River Flood Warning 8, NWS Jackson, KY

718 
WGUS83 KJKL 042243
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
543 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  The Cumberland River at Baxter 

  The Cumberland River at Pineville 

  The Cumberland River at Barbourville 

  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 10 AM Thursday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC095-051043-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0008.150305T0600Z-150305T1200Z/
/BXTK2.1.ER.150305T0600Z.150305T0600Z.150305T0600Z.NO/
543 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Baxter.
* from late tonight to Thursday morning.
* at 5:30 pm Wednesday the approximate stage was near 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest right around the flood
  stage of 16.0 feet overnight. 
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3691 8312 3680 8346 3687 8350 3700 8317


$$

KYC013-051043-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0009.150305T0228Z-150306T1002Z/
/PVLK2.1.ER.150305T0228Z.150305T1800Z.150306T0402Z.NO/
543 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Pineville.
* from this evening to late Thursday night.
* at 4:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 998.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 1002 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage overnight and 
  continue to rise to near 1007 feet by early Thursday afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday evening.
* At 1006 feet...Fourmile Road floods.

&&


LAT...LON 3680 8346 3668 8370 3679 8383 3685 8374
      3680 8366 3688 8350             

$$

KYC121-051043-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0007.150305T0136Z-150306T2217Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.150305T0136Z.150305T1800Z.150306T1617Z.NO/
543 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* from this evening to Friday afternoon.
* at 5:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage overnight and 
  continue to rise to near 36.7 feet by early Thursday afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage by late Friday morning.
* At 36.6 feet...Roads begin flooding in Heidrick. Homes begin 
  flooding on South Main.

&&


LAT...LON 3685 8374 3693 8389 3680 8407 3670 8407
      3681 8389 3679 8383             

$$

KYC235-051043-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0006.150305T0740Z-150308T1953Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.150305T0740Z.150307T0600Z.150308T1353Z.NO/
543 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* from late tonight to Sunday afternoon.
* at 5:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage overnight and 
  continue to rise to near 28.3 feet by early Saturday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Low lying areas along George Hayes Road flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3680 8407 3681 8426 3698 8429 3697 8443
      3672 8437 3670 8407             

$$

036 
WGUS43 KJKL 050333
FLWJKL
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 
1033 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to
Moderate Severity for the following rivers in Kentucky...
  
  The Cumberland River at Baxter

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 10 AM Thursday.

&&

KYC095-051533-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150305T1912Z/
/BXTK2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150305T0600Z.150305T1312Z.NO/
1033 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Cumberland River at Baxter.
* At 10 pm...the approximate stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding
  is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will rise to a crest of around 19 feet 
  overnight. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Several local roads are closed.

&&


LAT...LON 3691 8312 3680 8346 3687 8350 3700 8317


$$

309 
WGUS43 KJKL 050633
FLWJKL
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 
133 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015


...Observed Flooding Changed from Moderate to
Major Severity for the following rivers in Kentucky...

The Cumberland River at Baxter

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 10 AM Thursday.

&&

KYC095-051833-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150305T1912Z/
/BXTK2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150305T0600Z.150305T1312Z.NO/
133 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...Observed flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Cumberland River at Baxter.
* at 1:00 AM Thursday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and expected to continue overnight.
* Forecast...The river will crest at a stage of 21.6 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Several local roads are closed, including Kentucky
  Highway 413.

&&


LAT...LON 3691 8312 3680 8346 3687 8350 3700 8317


$$

873 
WGUS83 KJKL 050736
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
236 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Cumberland River at Baxter 
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville 
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg 
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  The Cumberland River at Pineville 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 1 pm Thursday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC095-051936-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150306T0131Z/
/BXTK2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150305T1200Z.150305T1931Z.NO/
236 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Baxter.
* at 1:00 AM Thursday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Several local roads are closed, including Kentucky Highway 413.

