Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Elko, NV

711 
WWUS55 KLKN 142211
SVSLKN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
311 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 2015

NVC007-142230-
/O.CON.KLKN.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-150814T2230Z/
ELKO NV-
311 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM PDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY...

AT 310 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JACKPOT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY...NORTHEAST OF JACKPOT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.  MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4176 11404 4165 11439 4182 11465 4193 11458
      4181 11404
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 241DEG 29KT 4183 11439 

$$

LW

505 
WWUS55 KLKN 142230
SVSLKN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV 329 PM PDT 
FRI AUG 14 2015

NVC007-142239-
/O.EXP.KLKN.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-150814T2230Z/
ELKO NV-
330 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 330 PM PDT...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND 
IS MOVING INTO UTAH AND IDAHO. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED 
TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4176 11404 4165 11439 4182 11465 4193 11458
      4181 11404
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 241DEG 29KT 4183 11439 

$$

LW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
207 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL FIRE ANOTHER ROUND CONVECTION
TODAY BEFORE DRIER AIR ADVECTS IN AND PROVIDE MORE TRANQUIL
WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND. COOLER TEMPS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK AS A
COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH ON TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. A 572DM 500MB LOW
CENTERED OVER THE ORGAN COASTLINE IS BEGINNING TO ADVECT A MUCH
DRIER AIRMASS EASTWARD INTO WESTERN NV. AHEAD OF IT...OVER
EASTERN 1/2 OF OUR CWA..A SUBTROPICAL AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE
WITH UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S DEWPTS FAIRLY COMMON. WITH THE POLAR
JET STREAM (90+KT JET MAX) MOVING INTO WESTERN NV...EXPECT FAIRLY
ROBUST CONVECTION (RADAR ALREADY SHOWS THIS) EAST OF LINE FROM
BATTLE MTN TO TONOPAH. WITH DECENT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR... SURFACE
BASED CAPE...AND SFC/3KM HELICITY...ISOLATED STRONG TO SVR TS ARE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NV THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL LOOKS LIMITED GIVEN AN
INCREASE IN STORM MOTION; HOWEVER...CLOSER TO THE NV/UT BORDER
WHERE STORM MOTION IS SLIGHTLY LESS...THIS THREAT STILL REMAINS.
BY TONIGHT...AS THE 500MB LOW FILLS AND LIFTS NE INTO
WASHINGTON..THE DRY LINE WILL PUSH INTO EASTERN NV...ENDING THE
THREAT CONVECTION FAIRLY QUICKLY WITH ONLY REDEVELOPMENT TOMORROW
IN WHITE PINE COUNTY AND POSSIBLY NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY. BY
SUNDAY...WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE CWA
DRY.

AS FOR WINDS... ENTIRE CWA WILL EXPERIENCE WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY
WITH POPULATION CENTERS HITTING 25-30KT GUSTS. WINDS RELAX ON
SATURDAY WITH EXCEPTION OF NORTHEASTERN NYE AND WHITE PINE
COUNTIES WHERE THE DRIER AIR MASS WILL STILL BE PUSHING THROUGH.
WINDS FOR THE ENTIRE AREA REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT ON SUNDAY.

AS FOR TEMPS...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS...EXPECT WARM CONDITIONS
TODAY (90S) WITH A SLIGHT DROP IN HIGH TEMPS TOMORROW. NEAR
AVERAGE HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RETURN
TO MORE AVERAGE VALUES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNINGS.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. WILL HOLD ONTO THE
NOTION OF A DRY FORECAST DURING THIS PERIOD. THE MODELS ARE PRETTY
MUCH IN AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...A LITTLE BETTER THAN
MODEL RUNS OF 24 HOURS AGO. HOWEVER THERE WERE SOME NOTABLE PATTERN
DIFFERENCES ON THE LATEST RUN.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED SOUTH OF LAS VEGAS WILL BE IMPACTED AND FURTHER FLATTENED BY
AN INCOMING TROUGH DROPPING DOWN FROM NORTHWEST CANADA. THIS TROUGH
IS PERCEIVED TO BE A LITTLE FURTHER WEST ON THE ECMWF MODEL RUN AND
COULD POSSIBLY GENERATE SOME HIGH ELEVATION PRECIPITATION TO THE
MOUNTAINS AS IT QUICKLY CLIPS NORTHEAST ELKO COUNTY MONDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER AS MENTIONED EARLIER...WILL LEAVE DRY FOR NOW SINCE THE RISK
IS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. AS A PACIFIC RIDGE TRIES TO GAIN
A FOOTHOLD...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE GREAT BASIN IS ELUDING
CONSISTENT MODEL RESOLVE AT THIS TIME. THE LKN CWA COULD BE UNDER
A WEAK RIDGE OR A MILD TROUGH. EITHER WAY IT APPEARS DRY AND WOULD
MAINLY MEAN THE DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S OR KICKING
BACK UP INTO THE 90S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TODAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE STRONGEST EAST OF A LINE RUNNING FROM NEAR EUREKA THROUGH
ELKO...THUS IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED AT KEKO AND KELY. STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL COULD RESULT FROM THE
STRONGEST STORMS. SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE MUCH
REDUCED HOWEVER KELY MAY BE IMPACTED IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MAIN CONCERN FOR THE NEAR TERM IS CONVECTION IN
469...EASTERN 454 AND 457. STORM MOTION IS EXPECTED AT OR ABOVE
20KTS IN THESE AREAS SO WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL IS PRETTY LOW...IN
ADDITION TO DRIER AIR ADVECTING IN FROM THE WEST. THUNDERSTORMS
OVER 470 AND 455 SHOULD REMAIN WET. THE OTHER AREA OF CONCERN IS A
HOLD OVER THREAT IN 468 GIVEN THE LIGHTNING COVERAGE
YESTERDAY...ALTHOUGH THE FUELS ARE DEEMED NOT CRITICAL. ALL AREAS
WILL EXPERIENCE GUSTY WINDS TODAY WITH GUSTS AT THE HIGHEST PEAKS
EXCEEDING 40KT AT TIMES. RH VALUES DROP QUICKLY IN WESTERN AREAS
AS THE ABOVE MENTION DRIER ADVECTS IN. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS
ONLY EXPECTED IN 455 TOMORROW AND ISOLATED AT THAT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

85/92/92/85