Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 22, NWS Jackson, MS

March 8, 2015Neshoba County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Mar 8, 2015, 10:59 AM CDT for Neshoba County, Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 12, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 2015, 10:59 AM CDT (15:59 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 12, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 14, 2015, 10:15 AM CDT
In force
57 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Neshoba County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pearl River near Philadelphia/at Burnside (PLAM6). The gauge peaked at 12.93 ft at Mar 15, 2015, 10:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate12141603/0803/0903/1003/1103/1203/1303/1403/15
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02481880, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

570 
WGUS44 KJAN 081559
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1059 AM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-092159-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T0600Z-150314T1200Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T0600Z.150312T0600Z.150313T0600Z.NO/
1059 AM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Wednesday night to Saturday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.0 Sun 10 AM  11.9  12.0  12.7  13.0 07 AM 03/12


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$
12 follow-up statements
185 
WGUS84 KJAN 090048
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
748 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-100648-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T0600Z-150314T1200Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T0600Z.150312T0600Z.150313T0600Z.NO/
748 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Wednesday night to Saturday morning.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.9 Sun 07 PM  11.8  12.0  12.7  13.0 07 AM 03/12


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$
703 
WGUS84 KJAN 091541
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1041 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 


SYNOPSIS...

A stagnant weather pattern is expected this week...with several 
waves of low pressure expected to move through an unusually moist 
airmass across the region. This will result in several rounds of 
moderate to heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms through the 
work week.

Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches over the next 5 days are expected 
to be common...somewhat heavier localized totals are possible
in narrow stripes where training thunderstorms occur.

The first significant rainfall event will be from Monday night into 
Tuesday night where 1 to 3 inches of rainfall will be common across 
the area. The next wave of precipitation will begin Wednesday night 
and will end early Friday morning. There is a possibility of another 
2 to 4 inches during this time frame with the heaviest rainfall 
setting up across East and Northeast Mississippi. Significant flash 
flooding could occur where storms with intense rainfall rates train 
across the same areas. 

The current river forecasts contain only 48 hour of additional rainfall.
Forecsts could go higher later in the week if current projects of
rainfall remain in place.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
the Pearl River forecast today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-102141-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T0200Z.150313T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Wednesday 
  before midnight and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by 
  Friday morning.This forecast only includes rainfall for the next 2 days.
  Additional rainfall could produce a higher crest.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.8 Mon 10 AM  11.8  12.4  13.5  14.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$
800 
WGUS84 KJAN 100122
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
822 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. The current river forecasts contain only 48 hours of
additional rainfall. Forecsts could go higher later in the week if current
projects of rainfall remain in place.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-110722-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T0200Z.150313T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Wednesday 
  before midnight and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.8 Mon 08 PM  11.8  12.4  13.5  14.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-110722-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150315T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from late Saturday night until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.1 Mon 08 PM  12.1  15.1  16.9  20.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-110721-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150315T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150315T1200Z.150315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.1 Mon 08 PM  12.0  13.7  15.7  17.0 07 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$
820 
WGUS84 KJAN 101521
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the 
Pearl River Basin.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1200Z.150314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday morning until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.7 Tue 10 AM  12.1  13.0  13.6  14.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.0 Tue 10 AM  12.5  13.1  15.2  20.0 07 AM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T0600Z.150317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday March 17 until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.0 Tue 10 AM  12.0  12.2  13.3  17.0 01 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150313T0130Z-150315T2125Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150313T0130Z.150314T0000Z.150315T0625Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Thursday evening to Sunday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  evening and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  14.2 Tue 10 AM  15.2  19.8  26.0  26.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  14.1 Tue 10 AM  14.0  13.6  14.5  19.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC029-127-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150313T1200Z-150315T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150313T1200Z.150313T1200Z.150313T1800Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Friday morning to Saturday evening.
* Estimated stage for 7am today was at 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The River will rise and crest at 25 feet on Friday.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and 
  bottomland is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25     M M          20.1  22.7  25.0  25.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T0200Z-150315T1500Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T0200Z.150313T1800Z.150315T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Thursday evening to Sunday morning.
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday before
  midnight and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early 
  Friday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  15.6 Tue 09 AM  17.3  20.0  22.8  23.0 01 PM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
922 
WGUS84 KJAN 110210
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall has been used for the
Pearl River tonight. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-120810-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1200Z.150314T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.7 Tue 09 PM  12.2  13.0  13.6  14.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.0 Tue 09 PM  12.5  13.9  15.9  20.0 07 AM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T0600Z.150317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday March 17 until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.0 Tue 09 PM  12.2  12.8  14.0  17.0 01 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150312T0824Z-150316T1259Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150312T0824Z.150313T0600Z.150315T2159Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Wednesday night to Monday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  15.5 Tue 08 PM  19.2  25.3  26.0  26.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  14.2 Tue 09 PM  14.2  14.3  16.2  19.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
327 
WGUS84 KJAN 111516
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl River
today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-122116-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1800Z.150314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.9 Wed 09 AM  12.8  13.5  13.9  14.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.4 Wed 09 AM  13.5  15.7  17.3  20.0 07 AM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.3 Wed 09 AM  12.8  13.7  15.3  17.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150313T1048Z-150315T0951Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150313T1048Z.150314T0000Z.150314T1851Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Thursday night to late Saturday night.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday evening. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  17.6 Wed 09 AM  21.3  25.4  25.7  26.0 07 PM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.0 Wed 09 AM  15.3  15.6  18.4  19.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC029-127-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150314T0000Z-150315T1200Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150314T0000Z.150314T0000Z.150314T0600Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Friday evening to Sunday morning.
* At  7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday
  evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and 
  bottomland is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  19.5 Wed 07 AM  21.9  24.4  24.8  25.0 07 PM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T1621Z-150316T0900Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T1621Z.150314T0600Z.150315T1800Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Friday morning to late Sunday night.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early 
  Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  16.7 Wed 09 AM  18.1  21.2  23.0  23.0 01 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
933 
WGUS84 KJAN 120148
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
847 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur over the next 12 hours.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-130747-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150313T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150313T0000Z.150314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
847 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday evening until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 12 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening and will crest near 14 feet by Saturday.
* Impact...At 14 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.0 Wed  8 PM  12.6  13.5  13.9  14.0  1 PM  3/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-130746-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-150317T0900Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.150316T1800Z.NO/
847 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning to late Monday night.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest near flood stage
  early next week.
* Impact...At 20 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  13.2 Wed  8 PM  13.3  15.7  17.3  20.0  7 AM  3/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-130746-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
847 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest near flood stage 
  early next week.
* Impact...At 17 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.8 Wed  8 PM  12.9  13.7  15.3  17.0  7 AM  3/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

