River Flood Warning 98, NWS Lake Charles, LA

239 
WGUS84 KLCH 080125
FLSLCH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Texas...

  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin 
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder 
  Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier 
  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine 
  Sabine River Near Deweyville 
  Neches River Near Beaumont 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Texas..
  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora 
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay 
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau 
  Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro 
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage 
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake 

LAC079-081525-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLML1.3.ER.151101T1037Z.151103T0945Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River Near Glenmora.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:45 PM Saturday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet by 
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 15.0 feet...Flooding of secondary roads 
  near the river and its tributaries begins, including Ashmore Road. 
  Strothers Crossing Road near Calcasieu and Price Crossing Road near
  Hineston have several feet of water over them and subject to 
  washouts.
* Impact...At stages near 14.0 feet...Some roads upstream from 
  Glenmora, including Strothers Crossing Road near the community of 
  Calcasieu and Price Crossing Road near Hineston have two to three 
  feet of water over the road and are subject to being closed. 
  Flooding of forested areas near the river will also occur.
* Impact...At stages near 12.0 feet...When the river is rising and 
  the gauge reading is forecast to reach 12 feet or higher. Roads 
  upstream from Glenmora, including Strothers Crossing Road near the 
  community of Calcasieu and Price Crossing Road near Hineston have 
  water on them and are subject to being closed. Also, flooding of 
  forested areas near the river will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3113 9279 3090 9269 3090 9262 3105 9265 3115 9275

$$

LAC003-081524-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OBCL1.3.ER.151105T0043Z.151106T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Calcasieu River Near Oberlin.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 14.2 feet 
  by Monday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding will occur 
  with several access roads to the river flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 13.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding near 
  the river will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3077 9273 3071 9283 3058 9289 3058 9277 3078 9267

$$

LAC003-053-081524-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-151111T0900Z/
/KDRL1.1.ER.151105T0618Z.151107T1400Z.151110T2100Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River Near Kinder.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At stages near 18.0 feet...If gage reading at Kinder 
  reaches 18 feet, flooding begins to cut off some of the roads 
  around Topsy in Northwest Jefferson Davis Parish.
* Impact...At stages near 16.0 feet...Flooding of wooded areas near 
  the river will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3058 9290 3035 9318 3033 9309 3045 9293 3059 9277

$$

LAC019-081524-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTBL1.2.ET.151031T0538Z.151109T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:00 PM Saturday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 6.0 feet by 
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 6.0 feet...Goos Ferry Road becomes 
  impassable.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Water over lowest portions of 
  Goos Ferry Road. Cars should be moved to higher ground.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Goos Ferry 
  Road will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots 
  along Goos Ferry Road will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3030 9329 3019 9321 3025 9308 3031 9303 3038 9314

$$

LAC019-081524-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-151113T0000Z/
/LCHL1.1.WT.151031T0352Z.151101T0800Z.151112T1200Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier.
* until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 2.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 4.5 feet by Tuesday morning.The river will
  fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...River Road in North Lake 
  Charles and Mims Road in Westlake are flooded. Extensive marshland 
  flooding will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 4.5 feet...Water covers portions of River 
  Road in north Lake Charles.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor marshland flooding 
  occurs. Flooding also begins on River Road in north Lake Charles.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3035 9332 3017 9335 3014 9328 3029 9303 3036 9309

$$

LAC001-053-113-081524-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRML1.1.ER.151108T0046Z.151110T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mermentau River Near Mermentau.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 4.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding near the
  river will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3025 9266 3004 9276 3004 9260 3019 9254 3024 9255

$$

LAC055-097-099-081524-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-151108T1800Z/
/BVCL1.1.ER.151107T1500Z.151108T0000Z.151108T0600Z.UU/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage  
  after midnight tomorrow.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3026 9200 3028 9193 3031 9194 3032 9189
      3046 9198 3046 9201

$$

LAC055-113-081524-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-151112T0000Z/
/VLSL1.1.ER.151107T1934Z.151108T0600Z.151111T1200Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.3 feet 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 11.5 feet...Minor flooding of Beaver Park 
  and Vermilionville near the river will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 10.0 feet...Minor flooding of Heymann Park
  off of Highway 90 will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3031 9204 3000 9227 2987 9219 2988 9206
      3022 9190 3031 9191

