Alert archive / Kentucky / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Jackson, KY

March 3, 2015Estill County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this river flood warning at Mar 3, 2015, 11:38 AM EST for Estill County, Kentucky. It took effect at Mar 4, 2015, 2:30 PM EST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 3, 2015, 11:38 AM EST (16:38 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 4, 2015, 2:30 PM EST
Expired
Mar 8, 2015, 6:25 AM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Estill County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kentucky River near Ravenna (RAVK2).

Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
31 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03282120, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

252 
WGUS43 KJKL 031638
FLWJKL
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 
1138 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

...The National Weather Service in Jackson Kentucky has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Kentucky...

  The Kentucky River near Ravenna
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 9 pm Tuesday.

&&

KYC065-040438-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0004.150305T0318Z-150308T0000Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150305T0318Z.150306T1200Z.150307T1800Z.NO/
1138 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

The National Weather Service in Jackson Kentucky has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* from Wednesday evening to Saturday evening.
* at 11:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 28.1 feet by Friday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* At 21.5 feet, Red, Lick, Road, Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow
  Road, Noland Creek Road, and Sang Branch Road are under water.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
14 follow-up statements
484 
WGUS83 KJKL 040231
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
931 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 11 am Wednesday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC129-041431-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0005.150305T1342Z-150307T0700Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150305T1342Z.150306T0600Z.150307T0100Z.NO/
931 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
* from Thursday morning to late Friday night.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by early Friday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 20.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-041431-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.150305T0600Z-150307T1549Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150305T0600Z.150306T0600Z.150307T0949Z.NO/
931 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
* from late Wednesday night to Saturday morning.
* At 9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning 
  and continue to rise to near 25.1 feet by early Friday morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
216 
WGUS83 KJKL 040547
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1247 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  The Cumberland River at Barbourville 
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 1 PM EST on Wednesday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC121-042047-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0007.150305T0410Z-150306T1221Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.150305T0410Z.150305T1800Z.150306T0621Z.NO/
1247 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* from this evening to Friday morning.
* at 11:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will rise above flood stage by late this evening and 
  continue to rise to near 33.0 feet by early afternoon on Thursday. 
  The river will fall below flood stage before sunrise on Friday. 
* At 34.0 feet...flooding threatens homes and businesses in 
  unprotected areas.

&&


LAT...LON 3685 8374 3693 8389 3680 8407 3670 8407
      3681 8389 3679 8383             

$$

KYC235-042047-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0006.150305T1312Z-150308T0336Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.150305T1312Z.150306T1200Z.150307T2136Z.NO/
1247 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* from Thursday morning to Saturday evening.
* at 11:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 27.5 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday evening.

&&


LAT...LON 3680 8407 3681 8426 3698 8429 3697 8443
      3672 8437 3670 8407             

$$

KYC129-042047-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.150305T1342Z-150307T0700Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150305T1342Z.150306T0600Z.150307T0100Z.NO/
1247 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* from Thursday morning to late Friday night.
* at 10:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage around 1 AM EST on Thursday morning 
  and continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by early Friday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late Friday evening.
* At 20.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-042047-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.150305T0600Z-150307T1549Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150305T0600Z.150306T0600Z.150307T0949Z.NO/
1247 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* from late Wednesday night to Saturday morning.
* at 11:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will rise above flood stage after midnight on Thursday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 25.1 feet by early Friday morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage before sunrise on Saturday.
* At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
071 
WGUS83 KJKL 041701
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1201 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 5 PM Wednesday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC129-050501-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.150305T0142Z-150307T0651Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150305T0142Z.150306T0600Z.150307T0051Z.NO/
1201 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* from this evening to late Friday night.
* at 10:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 21.5 feet by early Friday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 20.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-050501-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.150304T1930Z-150307T2220Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1930Z.150306T0600Z.150307T1620Z.NO/
1201 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* at 11:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 28.9 feet by early Friday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* At 21.5 feet, Red, Lick, Road, Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow
  Road, Noland Creek Road, and Sang Branch Road are under water.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
103 
WGUS83 KJKL 042226
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
526 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  The Red River at Clay City 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 10 AM Thursday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC189-051026-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0011.150305T0105Z-150306T1251Z/
/BOOK2.1.ER.150305T0105Z.150305T1800Z.150306T0651Z.NO/
526 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville.
* until Friday morning.
* at 5:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this evening and 
  continue to rise to near 31.3 feet by early Thursday afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3757 8366 3748 8362 3734 8363 3732 8375
      3745 8373 3750 8373             

$$

KYC129-051026-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.150304T2217Z-150307T0900Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150304T2058Z.150305T1800Z.150307T0300Z.NO/
526 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* until late Friday night.
* at 4:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet by 
  early Thursday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Friday night.
* At 20.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-051026-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150307T1945Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150305T1200Z.150307T1345Z.NO/
526 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at  4:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* At 21.5 feet, Red, Lick, Road, Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow
  Road, Noland Creek Road, and Sang Branch Road are under water.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