DL
364 
WGUS84 KJAN 121439
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

SYNOPSIS...

Do not expect much rainfall today. However...a surface low will 
move out of the Gulf of Mexico this morning and into eastern
Texas and up into southwest Arkansas by tomorrow. As this
occurs, Very moist air over the Gulf of Mexico southeast of 
New Orleans will begin to push northward into our County Warning
Area (CWA) tonight. Rainfall amounts are expected to 
be between 2 and 4 inches across all but our eastern counties. 
There is good potential for bands of very heavy rainfall where 
storms train over the same location tonight into Friday morning. 
Rainfall amounts could be higher than 4 inches in these bands. 
The location of these heavier rainfall bands is uncertain. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl
River today. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-132039-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150314T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150314T0600Z.150315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Friday night until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.1 Thu 09 AM  12.4  13.2  14.0  14.0 07 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150317T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  13.2 Thu 09 AM  14.2  15.9  16.6  20.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150318T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150318T1200Z.150318T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  13.1 Thu 09 AM  13.7  14.8  15.3  17.0 07 AM 03/18


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150314T0546Z-150316T1620Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150314T0546Z.150314T1800Z.150316T0120Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Friday night to Monday morning.
* At  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  18.4 Thu 08 AM  19.1  25.9  25.9  26.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150317T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150317T0000Z.150317T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday evening until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.8 Thu 09 AM  16.2  17.9  17.9  19.0 07 PM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
014 
WGUS84 KJAN 130053
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl
River today. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-140653-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150314T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150314T0900Z.150315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Friday night until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.2 Thu 07 PM  12.3  13.2  14.0  14.0 07 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150317T1200Z-150318T0900Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.150317T1800Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Tuesday morning to late Tuesday night.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  13.3 Thu 07 PM  14.1  16.4  16.9  20.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150318T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150318T1200Z.150318T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  13.1 Thu 07 PM  13.5  15.2  15.8  17.0 07 AM 03/18