$$

LAC115-081524-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0098.151108T1606Z-151110T1800Z/
/RPIL1.1.ER.151108T1606Z.151109T0600Z.151110T0600Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine.
* from Sunday morning to Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:45 PM Saturday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late morning tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 19.1 feet by early Monday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 17.0 feet...Minor flooding of agricultural
  and forested areas near the bayou will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3109 9341 3091 9356 3083 9358 3088 9333 3103 9327

$$

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-081524-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-151112T0000Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.151031T1642Z.151105T0500Z.151111T1200Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:45 PM Saturday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Lowest roads beside the river 
  flood around Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition, 
  low-lying roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded 
  including Robert Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of 
  Niblett Bluff Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around 
  the park. Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will 
  occur.
* Impact...At stages near 23.0 feet...The river is at bankfull 
  stage.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3061 9376 3031 9381 3008 9378 3005 9367
      3044 9364 3057 9363

$$

TXC245-361-081524-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-151110T0900Z/
/BEAT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151105T1400Z.151109T0900Z.NO/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Neches River Near Beaumont.
* until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Beaumont 
  Country Club and Colliers Ferry Park can be expected. Also flooding
  in Northwest Orange County south of River Oaks to Bunns Bluff can 
  be expected. Water may go over Four Oaks Ranch Road in Northwest 
  Orange County.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3019 9417 3023 9411 3004 9378 2992 9387 2998 9406

$$

TXC199-245-081524-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SOLT2.3.ER.151028T1444Z.151104T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
725 PM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:45 PM Saturday the stage was 28.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 28.2 feet 
  by Monday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding will
  occur. Water covers roads in Bevil Oaks.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Water inundates roads in 
  lowland areas near the river. Low spots on Old Sour Lake Road are 
  under water.
* Impact...At stages near 22.0 feet...River is at bankfull stage.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3012 9445 3024 9423 3021 9407 3013 9406 3004 9445

$$

600 
WGUS84 KLCH 081348
FLSLCH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 
748 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Texas...

  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine 
  Sabine River Near Deweyville 

LAC115-090348-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0098.151109T0130Z-151111T0712Z/
/RPIL1.1.ER.151109T0130Z.151109T1800Z.151110T1912Z.NO/
748 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine.
* from this evening to late Tuesday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:45 AM Sunday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The bayou will rise above flood stage by this evening 
  and continue to rise to near 19.1 feet by early Monday afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At stages near 17.0 feet...Minor flooding of agricultural
  and forested areas near the bayou will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3109 9341 3091 9356 3083 9358 3088 9333 3103 9327

$$

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-090348-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.151031T1642Z.151105T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
748 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:45 AM Sunday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to near 24.3 feet by Monday evening
  then begin rising to near 24.7 feet by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Lowest roads beside the river 
  flood around Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition, 
  low-lying roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded 
  including Robert Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of 
  Niblett Bluff Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around 
  the park. Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will 
  occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3061 9376 3031 9381 3008 9378 3005 9367
      3044 9364 3057 9363

$$

491 
WGUS84 KLCH 090121
FLSLCH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 
721 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Texas..
  Sabine River Near Deweyville 
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake 

LAC115-091521-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0098.151109T1800Z-151110T0600Z/
/RPIL1.1.ER.151109T1800Z.151109T1800Z.151109T1800Z.NO/
721 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine.
* from Monday afternoon to late Monday night...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At stages near 17.0 feet...Minor flooding of agricultural
  and forested areas near the bayou will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3109 9341 3091 9356 3083 9358 3088 9333 3103 9327

$$

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-091521-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.151031T1642Z.151105T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
721 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will begin slowly rising Monday...cresting 
  near 24.7 feet by Wednesday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Lowest roads beside the river 
  flood around Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition, 
  low-lying roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded 
  including Robert Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of 
  Niblett Bluff Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around 
  the park. Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will 
  occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3061 9376 3031 9381 3008 9378 3005 9367
      3044 9364 3057 9363

$$

TXC199-245-091521-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SOLT2.3.ER.151028T1444Z.151104T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
721 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:45 PM Sunday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 27.8 feet 
  by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Water inundates roads in 
  lowland areas near the river. Low spots on Old Sour Lake Road are 
  under water.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3012 9445 3024 9423 3021 9407 3013 9406 3004 9445

$$

807 
WGUS84 KLCH 091454
FLSLCH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 
854 AM CST MON NOV 9 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Texas...

