Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1238 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.AVIATION...
AN AREA OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO PUSH
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL...THE
AREA WAS DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT WITH THE BACK EDGE HAVING NOW
PUSHED THROUGH KHUM AND KBTR. SOME NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WAS
BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AREA. OCCASIONAL
MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AT ALL OF
THE TERMINALS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KBTR AND KHUM WHERE GENERALLY
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST. SOME LOW CEILINGS AND AREAS OF FOG
OVERNIGHT WILL AGAIN LEAD TO MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS AT MOST OF THE
TAF SITES. MORE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING. 11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  84  70  83  70 /  90  80  70  50
BTR  84  71  85  70 /  90  80  70  50
ASD  84  72  84  70 /  90  80  70  50
MSY  83  74  84  73 /  90  80  70  50
GPT  83  73  82  72 /  90  80  80  60
PQL  83  71  82  72 /  90  80  80  60

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ555-557-
     575-577.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ557-575-
     577.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1100 AM CDT SUN SEP 27 2015

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-280000-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1100 AM CDT SUN SEP 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND A FEW COULD BE STRONG TO
SEVERE...PRIMARILY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WHERE
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE MAIN THREATS FROM
ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A BRIEF
TORNADO. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AND
COULD LEAD TO SOME MINOR FLOODING ISSUES.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM FOR THE COASTAL
WATERS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...EXCLUDING THE SOUNDS. EAST
WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS AND ROUGH SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH A FEW POSSIBLY BECOMING STRONG. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE THE MAIN THREAT ALONG WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS...INCREASING SEAS AND PERSISTENT EASTERLY WINDS WILL
LEAD TO ROUGH CONDITIONS AND POTENTIALLY HIGHER TIDE LEVELS ALONG
THE COASTLINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.