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150314T0406Z-150316T2008Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150314T0406Z.150314T1800Z.150316T0508Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Friday evening to Monday afternoon.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late tomorrow 
  evening  and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  17.7 Thu 07 PM  18.3  25.9  25.9  26.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150317T0000Z-150318T0300Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150317T0000Z.150317T0000Z.150317T1200Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday evening to Tuesday evening.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.3 Thu 07 PM  16.0  17.9  18.0  19.0 07 PM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
466 
WGUS84 KJAN 131509
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150314T0000Z-150317T1500Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150314T0000Z.150315T0000Z.150316T0900Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening 
  and will continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Sunday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.6 Fri 10 AM  13.3  13.5  12.9  13.5 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150315T1800Z-150316T1500Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150315T1800Z.150315T1800Z.150316T0000Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  16.5 Fri 09 AM  22.5  24.9  24.6  25.0 01 PM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC029-127-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150315T0000Z-150316T1200Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150315T0000Z.150315T0000Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Saturday evening to Monday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and 
  bottomland is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  21.2 Thu 09 AM  24.2  24.9  24.0  25.0 07 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150315T0600Z-150316T0900Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T1800Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from late Saturday night to late Sunday night.
* At  9:15 AM Friday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  18.5 Fri 09 AM  20.4  22.0  21.5  22.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
772 
WGUS84 KJAN 140155
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
855 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-150755-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150317T2100Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150314T1200Z.150315T0600Z.150316T1500Z.NO/
855 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.8 Fri 08 PM  13.0  13.5  13.1  13.5 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$
511 
WGUS84 KJAN 141515
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-141545-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150317T2100Z/
/PLAM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia.
* At 9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 12.8 feet this
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.8 Sat 10 AM  12.7  12.5  12.2    Cresting          


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC029-127-141545-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-150316T1800Z/
/ROCM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport.
* At 1:00 PM Friday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 22.3 feet 
  tomorrow morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  20.7 Fri 01 PM  22.3  21.9  21.5  22.3 07 AM 3/15          


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-141545-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150317T0300Z/
/MTCM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello.
* At 9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 20.4 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture 
  land in the vicinity of Monticello .

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  19.3 Sat 09 AM  20.1  20.2  19.8  20.4 07 PM 3/15          


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 8, 9:43 AM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 9:43 AM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
943 AM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015

.UPDATE...LARGE AREA OF RAIN CONTINUES TO ADVANCE EASTWARD TOWARD
THE ARKLAMISS THIS MORNING AND WILL OVERSPREAD THE NW HALF OF THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON. ADJUSTED HOURLY TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS CLOSE TO THE HRRR
OUTPUT BASED ON LATEST TRENDS. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...LIGHT RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. INITIALLY THIS RAIN WILL BE FALLING OUT OF A MID
DECK AND WILL NOT CAUSE MUCH IN THE WAY OF LOWERING OF CIGS OR
VSBYS. AFTER 03Z BETTER INFLUX OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WITH WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING
BY 10Z. IFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 18Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015/

..WET WORK WEEK AHEAD WITH A COUPLE EPISODES OF HEAVY RAINFALL...

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWED A SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH OVER BAJA WHICH WAS PUSHING
MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IN THE FORM OF LIGHT RAIN. WITH
WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WAS PARKED EAST OF
THE CWA AS MIDDLE TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WERE PUSHING ACROSS THE
ARKLAMISS. HIRES AND SHORT RANGE MODELS BRINGS LIGHT RAIN TO THE
REGION FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST.
MODEL SOUNDINGS AND CROSS SECTIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW DRY AIR IN THE
LOW LEVELS WHICH WILL HAVE TO BE OVERCOME BY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ADVECTION. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE A LITTLE MILDER WITH HIGHS FROM
THE MIDDLE 50S NORTHWEST TO THE UPPER 60S SOUTHEAST. FOR TONIGHT THE
LIGHT RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. AN UPPER TROUGH
AXIS WILL SET UP ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHWEST US...WHICH WILL
HELP TO PUMP GULF MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION. A SURFACE WAVE WILL
APPROACH THE REGION WITH AN ASSOCIATED INVERTED TROUGH FROM SOUTH
TEXAS. LOW TEMPS WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER WITH READINGS IN THE 40S. AS
WE GO INTO MONDAY THE SURFACE WAVE AND INVERTED TROUGH WILL BE
PUSHING TOWARD THE REGION. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LIMITED INSTABILITY
FOR SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. MODERATE RAINS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION AS LIFT
STARTS TO INCREASE IN RESPONSE. IT WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER WITH THE
MODERATE RAINS WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S. THE INVERTED TROUGH WILL PUSH
INTO THE REGION WITH THE SURFACE WAVE ON MONDAY NIGHT. LIMITED
INSTABILITY WILL SPREAD ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE CAPES LESS THAN
400 J/KG AND 6C LAPSE RATES. SO PUT IN ISOLATED THUNDER ACROSS MOST
OF THE CWA. LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WITH THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL
INCREASE DEWPOINTS SOME AS TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE RATHER STEADY
DURING THE NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 50S. RAINFALL RATES WILL PICK UP
SOME WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION WITH PWATS
APPROACHING 1.7 INCHES. THE MODELS ACROSS THE REGION SHOWS RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AROUND 1.5 TO NEAR 3 INCHES INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
ADDITIONALLY...THE CIPS ANALOGS SHOWS SOME HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
DURING THIS TIME WITH DECENT PROBS OF +4 INCHES. /17/

