High Surf Advisory 3, NWS JSJ

316 
WHCA42 TJSJ 081609
CFWSJU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1209 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.MODERATE TO LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES THIS AFTERNOON...
BEFORE SUBSIDING TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. THESE NORTHERLY
SWELLS ARE GENERATING HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT
BREAKING WAVE ACTION WITH HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-082200-
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150208T2200Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
1209 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF: NORTHERLY SWELLS BETWEEN 6 TO 8 FEET WITH 
  BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET. 

* TIMING: THROUGH 6 PM AST THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS: LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS 
  THROUGHOUT THE SURF ZONE AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION 
  SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS 
  MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

&&

$$

636 
WHCA42 TJSJ 081617 CCA
CFWSJU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1212 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.MODERATE TO LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES THIS AFTERNOON...
BEFORE SUBSIDING TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. THESE NORTHERLY
SWELLS ARE GENERATING HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT
BREAKING WAVE ACTION WITH HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
ATLANTIC EXPOSED COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...SAINT
THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN.

PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-082200-
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150208T2200Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
1212 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF: NORTHERLY SWELLS BETWEEN 6 TO 8 FEET WITH 
  BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET. 

* TIMING: THROUGH 6 PM AST THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS: LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS 
  THROUGHOUT THE SURF ZONE AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION 
  SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS 
  MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

&&

$$

182 
WHCA42 TJSJ 081826
CFWSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
226 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

.MODERATE TO LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES TONIGHT BEFORE
SUBSIDING EARLY MONDAY. THESE NORTHERLY SWELLS ARE GENERATING
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT BREAKING WAVE ACTION
WITH HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC EXPOSED
COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN.

PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-090230-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150209T1000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
226 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY. 

* WAVES AND SURF: NORTHERLY SWELLS BETWEEN 6 TO 8 FEET WITH 
  BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET. 

* TIMING: THROUGH 6 AM AST ON MONDAY.

* IMPACTS: LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS 
  THROUGHOUT THE SURF ZONE AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION 
  SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS 
  MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

906 
WHCA42 TJSJ 090138 AAA
CFWSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
938 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS EXPECTED CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...

.MODERATE TO LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES TONIGHT BEFORE
SUBSIDING EARLY MONDAY. THESE NORTHERLY SWELLS ARE GENERATING
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT BREAKING WAVE ACTION
WITH HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC EXPOSED
COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT
JOHN. THE OUTER BUOY IS SHOWING A DECREASE IN SWELL HEIGHT BUT
HIGH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE ON OUR COASTLINE FOR AT LEAST
ANOTHER 6 TO 8 HOURS.

PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-091000-
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150209T1000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
938 PM AST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY. 

* WAVES AND SURF: NORTHERLY SWELLS BETWEEN 5 TO 7 FEET WITH 
  BREAKING WAVES OF 9 TO 12 FEET. 

* TIMING: THROUGH 6 AM AST ON MONDAY.

* IMPACTS: LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS 
  THROUGHOUT THE SURF ZONE AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION 
  SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS 
  MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

875 
WHCA42 TJSJ 090951
CFWSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
551 AM AST MON FEB 9 2015

......NORTH SWELLS AND BREAKING WAVE ACTION CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
SUBSIDE AND DIMINISH...

.NORTH SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE BUT THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL STILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH TODAY.

PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-091100-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150209T1000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
551 AM AST MON FEB 9 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 AM AST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN WILL ALLOW THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY
TO EXPIRE AT 6 AM AST THIS MORNING... AS THE SURF ZONE CONDITIONS AND
BREAKING WAVE HEIGHT ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO BE AT OR ABOVE THE 10
FOOT THRESHOLD. HOWEVER THERE STILL REMAINS A MODERATE O HIGH RISK
OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TODAY FOR MOST OF THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINES...TO INCLUDE CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.


$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1034 PM AST SAT FEB 7 2015

.UPDATE...SHOWERS WERE SLOW TO DISSIPATE IN WESTERN PUERTO
RICO...BUT AT 08/0215Z NO SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED OVER LAND.
EVIDENCE OF THE SHEAR LINE ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO STILL LINGERS
WITH BETTER MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND A
WIND SHIFT FROM EAST NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 5 KFT. WINDS
NEAR THE TROPOPAUSE AT AROUND 43 KFT WERE WEST AT 92 KNOTS IN THE
08/00Z SOUNDING. THE GFS IS SHOWING INCREASING MOISTURE TO 1.66
INCHES OF PRECIPITABLE WATER BY THIS TIME SUNDAY NIGHT...AND
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NEAR THESE LEVELS THROUGH MIDDAY
TUESDAY...REACHING ALMOST 1.8 INCHES ON 09/18Z IN WARM AIR
ADVECTION AS FLOW TURNS MORE SOUTHERLY AT THE SURFACE EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR AT ALL TAF SITES THRU THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH BRIEF -SHRA ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA OVERNIGHT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...BECOMING EASTERLY WITH
SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AFTER 08/13Z. AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL INCREASE
CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL ACTIVITY OVER PR AND THE USVI. VCSH LIKELY
FOR THE TERMINALS IN PR AND THE USVI AFTER 08/17Z WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
OF TSRA NEAR TJPS/TJMZ AND TJBQ FOR THAT TIME AS WELL.