  Sabine River Near Deweyville 

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-100454-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-151114T1200Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.151031T1642Z.151105T0500Z.151114T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:45 AM Monday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by 
  Wednesday early afternoon then fall below to flood stage by 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Lowest roads beside the river 
  flood around Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition, 
  low-lying roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded 
  including Robert Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of 
  Niblett Bluff Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around 
  the park. Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will 
  occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3061 9376 3031 9381 3008 9378 3005 9367
      3044 9364 3057 9363

$$

LAC115-091524-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-151110T0600Z/
/RPIL1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine.
* At  7:45 AM Monday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The bayou will crest below flood stage at 16.4 feet
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At stages near 17.0 feet...Minor flooding of agricultural
  and forested areas near the bayou will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3109 9341 3091 9356 3083 9358 3088 9333 3103 9327

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1157 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

.AVIATION...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT IS PUSHING THROUGH A MOIST
TROPICAL AIRMASS. ISENTROPIC LIFTING IS RESULTING IN IFR
CONDITIONS AND RAIN OVER THE TERMINALS AS WELL AS GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS. A FEW EMBEDDED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL WINDS AROUND THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS. GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT TNITE WITH RAIN TAPERING OFF AND CIGS LIFTING TO MVFR.
VFR CIGS ARE INDICATED FOR AEX LATE TNITE AND THE REMAINDER OF THE
TERMINALS SUNDAY MORNING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1027 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPDATED MOST FIRST PERIOD GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATIONAL AND
MODEL DATA. WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY CURRENTLY OVER THE NW HALF
OR SO OF THE FCST AREA...WITH SHOWERS BECOMING MORE SCATTERED IN
NATURE FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST. RAINFALL TOTALS ARE GENERALLY
MANAGEABLE...THOUGH A FEW SPOTS ARE SEEING ENHANCED TOTALS EITHER
DUE TO BANDING OR CELL TRAINING. BULK OF RAIN SHOULD TEND TO SHIFT
EAST/SOUTHEAST WITH TIME...WITH THE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SERVING AS A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR LOCALLY HIGHER
RAINFALL AMTS.

WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WERE BOOSTED A BIT BASED ON CURRENT OBS...AND
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES/PARISHES.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 556 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015/

AVIATION...
A WEAK BOUNDARY IS DRAPED OVER COASTAL SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA THIS MORNING. RAINS... CLOUDS... AND FOG
CONTINUE TO RESTRICT VSBY AND CEILINGS OVER THE REGION WITH
RAINS NOTED AT BPT AROUND LCH AND AEX. LFT AND ARA ARE GETTING A
BREAK FROM STORM ACTIVITY THIS AM. IFR TO MVFR FOR CEILINGS WITH
VSBY. VSBY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE ONE MILE OUTSIDE FOR
SHOWER/RAIN ACTIVITY. THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
THE AFTERNOON BEFORE BREAKING LATE IN THE DAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SLOW MOVING COOL FRONT CURRENTLY LAYING WEST TO EAST JUST NORTH
OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT HAS BEEN
SAGGING SOUTHWARD AND WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE INTO THE COASTAL
WATERS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. RAINS OVERNIGHT
HAVE BEEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE EASTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA WITH
FLASH FLOOD RAINS HAVING OCCURRED ACROSS NORTHWEST ST MARTIN
PARISH...NORTHWEST IBERIA PARISH AND SOUTHEAST ST LANDRY PARISH.
RAPIDES PARISH ALSO SOME MINOR FLOODING.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN VERY HIGH THIS MORNING WITH TWO
TO THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE NORMAL IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FRONT. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS SHALLOW AND THEREFORE WE
EXPECT A LARGE RAIN SHIELD TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AS WARM
MOIST AIR OVERRUNS THE SHALLOW COOL FRONT. UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IMPULSES OF
ENERGY ACROSS THE REGION PRIMING THE ENVIRONMENT FOR ADDITIONAL
RAINS TODAY AND CONTINUING IN THE EVENING BEFORE DRY AIR FINALLY
SWEEPS FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY MORNING.

