Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 433, NWS Jackson, MS

December 28, 2015Leake County, Scott County, Smith County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Dec 28, 2015, 5:33 AM CST for Leake County, Scott County, Smith County, Mississippi. It was in force for 72 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 28, 2015, 5:33 AM CST (11:33 UTC)
Expired
Dec 28, 2015, 6:45 AM CST
In force
72 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Leake County, MS, Scott County, MS, Smith County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 28, 6:05 AM CSTTSTM WND DMG4 N Morton, MSA COUPLE TREES WERE DOWN ALONG HWY 13 N.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 32 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Dec 28, 2:23 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2015-12-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1137 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2015-12-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1137 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
767 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
306 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
8.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

586 
WUUS54 KJAN 281133
SVRJAN
MSC079-123-129-281245-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0433.151228T1133Z-151228T1245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
533 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  LEAKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  SCOTT COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  SMITH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 645 AM CST

* AT 533 AM CST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF PISGAH TO NEAR MOUNT OLIVE...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LUDLOW AROUND 545 AM CST.
  TAYLORSVILLE AROUND 600 AM CST.
  TUSCOLA AND CENTER RIDGE AROUND 605 AM CST.
  CARTHAGE AROUND 610 AM CST.
  MADDEN AROUND 625 AM CST.
  EDINBURG AROUND 630 AM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
REDWATER...STANDING PINE...MIZE...SYLVARENA...WALNUT GROVE...LENA...
SEBASTOPOL...POLKVILLE AND LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CST FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3201 8965 3205 8966 3205 8973 3236 8973
      3259 8978 3263 8974 3259 8971 3277 8958
      3293 8964 3293 8932 3181 8932 3178 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 1133Z 244DEG 31KT 3256 8985 3178 8971 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BYB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Dec 28, 5:23 AM CST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 5:23 AM CST, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE SQUALL LINE AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE THREAT IS MOVING EAST OF THE
HIGHWAY 49 CORRIDOR AS OF THIS WRITING...AND IT WILL EXIT THE
FORECAST AREA BY MID MORNING. INTENSE LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE CONTINUING
TO MIX DOWN AND WILL THUS KEEP THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY GOING FOR
THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...A MUCH DRIER AND MORE SEASONABLE AIRMASS
WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. TODAY WILL
END AN INCREDIBLE STRETCH OF WARMTH THAT HAS SEEN DAILY RECORDS
SMASHED BY AS MUCH AS 14 DEGREES. SOME OF THE RECENT LOW
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARM BY EVEN JULY STANDARDS. /EC/

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS STILL FORECAST TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT AND
LAST INTO WEDNESDAY OVER ROUGHLY THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE ARKLAMISS.
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO ENTER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL HELP TO
BACK THE LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION. AS THIS
HAPPENS...THE STALLED BAROCLINIC ZONE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE
STUBBORN SOUTHEAST CONUS RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST. STRONG LOW LEVEL THETAE ADVECTION WILL INCREASE
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY (SHOWALTER INDICES ~ -2 WITH MOST UNSTABLE
CAPE > 500 J/KG) AND RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RAIN AND ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW COULD RESULT IN
TRAINING OF CONVECTION AND LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL GREATER THAN WHAT
IS FORECAST. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MOST BULLISH AND A FEW ECENS MEMBERS
ARE STILL QUITE HEAVY...BUT THE GFS IS BEGINNING TO MATCH THE ECMWF
MASS FIELDS AND THE MOST RECENT SREF/GEFS IS SOMEWHAT DISCONCERTING
IN SHOWING THAT THE SET-UP COULD BE SLOWER TO LEAVE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THIS SCENARIO
MAY EVENTUALLY REQUIRE SOME MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN IN THE
HWO/GRAPHICS.

AS WE GO LATER INTO THE WEEK AND THE NEW YEAR...A BIG PATTERN CHANGE
IS IN STORE FOR THE ARKLAMISS. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT RIDGING
ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL FORCE NORTHERLY FLOW AND THE INFLUX OF COLD
POLAR AIR INTO THE ARKLAMISS AND SUPPRESSION OF THE SOUTHEAST CONUS
RIDGE. WHILE THE INTENSITY OF THE COLD SHOULD NOT BE ANOMALOUS...IT
WILL FEEL THAT WAY DUE TO THE RECENT WARMTH. CURRENT FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S WOULD BE AROUND 35 DEG F COLDER THAN
CURRENTLY BEING EXPERIENCED. TO ADD TO THE CHILL...EXTENSIVE MID/HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH A MINOR PERTURBATION SHOULD LIMIT
HEATING FRIDAY AND POTENTIALLY KEEP HIGHS LOWER THAN FORECAST. EXPECT
THE COLDER PATTERN TO PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND AND LIKELY BEYOND.

