Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
517 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 338 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

TODAY AND TONIGHT...THE DEFORMATION ZONE PRODUCING RAIN-SLEET ACROSS
NCNTL NEB IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DECAY. THE TEMPERATURES ARE AROUND 33F
SO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE CANCELED AT 4 AM CST.

A VERY STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH MONTANA THIS
MORNING AND SHOULD REACH THE FORECAST AREA MID MORNING. THE RAP
MODEL SHOWS RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING AS LAPSE RATES STEEPEN BEHIND
THE FRONT. THE BELT OF MIXED LAYER 75KT WINDS ACROSS MT WEAKEN AS
THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH THIS MORNING WITH 50 KT ACROSS MOST OF THE
FCST AREA.

THERE IS A BELT OF 75KT 800MB WINDS SHOWING UP ON THE CHEYENNE
DIVIDE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THIS MORNING WHICH COULD IN THEORY
PRODUCE HIGH WINDS. THESE GUSTS WOULD BE BRIEF AND BEST HANDLED WITH
A SHORTER TERM PRODUCT THAN A HIGH WIND WARNING.

OTHERWISE HIGHS RISE INTO THE 50S MOST AREA USING THE WARMER
GUIDANCE. LOWS TONIGHT FALL INTO THE TEENS AND 20S AS PACIFIC HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 338 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

12Z THURSDAY AND BEYOND.  COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS ADDITIONAL UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DIGS
SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN CANADA.  A REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS SHOWN TO
ARRIVE LATE IN THE DAY FRIDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSES
INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS.  HIGHS WILL TREND DOWN FROM
THE LOWER 40S ON THURSDAY...TO THE LOW TO MID 30S FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD LOWS IN THE TEENS SATURDAY MORNING.  THE
DISTURBANCE IS SHOWN TO PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SANDHILLS AND POINTS NORTH ON FRIDAY. THE QPF
PROCEDURE PRODUCED AMOUNTS OF A TENTH OF AN INCH TO AS MUCH AS TWO
TENTHS AS THE FAST MOVING SYSTEM CROSSES NORTHERN NEBRASKA.  AN INCH
OR TWO OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.  FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND BEYOND...THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT
TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY TREND UPWARD AS THE NORTHWEST FLOW SLOWLY
GIVES WAY TO THE EXPANSION OF A BROAD RIDGE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WARM WITH THE RISING HEIGHTS...ALLOWING HIGHS TO
RETURN INTO THE 40S AND 50S...WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 20S.  THE
FORECAST BEYOND FRIDAY APPEARS DRY UNLESS THERE HAPPENS TO BE
ANOTHER COLOSSAL COLLAPSE OF THE MODELS. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
CR_EXTENDED FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 517 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

VFR IS EXPECTED ALL AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TODAY PRODUCING
ISOLATED SHOWERS.

WINDS INCREASE TO 30030G42KT THIS AFTN ACROSS NRN NEB WITH LESSER
SPEEDS SOUTH. STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BETWEEN
KIML-KOGA-KSNY.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...CDC
LONG TERM...JACOBS
AVIATION...CDC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
521 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-191130-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
521 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015 /421 AM MST WED NOV 18 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A POWERFUL PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TODAY.
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND
WESTERN NEBRASKA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA.
THE SNOW COULD BE UNDERWAY BEFORE DAWN FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1113 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

NEZ057>059-069-070-181815-
CHASE-KEITH-LINCOLN-HAYES-PERKINS-
1113 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...A BAND OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL AFFECT
HAYES...CHASE...KEITH...PERKINS AND WESTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES...

AT 1111 AM CST/1011 AM MST/...A LINE OF SHOWERS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR LEMOYNE TO 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAMAR...AND
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOMERSET...BIG BALD HILL...HERSHEY...MARENGO...SUTHERLAND...BELMAR...
DICKENS...GRAINTON...BROGANVILLE...AREA A CAMPGROUND...LAKE VIEW
CAMPGROUND...CHAMPION...CHASE...NEVENS...KINGSLEY DAM...PAXTON...
GRANT...ROSCOE...OTTER CREEK CAMPGROUND AND SARBEN.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 25 AND 107.
 HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 122 AND 138.
 HIGHWAY 97 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 8 AND 14.
 INTERSTATE 80 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 111 AND 173.

LAT...LON 4136 10084 4035 10082 4035 10205 4136 10201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 301DEG 30KT 4129 10174 4066 10180

MASEK