Alert archive / Kentucky / Winter Storm Warnings in 2015

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Jackson, KY

February 20, 201533 counties in Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 20, 2015, 4:43 AM EST for 33 counties in Kentucky. It took effect at Feb 20, 2015, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 25 hr. 41 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2015, 4:43 AM EST (09:43 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2015, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 21, 2015, 7:00 PM EST
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
All 33 counties

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 21, 12:34 AM ESTSNOW 0.7Somerset, KY
Feb 21, 1:37 AM ESTSNOW 1Beverly, KY
Feb 21, 2:22 AM ESTSNOW 2Mozelle, KY
Feb 21, 4:26 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.15Annville, KYCOLLECTING ON TREE LIMBS
Feb 21, 6:00 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Rogers, KY0.25 INCH AND STILL ACCUMULATING.
Feb 21, 6:25 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Allen, KY
Feb 21, 6:42 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Hagerhill, KY
Feb 21, 7:00 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.254 Ne Jackson, KY
Feb 21, 7:00 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.32 Ese Talbert, KY
Feb 21, 7:00 AM ESTICE STORM4 Se Mount Pisgah, KYSEVERAL TREES DOWNED ON HIGHWAY 167 NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER DUE TO ICE ACCUMULATION.
Feb 21, 7:26 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.12 Wnw Beattyville, KY
Feb 21, 7:26 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.15 W Prestonsburg, KYTEMPERATURE 32. ICE BEGINNING TO ACCUMULATE MORE.
Feb 21, 7:31 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.4Wellington, KY
Feb 21, 7:40 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0Clay City, KYLESS THAN 0.10 ACCUMULATION.
Feb 21, 7:40 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.05Clay City, KYLESS THAN 0.10 ACCUMULATION.
Feb 21, 7:44 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.255 N Mount Sterling, KY
Feb 21, 7:54 AM ESTSNOW 6Middlesboro, KY
Feb 21, 8:00 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Barbourville, KYAT LEAST ONE-QUARTER INCH OF FREEZING RAIN OCCURRED ACROSS THE COUNTY AFTER A COATING OF SNOW.
Feb 21, 8:00 AM ESTICE STORMCo Operative, KYMULTIPLE TREES DOWNED DUE TO FREEZING RAIN ON HIGHWAY 3258...1363 AND 92W NEAR THE WAYNE COUNTY LINE.
Feb 21, 8:00 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 0Beattyville, KYTHE ROOF COLLAPSED IN A STORE IN BEATTYVILLE DUE TO THE HEAVY SNOW AND RAINFALL. THE EXACT TIME OF THE COLLAPSE IS ESTIMATED.
Feb 21, 8:15 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Mount Vernon, KY
Feb 21, 8:23 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Gimlet, KY
Feb 21, 8:39 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.13Hazard, KY
Feb 21, 8:55 AM ESTSNOW 6Hutch, KY
Feb 21, 9:13 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.2512 Ene Sandy Hook, KY
Feb 21, 9:44 AM ESTSNOW 4Nolansburg, KY
Feb 21, 9:48 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.134 W Bee Lick, KYFREEZING RAIN STARTING TO MIX WITH SNOW.
Feb 21, 10:00 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Shopville, KYONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH AND EAST END OF THE COUNTY.
Feb 21, 11:00 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.33 Wsw Prestonsburg, KYSTORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION. FREEZING RAIN HAS SINCE CHANGED OVER TO PLAIN RAIN. ACCUMULATION WAS THICKEST ON PAVEMENT. AS OF 1630 THIS AFTERNOON...ICE HAS MELTED OFF OF TREES AND UTILITY LINES...BUT COUNTY ROAD IS SLUSHY WITH ICY SPOTS.
Feb 21, 11:45 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 0Harlan, KYTHE ROOF OF A STORE COLLAPSED IN HARLAN DUE TO THE HEAVY WET SNOW AND FOLLOWING RAINFALL. THE EXACT TIME OF THE COLLAPSE IS ESTIMATED.
Feb 21, 11:45 AM ESTSNOW 8Harlan, KY6 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW WET SNOW ACCUMULATED OVER MUCH OF HARLAN. THE TIMING OF THIS AMOUNT IS ESTIMATED.
Feb 21, 12:00 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.253 Sw Frakes, KYSOME POWER OUTAGES.
Feb 21, 12:00 PM ESTSNOW 8Eolia, KY
Feb 21, 12:00 PM ESTSNOW 122 Se Middlesboro, KYA FOOT OF SNOW AT FERN LAKE.
Feb 21, 12:00 PM ESTSNOW 12Fonde, KY
Feb 21, 3:00 PM ESTSNOW 123 S Benham, KY
Feb 21, 3:20 PM ESTSNOW 0Somerset, KYTHE 911 DISPATCH OFFICE REPORTED THAT THEY HAD RECEIVED MULTIPLE REPORTS OF ROOFS COLLAPSING OR SUFFERING VARYING DEGREES OF DAMAGE DUE TO THE WEIGHT OF HEAVY WET SNOW ON THEM.
Feb 21, 3:55 PM ESTSNOW 1Beverly, KYONE INCH OF SNOW SINCE 1230 AM.
Feb 21, 4:15 PM ESTHEAVY SNOW 0Somerset, KYAWNING COLLAPSED AT THE FISN-N-SKI CONVENIENCE STORE/GAS STATION. EXACT TIME OF COLLAPSE IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.
Feb 21, 5:05 PM ESTHEAVY SNOW 0Harlan, KYHEAVY SNOW CAUSED THE GULF/COMMISSARY GAS STATION CANOPY TO COLLAPSE. TIME OF COLLAPSE IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 203 E Eolia, KY2400 FEET ELEVATION.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2015-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2015-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1220 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