ONE THING TO ADD HERE IS THAT MODELS ARE COMING IN MORE PRONOUNCED
WITH THE COASTAL BAROCLINIC ZONE AND INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SUFFICIENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT
PRECIPITATION FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG/S OF THE
I-2O CORRIDOR WHERE SEVERAL GEFS MEMBERS SHOW MEASURABLE RAINFALL.
AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THIS WOULD BE IN LIQUID PHASE...BUT WILL
NEED TO MONITOR FOR SLEET POTENTIAL IF TRENDS CONTINUE. IN THE
LEAST...WILL NEED TO CONSIDER INCREASING POPS FOR FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY MID MORNING
WITH ALL RAINFALL ENDING QUICKLY THEREAFTER. THERE SHOULD BE A SHORT
DURATION OF CLEARING BUT THIS SHOULD BE FOLLOWED BY MVFR CATEGORY
CIGS EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING COLD ADVECTION PATTERN GOING THROUGH
TONIGHT. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       66  41  59  49 /  81   5   6  77
MERIDIAN      72  43  60  52 / 100   9  12  80
VICKSBURG     64  40  57  46 /  55   3   6  66
HATTIESBURG   73  45  62  56 /  80   8  14  80
NATCHEZ       65  40  57  49 /  55   3   6  76
GREENVILLE    65  39  53  44 /  69   3   6  44
GREENWOOD     71  40  56  46 /  90   7   6  57

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR MSZ018-019-025>027-
     034>036-040>043-047-048-053-054-059.

LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023-
     025.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

EC
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 27, 1:12 PM CST, 16 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
112 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ008-009-MSZ018-019-025-027-034>036-040>042-281915-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
112 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND VERY
STRONG WINDS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ026-028-029-032-037-281915-
GRENADA-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CHOCTAW-ATTALA-
112 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...LATE TONNIGHT AND MONDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND VERY
STRONG WINDS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-046-052-058-281915-
CLAY-LOWNDES-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-KEMPER-LAUDERDALE-CLARKE-
112 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...MONDAY EARLY MORNING

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...MONDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG
WINDS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION MONDAY.

LAZ007-015-016-023>026-MSZ047-048-053-054-059>061-281915-
MOREHOUSE-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-
CONCORDIA-WARREN-HINDS-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-
112 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND VERY
STRONG WINDS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ043>045-049>051-055>057-062>066-072>074-281915-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
112 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG
WINDS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
EXTREME...SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH OR GREATER OR WIND GUSTS 65 MPH
 OR GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...SUSTAINED WINDS 40-49 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 58-64 MPH.
ELEVATED...SUSTAINED WINDS 30-39 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 45-57 MPH.
LIMITED...SUSTAINED WINDS 20-29 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 30 TO 44 MPH.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 28, 2:37 AM CST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
237 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BASTROP                 32.77N 91.91W
12/28/2015                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF MCREIGHT AND CHERRY
            RIDGE RD.

&&

CME
Special weather statement, Dec 28, 3:01 AM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
301 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

LAZ008-009-MSZ040-280945-
EAST CARROLL LA-WEST CARROLL LA-ISSAQUENA MS-
301 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CARROLL...EAST CARROLL
PARISHES IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND ISSAQUENA COUNTIES UNTIL 345
AM CST...

AT 300 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES EAST OF JONES TO
WAVERLY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MONTICELLO AROUND 310 AM CST.
  ALSATIA...SONDHEIMER AND GASSOWAY AROUND 325 AM CST.
  TRANSYLVANIA AROUND 330 AM CST.
  FITLER AROUND 340 AM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE EPPS...FOREST...
KILBOURNE...MAYERSVILLE AND PIONEER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9159 3288 9154 3289 9150 3301 9143
      3301 9092 3294 9091 3286 9094 3283 9097
      3266 9096 3266 9079 3265 9079 3256 9111
      3254 9113 3254 9144 3255 9144 3257 9143
      3258 9145 3258 9153
TIME...MOT...LOC 0900Z 236DEG 39KT 3295 9154 3245 9144

BYB
Local storm report, Dec 28, 3:33 AM CST, 2 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
333 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ST. JOSEPH              31.92N 91.24W
12/28/2015                   TENSAS             LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ACROSS LEVEE ST...EQUIPMENT ON SCENE TO REMOVE
            THE TREE.