KYC065-197-051026-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0010.150305T1500Z-150306T1400Z/
/CYCK2.1.ER.150305T1500Z.150306T0000Z.150306T0800Z.NO/
526 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Clay City.
* from Thursday morning to Friday morning.
* at 4:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Thursday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 18.5 feet by Thursday evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Low lying areas flood. Maple Street near the Red 
  River Ranch as well as Pompeii Road off of Highway 15 are 
  impassable.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3788 8367 3783 8340 3775 8343
      3780 8374 3780 8397             

$$
566 
WGUS83 KJKL 050452
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1152 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Red River at Clay City 
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 1 pm Thursday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC189-051952-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-150306T1000Z/
/BOOK2.1.ER.150305T0446Z.150305T1200Z.150306T0304Z.NO/
1152 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville.
* at 11:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.9 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow evening.


&&


LAT...LON 3757 8366 3748 8362 3734 8363 3732 8375
      3745 8373 3750 8373             

$$

KYC129-051952-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150307T1800Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150304T2058Z.150305T1800Z.150307T1048Z.NO/
1152 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* at 10:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.


&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-051952-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150307T1945Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150305T1200Z.150307T1345Z.NO/
1152 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 11:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Major flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

KYC065-197-051952-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0010.150305T1320Z-150306T1400Z/
/CYCK2.1.ER.150305T1320Z.150306T0000Z.150306T0800Z.NO/
1152 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Clay City.
* from Thursday morning to Friday morning.
* at 11:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 18.5 feet by tomorrow evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3788 8367 3783 8340 3775 8343
      3780 8374 3780 8397             

$$
751 
WGUS83 KJKL 051530
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1030 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The North Fork Kentucky River at Hazard 
  The North Fork Kentucky River at Jackson 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 5 PM.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC193-060330-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150306T0712Z/
/HAZK2.1.ER.150305T0604Z.150305T1330Z.150306T0112Z.NO/
1030 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Kentucky River at Hazard.
* at 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will fall below flood 
  stage by this evening.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins in some basements.

&&


LAT...LON 3742 8338 3719 8326 3711 8308 3719 8304
      3726 8318 3747 8329             

$$

KYC025-060330-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150306T1200Z/
/JKNK2.1.ER.150305T2247Z.150306T0000Z.150306T0600Z.NO/
1030 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Kentucky River at Jackson.
* at 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest just above flood stage
  at 29.1 feet early this evening, before falling below
  flood stage tonight.
* At 29.0 feet...Low lying areas flood. Water begins inundating 
  Wolverine Road just north of the Hays Depot Bridge.

&&


LAT...LON 3760 8370 3770 8346 3747 8329 3742 8338
      3758 8349 3753 8364             

$$

KYC129-060330-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150308T0040Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150304T2058Z.150306T0000Z.150307T1840Z.NO/
1030 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* at 9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.1 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Low lying areas flood. 


&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-060330-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T1115Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150305T1800Z.150308T0515Z.NO/
1030 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Red, Lick, Road, Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow
  Road, Noland Creek Road, and Sang Branch Road are under water.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
128 
WGUS83 KJKL 052303
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
603 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The North Fork Kentucky River at Jackson 
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 6 am.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC025-061103-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150307T0036Z/
/JKNK2.1.ER.150305T1750Z.150306T1200Z.150306T1836Z.NO/
603 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Kentucky River at Jackson.
* at 5:00 PM Thursday the stage was 29.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is near cresting, but will continue to run 
  this high will continue rising peaking at about 29.9 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage  
  Friday afternoon.
* At 29.0 feet...Low lying areas flood. Water begins inundating 
  Wolverine Road just north of the hays depot bridge..