220 
WWUS43 KJKL 200943
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
443 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM AT EASTERN KENTUCKY EARLY THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL
INITIALLY BEGIN AS SNOW ACROSS THE AREA...HOWEVER AS WARMER AIR
ALOFT MOVES IN LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...A CHANGEOVER TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

KYZ044-050>052-201745-
/O.UPG.KJKL.WS.A.0003.150221T0000Z-150222T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150221T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150220T1300Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
443 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY EVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN DURING THE DAY ON
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
  ADDITIONALLY...A LIGHT COATING OF ICE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL ALSO BRING THE THREAT
  OF POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS
  AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF
  COLLAPSE ON WEAK STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ083>087-201745-
/O.UPG.KJKL.WS.A.0003.150221T0000Z-150222T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150220T2300Z-150221T1800Z/
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE
443 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN THROUGH THE DAY ON
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AS WELL AS A
  QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED. 

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL ALSO BRING THE THREAT
  OF POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS
  AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF
  COLLAPSE ON WEAK STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-088-104-106>120-201745-
/O.UPG.KJKL.WS.A.0003.150221T0000Z-150222T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150221T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...
WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...GEORGETOWN...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...FINCASTLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
443 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN THROUGH THE DAY ON
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES AS WELL AS
  UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED.

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL ALSO BRING THE THREAT
  OF POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS
  AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF
  COLLAPSE ON WEAK STRUCTURES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
  ACTIONS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

GEOGERIAN
6 follow-up statements
967 
WWUS43 KJKL 201315
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
815 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM AT EASTERN KENTUCKY EARLY
THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL
INITIALLY BEGIN AS SNOW ACROSS THE AREA...HOWEVER AS WARMER AIR
ALOFT MOVES IN LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...A CHANGEOVER TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

KYZ044-050>052-202200-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150220T1300Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150221T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
815 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
  SNOW...SLEET...AND THEN RAIN DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THE
  PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY 
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL ALSO BRING THE 
  THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION 
  ON ROOFS AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT 
  IN ROOF COLLAPSE ON WEAK STRUCTURES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-088-104-106>120-202200-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150221T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...
WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...GEORGETOWN...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...FINCASTLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
815 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF 
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN THROUGH THE DAY ON 
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH 
  SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES AS WELL AS 
  UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED. 

