOWN...
  LEXINGTON...
  FAYETTE MALL...
  U K ARBORETUM...
  DUNBAR HIGH SCHOOL...
  WILSONVILLE AND ROUTT...
  L S PARK AND FISHERVILLE...
  MONTCLAIR AND SIMPSONVILLE...
  TODDS POINT AND CAPITAL CITY AIRPORT...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 28 AND 75.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 75 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 115 AND 120.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 18 AND 22.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT THE BLUEGRASS PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
59 AND 72.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3779 8467 3783 8468 3782 8471 3776 8470
      3761 8484 3793 8501 3794 8516 3797 8517
      3795 8528 3797 8547 3799 8549 3798 8556
      3841 8543 3838 8489 3834 8479 3837 8471
      3837 8463 3803 8444
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 214DEG 33KT 3806 8544 3801 8494
          3768 8484

AMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
942 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

KYZ077-078-081-082-200330-
ADAIR KY-CLINTON KY-CUMBERLAND KY-RUSSELL KY-
942 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 939 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BURKESVILLE TO
BYRDSTOWN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  JAMESTOWN...
  BURKESVILLE...
  ALBANY...
  WILLIS CREEK AND UPCHURCH...
  INROAD AND CHANCE...
  GLENS FORK AND FAIRPLAY...
  JOPPA AND SEWELLTON...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3662 8531 3685 8547 3719 8511 3698 8486
      3695 8490 3696 8494 3692 8495 3686 8506
      3683 8506 3680 8501 3676 8500 3670 8502
      3668 8500 3662 8499 3661 8502
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 219DEG 31KT 3687 8535 3665 8512

AMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1046 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

KYZ028-029-045-046-053-054-064>066-077-200330-
ADAIR KY-BULLITT KY-CASEY KY-GREEN KY-HARDIN KY-LARUE KY-MARION
KY-NELSON KY-TAYLOR KY-WASHINGTON KY-
1046 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 944 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ELIZABETHTOWN TO 10
MILES NORTHWEST OF CAMPBELLSVILLE TO COLUMBIA...AND MOVING NORTH AT
50 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  SPRINGFIELD...
  LEBANON...
  HODGENVILLE...
  COLUMBIA...
  CAMPBELLSVILLE...
  COLESBURG AND WILLOWTOWN...
  BOOTH AND LEBANON JUNCTION...
  BELMONT AND SAINT FRANCIS...
  BARDSTOWN JUNCTION AND RHEBER...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 105 AND 114.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT THE BLUEGRASS PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
10 AND 34.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3796 8572 3792 8527 3732 8495 3695 8534
      3734 8553 3762 8587
TIME...MOT...LOC 0246Z 197DEG 42KT 3767 8578 3743 8549
          3707 8527

AMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

KYZ031>033-200325-
HENRY KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 1102 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEW CASTLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  NEW CASTLE...
  BEDFORD...
  DELVILLE AND CAMPBELLSBURG...
  LACIE AND DRENNON SPRINGS...
  PORT ROYAL...

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
28 AND 35.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3866 8525 3859 8521 3860 8508 3857 8507
      3857 8501 3855 8500 3851 8502 3852 8498
      3849 8499 3846 8494 3847 8492 3845 8490
      3844 8492 3842 8488 3839 8489 3841 8542
      3868 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 0304Z 204DEG 23KT 3846 8515

AMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1116 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

KYZ035>037-040>042-048-200400-
BOURBON KY-FAYETTE KY-FRANKLIN KY-HARRISON KY-JESSAMINE KY-SCOTT
KY-WOODFORD KY-
1116 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...

AT 1113 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
FRANKFORT TO GEORGETOWN TO DUNBAR HIGH SCHOOL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  GEORGETOWN...
  LEXINGTON...
  FAYETTE MALL...
  U K ARBORETUM...
  DUNBAR HIGH SCHOOL...
  MOON LAKE ESTATES AND SPINDLETOP ESTATES...
  MALLARD POINT AND CLABBER BOTTOM...
  PORTER AND MUDDY FORD...
  FENWICK AND ELMENDORF...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 60 AND 81.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 75 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 110 AND 136.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

&&

LAT...LON 3790 8465 3811 8472 3833 8492 3836 8490
      3835 8488 3836 8486 3834 8479 3835 8475
      3850 8456 3852 8449 3854 8448 3848 8436
      3809 8429
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 213DEG 25KT 3832 8480 3821 8459
          3800 8457

AMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1155 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

KYZ036-037-042-200425-
BOURBON KY-HARRISON KY-SCOTT KY-
1155 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...

AT 1154 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CYNTHIANA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  CYNTHIANA...
  ROBINSON AND BERRY...
  KELAT AND BOYD...
  ANTIOCH AND SUNRISE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

&&

LAT...LON 3821 8439 3839 8451 3854 8448 3854 8444
      3857 8441 3858 8421 3857 8419 3856 8420
      3855 8416 3851 8418 3850 8416 3848 8415
      3847 8410
TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 207DEG 29KT 3843 8436

AMS