&&


LAT...LON 3760 8370 3770 8346 3747 8329 3742 8338
      3758 8349 3753 8364             

$$

KYC051-061103-
/O.ROU.KJKL.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ODAK2.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
603 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

Forecast information for
  South Fork Kentucky River at Oneida.
* at 12:15 PM Thursday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall, 
  reaching near 22.9 feet late this evening.
* At 29.0 feet...Low lying areas flood, several feet of water 
  covering the track area behind the Oneida Baptist Institute.

&&


LAT...LON 3734 8363 3716 8353 3712 8365 3732 8375


$$

KYC189-061103-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-150306T1700Z/
/BOOK2.2.ER.150305T0446Z.150305T2200Z.150306T1100Z.NO/
603 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville.
* at 5:00 PM Thursday the stage was 33.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is near cresting and will remain around 33.0 
  feet through the evening. The river will then fall to below flood 
  stage by early Friday morning.


&&


LAT...LON 3757 8366 3748 8362 3734 8363 3732 8375
      3745 8373 3750 8373             

$$

KYC129-061103-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150307T2308Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150304T2058Z.150306T0000Z.150307T1708Z.NO/
603 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* at 4:45 PM Thursday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is nearing crest around 23.3 feet and will 
  remain near this level through the evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.


&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-061103-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T1400Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T0600Z.150308T0800Z.NO/
603 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 5:15 PM Thursday the stage was 29.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is nearing crest but will continue rising to 
  near 29.5 feet by 1 am Friday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Major flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
GREIF
142 
WGUS43 KJKL 060300
FLWJKL
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 
1000 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to
Major Severity for the following rivers in Kentucky...

The Kentucky River near Ravenna
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 10 am.

&&

KYC065-061500-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T2037Z/
/RAVK2.3.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T1800Z.150308T1437Z.NO/
1000 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 

 The Kentucky River near Ravenna 

* at 7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 29.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest at 31.2 feet by early Friday 
  afternoon. 
* At 31.0 feet...Major flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
543 
WGUS83 KJKL 061124
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
624 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by noon today.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC189-061940-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-150306T1940Z/
/BOOK2.2.ER.150305T0446Z.150306T0115Z.150306T1340Z.NO/
624 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville.
* at 5 AM Friday the stage was 31.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river crested at 33.1 feet early this morning.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  later this morning.

&&


LAT...LON 3757 8366 3748 8362 3734 8363 3732 8375
      3745 8373 3750 8373             

$$

KYC129-062324-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150307T2217Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150304T2058Z.150306T0115Z.150307T1617Z.NO/
624 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* at 5:45 AM Friday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river crested at 23.4 feet early this morning.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Saturday morning.

&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-062324-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T1449Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T1200Z.150308T0849Z.NO/
624 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 5:15 AM Friday the stage was 30.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river is nearing crest.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.2 feet this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Major flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

RAY
391 
WGUS83 KJKL 061744
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1244 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Kentucky...
 
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville 
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  The Red River at Clay City 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 11 pm EST this evening.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC121-070544-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150307T1330Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.150305T0453Z.150306T0830Z.150307T0730Z.NO/
1244 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* at 12:30 PM Friday the stage was 34.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tomorrow.
* At 34.0 feet...Flooding threatens homes and businesses in 
  unprotected areas.

&&

LAT...LON 3685 8374 3693 8389 3680 8407 3670 8407
      3681 8389 3679 8383             

$$

KYC235-070544-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150309T0600Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.150305T0314Z.150307T0600Z.150309T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* at 12:00 PM Friday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday evening.
* At 31.0 feet...flooding threatens many homes and businesses. Roads
  begin to flood severing evacuation routes. Major flooding threatens
  downtown areas.

&&

LAT...LON 3680 8407 3681 8426 3698 8429 3697 8443
      3672 8437 3670 8407             

$$

KYC189-061814-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-150306T1940Z/
/BOOK2.2.ER.150305T0446Z.150306T0115Z.150306T1604Z.NO/
1244 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The South Fork Kentucky River at Booneville.
* at 12:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 11:04 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 17.6 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3757 8366 3748 8362 3734 8363 3732 8375
      3745 8373 3750 8373             

$$

KYC129-070543-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150308T0045Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150304T2058Z.150306T0115Z.150307T1845Z.NO/
1244 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* at 11:45 AM Friday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392
ravk2ravk2ravk2
$$

