Severe Thunderstorm Warning 269, NWS North Platte, NE

874 
WWUS53 KLBF 132252
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
552 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

NEC017-132315-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0269.000000T0000Z-150813T2315Z/
BROWN NE-
552 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROWN COUNTY...

AT 552 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES WEST OF
ROSE...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF BREWSTER...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOFELD LAKE...RAVEN...JONES LAKE AND JOHNSONS CORNER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4233 9966 4218 9966 4211 9991 4241 9999
      4247 9976
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 340DEG 10KT 4217 9984 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BUTTLER

238 
WWUS53 KLBF 132316
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
616 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

NEC017-132325-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0269.000000T0000Z-150813T2315Z/
BROWN NE-
616 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROWN COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN 
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH PLATTE.

LAT...LON 4233 9966 4218 9966 4211 9991 4241 9999
      4247 9976
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 340DEG 10KT 4217 9984 

$$

BUTTLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
305 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

HAND ANALYSIS OF THE 500MB LEVEL REVEALS A TYPICAL AUGUST PATTERN
ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...WITH RIDGING EXTENDING NORTH ACROSS
THE SPINE OF THE ROCKIES TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.  A LONGWAVE
TROUGH IS ANALYZED OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS WITH ANOTHER
TROUGH OFF THE WESTERN COAST.  THE LARGEST HEIGHT RISES OVER NORTH
AMERICA WERE LOCATED NEAR THE TANANA BASIN...EXTENDING EAST TO
YUKON.  HEIGHT FALLS OF 50DM WERE ANALYZED OVER EASTERN HUDSON BAY.
A BELT OF ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FLOW IS NOTED JUST TO THE LEE OF THE
CALIFORNIA LOW...WHICH NOSES NORTH ALONG THE PAC NW COAST.
SUBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF THE SURFACE INDICATES A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING
SOUTH FROM A LOW OVER CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA ACROSS THE CENTRAL
SANDHILLS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WITH HIGH PRESSURE WELL OFF TO THE
WEST.  AS OF 16Z...WEAK CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF
SOUTH DAKOTA...BUT A FEW SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED SOUTH NEAR
MERRIMAN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

FORECAST CHALLENGE IS POPS TONIGHT. SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM
NEAR VALENTINE SOUTHWEST TO THE HYANNIS AREA...THEN SOUTH TO THE
WEST OF HIGHWAY 61. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE ADVECTED MOISTURE NORTH
WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S INTO NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. CURRENT LAPS SHOW CAPE
VALUES AROUND 4000 J/KG NEAR THE THEDFORD AREA. SATELLITE SHOWS CU
FIELD INCREASING ACROSS THE NORTH WITH FINE LINE EXTENDING SOUTH TO
NEAR THE IMPERIAL AREA. THUNDERSTORM INITIATION EXPECTED BY 4 PM CDT
WITH THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ALONG AND EAST OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARIES
THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING BY 14/00Z. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST...WITH THE
SEVERE IMPACTS OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE SHORT TERM
MODELS CREATES SOME UNCERTAINTY IN AREAL EXTENT OF CONVECTION...WITH
THE UPPER SUPPORT MOVING EAST THIS EVENING SO THE NAM SOLUTION
GENERALLY FOLLOWED.

OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS BUILDS EAST FOR QUIET
DAY. TONIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND HIGH TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY MAINLY IN THE 90S.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE EAST ACROSS THE PAC NW TOWARD THE
THE CENTRAL CANADIAN PRAIRIES THIS WEEKEND.  THE WAVE WILL BREAKDOWN
THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY FORCE A COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.  THE MODELS REMAIN FIXED ON A SOLUTION WHERE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION DEVELOPS SATURDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL
STORMS POSSIBLE INTO EARLY MONDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE
REGION.  DESTABILIZATION OF THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE WILL OCCUR
YIELDING UPWARDS TO 2000 J/KG OF SBCAPE.  SHEAR IS NOT OVERLY
IMPRESSIVE...BUT WOULD MARGINALLY SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN INCREASING LLJ MAY ALLOW STORMS
TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT.  SUNDAY SHEAR LOOKS A BIT MORE
FAVORABLE...BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE LESS OWING TO COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS.

EARLY NEXT WEEK THE RIDGE AMPLIFIES NORTH ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG TROUGH DEEPENING OVER THE PAC NW.
THE TROUGH WILL EVENTUALLY PROCEED TO THE EAST...KEEPING THE PATTERN
UNSETTLED FOR THE PLAINS THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.  THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON HOW THE TROUGH WILL PLAY OUT.  THE
ENSEMBLES ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE...THUS THE CR_BLENDED POP FORECAST
FOR NEXT WEEK WAS LEFT LARGELY AS IS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

VISUAL FLIGHT RULES CONTINUE FOR TERMINALS KLBF AND KVTN THROUGH
18Z FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT SURFACE TROUGH MOVES
EAST AND WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT BOTH TERMINALS FROM LATE EVENING
THROUGH MIDNIGHT WITH THE PRIMARY FOCUS AT THIS TIME FROM 13/21Z
TO 14/03Z POSSIBLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT AT THE KLBF TERMINAL.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JACOBS
SHORT TERM...KECK
LONG TERM...JACOBS
AVIATION...KECK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
256 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-142000-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
256 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015 /156 PM MDT THU AUG 13 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA THROUGH THIS EVENING.
STORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INITIATE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR VALENTINE SOUTHWEST TO
HYANNIS AND SOUTH TO THE IMPERIAL AREA. STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SLOW MOTION COULD PRODUCE STORMS
CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE SEVERE IMPACTS COULD
INCLUDE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WINDS ALOFT WILL BE STRONG SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WITH STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE. A FEW
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY...MAINLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 80.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH 9 PM CDT.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
429 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

NEZ005-094-132215-
WESTERN CHERRY NE-EASTERN CHERRY NE-
429 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CHERRY COUNTY UNTIL
515 PM CDT/415 PM MDT/...

AT 428 PM CDT /328 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF VALENTINE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...OR
24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VALENTINE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VALENTINE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE AND HIGHWAY 83 CROSSING GOOSE
CREEK.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 83 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 179 AND 193.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO A FLOODED ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 10089 4267 10080 4260 10043 4235 10057
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 292DEG 8KT 4255 10076

BUTTLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
442 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

NEZ008-009-132230-
BROWN NE-ROCK NE-
442 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ROCK AND EAST CENTRAL
BROWN COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 442 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
LONG PINE...OR 8 MILES EAST OF AINSWORTH...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWPORT...BASSETT...LONG PINE AND TWIN LAKES STATE WILDLIFE
MANAGEMENT AREA.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 183 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 163 AND 198.
 HIGHWAY 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 246 AND 272.

LAT...LON 4247 9984 4263 9975 4262 9926 4223 9943
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 292DEG 12KT 4252 9969

BUTTLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
506 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

NEZ008>010-132245-
BROWN NE-HOLT NE-ROCK NE-
506 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ROCK...WEST CENTRAL HOLT
AND EAST CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 503 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LONG PINE TO 10 MILES
SOUTH OF AINSWORTH...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOFELD LAKE...DUFF...JONES LAKE...PONY LAKE...BASSETT...LONG PINE AND
TWIN LAKES STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 183 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 157 AND 182.
 HIGHWAY 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 250 AND 263.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 9911 4215 9960 4238 9996 4262 9962
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 299DEG 13KT 4255 9962 4240 9982

BUTTLER