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY 
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL ALSO BRING THE 
  THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION 
  ON ROOFS AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT 
  IN ROOF COLLAPSE ON WEAK STRUCTURES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS 
  ACTIONS... 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ083>087-202200-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150220T2300Z-150221T1800Z/
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE
815 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF 
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN THROUGH THE DAY ON 
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH 
  SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AS WELL AS 
  A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED. 

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY 
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL ALSO BRING THE 
  THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION 
  ON ROOFS AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT 
  IN ROOF COLLAPSE ON WEAK STRUCTURES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

GEOGERIAN
576 
WWUS43 KJKL 202154
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
454 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM AT EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY BEGIN AS
SNOW ACROSS THE AREA...HOWEVER AS WARMER AIR ALOFT MOVES IN LATE
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...A CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WILL OCCUR...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

KYZ068-069-079-080-116-211000-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150220T2300Z-150221T1800Z/
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MANCHESTER
454 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN THROUGH THE DAY ON
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AS WELL AS
  UP TO A HALF OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED.

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET AS WELL AS ANY ICE
  ACCUMULATION WILL ALSO BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES. IN
  ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS AND ADDITIONAL
  PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF COLLAPSE ON WEAK
  STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-088-104-106>115-117>120-211000-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150221T0300Z-150222T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...
GEORGETOWN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...
FINCASTLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
454 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND THEN RAIN DURING THE DAY ON
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED AS WELL AS UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET AS WELL AS ANY ICE
  ACCUMULATION WILL ALSO BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES. IN
  ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS AND ADDITIONAL
  PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF COLLAPSE ON WEAK
  STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ083>087-211000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.150220T2300Z-150221T1800Z/
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE
454 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
  SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN THROUGH THE DAY ON
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AS WELL AS UP
  TO A HALF OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED.

* TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE HEAVY
  AND WET NATURE OF THE SNOW AND SLEET AS WELL AS ANY ICE
  ACCUMULATION WILL ALSO BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES. IN
  ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS AND ADDITIONAL
  PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF COLLAPSE ON WEAK
  STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

GEOGERIAN/SHALLENBERGER
128 
WWUS43 KJKL 210952
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
452 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY...

.PRECIPITATION IS MOVING ACROSS KENTUCKY MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
FREEZING RAIN...ALTHOUGH SOME SLEET AND WET SNOW ARE POSSIBLE.
THIS IS CAUSING SIGNIFICANT ICING AND MAKING TRAVEL CONDITIONS
TREACHEROUS. TRAVEL IS ONLY ADVISED IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY
THROUGH THIS MORNING. EXPECT THIS WINTRY MIX TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MORNING...BEFORE FINALLY TRANSITIONING TO MAINLY RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY. MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY IS
LIKELY TO SEE A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION BY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-088-104-106>115-117>120-211800-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...
GEORGETOWN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...
FINCASTLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
452 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SLEET AND SNOW AT TIMES...
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TRANSITIONING
  TO ALL RAIN. WHILE SOME LOCATIONS ARE CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING AIR
  TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING...GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL LAG
  BEHIND THE AIR TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MORNING...ALLOWING THIS
  MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET TO ACCUMULATE ON MOST
  SURFACES...INCLUDING THE ROADWAYS.

* UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH AN INCH
  OR LESS OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION.

* ICE COVERED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
  TREACHEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS MORNING. ONLY
  TRAVEL IF IT IS AN EMERGENCY. THE ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON POWER
  LINES WILL BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE AREA. IN
  ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY WET SNOW...IN COMBINATION
  WITH THIS ICE...COULD CAUSE EXTRA STRESS ON ROOFS AND OVERHANGS
  THAT ARE ALREADY SNOW COVERED...LEADING TO POTENTIAL COLLAPSES
  OF WEAK STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE
TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY.
IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>087-116-211800-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
BELL-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE...MANCHESTER
452 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO
  ALL RAIN. WHILE SOME LOCATIONS ARE CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING AIR
  TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING...GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL LAG
  BEHIND THE AIR TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MORNING...ALLOWING THIS
  MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET TO ACCUMULATE ON MOST
  SURFACES...INCLUDING THE ROADWAYS.

* UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH LITTLE
  IF ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION.

* ICE COVERED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
  TREACHEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS MORNING. ONLY
  TRAVEL IF IT IS AN EMERGENCY. THE ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON POWER
  LINES WILL BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE AREA. IN
  ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY WET SNOW...IN COMBINATION
  WITH THIS ICE...COULD CAUSE EXTRA STRESS ON ROOFS AND OVERHANGS
  THAT ARE ALREADY SNOW COVERED...LEADING TO POTENTIAL COLLAPSES
  OF WEAK STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE
TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY.
IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

JMW/GEOGERIAN
663 
WWUS43 KJKL 211525
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1025 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY...

.PRECIPITATION IS MOVING ACROSS KENTUCKY MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
FREEZING RAIN...ALTHOUGH SOME SLEET AND WET SNOW ARE OCCURRING...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND VALLEY IN FAR
SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY WHERE HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL. THIS IS
MAKING TRAVEL CONDITIONS TREACHEROUS. TRAVEL IS ONLY ADVISED IN
CASE OF AN EMERGENCY THROUGH THIS MORNING. EXPECT THIS WINTRY MIX
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...BEFORE FINALLY TRANSITIONING TO
MAINLY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-088-104-106>115-117>120-211800-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...
GEORGETOWN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...
FINCASTLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
1025 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* FREEZING RAIN...MIXING WITH SLEET...SNOW...AND RAIN AT
  TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
  TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN. WHILE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE
  GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO LAG BEHIND THE AIR TEMPERATURES
  THROUGH THE MORNING...ALLOWING FOR SOME ADDITIONAL ICE ACCRUAL
  THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* UP TO A HALF INCH OF TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH
  AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. THE EXCEPTION
  WILL BE PORTIONS OF HARLAN...LETCHER...AND PIKE COUNTIES...WHERE
  TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL EXCEED 6 INCHES IN PLACES.

* ICE COVERED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE 
  TREACHEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS MORNING. ONLY 
  TRAVEL IF IT IS AN EMERGENCY. THE ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON POWER 
  LINES WILL BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE AREA. 
  IN ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY WET SNOW...IN 
  COMBINATION WITH THIS ICE...COULD CAUSE EXTRA STRESS ON ROOFS 
  AND OVERHANGS THAT ARE ALREADY SNOW COVERED...LEADING TO 
  POTENTIAL COLLAPSES OF WEAK STRUCTURES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>087-116-211800-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
BELL-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE...MANCHESTER
1025 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* FREEZING RAIN...MIXING WITH SLEET...SNOW...AND RAIN AT
  TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING
  TO ALL RAIN. WHILE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE GROUND
  TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO LAG BEHIND THE AIR TEMPERATURES THROUGH
  THE MORNING...ALLOWING FOR SOME ADDITIONAL ICE ACCRUAL THROUGH
  THIS MORNING.

* UP TO A HALF INCH OF TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH
  AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. THE EXCEPTION
  WILL BE PORTIONS OF BELL COUNTY...WHERE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
  WILL EXCEED 6 INCHES IN PLACES.

* ICE COVERED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE 
  TREACHEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS MORNING. ONLY 
  TRAVEL IF IT IS AN EMERGENCY. THE ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON POWER 
  LINES WILL BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE AREA. 
  IN ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY WET SNOW...IN 
  COMBINATION WITH THIS ICE...COULD CAUSE EXTRA STRESS ON ROOFS 
  AND OVERHANGS THAT ARE ALREADY SNOW COVERED...LEADING TO 
  POTENTIAL COLLAPSES OF WEAK STRUCTURES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

GEOGERIAN
278 
WWUS43 KJKL 211755
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1255 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY...