KYC065-070543-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T2015Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T1645Z.150308T1415Z.NO/
1244 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 12:15 PM Friday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is likely cresting at this time. The river 
  will fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Major flooding occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411

$$

KYC065-197-070036-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150307T0036Z/
/CYCK2.2.ER.150305T0930Z.150305T2030Z.150306T1836Z.NO/
1244 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Clay City.
* at 12:15 PM Friday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Low lying areas flood. Maple street near the Red 
  River Ranch as well as Pompeii Road off of Highway 15 are 
  impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 8405 3788 8367 3783 8340 3775 8343
      3780 8374 3780 8397             

$$
517 
WGUS83 KJKL 070339
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1039 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 10 am.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC129-071539-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150307T1912Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.150304T2058Z.150306T0115Z.150307T1312Z.NO/
1039 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River at Heidelberg.
* at 9:45 PM Friday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue slowly falling ending up  
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Low lying areas flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

KYC065-071539-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T2015Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T1800Z.150308T1415Z.NO/
1039 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 10:15 PM Friday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to slowly fall 
  settling below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Major flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
633 
WGUS83 KJKL 071506
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1006 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 6 PM.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC065-080306-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T0342Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T1800Z.150307T2142Z.NO/
1006 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  by this evening.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
RAY
436 
WGUS83 KJKL 072229
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
529 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

The next update will be issued by 7 am.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC065-081029-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T1619Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T1800Z.150308T1019Z.NO/
529 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* at 5:15 PM Saturday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall. It is forecast to 
  be below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding occurs.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$
354 
WGUS83 KJKL 081025
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
625 AM EDT SUN MAR 8 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Kentucky...
 
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Kentucky River near Ravenna has fallen below flood stage...but
will continue to run high. The warning for this location has been 
replaced by a Flood Advisory.

Continue to monitor NOAA weather radio or your favorite local media 
outlet for additional information. If you are in areas affected by 
this forecast take necessary precautions.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or is imminent.

&&

KYC065-081055-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150308T1619Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.150304T1912Z.150306T1800Z.150308T0838Z.NO/
625 AM EDT SUN MAR 8 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Kentucky River near Ravenna.
* The Flood Warning has been replaced by a Flood Advisory.
* at 5:15 AM Sunday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 4:38 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 17.2 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* At 21.0 feet...Low lying areas flood. Red, Lick, Road, Millers 
  Creek Road, Dark Hollow Road, and Noland Creek Road flood in 
  several places.

&&


LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 3, 10:27 AM EST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 3, 10:27 AM EST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1027 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1026 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

LATEST RADAR TRENDS CONTINUE TO MOVE THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS ALONG
NORTH CENTRAL KY AND THEN NORTH OF THE CWA. EXPECT THINGS TO
EVENTUALLY START SHIFTING SOUTHWARD...BUT THE LATEST HRRR AND
NAM12 ARE NOT SHOWING THIS TRANSITION UNTIL THIS EVENING /CLOSER
TO 3Z/...A LITTLE LATER THAN ORIGINALLY FORECASTED/ANTICIPATED. AS
SUCH...GIVEN THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS AND GOOD INITIATION OF THESE
HI RES MODELS...WENT AHEAD AND DROPPED TO ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES
ACROSS THE SE CWA THROUGH THE MORNING...INCREASING TO CHANCES
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. BY THIS EVENING...HEAVIEST RAIN
SHOULD BE MAKING IT INTO MUCH OF THE CWA...SO KEPT WITH A
LIKELY/DEFINITE POP FROM THIS POINT ON. ALSO...LOADED IN THE
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL DATA FOR TEMPS...DEW POINTS...AND WINDS...TO
MAKE SURE THE NEAR-TERM FORECAST FOR THESE PARAMETERS WAS WELL ON
TRACK WITH THE CURRENT CONDITIONS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 850 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

QUICK UPDATE TO BRING GRIDS IN LINE WITH HOURLY OBS AND RADAR
TRENDS. HAD SOME SPRINKLES THIS MORNING BUT NOTHING SIGNIFICANT
WITH RESPECT TO LIGHT FREEZING DZ...RA. TEMPS ARE RISING ABOVE
FREEZING NOW. WILL LET CURRENT SPS FOR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA EXPIRE AT 9 AM. ALSO FRESHENED UP THE
ZONES. OTHERWISE...NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 358 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

