Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Jackson, KY

719 
WWUS43 KJKL 182041
WSWJKL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
341 PM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...SNOW SHOWERS TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING BUT FRIGID WIND CHILLS
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.BEHIND A ARCTIC COLD FRONT...SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH TO
FLURRIES THROUGH THE EVENING. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END DURING
THE EVENING. HOWEVER...THE FLUFFY NATURE OF THE SNOW WILL ALLOW
FOR AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

THE COMBINATION OF FALLING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND WINDS 10 TO 15 
MPH WILL CREATE WIND CHILL READINGS BETWEEN -15 AND -30 FROM
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT THEY WILL NOT BE AS LOW FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

KYZ108>115-118-120-190445-
/O.CAN.KJKL.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150219T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WC.W.0001.150219T0000Z-150219T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WC.Y.0004.150219T1800Z-150220T1300Z/
/O.EXA.KJKL.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150219T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KJKL.WC.Y.0003.150218T2041Z-150219T0000Z/
WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-LETCHER-
PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...FINCASTLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...JENKINS...
WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...FLEMING-NEON...PIKEVILLE
341 PM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY. IN ADDITION...A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM
THURSDAY TO 8 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND GRADUALLY TAPER TO
  FLURRIES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS..LOCALLY UP TO 2 INCHES IN SNOW SHOWERS.

* SEVERAL ROADS WILL REMAIN SNOW OR SLUSH COVER IN MANY LOCATIONS
  THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS...AND IT WILL LIKELY TAKE LONGER TO REACH YOUR
  DESTINATION. TRAVEL ON SECONDARY AND RURAL ROADS MAY BE
  TREACHEROUS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED.

* AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO TO AROUND
  10 DEGREE BELOW ZERO TONIGHT...PERSISTENT COLD NORTHWEST WINDS
  WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -15 AND -30. LOW WIND CHILLS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT THEY WILL NOT BE AS
  LOW FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

* THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS 
  CONDITIONS FOR PEOPLE AND ANIMALS THAT ARE OUTDOORS AND COULD 
  LEAD TO WATER PIPES BURSTING IN LOCATIONS WHERE THEY ARE NOT 
  WELL PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

KYZ058-059-069-190445-
/O.CAN.KJKL.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WC.W.0001.150218T2041Z-150219T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KJKL.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150219T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KJKL.WC.Y.0003.150219T1800Z-150220T1300Z/
ESTILL-POWELL-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE
341 PM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 8 AM
EST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY. A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND GRADUALLY TAPER TO
  FLURRIES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS..LOCALLY UP TO 1 INCH IN SNOW SHOWERS.

* SEVERAL ROADS WILL REMAIN SNOW OR SLUSH COVERED IN MANY
  LOCATIONS THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...AND IT WILL LIKELY TAKE LONGER TO
  REACH YOUR DESTINATION. TRAVEL ON SECONDARY AND RURAL ROADS MAY
  BE TREACHEROUS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED.

* AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO TO AROUND
  10 DEGREE BELOW ZERO TONIGHT...PERSISTENT COLD NORTHWEST WINDS
  WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -15 AND -30. LOW WIND CHILLS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT THEY WILL NOT BE AS
  LOW FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

* THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR PEOPLE AND ANIMALS THAT ARE OUTDOORS AND COULD
  LEAD TO WATER PIPES BURSTING IN LOCATIONS WHERE THEY ARE NOT
  WELL PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

KYZ085>088-104-106-107-116-117-119-190445-
/O.NEW.KJKL.WC.W.0001.150219T0000Z-150219T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WC.Y.0004.150219T1800Z-150220T1300Z/
/O.EXT.KJKL.WC.Y.0003.150218T2041Z-150219T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150219T0600Z/
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-CLAY-LESLIE-
MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE...GEORGETOWN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
INEZ...WARFIELD
341 PM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND GRADUALLY TAPER TO
  FLURRIES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS..LOCALLY UP TO 1 INCH IN SNOW SHOWERS.

