Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS North Platte, NE

632 
WWUS53 KLBF 160444
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1144 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

NEC031-091-160500-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150516T0500Z/
HOOKER NE-CHERRY NE-
1044 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CHERRY
AND EASTERN HOOKER COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM MDT/MIDNIGHT CDT/...

AT 1041 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF MERRITT RESERVOIR DAM TO 16 MILES
SOUTH OF MERRITT RESERVOIR DAM TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF MULLEN...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MERRITT RESERVOIR DAM...BROWNLEE AND GIANT HILL.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 2 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 173 AND 192.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 97 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 57 AND 135.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4282 10065 4230 10060 4174 10122 4174 10125
      4240 10131 4287 10079
TIME...MOT...LOC 0443Z 205DEG 44KT 4268 10103 4244 10090
          4219 10094

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

STOPPKOTTE

891 
WWUS53 KLBF 160458
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1058 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2015

NEC031-091-160508-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150516T0500Z/
HOOKER NE-CHERRY NE-
1058 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CHERRY AND EASTERN
HOOKER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1100 PM MDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NORTH PLATTE.

LAT...LON 4282 10065 4230 10060 4174 10122 4174 10125
      4240 10131 4287 10079
TIME...MOT...LOC 0458Z 205DEG 44KT 4285 10092 4261 10079
          4236 10083

$$

BUTTLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
634 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 341 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

LARGE SCALE TROUGHING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WILL KEEP THE
WEATHER PATTERN ACTIVE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE CONCERN.

A TORNADO WATCH HAS ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
NEBRASKA THROUGH MID EVENING. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK
EAST ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA THIS EVENING. BACKED LOW LEVEL
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL SET THE STAGE FOR POSSIBLE ROTATING
SUPERCELLS. SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY ALONG A WARM
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM ARTHUR COUNTY...EAST SOUTHEAST
ACROSS NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. HODOGRAPHS NICELY CURVED THROUGH
THIS AREA...WITH PRETTY HIGH 0 TO 3 KM HELICITY VALUES THROUGH
THE EVENING. SPLITTING SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS
ZONE...WITH THE RIGHT MOVING CELL DOMINATE. LATER TONIGHT SEVERE
THREAT DECREASES...AS STORMS CONGEAL INTO A SMALL MCS OR CLUSTER
AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST AND EXIT THE FORECAST AREA.

STRONG LARGE SCALE FORCING ARRIVES MIDDAY SATURDAY ACROSS THE
AREA...AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH EMERGES ONTO THE PLAINS. EXPECT A
NORTH TO SOUTH FRONTAL BOUNDARY...ROUGHLY ALONG HIGHWAY 83 TO BE
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. FRONT WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY FOR A TIME INTO THE
EVENING HOURS DUE TO NEARLY MERIDIONAL FLOW...SO SOME TRAINING OF
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE HIGHWAY 83 CORRIDOR INTO THE
EARLY EVENING BEFORE THE FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE EAST. THIS POSES A
THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IN SPOTS. AS FAR AS SEVERE...SOME
STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT TORNADO
THREAT QUITE LIMITED DUE TO LITTLE TURNING IN THE WINDS WITH
HEIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 341 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOWLY SLIDING EAST ACROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND EVEN COULD BE
SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING FROM SATURDAY
LATER AFTERNOON. INITIALLY CAPE OF 1500 J/KG AND 35 TO 40 KTS OF
SHEAR WILL CONTINUE THE SEVERE THREAT...HOWEVER AFTER MIDNIGHT
THE SEVERE THREAT BECOMES ELEVATED AND IS DIMINISHES. ONE OTHER
CONCERN WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. THE STORMS WILL LIFT NORTH AHEAD
OF THE BOUNDARY AND COULD TRAIN.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL LIFT INTO THE DAKOTAS BY SUNDAY AS THE
COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL BRING A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDER ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA. BY LATE IN THE DAY A SECONDARY COLD PUSH WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA. LARGE TEMP RANGE FOR THE AFTERNOON FROM NW /UPPER 50S/ TO
THE SE /LOWER 70S/ ACROSS THE CWA.

MONDAY WILL BE DRY WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. BY MONDAY NIGHT THE NEXT DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. SHOWERS MAY
REACH INTO THE FAR WESTERN ZONES OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY.
BETTER CHANCE ARRIVES WITH THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH EJECTS
ACROSS THE ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COOL AIR MASS
MOVES INTO THE REGION AND WILL COMBINE WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS TO
HOLD TEMPS DOWN...HIGHS STRUGGLE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S.
TEMPS OVERNIGHT COULD BE CHILLY WITH UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. IF
THERE IS A BREAK IN THE CLOUDS SOME MID 30S COULD BE POSSIBLE IN
FAVORED COOL SPOTS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 635 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

