River Flood Warning 33, NWS Jackson, MS

379 
WGUS84 KJAN 120214
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
914 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur over the next 12 hours.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC133-130814-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0033.150313T0720Z-000000T0000Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150313T0720Z.150318T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.9 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and will crest near 24 feet early next week.
* Impact...At 23 feet...Farm roads to catfish ponds become 
  inundated.
* Impact...At 21 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  18.9 Wed  8 PM  19.4  21.7  23.4  24.0  7 PM  3/17


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

DL

130 
WGUS84 KJAN 121641
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1141 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 

SYNOPSIS...

Do not expect much rainfall today. However...a surface low will 
move out of the Gulf of Mexico this morning and into eastern
Texas and up into southwest Arkansas by tomorrow. As this
occurs, Very moist air over the Gulf of Mexico southeast of 
New Orleans will begin to push northward into our County Warning
Area (CWA) tonight. Rainfall amounts are expected to 
be between 2 and 4 inches across all but our eastern counties. 
There is good potential for bands of very heavy rainfall where 
storms train over the same location tonight into Friday morning. 
Rainfall amounts could be higher than 4 inches in these bands. 
The location of these heavier rainfall bands is uncertain. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC015-083-132241-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.150314T2159Z-150317T0900Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150314T2159Z.150315T1200Z.150316T1800Z.NO/
1141 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* from Saturday afternoon to late Monday night.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by early 
  Sunday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowland flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  19.2 Thu 11 AM  19.0  20.3  21.5  21.5 01 PM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-132241-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150316T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150316T0200Z.150316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1141 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from Sunday evening until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Sunday before 
  midnight and will continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank is flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  25.5 Thu 11 AM  26.0  26.5  28.2  29.5 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-132241-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.150313T2320Z-000000T0000Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150313T2320Z.150318T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1141 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* from Friday evening until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening and will continue to rise to near 24.0 feet by Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Farm roads to catfish ponds become 
  inundated.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  18.9 Thu 10 AM  19.6  22.7  23.3  24.0 07 PM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

452 
WGUS84 KJAN 130118
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
818 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC015-083-140718-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.150315T0430Z-150317T1100Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150315T0430Z.150315T1800Z.150316T2000Z.NO/
818 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* from Saturday evening to Tuesday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday before
  midnight and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by early 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowland flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  18.9 Thu 07 PM  18.6  19.7  21.4  21.5 01 PM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-140717-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
818 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Monday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank is flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  25.5 Thu 07 PM  25.8  26.1  27.9  29.5 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-140717-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.150314T0720Z-000000T0000Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150314T0720Z.150318T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
818 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* from late Friday night until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 24.0 feet by Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Farm roads to catfish ponds become 
  inundated.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  18.8 Thu 07 PM  18.9  21.7  23.2  24.0 07 PM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

190 
WGUS84 KJAN 131556
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1056 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC015-083-142156-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.150315T0600Z-150316T0900Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T1800Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* from late Saturday night to late Sunday night.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowland flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  18.7 Fri 10 AM  20.1  21.0  20.4  21.0 07 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-142156-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150317T1200Z-150318T1500Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.150318T0000Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from Tuesday morning to Wednesday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank is flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  25.7 Fri 10 AM  25.9  26.7  28.2  29.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-142156-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.150314T1245Z-150317T0000Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150314T1245Z.150315T0000Z.150316T0900Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* from Saturday morning to Monday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 22.0 feet by early Sunday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  18.6 Fri 10 AM  20.9  21.9  20.9  22.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

224 
WGUS84 KJAN 140229
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
929 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC015-083-150829-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.150314T0223Z-150317T0900Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150314T0117Z.150315T0000Z.150316T1800Z.NO/
929 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* until late Monday night.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by 
  early Sunday morning. 
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland and agricultural 
  land is occurring.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowland flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  21.0 Fri 09 PM  22.1  22.2  21.2  22.5 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-150829-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150317T1200Z-150318T1500Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.150318T0000Z.NO/
929 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from Tuesday morning to Wednesday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank is flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  26.7 Fri 08 PM  27.0  27.4  28.4  29.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-150829-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.150314T1320Z-150316T1500Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150314T1320Z.150315T0000Z.150316T0000Z.NO/
929 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* from Saturday morning to Monday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 22.0 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  19.1 Fri 08 PM  20.8  21.7  20.6  22.0 07 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