* SEVERAL ROADS WILL REMAIN SNOW OR SLUSH COVERED IN MANY
  LOCATIONS THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...AND IT WILL LIKELY TAKE LONGER TO
  REACH YOUR DESTINATION. TRAVEL ON SECONDARY AND RURAL ROADS MAY
  BE TREACHEROUS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED.

* AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO TO AROUND
  10 DEGREE BELOW ZERO TONIGHT...PERSISTENT COLD NORTHWEST WINDS
  WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -15 AND -30. LOW WIND CHILLS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT THEY WILL NOT BE AS
  LOW FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

* THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR PEOPLE AND ANIMALS THAT ARE OUTDOORS AND COULD
  LEAD TO WATER PIPES BURSTING IN LOCATIONS WHERE THEY ARE NOT
  WELL PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

KYZ044-050>052-060-068-079-080-083-084-190445-
/O.NEW.KJKL.WC.W.0001.150218T2041Z-150219T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KJKL.WC.Y.0003.150219T1800Z-150220T1300Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150219T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-LAUREL-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...SOMERSET...
LONDON...MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
341 PM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 8 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND GRADUALLY TAPER TO
  FLURRIES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS..LOCALLY UP TO 1 INCH IN SNOW SHOWERS.

* SEVERAL ROADS WILL REMAIN SNOW OR SLUSH COVERED IN MANY
  LOCATIONS THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...AND IT WILL LIKELY TAKE LONGER TO
  REACH YOUR DESTINATION. TRAVEL ON SECONDARY AND RURAL ROADS MAY
  BE TREACHEROUS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED.

* AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO TO AROUND
  10 DEGREE BELOW ZERO TONIGHT...PERSISTENT COLD NORTHWEST WINDS
  WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -15 AND -30. LOW WIND CHILLS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT THEY WILL NOT BE AS
  LOW FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

* THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR PEOPLE AND ANIMALS THAT ARE OUTDOORS AND COULD
  LEAD TO WATER PIPES BURSTING IN LOCATIONS WHERE THEY ARE NOT
  WELL PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

JP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
640 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 640 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

SNOW NOW OVERSPREADING THE AREA. MESSY ROAD BEING REPORTED ACROSS
CENTRAL KENTUCKY WITH A SOLID INCH TO TWO INCHES ALREADY BEING
REPORTED. UPDATED TO FRESHEN UP THE HOURLY GRIDS.
OTHERWISE...EVERYTHING IS ON TRACK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 327 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

A SHARP MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...
BRINGING A SWATH OF SNOW TO THE AREA THIS MORNING. PER RADAR
IMAGERY...SNOW IS JUST NOW PUSHING INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY (BETWEEN
LEXINGTON AND LOUISVILLE)...WITH SOME FLURRIES OUT AHEAD OF THE
MAIN BATCH OF PRECIPITATION. THE RADAR TRENDS TEND TO MATCH THE
LATEST HRRR/RAP FAIRLY WELL..SO WILL RELY ON THESE MODELS TO TIME
STUFF THROUGH THIS MORNING. NO CHANGES MADE TO THE SNOW FORECAST
AS FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK. WHILE THE SNOW SHOULD COVER THE
AREA THIS MORNING...THE MORE SIGNIFICANT CONCERNS WILL COME THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING DEPARTS...AN
ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTH WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING AND
STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING. LAPSE RATES WILL BECOME VERY STEEP FROM
SFC-700MB. WITH THE -20 HEIGHT FALLING TO AROUND 850MB...THIS WILL
SET THE STAGE FOR SNOW SQUALLS ACROSS THE REGION WITH WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS AND A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GIVEN THE HEIGHT OF
THE -20C LAYER AND THE EXPECTED CONVECTIVE NATURE OF SNOW...HAVE
INTRODUCED SOME ISOLATED THUNDER. THE SNOW THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE LIGHT AND FLUFFY AND PRONE TO BLOWING AND
DRIFTING WHICH WILL CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR THOSE OUT DRIVING AROUND
THIS AFTERNOON. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY AS EVERYTHING REMAINS ON TRACK FOR SOME ROUGH CONDITIONS
TODAY.