.PRECIPITATION IS MOVING ACROSS KENTUCKY MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE SOUTHWEST...WITH SOME SLEET AND WET
SNOW OCCURRING IN THE EAST AND NORTHERN PORTIONS...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND VALLEY IN FAR SOUTHEASTERN
KENTUCKY AND POINTS NORTH OF THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY...WHERE HEAVY
SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL. THIS IS MAKING TRAVEL CONDITIONS
TREACHEROUS. TRAVEL IS ONLY ADVISED IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT THIS WINTRY MIX TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE FINALLY TRANSITIONING TO MAINLY RAIN BY
THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY.

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>085-211900-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG
1255 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE GROUND TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF EASTERN
KENTUCKY HAS FINALLY RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND ANY FREEZING RAIN
OR SLEET HAS TRANSITIONED OVER TO RAIN. THERE MAY BE A FEW POCKETS
THAT BRIEFLY MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN BUT ALL PRECIP SHOULD BE
RAIN. IN ADDITION...SOME OF THE RAIN WILL FALL HEAVY AT TIMES
CREATING PONDING ON ROADWAYS AND COMBINED WITH THE RESIDUAL ICE
AND SLUSH ON THE ROADWAYS...THIS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

$$

KYZ086-087-116-220000-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
KNOX-BELL-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PROVIDENCE...BARBOURVILLE...
NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE...MANCHESTER
1255 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* FREEZING RAIN...MIXING WITH SLEET...SNOW...AND RAIN AT TIMES...
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL
  RAIN THIS EVENING. WHILE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO VERY SLOWLY
  RISE...GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO LAG BEHIND THE AIR
  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR SOME
  ADDITIONAL ICE ACCRUAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* UP TO A HALF INCH OF TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH 
  AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. THE EXCEPTION 
  WILL BE PORTIONS OF BELL COUNTY...WHERE TOTAL SNOW 
  ACCUMULATION WILL EXCEED 6 INCHES IN PLACES. 

* ICE COVERED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
  TREACHEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ONLY
  TRAVEL IF IT IS AN EMERGENCY. THE ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON POWER
  LINES WILL BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE AREA. IN
  ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY WET SNOW...IN COMBINATION
  WITH THIS ICE...COULD CAUSE EXTRA STRESS ON ROOFS AND OVERHANGS
  THAT ARE ALREADY SNOW COVERED...LEADING TO POTENTIAL COLLAPSES
  OF WEAK STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-088-104-106>115-117>120-220000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...
GEORGETOWN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...
FINCASTLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
1255 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* FREEZING RAIN...MIXING WITH SLEET...SNOW...AND RAIN AT TIMES...
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL
  RAIN. WHILE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE...GROUND
  TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO LAG BEHIND THE AIR TEMPERATURES THROUGH
  THE AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR SOME ADDITIONAL ICE ACCRUAL THROUGH
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* UP TO A HALF INCH OF TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH 2
  INCHES OR LESS OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. THE EXCEPTION
  WILL BE PORTIONS OF HARLAN...LETCHER...AND PIKE COUNTIES...
  WHERE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL EXCEED 6 INCHES IN PLACES.

* ICE COVERED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
  TREACHEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ONLY
  TRAVEL IF IT IS AN EMERGENCY. THE ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON POWER
  LINES WILL BRING THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE AREA. IN
  ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY WET SNOW...IN COMBINATION
  WITH THIS ICE...COULD CAUSE EXTRA STRESS ON ROOFS AND OVERHANGS
  THAT ARE ALREADY SNOW COVERED...LEADING TO POTENTIAL COLLAPSES
  OF WEAK STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

GEOGERIAN/SHALLENBERGER
545 
WWUS43 KJKL 220005
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
705 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-086>088-104-106>120-220115-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150222T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-KNOX-BELL-
HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-
KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...
PROVIDENCE...BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE...
GEORGETOWN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...
FINCASTLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
705 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION CONTINUES...TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE
FREEZING AND THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION HAS ENDED.
HOWEVER...ICE AND SLUSH MAY LINGER ON SOME SURFACES...AND
TRAVELERS SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR SLICK SURFACES.