A COMPLICATED WEATHER PATTERN SHAPING UP FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THE FIRST FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE OR FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS
MORNING NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE
THAT SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL INTO A LAYER OF
SUBFREEZING AIR THAT IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE ISSUE WITH THIS WILL BE WHETHER OR
NOT THE PRECIP IS ABLE TO REACH THE GROUND BEFORE TEMPERATURES
RISE ABOVE FREEZING. THIS SITUATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED
CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. IF SOME FREEZING PRECIP DOES
DEVELOP...AN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TO DEAL WITH
IT. THE SECOND CONCERN IN THE FIRST 36 HOURS OF THE FORECAST WILL
BE HEAVY RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. AT
THIS TIME...THE FORECAST MODELS HAVE MOVED THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION TODAY SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WHERE IT WAS IN PREVIOUS
RUNS. THE POP AND QPF FORECAST FOR TODAY WAS MODIFIED AS A RESULT
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS CHANGE. IT STILL APPEARS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT
EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL EXPERIENCE A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE END OF
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. THERE MAY EVEN BE ENOUGH VERTICAL MOTION
AND WIND ENERGY ALOFT TO FIRE OFF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...IT STILL APPEARS THAT
2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.
DUE TO RECENTLY MELTED SNOW...THE GROUND IS ALREADY COMPLETELY
SATURATED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH RAIN
TO BEGIN CAUSING PROBLEMS. BASED ON CURRENT HYDRO FORECASTS...IT
APPEARS THAT THE CUMBERLAND RIVER BASIN MAY EXPERIENCE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ISSUES. THERE WILL ALSO BE POINTS ALONG THE
KENTUCKY BASIN THAT MAY SEE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...SUCH AS AT
RAVENNA. THE TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE
NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE LOW TO MID
50S FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. A FEW LOCATIONS IN OUR FAR SOUTHWEST MAY
EVEN APPROACH 60 IN THE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW THAT IS ON TAP FOR
TODAY.

THE END OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD IS WHERE OUR SECOND AND PERHAPS
MORE SERIOUS FORECAST CONCERN LIES. ONCE THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA...VERY COLD AIR WILL FILTER INTO
THE AREA BEHIND IT...AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.
WITH A STRONG FEED OF GULF MOISTURE STILL ON TRACK TO OVERRIDE
THE SLUGGISH COLD FRONT...SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR. PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION FROM
RAIN TO A MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
I634 CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS
FORECAST TO MOVE STEADILY EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE
DEPARTING FRONT. AS MORE AND MORE COLD AIR MOVES IN...THE
PRECIP WILL CHANGE OVER FROM A MESSY WINTRY MIX TO ALL SNOW BY
AROUND 0Z THURSDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS MAY
OCCUR LATE WEDNESDAY IN OUR FAR NORTHWEST. THE CHALLENGE WITH THIS
PART OF THE FORECAST WILL BE DETERMINING HOW STRONG THE WARM NOSE
ALOFT WILL BE AT THE START OF THE EVENT. AT THIS TIME...THE NAM12
BY FAR HAS THE MOST WELL DEFINED LAYER OF WARM AIR AMONGST THE
MODELS...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO MORE SLEET IN OUR NORTHER AND LESS
SNOW. THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS...ON THE OTHER HAND...ARE BOTH
SHOWING A MUCH LESS WELL DEFINED WARM NOSE ALOFT AND THEREFORE
MORE SNOW. FOR NOW HAVE DECIDED TO USE A BLEND OF THE TWO
SOLUTIONS...GOING WITH A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET TO START THE EVENT
AND LEANING MORE TOWARD THE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THE WWD FORECAST IS
CURRENTLY PREDICTING.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 557 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

APPEARS INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT WE WILL BE DIVING HEADLONG INTO
A TRANSITION FROM A HEAVY RAIN INTO A SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER
EVENT BY THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED. GFS...ECMWF SOLUTIONS
CONTINUE TO SHOW FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO.
HOWEVER...THE NAM CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER TO THE NORTHWEST
WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER. WITH
THE NAM OUTSIDE ITS WINDOW OF BEST PERFORMANCE...GENERAL PREFERRED
TO REMAINED CLOSER TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AND A CONSENSUS OF THE
GFS AND ECMWF. ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS
TO WARRANT STAYING WITH THE CURRENT SUITE OF WATCH PRODUCTS
THROUGH THE FIRST PORTIONS OF THE EXTENDED.

