Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
842 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

.UPDATE...LOW LEVEL FLOW IS W TO SW WITH SFC RIDGE REMAINING DOWN IN
THE S CENTRAL FL AREA. PWATS ARE QUITE HIGH NEAR 2.2 INCHES ON THE
JAX 12Z SOUNDING AND MEAN LOW FLOW IS MORE WLY THAN 24 HRS AGO.
LAPSE RATES ARE WEAKER WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME WEAKER STORM
ACTIVITY LATER TODAY. NONETHELESS...WATER LOADING AND EWD STORM
PROPAGATION WILL RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
AS CONVECTION FIRES AND MOVES EWD NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH. MINOR
SHORTWAVES AND SEA BREEZE MERGERS ALSO MAY LEAD TO A COUPLE OF
STRONG/BRIEF SEVERE STORMS. MINOR UPDATES TO TWEAK POPS DOWN OVER SE
GA WHERE LESS FORCING IS AVAILABLE. HIGH END CHANCE TO LIKELY RAIN
CHANCES ARE WARRANTED GIVEN THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 90S EXPECTED WITH HEAT INDICES NEAR 100-105.

&&

.AVIATION...SW TO W SFC WINDS NEAR 5-10 KT AND MOIST AND UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCT TO NMRS
SHOWERS/STORMS ALONG THE WEST COAST SEABREEZE BY LATE MORNING WHICH
WILL SPREAD EAST DURING THE LATE MORNING THRU AFTERNOON. TEMPO GROUP
FOR GNV LOOKS GOOD BY 16Z AND REST OF TERMINALS BEGINNING AROUND
17Z/18Z. IFR CONDS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
CONVECTION. MOST OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH BETWEEN 23Z-01Z
AS THE AIRMASS GETS WORKED OVER.

&&

.MARINE...SW TO S WINDS TODAY WITH SCT SHOWERS AND STORMS...SOME OF
WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS NEAR 30-40 KT. SEAS 2-
4 FT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  93  74  92  72 /  60  50  60  50
SSI  90  77  92  76 /  50  50  50  30
JAX  91  73  93  75 /  60  50  40  30
SGJ  91  75  93  75 /  60  40  40  20
GNV  91  72  92  74 /  60  30  30  30
OCF  90  74  92  74 /  60  30  30  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SHASHY/GUILLET

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
121 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

FLZ025-125-261800-
INLAND DUVAL FL-COASTAL DUVAL FL-
121 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DUVAL COUNTY UNTIL
200 PM EDT...

AT 120 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
NAS JAX...OR NEAR JACKSONVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...ORANGE PARK...UNF...ARLINGTON...NEPTUNE BEACH...
ORTEGA...BAYMEADOWS...CRAIG FIELD...RIVERSIDE...SAN MARCO...SAN
PABLO...FORT CAROLINE...NAS JAX...BELLAIR-MEADOWBROOK TERRACE...PALM
VALLEY AND TALLYRAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3025 8143 3023 8144 3016 8169 3019 8168
      3019 8174 3027 8179 3049 8146 3047 8145
      3047 8146 3046 8146 3046 8145 3041 8142
      3039 8144 3040 8147 3038 8148 3037 8145
      3040 8142 3035 8139 3025 8138
TIME...MOT...LOC 1720Z 243DEG 19KT 3025 8166

GUILLET