Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Jackson, MS

956 
WWUS54 KJAN 160201
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
901 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

MSC121-123-129-160211-
/O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-150416T0200Z/
SCOTT MS-RANKIN MS-SMITH MS-
901 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT...
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST 
SCOTT COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM.

LAT...LON 3210 8976 3214 8989 3242 8982 3230 8955
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 212DEG 25KT 3212 8985 

$$

DL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
355 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

.DISCUSSION...COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/STORMS LOOK TO BE ISOLATED OVERNIGHT
AS THE SFC LOW TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT
HIGHER THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AS PW VALUES RETURN TO NEAR 1.8
INCHES. THIS...ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND WEAK
DISTURBANCES...WILL BRING BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO
THE REGION ESPECIALLY FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
IN THE 60S WITH HIGHS THURSDAY MAINLY IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80.

FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE UNSETTLED WET PATTERN WITH THE ACTIVE
SOUTHERN JETSTREAM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THE UPPER JET
WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN PROVIDING PERIODS OF LIFT AS A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES TRACK THROUGH THE SOUTHERN STREAM. MODELS CONTINUE TO
HAVE ISSUES WITH TRACKING THE HIGHEST RAINFALL POTENTIAL AREAS WITH
MESO-SCALE FEATURES INVOLVED. THUS TIMING AND DETAILS REMAIN TOUGH
TO NAIL DOWN THROUGH THE UNSETTLED PERIOD. ANOMALOUS MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES...WHICH WILL BRING SOME
RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. AN ADDITIONAL 1-3 INCHES APPEARS POSSIBLE
FRI WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A TREND THAT DOES SEEM A
BIT MORE CLEAR IS THAT THE S 2/3RDS OF THE CWA HAS THE BEST
POTENTIAL TO SEE THE HIGHER RAIN TOTALS.

FOR THE SUN-WED PERIODS...LOOK FOR DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TO BE
THE TREND AS SOME GUIDANCE PUSHES THE FRONT THROUGH THE REGION AS
THE NORTHERN STREAM FINALLY PHASES. /27/28/17/CE/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE
EVENING. VCTS WILL CONTINUE IN THE HBG AREA UNTIL AROUND 16/02Z.
MVFR/IFR CEILINGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA ONCE AGAIN AFTER 16/06Z.
VSBYS WILL MOSTLY STAY IN THE MVFR CATEGORY...BUT LIFR VSBYS IN FOG
ARE MORE PROBABLE OVER HBG HEADING TOWARD 16/12Z. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE TO MVFR BY 16/15Z./26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       64  80  64  77 /  37  65  58  69
MERIDIAN      63  78  64  77 /  49  65  57  71
VICKSBURG     62  81  65  78 /  27  57  58  65
HATTIESBURG   66  79  65  79 /  38  74  57  70
NATCHEZ       63  79  65  78 /  29  70  57  68
GREENVILLE    60  79  65  77 /  27  23  59  60
GREENWOOD     62  81  64  78 /  49  33  52  63

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
555 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>054-059>062-
162300-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-
555 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS AS THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS EXTREMELY MOIST. THE
ABSENCE OF LOW LEVEL FOCUSING MECHANISMS WILL LIMIT FLOODING
POSSIBILITIES TO LOCALIZED AREAS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WHERE MORE
ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
PRESENT RUNOFF PROBLEMS AND ALLOW THE LOCALIZED FLOODING POTENTIAL TO
CONTINUE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

MSZ055>058-063>066-072>074-162300-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
555 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THIS EVENING

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL POTENTIALLY OVER THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS AS THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS EXTREMELY MOIST. THE
ABSENCE OF LOW LEVEL FOCUSING MECHANISMS WILL LIMIT FLOODING
POSSIBILITIES TO LOCALIZED AREAS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WHERE MORE
ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
PRESENT RUNOFF PROBLEMS AND ALLOW THE LOCALIZED FLOODING POTENTIAL TO
CONTINUE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
737 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SILVER CREEK            31.60N 90.00W
04/15/2015                   LAWRENCE           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF TREE DOWN ON ST. STEPHENS ROAD NEAR SILVER
            CREEK.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
739 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW ROCK HILL         31.07N 89.38W
04/15/2015                   LAMAR              MS   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF POWERLINES DOWN ON PISTOL RIDGE ROAD AT DEAVERS
            ROAD. NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS ALSO REPORTED.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
758 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 PM     HAIL             MONTICELLO              31.55N 90.11W
04/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       LAWRENCE           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN MONTICELLO.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
812 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             4 E ROCKPORT            31.80N 90.10W
04/15/2015  E1.00 INCH       SIMPSON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN ROCKPORT AREA.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
817 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     HAIL             2 S CATO                32.06N 89.88W
04/15/2015  E1.75 INCH       RANKIN             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORT OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL IN CATO.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
821 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     HAIL             FLOWOOD                 32.32N 90.11W
04/15/2015  M1.00 INCH       RANKIN             MS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FALLING OUTSIDE THE NWS
            JACKSON OFFICE.

&&

DCOX