A VERY TIGHT BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTHEAST INTO TENNESSEE VALLEY
THROUGH THURSDAY. WEATHER ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL REMAIN
OF ACTIVE AS SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE TRACK THROUGH THE TN
VALLEY REGION. COLDER ARCTIC AIR FILTERING INTO OUR AREA ON THE
NORTHERN SIDE OF THIS ZONE WILL CHANGE RAIN OVER TO SNOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF
MIXED PRECIPITATION DURING THE CHANGOVER...GENERALLY SLEET IN THE
NORTH BUT SLEET OR POSSIBLY EVEN SOME FREEZING RAIN IN THE SOUTH.
OVERALL MODEL TRENDS SEEM TO BE SLIGHTLY SLOWER WITH THE
ONSLAUGHT OF COLD ARCTIC AIR INTO OUR FORECAST AREA LATE WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BUT SIGNIFICANT SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS
STILL APPEAR POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS LIKELY NEAR THE
I-64 CORRIDOR AND LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. TEMPS FRIDAY
MORNING WILL LIKELY DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS...WITH A FEW SPOTS
IN OUR NORTH POSSIBLY DROPPING BELOW 0 DEGREES...WELL BELOW
NORMAL FOR MARCH AND NEAR RECORD LOWS. THE COLD SNAP APPEARS TO
BE FAIRLY SHORT LIVED AS TEMPERATURES START MODERATING BACK
TOWARDS SEASONABLE LEVELS BY THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THEY WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY DROPS
SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA AND THE GREAT LAKES. BUT WEATHER WITH
THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN TRENDING DRIER WITH TIME. FOR NOW MAINTAINED
A SLIGHT POP SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY BUT FEEL THIS MAY BE
OVERDONE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 358 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE TAF SITES THROUGH AROUND 10Z.
CLOUD BASES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY LOWER THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE OVERNIGHT AND PREDAWN HOURS AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. CIGS AT 10 OR 11Z AT JKL...LOZ...AND SME
SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 2.5 AND 3K AS MULTIPLE LAYERS OF LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVE IN. CIGS WILL STEADILY LOWER THROUGHOUT THE
MORNING...AND WE WILL LIKELY SEE IFR CIGS AT THE TAF SITES BY 14
TO 16Z THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF DRIZZLE OR LIGHT
WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE TAF SITES BY AROUND 9Z THIS MORNING.
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE
AT SJS AND SYM BETWEEN 9 AND 13Z AS PRECIP OVERRIDES A LAYER OF
NEAR FREEZING AIR NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. THE PRECIP SHOULD
CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY 14Z. CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN DURING THE
TRANSITION...WITH IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE TAF PERIOD. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF THUNDER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AS A STRONG COLD MOVING ACROSS THE AREA INTERACTS
WITH WARM MOIST AIR OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-
106>120.

&&

UPDATE...JMW
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...RAY
AVIATION...AR
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 3, 9:54 AM EST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
954 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-041800-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
954 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL MOST OF THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH A RISK OF FLOODING FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE DRY
WEATHER RETURNS. THE GREATEST RISK OF SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER
IS FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THERE
IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF CHANGE
OVER AND WHAT TYPES OF PRECIPITATION THAT MAY OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAIN AND SNOW TOTALS TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY.

AR/JMW

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 3, 6:46 AM EST, 4 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
646 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

KYZ044-051-052-060-088-104-106-107-109-110-113-115-117>120-031415-
FLEMING-BATH-ROWAN-MENIFEE-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-
FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
FRENCHBURG...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...
HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...HAZARD...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
646 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

...LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...

POCKETS OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE STILL AT OR
BELOW FREEZING. LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE PARTICULARLY PRONE TO
SEEING FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS MORNING WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE I64 CORRIDOR...AND THE DEEPER AND MORE SHELTERED VALLEYS IN
OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES WHERE COLDER AIR MAY HAVE COLLECTED IN
THE VALLEY FLOORS. THE FREEZING RAIN COULD LEAVE BEHIND A LIGHT
GLAZE OF ICE ON ELEVATED AND EXPOSED OBJECTS AND PERHAPS ON
SHELTERED BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION IF
OUT DRIVING THIS MORNING.

AR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 11:43 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLLee4 days
Mar 3, 11:49 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLWhitley6 days
Mar 3, 11:54 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLKnox4 days
Mar 3, 4:24 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningJKLBath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 27 more47 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.