219 
WGUS84 KJAN 141423
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
923 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC015-083-152023-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150318T0000Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150314T0117Z.150315T1800Z.150317T0900Z.NO/
923 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by 
  early tomorrow afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland and agricultural 
  land is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  21.8 Sat 09 AM  22.4  21.8  20.9  22.5 01 PM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-152022-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150317T1200Z-150318T0300Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.NO/
923 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from Tuesday morning to Tuesday evening.
* At 8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  27.5 Sat 08 AM  28.3  28.7  29.0  29.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-152022-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150317T1500Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150315T1200Z.150316T0000Z.150317T0000Z.NO/
923 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 21.2 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  20.2 Sat 08 AM  21.0  21.2  20.8  21.2 07 PM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

120 
WGUS84 KJAN 150207
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
907 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC015-083-160807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150318T0059Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150314T0117Z.150315T1800Z.150317T0959Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by 
  early tomorrow afternoon. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowland flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  21.8 Sat 08 PM  22.4  22.0  20.9  22.5 01 PM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-160807-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150317T1200Z-150318T0300Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from Tuesday morning to Tuesday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank is flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  28.1 Sat 08 PM  28.6  28.8  29.0  29.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-160807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150317T0900Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150315T1800Z.150316T0000Z.150316T1800Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* until late Monday night.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 21.2 feet by tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  20.8 Sat 08 PM  20.9  21.0  20.7  21.2 07 PM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

122 
WGUS84 KJAN 151255
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
755 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC015-083-161855-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150317T0300Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150314T0117Z.150315T1800Z.150316T1200Z.NO/
755 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* until Monday evening.
* At 7:00 AM Sunday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 22.2 feet this afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowland flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  21.7 Sun 07 AM  21.0  20.1  19.7  22.2 01 PM 3/15          


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-161855-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150316T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150316T0600Z.150317T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
755 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 7:00 AM Sunday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  28.6 Sun 07 AM  29.0  29.4  29.4  29.5 01 PM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-161855-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150318T1800Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150315T0900Z.150316T1200Z.150318T0300Z.NO/
755 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Sunday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  21.0 Sun 07 AM  21.5  21.4  20.7  21.5 07 AM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

971 
WGUS84 KJAN 160245
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
945 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yalobusha At Whaley affecting Carroll and Leflore Counties 
  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC015-083-170659-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150317T0659Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.150314T0117Z.150315T0500Z.150316T1559Z.NO/
945 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yalobusha At Whaley
* until late Monday night.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowland flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Yalobusha River
Whaley         21  21.0 Sun 09 PM  21.2  20.2  19.7     falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3362 9015 3375 9015 3383 8989 3380 8984
      3368 9006 3354 9014             



$$

MSC163-170845-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0032.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150317T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 28.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank is flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  28.7 Sun 09 PM  29.0  29.4  29.4  29.5 01 PM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-170845-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150318T1500Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150315T0900Z.150317T0000Z.150318T0000Z.NO/
945 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Field west of river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  21.1 Sun 08 PM  21.3  21.3  20.6  21.5 07 PM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

907 
WGUS84 KJAN 161536
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1036 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yazoo River At Yazoo City affecting Yazoo County 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC163-172136-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-150318T0900Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.150317T0000Z.150317T0000Z.150317T1800Z.NO/
1036 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yazoo River At Yazoo City
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 28.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Minor over bank is flooding is occurring 
  along the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Yazoo River 
Yazoo City     29  28.8 Mon 10 AM  29.0  28.6  28.1  29.0 01 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3262 9073 3285 9055 3302 9051 3301 9033
      3283 9042 3259 9062             



$$

MSC133-171500-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150317T1500Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150315T0900Z.150316T0200Z.150317T0000Z.NO/
1036 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting and should remain steady
  over the next few days.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  21.0 Mon 09 AM  20.8  20.1  19.1 Cresting          


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

483 
WGUS84 KJAN 170214
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
914 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC133-170244-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-150317T1500Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.150315T0900Z.150316T0200Z.150316T1830Z.NO/
914 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  1:30 PM Monday.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 20.0 feet by 
  Wednesday morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  20.9 Mon 08 PM  20.7  20.0  19.0     Falling         


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
959 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

.SHORT TERM...14Z SURFACE CHART INDICATED WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL STATES INTO THE NORTHWEST HALF OF OUR FORECAST
AREA. LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH A
TROF EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO AROUND KHBG. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED
EXTENSIVE LOW LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION BUT OVERNIGHT RAINFALL
WAS MOVING TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