FOR THE KLBF TERMINAL...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 04Z
THIS EVENING WITH SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE. CIGS WILL RANGE FROM 3500
TO 5000 FT AGL. SOME MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH CIGS
AROUND 1500 FT AGL. CIGS WILL INCREASE TO 5000 FT AGL MID MORNING
SATURDAY WITH A SECOND THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 21Z
SATURDAY. FOR THE KVTN TERMINAL...BROKEN CIGS OF 3000 TO 3500 FT
AGL ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING WITH A THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM
02Z THOUGH 06Z THIS EVENING. SOME GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH VISBYS AS LOW AS 2SM WITH STRONGER STORMS. CIGS WILL FALL
DOWN TO 1500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASE TO 10000 FT AGL LATE
SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 341 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLATTE AND PLATTE
RIVER. ROSCOE IS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 11.4 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. FURTHER
DOWNSTREAM AT THE NORTH PLATTE GAGE...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT CONTINUES TO RISE. THE LATEST GAGE HEIGHT IS
11.8 FEET AND WILL RISE TO NEAR THE FLOOD STAGE OF 13.0 FEET
SUNDAY EVENING. CONTINUING DOWN STREAM...THE BRADY GAGE HAS JUST
REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 7.5 FEET. THE PLATTE RIVER HERE WILL CREST
NEAR 8.5 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL WITHIN THE RIVER BASIN IS
LIKELY...HOWEVER NOT EXPECTING THIS TO CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
IN THE RIVER LEVEL FORECASTS. THE RIVER LEVELS WILL BE CRESTING
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER FLOODING CONCERNS CONTINUE NEXT
WEEK AS THE RIVER LEVEL WILL SLOWLY DROP.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...MASEK
AVIATION...CLB
HYDROLOGY...MASEK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
403 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-162115-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
403 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015 /303 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING.
PRIMARILY ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA...ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 83.
STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH PLATTE RIVER THIS WEEKEND.
REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAIN
MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
AND POSSIBLY AGAIN SATURDAY.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

TAYLOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1023 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     HAIL             6 E ARTHUR              41.57N 101.58W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       ARTHUR             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CBUTTLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1026 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     HAIL             ROSCOE                  41.13N 101.60W
05/15/2015  E1.50 INCH       KEITH              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JGOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1032 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     HAIL             15 NW ELLSWORTH         42.21N 102.49W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED TIME OF 900PM CDT

&&

JGOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1039 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 S RUSHVILLE           42.70N 102.47W
05/15/2015                   SHERIDAN           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL REPORTED ESTIMATED TIME 0F 910 PM MDT.

&&

JGOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1049 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     E GORDON                42.81N 102.20W
05/15/2015                   SHERIDAN           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL REPORTED EAST OF GORDON ESTIMATED TIME OF 845 MDT.

&&

JGOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1102 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             4 N ANTIOCH             42.13N 102.62W
05/15/2015  E0.88 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            GROUND COVERED WITH HAIL...MOST WERE DIME SIZE WITH SOME
            PENNY AND NICKEL

0615 PM     HAIL             5 NNE LISCO             41.57N 102.58W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       GARDEN             NE   PUBLIC

0620 PM     HAIL             18 S HAY SPRINGS        42.42N 102.69W
05/15/2015  E2.75 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            HAIL RANGED FROM GOLF BALL TO BASEBALL SIZE

0715 PM     HAIL             7 E ANTIOCH             42.07N 102.48W
05/15/2015  E1.75 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

0830 PM     HAIL             5 N VENANGO             40.83N 102.04W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       PERKINS            NE   PUBLIC

0832 PM     HAIL             5 E GORDON              42.81N 102.11W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

0834 PM     TORNADO          12 E GORDON             42.81N 101.97W
05/15/2015                   CHERRY             NE   STORM CHASER

            TORNADO CONFIRMED BY CHASERS AT 734 MDT.

0840 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LAKESIDE                42.06N 102.46W
05/15/2015  M1.40 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0855 PM     HAIL             5 NW ELLSWORTH          42.11N 102.36W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

0857 PM     TSTM WND GST     18 NE OSHKOSH           41.59N 102.10W
05/15/2015  E60.00 MPH       GARDEN             NE   PUBLIC

            WIND SPEEDS ESTIMATED AT 50 TO 60 MPH

0900 PM     HAIL             15 NW ELLSWORTH         42.21N 102.49W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED TIME OF 900PM CDT

0915 PM     TSTM WND GST     25 N ELLSWORTH          42.42N 102.29W
05/15/2015  E60.00 MPH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED 50 TO 60 MPH WINDS

0918 PM     HAIL             5 W GRANT               40.84N 101.82W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       PERKINS            NE   PUBLIC

0924 PM     HAIL             8 N GRANT               40.96N 101.73W
05/15/2015  M1.75 INCH       PERKINS            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

0939 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N OGALLALA            41.16N 101.72W
05/15/2015  E70.00 MPH       KEITH              NE   STORM CHASER

            ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH

0941 PM     HAIL             1 SSE OGALLALA          41.12N 101.71W
05/15/2015  M1.75 INCH       KEITH              NE   STORM CHASER

0945 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     E GORDON                42.81N 102.20W
05/15/2015                   SHERIDAN           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL REPORTED EAST OF GORDON ESTIMATED TIME OF 845 MDT.

0950 PM     HAIL             6 SW ROSCOE             41.07N 101.68W
05/15/2015  E2.00 INCH       KEITH              NE   STORM CHASER

            60 MPH WINDS REPORTED AS WELL

1010 PM     HAIL             6 E ARTHUR              41.57N 101.58W
05/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       ARTHUR             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

1010 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 S RUSHVILLE           42.70N 102.47W
05/15/2015                   SHERIDAN           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL REPORTED ESTIMATED TIME 0F 910 PM MDT.

1016 PM     HAIL             ROSCOE                  41.13N 101.60W
05/15/2015  E1.50 INCH       KEITH              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SNIVELY