THE GUSTY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...EVENTUALLY
TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...AS SNOW IS ENDING...
COLD WEATHER IS STREAMING INTO THE AREA AND WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
A VERY COLD STRETCH OF WEATHER. LOWS BY THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE
BELOW ZERO. THIS COMBINED WITH THE WINDS...WILL PUT WIND CHILLS
BETWEEN -10F AND -20F TONIGHT. FOR THIS REASON...WILL BE HOISTING
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE AREA. WHILE FLURRIES MAY PERSIST ON
THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD BE GONE.
HOWEVER...IT WILL REMAIN FRIGID AND WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH
THE DAY...SO THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL RUN THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY EVENING...BEFORE WINDS BEGIN TO SETTLE DOWN HEADING INTO
TOMORROW NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 620 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...COLDEST TEMPERATURES IN TWO DECADES POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER STORM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...

THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE PATTERN CHANGE ALOFT
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS A DEEP TROUGH RETREATS TO THE
NORTHEAST REPLACED BY DEEP LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW. AS THIS OCCURS...
PLENTY OF MID LEVEL ENERGY WILL CROSS THE AREA ACCOMPANYING THE
HEIGHT RISES...THOUGH THE CORE WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE REGION QUICKER IN THE
ECMWF THAN THE GFS. THE LATTER TAKES A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF ITS
WAVE/S ENERGY THROUGH KENTUCKY SUNDAY NIGHT IN CONTRAST TO THE
WEAKER...QUICKER AND MORE NORTHERN ECMWF. THROUGH THIS PROCESS THE
WHOLE PATTERN BUCKLES WITH BROAD TROUGHING STRETCHED FROM THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE CONTINENT TO THE FAR WEST. THIS WILL
BRING PACIFIC MOISTURE THROUGH THE BREADTH OF THE COUNTRY AND INTO
THIS AREA IN ADDITION TO AMPLE GULF MOISTURE. EVENTUALLY THE
TROUGH AXIS THINS OUT AND LAYS EAST TO WEST OVER THE AREA
MAINTAINING THE ENERGY FLOW THROUGH THIS PART OF THE OHIO VALLEY
THROUGH MONDAY. THE MODEL SPREAD CONTINUES TO INCREASE WITH TIME
SO THAT BY 00Z WEDNESDAY THE ECMWF DEPICTS A VERY DEEP TROUGH
MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST IN CONTRAST TO MUCH
WEAKER TROUGHING OVER THE REGION FROM THE GFS. GIVEN THIS
UNCERTAINTY...HAVE AGAIN FAVORED A GENERAL MODEL BLEND WITH A LEAN
TOWARD THE ECMWF FOR DETAILS...BUT THE GFS SOLUTION NEEDS TO BE
GIVEN SOME CONSIDERATION IF ONLY FOR ITS EXTREME POTENTIAL.

SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A BITTERLY COLD NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...THE LIKES OF WHICH WE HAVE NOT SEEN IN OVER 20 YEARS.
THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR TEMPERATURES TO BOTTOM OUT TO MINUS
TWENTY OR LOWER SHOULD SKIES BE CLEAR LONG ENOUGH AND WINDS
CALM...GIVEN THE DEEP SNOWPACK IN PLACE. AFTER THIS EXTREME COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL ATTEMPT MODERATE INTO THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE
NEXT LOW. HOWEVER...THE COLD AIR WILL BE INITIALLY HARD TO
DISLODGE AND SET THE STAGE FOR A CLASH OF AIR MASSES FED BY
SOUTHWEST FLOW FROM BOTH THE PACIFIC AND THE GULF OF MEXICO.
ACCORDINGLY...THERE IS HEIGHTENED CONCERN FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT
WINTER PCPN EVENT STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT AND LASTING INTO THE DAY
SATURDAY. THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES MAKE FOR A DIFFICULT AND LOWER
CONFIDENCE FORECAST. THE ECMWF SUGGESTS MORE IN THE WAY OF SNOW
AND SLEET BEFORE A MORE BRIEF TRANSITION TO RAIN BY AFTERNOON AND
THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...THE GFS IS MORE ROBUST
AND SUSTAINED WITH THE SYSTEM ITSELF AND ALSO BRINGS UP WARMER AIR
AND MORE IN THE WAY OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS FOR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WITH SUCH A WARM SURGE...A PERIOD OF FREEZING
RAIN WILL BE A CONCERN FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING DURING THE TRANSITION...AS WELL. ADDITIONALLY...FLOODING
DUE TO THE RAINS AND MELTING SNOW WILL BE A RISK OVER THE WEEKEND.
FOR THIS REASON...WILL ISSUE AN SPS TO ADDRESS THE MESS AHEAD OF
US. THINGS SHOULD SETTLE SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE START OF NEXT WEEK WITH A RENEWED SURGE OF COLDER AIR IN THE
WAKE OF THE WEEKEND SYSTEM. THE ECMWF...MORE SO THAN THE MORE
BENIGN GFS...SUGGESTS THAT A SNOW THREAT WILL REDEVELOP MONDAY
AHEAD OF A ANOTHER ARCTIC PUSH TO CLOSE OUT THE EXTENDED PORTION
OF THE FORECAST.