$$

HAL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 20, 2:18 AM EST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 2:18 AM EST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
218 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 218 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

FRESHENED UP HOURLY TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS TO CAPTURE THE
CURRENT PLUNGE. SO FAR...THE PAINTSVILLE MESONET AT MINUS 21
DEGREES IS THE CURRENT MESONET LEADER IN OUR FORECAST AREA FOR THE
FRIGID TEMPERATURES. HAVE ALSO ALLOWED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN
EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM TO EXPIRE AS WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO LESS THAN
5 MPH FOR MOST OF THE AREA. UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1144 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO EDGE ITS WAY ACROSS KENTUCKY. WINDS ARE
SUBSIDE ACROSS THE REGION IN RESPONSE...AS TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO
PLUMMET. DESPITE LOWERING THE MIN TEMPS QUITE CONSIDERABLY CWA-
WIDE EARLIER THIS EVENING...TEMPERATURES ARE CONTINUING TO FALL
EVEN QUICKER THAN EXPECTED...AND COULD SURPASS THE FORECAST LOWS
IN SOME LOCATIONS. AS A RESULT...UPDATED ONCE MORE IN THE NW CWA
TO LOWER TEMPS FURTHER BASED ON LATEST REPORTS AND OBS...WITH -15
TO -25 NOW POSSIBLE FOR LOWS. IN ORDER TO KEEP UP WITH THE
TEMPERATURES...HAVE BEEN LOADING IN THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS EVERY
HOUR TO MAKE SURE THEY ARE BEING REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST. THIS
WILL LIKELY HAVE TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WITH
TWEEKS TO THE MIN T GRID AS NEEDED AS WELL. THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST SEEMS TO BE WELL ON TRACK FOR THE NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES. WILL LET THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA
EXPIRE AT 1AM DUE TO THE LACK OF WINDS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 833 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015

AFTER LOOKING AT SOME OF THE LATEST MODEL DATA...ALL OF WHICH IS
SUPPORTING THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE DOCKING ITSELF RIGHT OVER
OUR CWA OVERNIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING...THERE IS QUITE A LOT
OF AGREEMENT THAT TEMPS COULD ACTUALLY FALL SEVERAL MORE DEGREES
THAN WHAT WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS.
THIS IS GOING TO BE A DYNAMIC SITUATION...WITH QUITE A LOT OF
VARIANCE FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION...BUT DO AGREE WITH THE
DOWNWARD TREND. AS SUCH...DID GO AHEAD AND COORDINATE WITH SOME
SURROUNDING OFFICES TO LOWER TEMPS INTO THE NIGHT. THE STRONG
SURGE OF SOUTHERLY AIR DURING THE DAY TOMORROW IS NOW POINTING AT
EVEN WARMER TEMPS MAKING IT INTO THE CWA BY EVENING. AGREE WITH
PREVIOUS FORECAST THAT SNOWPACK WILL DO A LOT TO HAMPER THESE
WARMER TEMPS...BUT WAS INCLINED BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
CONSENSUS TO RAISE TEMPS JUST A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS THE REGION.

THE COLDER TREND OVERNIGHT...AS WELL AS MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM
CONDITIONS...HAVE RAISED SEVERAL CONCERNS BETWEEN NEIGHBORING
OFFICES. OBVIOUSLY A COLDER TREND IN TEMPS WILL MEAN A COLDER
TREND IN APPARENT TEMPERATURES. SOME OF OUR COLDEST APPARENT TEMPS
MAY ACTUALLY BE FELT AFTER THE ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED AT 6Z.
HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD BETWEEN 6 AND
12Z...WINDS WILL BE NEARLY CALM IN MOST SPOTS. SO THIS POSES THE
QUESTION...IS IT REALLY A WIND CHILL...OR JUST OVERALL COLD TEMPS
WHICH WOULD NOT WARRANT AN EXTENSION OF THE ADVISORY. HAVE CHOSEN
TO KEEP THE ADVISORY IN IT/S PREVIOUS STATE...WITH NO CHANGES AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015

CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA FEATURE SOME LOW LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND
SOME FLURRIES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY HAS
REALLY DIED DOWN OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS SO MAY GO WITH SOME
ISOLATED FLURRIES THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE OUT WEST WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST THIS EVENING EVENTUALLY LEADING TO CLEAR
SKIES TONIGHT. STRONG WEST WINDS AHEAD OF THIS HIGH WILL DECREASE
HEADING INTO THE NIGHT AND LEADING TO LIGHT WINDS OVER EASTERN
KENTUCKY. WITH THE SNOW PACK ADDING TO THE COLD...THIS ARCTIC AIR
WILL LEAD TO SOME OF THE COLDEST LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT IN TWO
DECADES ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. WHILE WIND WILL BE LIGHT
TONIGHT...SOME MINUS 10 TO MINUS 24 DEGREE WIND CHILL VALUES WILL
BE POSSIBLE AND SO WILL LET THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY RUN THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT. SOME OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS TONIGHT COULD FALL TO
MINUS 20. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SPS TO HIGHLIGHT THESE IMPACTS AS
WELL.

HEADING INTO THE DAY ON FRIDAY...THE VALLEYS IN THE SOUTHWEST
PORTIONS OF THE AREA SHOULD HAVE NO ISSUE WITH HAVING SOME WARMER
TEMPERATURES GETTING INTO THE AREA BUT ONLY ENOUGH ADVECTION FOR
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WHILE THERE IS SOME SNOWPACK
THERE...IT IS NOT QUITE AS THICK AS NORTHER PORTIONS OF THE CWA
ESPECIALLY THE DEEPER VALLEYS OVER THE EAST AND NORTHEAST.
CONCERNING THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM IN THE SOUTH THAT WILL BE THE
MAIN CONCERN OVER THE WEEKEND...THE SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND TRACK EAST ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY. EAST
KENTUCKY WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL SEE PRECIP ARRIVING INTO THE
SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. SOME LOCATIONS IN
THE SOUTHWEST MAY SEE A DUSTING OF SNOW FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE THE
BULK OF THE PRECIP MOVES IN FRIDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY WITH THE
COLDER SURFACE TEMPS AND HIGHS THAT WILL NOT GET ABOVE FREEZING.
THESE CURRENT TRENDS SEEM TO FAVOR THE NAM.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015

COMPLEX FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND. WE HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH FOR OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET PUNCHING
WARM AIR ALOFT OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY BY LATE SATURDAY. WE GO INTO
THE SYSTEM SO COLD HOWEVER...AND 12Z MODELS TRENDED A BIT WEAKER
WITH THE SURFACE LOW AND FURTHER SOUTH. THIS POINTS TO PERHAPS A
LONGER DURATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN INITIALLY.
DECIDED TO BROAD BRUSH AMOUNTS AND TIMING RIGHT NOW AND INSTEAD
HIGHLIGHT POTENTIAL IMPACTS WITH THE WATCH. ALSO CONCERNED THAT
COLD AIR IN OUR VALLEYS WILL BE VERY SLOW TO SCOUR OUT WITH SUCH
AN ENTRENCHED ARCTIC AIRMASS...AND EVEN IF SURFACE TEMPS GO ABOVE
FREEZING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT THAT VERY COLD GROUND TEMPS
WILL ALLOW FREEZING RAIN TO CONTINUE ON UNTREATED ROADS AND
SIDEWALKS...ETC. WE HAVE ALREADY HAD ONE EPISODE OF FREEZING RAIN
WITH SURFACE TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING THIS SEASON...AND THE ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS WERE NOT NEARLY AS COLD. THE COLDER TREND WITH THE 12Z
GUIDANCE ALSO LENDS SUPPORT TO A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM THREAT.