&&


LAT...LON 3691 8312 3680 8346 3687 8350 3700 8317


$$

KYC013-051936-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150306T1236Z/
/PVLK2.2.ER.150305T0014Z.150305T1200Z.150306T0636Z.NO/
236 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Pineville.
* at 1:30 AM Thursday the stage was 1013 feet.
* Flood stage is 1002 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1013 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* At 1013 feet...Flooding threatens US 25 E, Stewart Branch Road and 
  Wallsend.

&&


LAT...LON 3680 8346 3668 8370 3679 8383 3685 8374
      3680 8366 3688 8350             

$$

KYC121-051936-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150306T2156Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.150305T0453Z.150306T0000Z.150306T1556Z.NO/
236 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* at 1:30 AM Thursday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.2 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late 
  morning.
* At 36.6 feet...Roads begin flooding in Heidrick. Homes begin 
  flooding on South Main.

&&


LAT...LON 3685 8374 3693 8389 3680 8407 3670 8407
      3681 8389 3679 8383             

$$

KYC235-051936-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150308T1815Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.150305T0314Z.150307T0600Z.150308T1215Z.NO/
236 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* at 2:00 AM Thursday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Flooding threatens many homes and businesses. Roads 
  begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. Major flooding 
  threatens downtown area.

&&


LAT...LON 3680 8407 3681 8426 3698 8429 3697 8443
      3672 8437 3670 8407             

$$

080 
WGUS83 KJKL 050819
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
319 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Cumberland River at Baxter 
  The Cumberland River at Pineville 
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville 
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 1pm Thursday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC095-052130-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150305T2130Z/
/BXTK2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150305T0600Z.150305T1524Z.NO/
319 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Baxter.
* at 1:00 AM Thursday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Several local roads are closed...including Kentucky Highway 413.

&&


LAT...LON 3691 8312 3680 8346 3687 8350 3700 8317


$$

KYC013-052319-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150306T1330Z/
/PVLK2.2.ER.150305T0014Z.150305T1800Z.150306T0728Z.NO/
319 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Pineville.
* at 2:30 AM Thursday the stage was 1014 feet.
* Flood stage is 1002 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1015 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* At 1013 feet...Flooding threatens US 25 E, Stewart Branch Road and 
  Wallsend.

&&


LAT...LON 3680 8346 3668 8370 3679 8383 3685 8374
      3680 8366 3688 8350             

$$

KYC121-052319-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150306T2300Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.150305T0453Z.150306T0000Z.150306T1650Z.NO/
319 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* at 2:30 AM Thursday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.2 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late 
  morning.
* At 36.6 feet...Roads begin flooding in Heidrick. Homes begin 
  flooding on South Main.

&&


LAT...LON 3685 8374 3693 8389 3680 8407 3670 8407
      3681 8389 3679 8383             

$$

KYC235-052319-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150308T1815Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.150305T0314Z.150307T0600Z.150308T1215Z.NO/
319 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* at 3:00 AM Thursday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Flooding threatens many homes and businesses. Roads 
  begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. Major flooding 
  threatens downtown area.

&&


LAT...LON 3680 8407 3681 8426 3698 8429 3697 8443
      3672 8437 3670 8407             

$$

832 
WGUS83 KJKL 051459
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
959 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Kentucky...
 
  The Cumberland River at Baxter
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

This will be the final statement concerning the Cumberland River at
Baxter.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC095-051529-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150305T2130Z/
/BXTK2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150305T0600Z.150305T1343Z.NO/
959 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Cumberland River at Baxter.
* at 9:30 AM Thursday the approximate stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage early this morning.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.0 feet by 
  Friday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3691 8312 3680 8346 3687 8350 3700 8317


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1015 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1015 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