&&

.MARINE...BUOY 41043 HAS BEGUN THE SHARP RISE IN SEAS SEEN EARLIER
AT 41046 AND IS NOW AT 6.6 FEET. CURRENTLY THE AFTERNOON FORECAST
APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK. CONDITIONS WILL FALL JUST SHORT OF HIGH
SURF ADVISORY CRITERIA SUNDAY...BUT SOME AREAS COULD SEE
OCCASIONAL BREAKING WAVES OF UP TO 12 FEET WHERE BATHYMETRY IS
FAVORABLE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR SINCE MODELS WERE 4 TO 5 FEET
TOO LOW AT BUOY 41046.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 446 PM AST SAT FEB 7 2015/

MARINE...SWELL HEIGHTS OF UP TO 11 FEET WITH PERIODS OF 12
SECONDS WERE SEEN AT BUOY 41046. ADDITIONALLY SWELL HEIGHTS OF
11.5 FEET WITH PERIODS OF 12 SECONDS WERE ALSO SEEN AT BUOY 41047
EARLIER YESTERDAY. SWELL DIRECTION AT BUOY 41047 WAS 340 DEGREES
AND ON THIS TRAJECTORY THEY WOULD ARRIVE IN THE NORTHWEST CORNER
OF OUR ATLANTIC WATERS AT 4 AM AST SUNDAY AND ON THE NORTHWEST
CORNER OF PUERTO RICO AT 7 AM AST SUNDAY WITH A HEIGHT OF 6 TO 7
FEET. ADDING WIND WAVES ALREADY IN THE AREA AND ALLOWING FOR SOME
MODEL UNDERESTIMATION IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SEAS OF UP TO 9 FEET COULD
BE FOUND SUNDAY MORNING IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS PULSE IS
EXPECTED TO BE OF LIMITED DURATION AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WERE
SET TO EXPIRE NO LATER THAN 6 AM AST MONDAY MORNING. HIGH SURF IS
NOT EXPECTED BUT ISOLATED BREAKING WAVES OF UP TO 12 FEET ARE
POSSIBLE IN FAVORED AREAS ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO
SUNDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM AST SAT FEB 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...A WEAK RIDGE REMAINS AT 700 MB OVER THE ISLANDS
TODAY...EXTENDING EAST-WEST AND IS PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR SHEARING
MODERATELY HIGH MOISTURE OVER THE LEEWARDS AWAY FROM US. MUCH OF
IT IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHILE SOME IS
ALREADY MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE DECAYING COLD FRONT SLIGHTLY
NORTH OF 20N. NOT ENOUGH MOISTURE HAS ARRIVED HERE TO INCREASE
SHOWERS LIKE OCCURRED ON FRI BUT ENOUGH WILL ARRIVE FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. LITTLE CHANGE MADE TO MOST GRIDS
OTHERWISE.

AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR AT ALL TAF SITES THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD
WITH BRIEF MVFR CONDS STILL POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND TJMZ/JPS IN
SHRA/TSRA THRU 07/22Z. SHRA EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES MAY REACH
TJSJ/TIST/TISX AND TNCM/TKPK OVERNIGHT. ENE WINDS BETWEEN 5 TO 10 KNOTS
WILL PREVAIL WITH SOME SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS THIS AFTERNOON...
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.

MARINE...SEAS AT BUOYS 41046 AND 41047 HAVE BEEN UNDER FORECAST
TODAY BY THE MODELS BY 4-5 FT WHICH WAS A CONCERN EARLY. BUT MUCH
OF THE ENERGY IS DIRECTED INTO HISPANIOLA AND WHILE 12Z MODELS
ADJUSTED FOR THIS ISSUE THEY CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE WHAT IS LEFT
HEADING TOWARDS PR/USVI. THEY DO BRIEFLY PUSH SEAS TO 7 FEET IN
ATLANTIC OUTER WATERS AND USED THE WNAWAVE4 WITHOUT MODIFICATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  76  82  76  84 /  30  60  20  30
STT  77  84  77  83 /  30  50  30  30

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...

VI...
COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM AST MONDAY FOR
     ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN
     USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN
     PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 6 PM AST SUNDAY FOR CARIBBEAN
     WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT AST SUNDAY
     NIGHT FOR COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND
     EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM AST MONDAY FOR
     ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
     COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-MONA
     PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N.

&&

25/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
443 AM AST SAT FEB 7 2015

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-080845-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
443 AM AST SAT FEB 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND TONIGHT ON THE
EXPOSED ATLANTIC BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SEAS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON SUNDAY DUE TO NORTH NORTHWEST SWELLS.
THIS WILL CREATE ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ON THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE
WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS LIKELY.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS
ON SUNDAY. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY
MOISTURE AND STRONG MID LEVEL WIND SPEEDS WITH THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-080845-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
443 AM AST SAT FEB 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND TONIGHT AT ST
THOMAS AND ST CROIX.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SEAS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON SUNDAY DUE TO NORTH NORTHWEST
SWELLS. THIS WILL CREATE ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ON THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS LIKELY.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS
ON SUNDAY. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY
MOISTURE AND STRONG MID LEVEL WIND SPEEDS WITH THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.