GIVEN THE MODEL DIFFERENCES...ESPECIALLY FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER
THIS WEEKEND AND BEYOND...THE CR BLENDER GRIDS MAY NOT REPRESENT
THE BEST SOLUTION...BUT ONE OF LEAST REGRETS AND MIDDLE OF THE
ROAD. AS SUCH...HAVE MADE SOME TWEAKS TO HEDGE MORE TOWARD THE
ECMWF SCENARIO. ALSO...WENT FOR THE RECORD SETTING COLD FRIDAY
MORNING WITH THE GRIDS...IGNORING THE MILDER MOS GUIDANCE IN FAVOR
OF THE RAW MODEL DATA...DUE TO THE SNOW COVER AND HISTORIC NATURE
OF THIS AIR MASS. OTHERWISE...ONLY MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD...MAINLY TO ADD TERRAIN DETAILS
AT NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 640 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

A POTENT WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING...BRINGING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION. MVFR CIGS
WILL SET IN QUICKLY THIS MORNING IF THEY HAVE NOT ALREADY. THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOULD EXIT BY MIDDAY...BUT MOISTURE FROM THE
GREAT LAKES WILL INTERACT WITH A SECONDARY DISTURBANCE PUSHING
ACROSS THE AREA...TO YIELD CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THESE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CAUSE NEAR
WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES AND BE VERY DANGEROUS FOR TAKE OFFS
AND LANDINGS. THESE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE INTERMITTENT THROUGH
EARLY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING TO WEAKER SNOW SHOWERS FOR
TONIGHT. WINDS IN AND AROUND THE SNOW SQUALLS COULD ALSO GUST TO
30 MPH AT TIMES.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR KYZ044-
050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084.

WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-
106>120.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR KYZ085>088-
104-106>120.

&&

UPDATE...KAS
SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM...GREIF
AVIATION...KAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
443 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-191245-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...PLEASUREVILLE...
MOUNT STERLING...JEFFERSONVILLE...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...STANTON...CLAY CITY...WELLINGTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...BRODHEAD...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...PINE KNOT...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
443 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. SNOW SQUALLS WILL OCCUR
FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND WILL
BRING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF
THUNDER. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND PERSISTENT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE
DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -10 AND -20 TONIGHT. A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED TO COVER THESE THREATS...PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND PERSISTENT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -10 AND -20 THROUGH
THURSDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED...PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION. BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW MAY OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
MORNING...ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. ANY
MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN ON SATURDAY AND THIS COULD
EVENTUALLY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. THEN SNOW IS POSSIBLE AGAIN
AT TIMES MAINLY FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

KYZ085>088-104-106>120-191245-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-
FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-
PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...PROVIDENCE...
BARBOURVILLE...NORTH CORBIN...PINEVILLE...GEORGETOWN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...UNION...BEATTYVILLE...
FINCASTLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...MCROBERTS...
FLEMING-NEON...INEZ...WARFIELD...PIKEVILLE
443 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. SNOW SQUALLS WILL OCCUR
FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND WILL
BRING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF
THUNDER. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND PERSISTENT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE
DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -10 AND -20 TONIGHT. A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED TO COVER THESE THREATS...PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND PERSISTENT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -10 AND -20 THROUGH
THURSDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED...PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION. BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW MAY OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
MORNING...ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. ANY
MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN ON SATURDAY AND THIS COULD
EVENTUALLY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. THEN SNOW IS POSSIBLE AGAIN
AT TIMES MAINLY FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

KAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
843 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     SNOW             IDA MAY                 37.52N 83.77W
02/18/2015  M1.0 INCH        LEE                KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
901 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0824 AM     SNOW             2 WNW BEATTYVILLE       37.59N 83.74W
02/18/2015  M2.8 INCH        LEE                KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.8 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT. 14 INCHES ON THE GROUND.

&&

DSTAMPER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1030 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

KYZ069-080-085>088-106>120-181700-
WOLFE-KNOTT-BELL-HARLAN-CLAY-BREATHITT-JOHNSON-WHITLEY-JACKSON-KNOX-
FLOYD-LEE-LAUREL-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-MORGAN-LESLIE-LETCHER-OWSLEY-PIKE-
PERRY-
1030 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

...A LINE OF DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALLS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF EASTERN
KENTUCKY THROUGH NOON...

AT 1026 AM EST...A LINE OF DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALLS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM HALEBURG TO CORNELIUS TO NEAR KRUPP...AND MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF INTENSE
SNOW SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LONDON...PIKEVILLE...WILLIAMSBURG...HAZARD...PAINTSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...JACKSON...WHITESBURG...SALYERSVILLE...
HARLAN...PINEVILLE...MANCHESTER...HINDMAN...HYDEN...BOONEVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...WARREN...GEORGETOWN AND LINCOLN.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 BERT T. COMBS MOUNTAIN PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 59 AND 76.
 HAL ROGERS PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 59.
 INTERSTATE 75 IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 6 AND
41.
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 3 IN FLOYD COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 4.
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 3 IN JOHNSON COUNTY  KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 3 IN MARTIN
COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 7.
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 80 IN FLOYD COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 14.
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 80 IN KNOTT COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 20.
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 80 IN LAUREL COUNTY NEAR MILE MARKER 11.
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 80 IN PERRY COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 9 AND 15.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 119 IN PIKE COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 23.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 23 IN FLOYD COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 21.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 23 IN JOHNSON COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 12.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 23 IN LETCHER COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 6 AND 7.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 23 IN PIKE COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 32.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 25 EAST IN BELL COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 18.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 25 EAST IN KNOX COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 26.
 U.S. HIGHWAY 25 EAST IN LAUREL COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 2.

VISIBILITIES WILL DROP QUICKLY TO NEAR ZERO IN THESE DANGEROUS
SQUALLS.

USE EXTRA CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THIS
DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL. RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND POTENTIALLY
SLICK ROADS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ACCIDENTS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL
UNTIL THE SQUALL PASSES YOUR LOCATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. PLEASE MONITOR
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR FURTHER
STATEMENTS.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS. BE
PREPARED FOR SNOW OR ICE COVERED ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA
TIME WHEN TRAVELING.

LAT...LON 3670 8432 3676 8433 3729 8404 3796 8306
      3775 8232 3767 8230 3762 8221 3765 8218
      3756 8210 3703 8292 3674 8318 3667 8353
      3659 8368
TIME...MOT...LOC 1526Z 286DEG 31KT 3789 8311 3730 8400 3677 8430

RAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1038 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 AM     SNOW             2 E BULAN               37.30N 83.13W
02/18/2015  M2.6 INCH        PERRY              KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            2.6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW NEAR BULAN.

&&

GREIF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1041 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 AM     SNOW             4 ESE STANTON           37.82N 83.79W
02/18/2015  M2.1 INCH        POWELL             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.1 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED NEAR STANTON.

&&

GREIF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1059 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     SNOW             2 WNW BEATTYVILLE       37.59N 83.74W
02/18/2015  M3.6 INCH        LEE                KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            3.6 INCHES NEW SNOW FOR A GROUND TOTAL OF 15.1 INCHES.

&&

JCARICO