NOT MUCH TO UPDATE THIS MORNING AS RAIN CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS
THE AREA. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. JUST CHECKED TO SEE
HOW MORNING MODEL RUNS INITIALIZED AND THEY APPEAR TO HAVE A
DECENT HANDLE AT THINGS PRESENTLY...ALTHOUGH THE NAM WAS SEVERAL
DEGREES COLDER AT 850MB AT NASHVILLE THAN THE OBSERVED SOUNDING
INDICATED. GFS ON THE OTHER HAND WAS SPOT ON. STARTING TO SEE A
FEW STATIONS REPORTING FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW IN SOUTHERN INDIANA/
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. OBVIOUSLY WE WILL BE
WATCHING THIS TRANSITION LINE THROUGH THE DAY AS IT SINKS
SOUTHWARD. LOOKS LIKE STATIONS REPORTING 32 DEGREES OR ABOVE HAVE
BEEN MAINLY REPORTING RAIN TO THIS POINT...SO WILL ALSO BE
WATCHING THAT AS IT WILL DETERMINE HOW QUICKLY WE TRANSITION OVER
TONIGHT.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 757 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

JUST SENT OUT A QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST TO REMOVE FOG FROM
THE TODAY PERIOD OF THE ZONES. ALSO FRESHENED UP THE GRIDS WITH
THE LATEST HOURLY OBS DATA. ASIDE FROM THOSE TWO THINGS...THE
FORECAST IS LOOKING PRETTY GOOD SO FAR THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

THE FIRST 36 HOURS OF THE FORECAST CONTINUE TO DEPICT A VERY
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY ON TAP FOR
TODAY...WITH THE FLOODING LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA. ALSO STILL ON
TRACK IS OUR WINTER STORM...WHICH IS STILL ON TRACK TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH A NASTY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW. ALL OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY BE EXPERIENCING SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
BY 8Z THURSDAY. BASED ON THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION OF THE AREA OF
WINTRY PRECIP AS IT MOVES EAST TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW...OUR
FAR EASTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES COULD SEE LIGHT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS FROM FREEZING RAIN. THE MODELS WERE STILL IN A BIT
DISAGREEMENT AS TO HOW STRONG THE WARM NOSE WILL BE WITH THIS
EVENT...BUT ENOUGH EVIDENCE EXISTS TO SUPPORT THE SLIGHTLY
INCREASED ICE TOTALS FOR OUR SOUTH AND EAST. ALSO INCREASED SNOW
TOTALS SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE END OF THE EVENT FOR MOST OF OUR
COUNTIES...AS THE LATEST MODEL TIME HEIGHTS AND SOUNDINGS...THIS
INCLUDES THE NAM12...GFS...AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS...ALL STRONGLY
SUGGESTING THAT THE SNOW WILL LAST A FEW HOURS LONGER ON THURSDAY
THAN ORIGINALLY FORECAST. THAT BEING SAID...OUR EASTERN AND
SOUTHERN COUNTIES MAY SEE ABOUT AN INCH MORE OF SNOW THAN
ORIGINALLY THOUGHT. OVERALL THE WINTER STORM WARNING PRODUCT WILL
NOT CHANGE DRAMATICALLY WITH THE 4 PM FORECAST PACKAGE
ISSUANCE...BUT IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT OVERALL STORM TOTAL SNOW
AND ICE AMOUNTS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER ACROSS THE BOARD. SEE THE
UPDATED WINTER STORM WARNING PRODUCT FOR FORECAST SNOW AND ICE
AMOUNTS.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUITE WARM AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH VALUES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 60S FROM PIKE COUNTY SOUTHWESTWARD TO WAYNE COUNTY. IN
FACT...AS OF THE WRITING OF THIS AFD...MONTICELLO WAS REPORTING A
TEMPERATURE OF 62...LONDON 62...AND THE WHITESBURG MESONET SITE
REPORTING 62 DEGREES. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL
STEADILY ONCE THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH LATER THIS MORNING. THE
COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE A BIT SLOW TO INVADE THE
AREA...WITH A LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY SEEING WELL ABOVE
FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY. IT LOOKS AT
THIS POINT LIKE IT WILL TAKE UNTIL MIDNIGHT OR 1 AM FOR ALL OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY TO BE BELOW FREEZING. OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES WILL
BE COLDEST LONGEST...AND WILL THEREFORE SEE THE MOST SNOW FROM THE
UPCOMING WINTER STORMS. OUR CENTRAL COUNTIES WILL SEE A GOOD DEAL
OF SNOW AS WELL...BUT NOT QUITE AS MUCH AS OUR FAR
NORTHEAST...WITH THE FAR EAST PICKING LESS SNOW AND A BIT MORE
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THE COLD AIR WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN
TO BECOME FIRMLY ENTRENCHED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
LOWS ON THURSDAY SHOULD HAVE NO TROUBLE DROPPING INTO THE MID TO
UPPERS FOR THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. LOCATIONS EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM PAINTSVILLE TO NORTHERN PERRY COUNTY TO
LONDON TO EASTERN WAYNE COUNTY WILL BE SLIGHTLY LESS COLD...WITH
LOWS ON THURSDAY IN THE 20S EXPECTED.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 520 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