REGARDING HYDRO CONCERNS...THE COLDER TREND IN THE GUIDANCE DOES
LESSEN THE FLOOD THREAT BUT DOES NOT ENTIRELY RULE IT OUT. BASED
ON EARLIER COORDINATION WITH THE OHRFC...THEIR MODELING DOES NOT
ENTIRELY WIPE OUT OUR SNOW PACK EVEN AFTER THE SYSTEM EXITS SO
CONSIDERABLE WATER STAYS BOUND IN THE SNOW PACK. WHILE SOME URBAN
AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING MAY OCCUR AND STRONG RISES ARE FORECAST
ON OUR RIVERS...DO NOT FEEL THE FLOOD THREAT IS ENOUGH TO WARRANT
A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME. ANY FLOOD CONCERNS WOULD NOT OCCUR
UNTIL LATE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT AT THE EARLIEST SO STILL
PLENTY OF TIME TO MONITOR MODEL TRENDS THERE.

BY 12Z SUNDAY THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP SHOULD BE STARTING TO PUSH
EWD OUT OF THE REGION. AS THE COLD FRONT DRIVES THROUGH EASTERN
KENTUCKY THE RAIN WILL TRANSITION BACK OVER TO SNOW AS THE COLD AIR
FILTERS BACK INTO THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION WITH LEFT OVER MOISTURE
KEEPING JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. WE WILL THEN SEE CLEARING AS WE HEAD INTO TUESDAY
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. HOWEVER THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS YET
ANOTHER ARCTIC COLD FRONT TRAVERSES ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS IS WHERE THE MODELS DIFFER WITH
THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM INTERACTIONS AND CONSEQUENTLY THEIR
PRECIP. IT DOES LOOK LIKE THINGS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SEE MOSTLY
SNOW OR A BRIEF RAIN/SNOW MIX. SO FOR NOW HAVE KEPT SLIGHT CHANCES
IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA. THE EXTENDED PERIOD
ROUNDS OUT NICELY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH PRESSURE AND QUIET
WEATHER ON THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. THE COLDEST NIGHT WILL BE ON TUESDAY
MORNING WITH LOWS DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN THE NORTH AND IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 218 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL HOLD ON THROUGH THE DAY...HOWEVER CEILINGS
WILL BE LOWERING WITH TIME...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW AND POSSIBLE
MVFR CONDITIONS THREATENING TOWARDS THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 5 KTS OR LESS...GENERALLY BECOMING MORE OUT
OF THE SOUTH.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR KYZ044-
050>052.

&&

UPDATE...GEOGERIAN
SHORT TERM...SHALLENBERGER
LONG TERM...ABE/JVM
AVIATION...GEOGERIAN
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 2:08 AM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
208 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-201200-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-
MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...
WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE...GEORGETOWN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...
FINCASTLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
208 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET WELL INTO THE NEGATIVE
TEENS...CREATING A THREAT TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS WHO MAY BE
OUTSIDE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. THE
COMBINATION OF FALLING RAIN AND MELTING SNOW AS WELL AS ICE ON
AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS COULD EVENTUALLY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING
THIS WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS AND
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF COLLAPSE
ON WEAK STRUCTURES.

SNOW IS POSSIBLE FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...AND
AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ON FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

KYZ044-050>052-201200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
208 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

FRIGID TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -10
AND -20 OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WILL
PLUMMET WELL INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS...CREATING A THREAT TO PEOPLE
AND ANIMALS WHO MAY BE OUTSIDE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. THE
COMBINATION OF FALLING RAIN AND MELTING SNOW AS WELL AS ICE ON
AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS COULD EVENTUALLY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING
THIS WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...DEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON ROOFS AND
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN ROOF COLLAPSE
ON WEAK STRUCTURES.

SNOW IS POSSIBLE FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...AND
AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ON FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

SHALLENBERGER/ABE/GEOGERIAN

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Kentucky, 2015Every winter storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.