Special Weather Statement, NWS JSJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1240 AM AST WED JUL 1 2015

.UPDATE...HAVE UPDATED ZONES FOR BOTH LAND AND SEA. NO CHANGES TO
WINDS BUT POPS AND THUNDER HAVE BEEN ADDED/INCREASED OVER EASTERN
PUERTO RICO AND SURROUNDING WATERS. AMOUNTS WILL STILL BE LIMITED
DUE TO RAPID MOVEMENT...21 KNOTS...TOWARD THE WNW. ALSO MIMIC
PRODUCT INDICATES WE ARE STILL ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
MOISTURE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE PERIPHERY OF THE TROPICAL WAVE IS BEGINNING TO
HAVE A BETTER IMPACT ON PUERTO RICO AND SOME INCREASED SHOWERS
OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MID
MORNING TODAY.

&&

.AVIATION...TSRA CONTINUE OVER LCL WATERS AND ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE IN PASSING TROPICAL WAVE THROUGH 01/15Z. VFR CONDS WILL
PREVAIL AT LOCAL TAF SITES...EXCEPT FOR BRIEF MVFR AT TNCM AND
TKPK TIL 01/15Z.

&&

.MARINE...SOME GUSTY WINDS SHOULD STILL BE EXPECTED OVER LOCAL
WATERS NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NO CHANGES MADE TO WINDS OR
SEAS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM AST TUE JUN 30 2015/

SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST
OF THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL PASS MOSTLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS
TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...INDUCING AND INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING
WATERS. MID LEVEL RIDGE AND DRIER AIR WITH SAHARAN LAYER FOLLOW
BEHIND THE WAVE.

DISCUSSION...A COMBINATION OF A TROUGH AND A TROPICAL WAVE
ENHANCED THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA TODAY. THE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED MAX RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE INCH WITH THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS ACROSS
EASTERN AND WESTERN PR. FOR TONIGHT...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE USVI AND EASTERN PR DUE TO THE LEADING EDGE OF
THE TROPICAL WAVE. AT LEAST UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND WESTERN PR. FAIR WEATHER ARE MORE STABLE
CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW LATE WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER SAHARAN DUST
EVENT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THEREFORE...LIMITING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS...WITH MINIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN TRADE WIND
SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT TIME ACROSS THE USVI AND EASTERN PR...AND
ACROSS THE WESTERN TIP OF PR EACH AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...SCT SHRA/ISOLD TSRA EXPECTED OVER THE FLYING AREA THRU
TUESDAY MORNING. BRIEF MVFR CONDS EXPECTED IN PASSING SHRA...BUT VFR
CONDS WILL PREVAIL MOST OF THE TIME. WIND BLW FL100 SE 15-25 KT THRU
WED.

MARINE...BUOYS SURROUNDING PR ARE INDICATING SEAS OF 4 TO 5 FEET
AND BUOY 41052 SOUTH OF ST JOHN WAS AT 6 FEET EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON. OFFSHORE SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 7 FEET FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. SMALL CRAFTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  78  89  81  88 /  20  20  20  40
STT  79  89  81  89 /  30  30  20  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING FOR ANEGADA
     PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND
     USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO
     FROM 10 NM TO 17N-MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N.

&&

27/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
604 AM AST TUE JUN 30 2015

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-011015-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
604 AM AST TUE JUN 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

.RIP CURRENTS...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR
MOST OF THE BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO DUE TO BREAKING WAVES OF 4-6
FEET AND BREEZY CONDITIONS...EXCEPT ON THE WEST COAST BEACHES WERE
THE RISK IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-011015-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
604 AM AST TUE JUN 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

.RIP CURRENTS...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR
MOST OF THE BEACHES ON THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DUE TO BREAKING
WAVES OF 4-6 FEET AND BREEZY CONDITIONS...EXCEPT ON THE WEST COAST
BEACHES WERE THE RISK IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATON WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

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