&&

CME
Special weather statement, Dec 28, 3:48 AM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

ARZ075-MSZ018-019-034-035-040>042-281030-
CHICOT AR-BOLIVAR MS-SHARKEY MS-SUNFLOWER MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
HUMPHREYS MS-YAZOO MS-WASHINGTON MS-
348 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CHICOT...
NORTHWESTERN YAZOO...WASHINGTON...SHARKEY...BOLIVAR...SUNFLOWER...
NORTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND HUMPHREYS COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CST...

AT 348 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR ARKANSAS CITY TO NEAR VALLEY
PARK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  JERSEY POINT AROUND 355 AM CST.
  ROSEDALE AROUND 405 AM CST.
  YAZOO CITY AND GUNNISON AROUND 410 AM CST.
  SHELBY AND DEESON AROUND 415 AM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE PACE...DUNCAN...
ALLIGATOR...WINSTONVILLE...LOUISE...ARCOLA...MERIGOLD...DODDSVILLE...
BEULAH AND EDEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3399 9066 3399 9045 3327 9045
      3324 9037 3331 9034 3330 9033 3314 9033
      3306 9043 3295 9018 3257 9081 3352 9126
      3360 9113 3370 9122 3368 9103 3377 9115
      3378 9099 3385 9107 3394 9103 3412 9083
TIME...MOT...LOC 0948Z 228DEG 62KT 3366 9126 3266 9078

BYB
Local storm report, Dec 28, 4:21 AM CST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
421 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW BROOKHAVEN         31.57N 90.47W
12/28/2015                   LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON ZETUS ROAD.

&&

DCOX
Special weather statement, Dec 28, 4:27 AM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
427 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

MSZ018-019-025-281115-
BOLIVAR MS-LEFLORE MS-SUNFLOWER MS-
427 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BOLIVAR...SUNFLOWER AND
LEFLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 AM CST...

AT 426 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUNNISON TO NEAR
BELZONI...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  DEESON AROUND 430 AM CST.
  INVERNESS AROUND 435 AM CST.
  MOORHEAD AROUND 445 AM CST.
  QUITO AROUND 450 AM CST.
  ITTA BENA AROUND 455 AM CST.
  GREENWOOD AROUND 500 AM CST.
  MONEY AND SUNNYSIDE AROUND 505 AM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SCHLATER...PACE...
DUNCAN...ALLIGATOR...WINSTONVILLE...MERIGOLD...DODDSVILLE AND MORGAN
CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3399 9066 3399 9045 3381 9045
      3381 9018 3372 9031 3372 9014 3354 9010
      3324 9041 3333 9045 3327 9066 3398 9105
      3399 9105 3396 9097 3402 9099 3402 9090
      3409 9087 3411 9094 3412 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 1026Z 214DEG 49KT 3403 9101 3319 9056

BYB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 6:03 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw, Webster42 min
Dec 28, 1:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Jefferson61 min
Dec 28, 2:21 AM CSTTornado WarningJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson54 min
Dec 28, 2:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Warren54 min
Dec 28, 2:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLincoln57 min
Dec 28, 3:01 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena44 min
Dec 28, 3:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Jefferson64 min
Dec 28, 3:18 AM CSTTornado WarningJANFranklin, Lincoln57 min
Dec 28, 3:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Issaquena, Warren60 min
Dec 28, 3:48 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar, Humphreys, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington42 min
Dec 28, 3:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah37 min
Dec 28, 4:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Yazoo65 min
Dec 28, 4:13 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin, Simpson62 min
Dec 28, 4:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLawrence38 min
Dec 28, 4:27 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar, Leflore, Sunflower48 min
Dec 28, 4:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion58 min
Dec 28, 4:50 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLamar, Marion43 min
Dec 28, 4:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Leflore, Sunflower54 min
Dec 28, 5:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Simpson59 min
Dec 28, 5:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo65 min
Dec 28, 5:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar65 min
Dec 28, 5:28 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis47 min
Dec 28, 5:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery75 min
Dec 28, 5:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala69 min
Dec 28, 6:06 AM CSTTornado WarningJANJasper, Jones, Smith40 min
Dec 28, 6:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Jones56 min
Dec 28, 6:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Webster82 min
Dec 28, 6:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Winston72 min
Dec 28, 6:57 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton33 min
Dec 28, 7:01 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANKemper44 min
Dec 28, 7:03 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke42 min
Dec 28, 7:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale45 min
Dec 28, 7:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANOktibbeha55 min
Dec 28, 8:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay55 min
Dec 28, 9:44 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Yazoo26 hr
Dec 28, 9:51 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLowndes27 hr
Dec 28, 1:18 PM CSTWind AdvisoryJANBolivar, Humphreys, Leflore, Sunflower, Washington5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.