Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
247 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2015

.NEAR TERM.../THROUGH THURSDAY/...

WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE JUST TO THE EAST...WITH AN UPPER
RIDGE OVERHEAD THIS PERIOD.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY INLAND AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
IS PUSHING WEST.

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH...WHICH WILL
CAUSE AN INCREASE IN HEAT INDICES FOR THURSDAY...IN ADDITION TO
GREATER PRECIPITATION COVERAGE. ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE
NEEDED FOR THURSDAY...POSSIBLY COVERING MORE OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS A LITTLE EAST
AND AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE MORE DIURNAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SEASBREEZES SHOULD MERGE LATE DAY CLOSER TO THE EAST
COAST WITH A LIGHT WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH HEAT
INDICES NEAR ADVISORY LEVELS.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UPPER RIDGE WILL WEAKEN
SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES BY TO THE NORTH
TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. A SW STEERING FLOW AND INCREASE IN
MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE NEAR CLIMO POPS IN THE FORM OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS REACHING THE EAST COAST LATE DAY. UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS BACK ACROSS CENTRAL GA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ABUNDANT
MOISTURE TRAPPED NEAR THE RIDGE WILL KEEP DAYTIME POPS NEAR
CLIMO(40%) INLAND AS SEABREEZES MOVE WELL INLAND. A WEAK WIND
PROFILE WILL RESULT IN SLOW MOVING STORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER THE INTERIOR. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH NEAR AVERAGE RAIN CHANCES.

&&

.AVIATION...

PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS 18Z TAF PERIOD. THE
EXCEPTIONS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS/STORMS AT KGNV THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND A PERIOD OF LIGHT FOG AT KGNV/KVQQ
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...

A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE EAST OF THE REGION INTO THE
WEEKEND...LEADING TO A GENERAL SOUTHERLY FLOW.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  73  99  74  97 /  30  30  20  30
SSI  78  92  78  91 /   0  10  10  30
JAX  73  96  76  97 /  10  20  10  40
SGJ  76  92  76  91 /   0  10  10  20
GNV  73  96  74  96 /  30  30  20  30
OCF  74  96  75  94 /  30  30  10  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR BAKER-COLUMBIA-
     GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE.

GA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR APPLING-ATKINSON-
     BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-
     COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-
     WARE-WAYNE.

AM...NONE.
&&

STRUBLE/ZIBURA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
427 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2015

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-181100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
427 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2015

...HEAT ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND PORTIONS OF THE
SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL NEAR 100 DEGREES INLAND WITH HEAT INDEX
READINGS BETWEEN 100 AND 112 DEGREES. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND PORTIONS OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER
VALLEY WHERE THE HIGHEST HEAT INDICES OF 108 TO 112 DEGREES ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
AND WEST OF A WAYCROSS TO OCALA LINE. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

HOT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH
HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 105 DEGREES.

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
EACH AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>