Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
252 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...A FEW STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE REST OF TODAY...

.SHORT TERM...REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING WITH BEST CHANCES OF STRONGER CELLS FROM ABOUT I-10
NWD. STRONGER CELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS. CONVECTION WILL BE SLOW TO DISSIPATE DUE TO 500 MB LOW
OVER ERN TN TO MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER GA TO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO PROVIDING SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT. WEAK COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY LOCATED FROM NC TO THE FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE WILL DRIFT E.
FOR NOW ADVERTISED SCT SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR TONIGHT...BECOMING
MORE ISOLATED AFTER 1 AM. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY. WEDNESDAY...THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL BE OVER NERN GA WITH TROUGH TO CENTRAL GA TO THE ERN GULF
OF MEXICO. THIS WILL HELP TO ADVECT SOME DEEP LAYER MOISTURE TO OUR
ERN ZONES AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. WEAK SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL MOVE A BIT EWD TO ERN NC TO THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE. WEAKER
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ANTICIPATED BUT SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
REMAINS AVAILABLE WITH PWATS OF 1.5 TO 1.6 INCHES. THINK SCT SHOWERS
AND STORMS ARE BEST BET FOR NOW WITH CHANCES IN THE 30-50 PERCENT
RANGE. SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROTATING ERN THROUGH SRN GA MAY PROVIDE
SOME ADDITIONAL SUPPORT SO CHANCES MAY BE A BIT HIGHER THERE. HIGHS
WERE FCST IN THE 85-90 DEG RANGE.

.EXTENDED TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE CENTER NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MOVE EAST ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY TO BE REPLACED BY A COL AREA OVER THE WEEKEND AND RENEWED
TROFING NEXT WEEK. CONVECTION SHOULD BE CHARACTERIZED BY DIURNAL
CONVECTION WITH ENHANCED ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
BE CLOSE TO TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION... WIDESPREAD MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE PUSHING INTO THE
AREA AND COMPLICATING THE TSTORM FORECAST FOR THE TERMINALS. BEST
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE GNV AS LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN PUSHES IN
FOLLOWED BY THE POTENTIAL FOR TSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTN. COASTAL
TERMINALS WILL HAVE VCTS AND TSRA POTENTIAL FROM 19Z THROUGH SUNSET.

&&

.MARINE...S TO SW WINDS WILL BE 15 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BECOMING SE DURING THE AFTERNOONS WITH DEVELOPING EAST
COAST SEABREEZE. SEAS WILL BE MOSTLY 2 TO 4 FEET WITH DECREASING
EASTERLY SWELLS. AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP FOR LATE WEEK AS
WEAK FRONT/INVERTED TROUGH PUSHES EAST OF THE WATERS.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW TO MODERATE RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  68  88  68  89 /  40  50  40  50
SSI  71  82  72  84 /  50  50  40  40
JAX  69  85  71  86 /  50  50  40  40
SGJ  70  83  72  84 /  50  50  30  30
GNV  67  87  68  90 /  40  40  30  40
OCF  67  88  69  90 /  40  40  30  40

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SHASHY/SANDRIK/WALSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1129 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-031015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA
BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM ST.
AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM FERNANDINA
BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE
TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-
BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
1129 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING. STORM MOTION WILL BE MOVING EAST TO
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ISOLATED STRONG TO PULSE
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS WHICH
COULD PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
COULD ALSO CAUSE TEMPORARY FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
332 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

GAZ136-022000-
WAYNE GA-
332 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY UNTIL
400 PM EDT...

AT 332 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GARDI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARDI AND MOUNT PLEASANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3163 8177 3161 8177 3161 8175 3160 8175
      3161 8174 3158 8170 3156 8170 3154 8167
      3151 8166 3149 8164 3148 8162 3147 8161
      3142 8165 3140 8168 3140 8169 3137 8172
      3148 8188 3163 8178
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 220DEG 12KT 3148 8175

SHASHY

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
403 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

GAZ136-022030-
WAYNE GA-
403 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM EDT...

AT 403 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GARDI. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JESUP...GARDI...DOCTORTOWN...BROADHURST AND MOUNT PLEASANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3164 8179 3163 8179 3163 8177 3161 8177
      3161 8175 3160 8175 3161 8174 3159 8171
      3156 8170 3155 8167 3153 8165 3149 8164
      3148 8162 3145 8162 3140 8166 3139 8170
      3145 8195 3167 8184 3165 8181 3166 8181
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 181DEG 4KT 3150 8177

SHASHY

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