THE PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH AN UPPER RIDGE IN THE WESTERN CONUS AND A
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM EASTERN CANADA SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CONUS. THE STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT THE REGION IN THE
NEAR TERM WILL BE DEPARTING EARLY WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BUILDING IN.

AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD PROGRESSES...THE TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN
CANADA AND THE CONUS WILL BECOME MORE BROAD IN NATURE WITH THE
MAIN BAND OF WESTERLIES RETREATING NORTH CLOSER TO THE US/CANADIAN
BORDER. AT THE SFC...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY DOMINATE. THIS
PATTERN SHOULD LEAD TO A GRADUAL MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES TO
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FROM THE WEEKEND THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE MAIN CONCERN IS EARLY IN THE PERIOD IS THE WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OF 20 OR MORE DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. THERE IS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHEN CLEARING OCCURS ON THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT
GUIDANCE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NAM POINTS TOWARD THE COMBINATION
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION AND SEVERAL FRESH
INCHES OF SNOW PACK LEADING TO WIDESPREAD LOW TEMPS FRI MORNING IN
THE 5 BELOW ZERO TO 5 ABOVE ZERO RANGE. CLEARING SHOULD OCCUR
FIRST ACROSS THE NORTH AND THAT AREA SHOULD ALSO HAVE THE MOST
SNOW ON THE GROUND...AND THUS SHOULD BE COLDEST ON FRIDAY MORNING.
HIGHS ON FRIDAY SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

THE VALLEYS WILL HAVE ANOTHER COLD MORNING ON SAT AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEPARTS WITH A RIDGE/VALLEY SPLIT EXPECTED. SOME
SINGLE DIGIT ABOVE ZERO READINGS WOULD AGAIN BE POSSIBLE.
THEN...THE MODERATION BEGINS...WITH UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ON
SATURDAY FOR HIGHS...WHICH ARE STILL ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. FURTHER MODERATION INTO THE 40S FOR ALL AREAS IS EXPECTED
ON SUNDAY. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD FOLLOW FOR MONDAY
HIGHS...WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES BY TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 635 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE FORECAST CONCERN THROUGHOUT
MOST OF THE DAY AT THE TAF SITES. THE RAIN WILL CREATE MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS DEPENDING ON THE INTENSITY OF THE RAIN AND HOW MUCH FOG
IS ABLE TO FORM. THE BIGGEST CONCERN FOR AVIATION INTERESTS WILL
COME FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AS
A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND SNOW MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT SYM AROUND 23Z THIS
EVENING...AND AROUND 2Z AT JKL...LOZ...SME...AND SJS. THE TAF
SITES SHOULD HAVE ALL CHANGED OVER TO SNOW BY 8Z...WITH SYM SEEING
THE SNOW AROUND 5Z. FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT...BUT COULD STILL LEAD TO ICING ISSUES. THE SNOW WILL FALL
HEAVY AT TIMES AND WILL REDUCE VSBYS TO IFR OR EVEN LIFR
LEVELS AT THE AIRPORTS...PARTICULARLY BETWEEN 5 AND 12Z.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-
068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR KYZ044-050>052.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY FOR KYZ058>060-104-106-108-111.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY
FOR KYZ068-069-079-080-083>086-107-109-110-112>117-119-120.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY FOR KYZ087-088-118.