EXPECT AN AREA OF RAIN TO MOVE BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH. UNTIL THEN...EXPECT A
MAINLY DRY DAY. ONLY REAL FORECAST CONCERN IS REACHING FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURES SINCE THE CLOUD DECK SEEMS THICK AND IT WILL BE
DIFFICULT TO BREAK UP. MODEL HOURLY TEMPERATURES SEEM TO HAVE A GOOD
HANDLE ON CURRENT TEMPERATURES SO WILL GIVE THE FORECAST A CHANCE TO
WORK OUT WITHOUT AN UPDATE. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS ARE PREVAILING THIS
MORNING AS LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO PLAGUE THE REGION. TODAY WILL
ACTUALLY BE A FAIRLY DRY DAY FOR MOST OF THE AREA WITH SOME
SCATTERED ACTIVITY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE. SKY
CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO MVFR CONDITIONS BUT THAT SHOULD
BE THE BEST IT GETS TODAY. CEILINGS WILL TREND BACK TO IFR FROM
03-06Z TONIGHT. MORE PRECIP WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH LATER
TONIGHT. /28/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 420 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015/

..MORE HEAVY RAIN ON THE WAY FOR LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...FOCUS FOR THIS FORECAST
CONTINUES TO BE ON PRECIP AND ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINS
(ESPECIALLY FOR THU NGT INTO FRI). GENERALLY SPEAKING...OUR FORECAST
AREA WILL BE IN THE LULL FROM THE HEAVIER PRECIP TODAY INTO AT LEAST
HALF OF THU. THERE WILL BE SOME PRECIP AROUND DURING THIS TIME...BUT
NOT OF THE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY NATURE AS WHAT IS EXPECTED FOR THU
NGT INTO FRI.

AS OF 3AM...THE WEAK SFC BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM COLUMBIA TO DEKALB.
LIGHT PRECIP HAS BEEN STREAMING NE ACROSS THE E HALF EARLY THIS
MORNING AND EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR THIS TO PUSH ALMOST OUT OF THE CWA
FOR THE START OF THE TODAY PERIOD. WILL CATCH THE BEST POPS FOR
EARLY THIS MORNING AND THOSE BEING OVER THE E/SE HALF. LOOK FOR THE
LIGHT PRECIP TO DIMINISH BY MID MORN WITH NOT MUCH OCCURRING FOR THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WILL KEEP SOME CHANCE WORDING FOR
THE S/SE 1/3RD AS DECENT MOISTURE WILL STILL BE PRESENT AND THE
PROXIMITY OF THE BOUNDARY COULD SUPPORT SOME ACTIVITY. WILL ONLY
WORD RAIN (NO THUNDER). TEMPS WILL BE SLOW TO WARM THANKS TO CLOUDS
AND SOME WEAK CAA...BUT MUCH OF THE CWA TO PEAK BETWEEN 65-70 WITH
SOME OF THE FAR SE HITTING THE LOWER 70S.

TONIGHT INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THU WILL BE A TRANSITION PERIOD AND
JUST HOW THINGS WILL EVOLVE IS UNCERTAIN. THE NEXT S/WV IS SHOWING
ITSELF AS A LARGE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX HAS TAKEN SHAPE IN THE SW GULF.
FORECAST MODELS SHOW THE SAME GENERAL SYNOPTIC SETUP FOR THU INTO
FRI...BUT DIFFER ON THE TIME/WHERE THE CLUSTERS OF THE MAIN PRECIP
WILL DEVELOP. THIS WILL HAVE HUGE IMPLICATIONS ON IF/WHERE THE MAIN
PRECIP AXIS SETS UP AND HOW MUCH PRECIP WILL OCCUR. AT THIS TIME...A
BLENDED APPROACH AND USE OF THE GFS ENS SEEMS LIKE THE BEST COURSE
AT THIS TIME TO FOCUS ON A PRECIP AXIS. FROM THIS...THE AXIS OF
HEAVIEST PRECIP FROM TONIGHT INTO FRI IS ACROSS THE W HALF. A
CAVEAT IS THAT DUE TO MORE UNCERTAINTY...LOWER AMOUNTS WERE USED
FOR LATE THU NGT INTO FRI WHICH HAVE AN IMPACT ON OVERALL TOTALS
ACROSS THE E HALF. BUT AFTER ALL IS SAID AND DONE...THAT AREA COULD
HAVE THE HIGHEST TOTALS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST FOR QPF SHOULD
BE EXPECTED.