THE AREA WILL LIKELY STILL SEE ANYWHERE FROM 1/2 INCH TO 1 1/2 INCHES
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE ARE MANAGEABLE RAIN AMOUNTS WITH A FEW
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS STILL POSSIBLE WHERE TRAINING OF CELLS TAKE
PLACE.

SOME SEA FOG REPORTED ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS HAS BEGUN TO LIFT AND
SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE AS NORTHERLY FLOW BEGINS TO INCREASE
ACROSS THE INTERIOR COASTAL WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE
IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 18Z THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AS NORTHERLY WINDS
TIGHTEN AND THEN LOOSEN UP SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION SUNDAY AND RIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES. A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS
ON TUESDAY MARKS THE CHANGE OF STABLE CONDITIONS TO UNSTABLE
WEATHER AS THE NEXT FRONT ENTERS THE AREA BY MIDWEEK BRINGING MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CLEARING AND DRYING WILL MARK THE END
OF THE WEEK FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

MARINE...
PATCHY FOG WILL LIFT THIS MORNING AS MIXING AND NORTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BEGIN AROUND 18Z TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY 18Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  68  51  61  49 / 100  40  20  10
LCH  74  56  64  51 /  90  40  20  10
LFT  76  57  65  54 /  90  50  20  10
BPT  74  56  65  52 /  90  40  20  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CST SUNDAY FOR GMZ450-452-455-
     470-472-475.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GMZ430-
     432-435.

&&

AVIATION...11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
518 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

GMZ430-432-435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-
216-259>262-081130-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
518 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...EAST CENTRAL TEXAS
AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING SHALLOW COOL FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY. SIGNIFICANT OVERRUNNING OF MOISTURE WILL RESULT
IN A VARIETY OF RAIN...SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THAT
WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RUN
1/2 TO 1 1/2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED 3 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE STORMS
TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY BRINGING AN END
TO THE POST FRONTAL RAINS. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN EARLY TUESDAY
SETTING THE STAGE FOR THE NEXT COLD FRONT BY MIDWEEK. AFTER SOME
BRIEF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK
IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-081130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
518 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING COOL FRONT WILL ENTER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS
MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS WILL DEVELOP AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND REGENERATE
THROUGH TONIGHT AS WARM AIR OVERRUNS THE COOL FRONT. NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STABLE DRY AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS ON SUNDAY ENDING
THE RAINS. ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO WIND DOWN IN THE
AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN ON TUESDAY WITH A COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO ENTER THE GULF WATERS BY MIDWEEK. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
835 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSW BEAUMONT          30.07N 94.15W
11/07/2015                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC POSTED PHOTO OF FLOODING ON SUNBURY DRIVE

&&

HUMPHREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1006 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1001 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW GROVES             29.93N 93.93W
11/07/2015                   JEFFERSON          TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TXDOT REPORTS WATER OVER TWIN CITY HWY NEAR HWY 73

&&

HUMPHREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1025 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0957 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PORT ARTHUR             29.90N 93.93W
11/07/2015                   JEFFERSON          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PORT ARTHUR PD REPORTS STREET FLOODING OCCURRING ALL OVER
            TOWN

&&

HUMPHREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1118 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GROVES                  29.95N 93.92W
11/07/2015                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC POSTED VIDEO OF FLOODING ON TWIN CITY HWY IN
            GROVES

&&

HUMPHREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1124 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PORT ARTHUR             29.90N 93.93W
11/07/2015                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC POSTED PHOTO OF FLOODING IN PORT ARTHUR

&&

HUMPHREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1136 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ESE GROVES              29.95N 93.91W
11/07/2015                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            PHOTO OF OVER SIX INCHES OF WATER AT INTERSECTION OF HAYS
            AVE AND TERRELL STREET

&&

HUMPHREY