&&

UPDATE...KAS
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...AR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1018 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

KYZ058>060-104-106-108-111-051830-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...
STANTON...FRENCHBURG...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...
BEATTYVILLE
1018 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION. MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINS DURING THE DAY COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING THREATS TODAY
AND TONIGHT. HEAVY WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE WINTER STORM
WARNING PRODUCT AS WELL AS THE FLOOD WATCH AND WARNING PRODUCTS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SNOW FROM A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL WIND DOWN ON THURSDAY. THE
SNOW WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. AVOID UNNECESSARY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IT MAY ALSO LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND
BRANCHES...WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER TO
THE WINTER STORM WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

HIGH WATER WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY ON AREA RIVERS.
PLEASE REFER TO FLOOD WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAIN AND SNOW TOTALS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>086-107-109-110-112>117-119-120-051830-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...
SOUTH WILLIAMSON
1018 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION. MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINS DURING THE DAY COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING THREATS TODAY
AND TONIGHT. HEAVY WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM THIS
EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING
PRODUCT AS WELL AS THE FLOOD WATCH AND WARNING PRODUCTS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SNOW FROM A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL WIND DOWN BY THURSDAY
EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. AVOID
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IT MAY ALSO LEAD TO DOWNED TREES
AND BRANCHES...WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER TO
THE WINTER STORM WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

HIGH WATER WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY ON AREA RIVERS.
PLEASE REFER TO FLOOD WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAIN AND SNOW TOTALS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

KYZ044-050>052-051830-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
1018 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION. MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINS DURING THE DAY COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING THREATS TODAY
AND TONIGHT. HEAVY WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE WINTER STORM
WARNING PRODUCT AS WELL AS THE FLOOD WATCH AND WARNING PRODUCTS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SNOW FROM A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL WIND DOWN ON THURSDAY. THE
SNOW WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. AVOID UNNECESSARY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IT MAY ALSO LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND
BRANCHES...WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER TO
THE WINTER STORM WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

HIGH WATER WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY ON AREA RIVERS.
PLEASE REFER TO FLOOD WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAIN AND SNOW TOTALS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

KYZ087-088-118-051830-
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...
HARLAN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG
1018 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION. MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINS DURING THE DAY COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING THREATS TODAY
AND TONIGHT. WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING
PRODUCT AS WELL AS THE FLOOD WATCH AND WARNING PRODUCTS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SNOW FROM A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL WIND DOWN BY THURSDAY
EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. AVOID
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IT MAY ALSO LEAD TO DOWNED TREES
AND BRANCHES...WITH ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER
TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

HIGH WATER WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY ON AREA RIVERS.
PLEASE REFER TO FLOOD WARNING PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAIN AND SNOW TOTALS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

KAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
729 AM EST WED MAR 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ESE TALBERT           37.41N 83.43W
03/04/2015  M0.90 INCH       BREATHITT          KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OVERNIGHT RAINFALL OF 0.90 INCHES.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
736 AM EST WED MAR 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     DEBRIS FLOW      GRETHEL                 37.49N 82.65W
03/04/2015                   FLOYD              KY   911 CALL CENTER

            TWO MUDSLIDES OCCURRED THIS MORNING ON KY 979 NEAR THE
            COMMUNITY OF GRETHEL.

&&

AR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
740 AM EST WED MAR 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     DEBRIS FLOW      2 E GIFFORD             37.76N 83.09W
03/04/2015                   MAGOFFIN           KY   911 CALL CENTER

            A MUDSLIDE OCCURRED ON KY 2019 IN THE COMMUNITY OF ELK
            CREEK.

&&

AR