AS FOR SOME CONCERNS/POTENTIAL...THERE IS A TREND FOR THE
EURO/GFS/GEM TO FOCUS THE BEST LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH
MOISTURE TRANSPORT EXTENDING FROM THE SE LA REGION INTO THE I-55 AND
I-59 CORRIDOR. IF THIS DOES PAN OUT...THEN THAT WOULD SUPPORT THE
HEAVY PRECIP AXIS MORE EAST THAN THE CURRENT LOCATION. WHAT IS ALSO
A CONCERN IS HOW THESE MODELS SHOW A PROLONGED WEAKNESS IN THE
CORFIDI VECTORS FROM LATE THU INTO FRI. THIS SIGNAL SUPPORTS SLOW
MOVING CONVECTION WITH TRAINING OF STORMS. COMBINE THAT WITH 99
PERCENTILE PWS (1.6-1.8 IN) AND WE COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
EVENT SHAPING UP. HOWEVER...JUST TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AS THE
AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIP COULD SHIFT OR EVENT THE MAIN PRECIP
AREA GET FOCUS TO OUR SOUTH WHICH WOULD RESULT IS LESS EFFICIENT
(MORE STRATIFORM) PRECIP SPREADING OVER OUR AREA. ACCOUNTING FOR ALL
THESE ELEMENTS...FOLLOWING THE WPC QPF IS THE BEST COURSE AT THIS
TIME. WE WILL ALSO HOLD OFF ON ANY WATCH PRODUCTS AND CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE THE CURRENT HAZARDS WITH THE MAIN ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
TIMING. /CME/

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PERSISTENT WET WEATHER
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY BUT LOWER RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
SATURDAY WITH DRIER WEATHER IN STORE SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE
CWA THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING OVER THE CWA
FRIDAY MORNING AS A SHORTWAVE LIFTS NORTH FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL SUPPORT A SURFACE LOW
THAT MODEL CONSENSUS PLACES NEAR THE ARKLATEX AT DAYBREAK AND TRACKS
NORTH NORTHEAST TO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FRIDAY EVENING. AHEAD
OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE
WITH LOW TO MID 60 DEGREE SURFACE DEW POINTS AND A PW AROUND 1.65
INCHES...MORE THAN TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THERE IS A
SPREAD IN MODELS WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL SET UP BUT ANOTHER
WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED OVER OUR AREA
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS RAINFALL WILL FALL OVER SATURATED
SOILS AND ELEVATED RIVERS FROM THE PREVIOUS DAYS RAINFALL AND A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND OR WARNING MAY BE ISSUED LATER FOR PORTIONS OF
THE AREA. OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO REMAIN LIMITED BUT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AND THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AND WHERE THE STORMS TRAIN OVER
THE SAME AREA. DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO OUR CWA FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY FROM THE WEST AS THE WEAK SURFACE LOW SHIFTS
FARTHER NORTHEAST OF OUR CWA AND DRAGS A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO OUR
CWA. THIS COLD FRONT WILL STILL BE NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED NEAR
INTERSTATE 55 SATURDAY. CHANCE POPS WILL BE CARRIED SATURDAY OVER
EAST MISSISSIPPI WITH SLIGHT CHANCE WEST OF I-55. SATURDAY A
NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL CLOSE OFF OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
WHILE A SECOND CLOSED LOW CONTINUES OVER MEXICO. OUR CWA WILL BECOME
MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM CLOSED LOW TO THE
NORTHEAST AND LESS INFLUENCED BY THE CLOSED LOW OVER MEXICO. THIS
NORTHERN STREAM LOW WILL HELP DROP A SLIGHTLY STRONGER COLD FRONT
ACROSS OUR CWA SATURDAY NIGHT THAT WILL BRING AN END TO THE WET
WEATHER ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND MUCH DRIER AIR.
PWS BELOW A HALF INCH WILL RESIDE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE SURFACE HIGH TO OUR NORTH IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE EAST THROUGH MONDAY PREVENTING RETURN FLOW AND
MAINTAINING THE DRY AIRMASS UNTIL TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TO LAST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY BUT LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO
AT LEAST OUR SOUTHERN ZONES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE OLD CLOSED LOW OVER
MEXICO WILL BE OPENING UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHILE ANOTHER
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS ACROSS OUR CWA. DEEP MOISTURE LOOKS TO REMAIN
LIMITED OVER OUR CWA BUT THE TWO FEATURES WILL COMBINE TO SQUEEZE
OUT A FEW SHOWERS OVER OUR SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       67  60  74  63 /  42  74  76  98
MERIDIAN      69  60  75  63 /  63  60  76  96
VICKSBURG     67  59  73  63 /  20  80  81  98
HATTIESBURG   75  64  75  64 /  56  62  76  98
NATCHEZ       67  60  73  62 /  42  82  81  98
GREENVILLE    66  55  69  62 /   3  64  89  96
GREENWOOD     68  57  72  64 /   7  64  86  95

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
121030-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
523 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WE ARE CONFIDENT IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME FLOODING FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF THE REGION LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. GENERALLY...2
TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM A FEW ROUNDS OF RAIN. THIS
WILL COMBINE WITH SATURATED SOILS AND BRING THE THREAT FOR FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

CME

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED.

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