LONG TERM...TUE-SUN PERIOD...GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THE GENERAL SOLUTION OF A WETTER THAN NORMAL PATTERN
FOR THE WORK WEEK WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE BEING TAPPED IN SEVERAL
EPISODES OF RAINFALL TUE INTO FRI. AS HAS BEEN PREV DISCUSSED...THE
PATTERN WILL BE ONE OF A MORE ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM WITH S/WV
ENERGY BECOMING MORE CUT OFF AND LINGERING THROUGH THE WEEK. AS
TYPICALLY IS THE CASE...FORECAST DETAILS ARE SKETCHY...BUT ENOUGH
CONSISTENCY HAS BEEN SHOWN FROM THE MODELS RECENTLY TO ALLOW FOR
INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE OVERALL ASPECTS OF THE
FORECAST...PRIMARILY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE INCREASING THREAT FOR
FLOODING.

FOR TUE...EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT DECENT PRECIP WILL BE ONGOING AND
CONTINUING FROM THE OVERNIGHT. MODELS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A MORE
SHARPLY DEFINED INVERTED TROUGH INTO EARLY TUE WHICH IS INDICATIVE
OF A STRONG S/WV. THIS WILL PROMOTE STRONGER WAA INTO EARLY TUE BUT
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...THE MAIN LIFT FROM THE S/WV WILL BE LIFTING
NE. THE ISSUE WITH THAT IS ALL INDICATIONS ARE FOR THE LEFTOVER
BOUNDARY(TROUGH) WILL HANG UP ACROSS THE AREA. THIS COULD VERY WELL
SERVE FOR A PERIOD OF LOCALIZED HEAVIER PRECIP AS A STALLED ZONE OF
CONVECTION SEEMS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONALLY...THE MOISTURE SOURCE FOR
DURING THIS TIME WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY PWS OF 1.6-1.75 INCHES (+2
TO 3 STANDARD DEV). CORFIDI VECTOR RIDGING IS ALSO NOTED DURING THIS
TIME AS THE BOUNDARY STALLS. OVERALL...2-4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY
TUE AFTERNOON WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THESE HIGHER TOTALS
ARE PRIMARILY FOCUSED S/SW/W OF GREENVILLE TO KOSCIUSKO TO COLLINS.
FLOODING CONCERNS CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND BASED OFF THE LATEST
EXPECTATIONS...WILL INTRODUCE A LIMITED FLOODING THREAT IN THE HWO
WHICH IS DEFINED AS FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.

WHILE THE INITIAL S/WV EXITS THE REGION BY WED...THE LINGERING
TROUGH TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE LIFT. ADDITIONALLY...THE
TROUGH WILL ADJUST/EVOLVE AS WE HEAD INTO THU WHICH WILL STRENGTHEN
THE WAA REGIME. OUR REGION WILL ALSO HAVE THE STALLED BOUNDARY TO
HELP FOCUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DURING THIS TIME. AS INCREASING LIFT
ALOFT APPROACHES FOR THU...LOOK FOR ANOTHER INVERTED SFC TROUGH TO
DEVELOP WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
ALL OF THIS WILL LEAD TO MUCH HIGHER THAN NORMAL RAIN CHANCES
WED-FRI. ANOMALOUS MOISTURE WILL AGAIN BE IN PLAY AND MORE EFFICIENT
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED AS A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAINS/STORMS ARE
LIKELY. CONTINUING IN GENERAL TERMS...EXPECTATIONS ARE SIMILAR TO
THE PREV THINK WITH RESPECT TO 5-7 DAY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3-6 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE DURING THE TUE-FRI TIME FRAME.

MUCH LOWER RAIN CHANCES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE SAT-SUN PERIODS AS
THE MAIN MOISTURE AXIS SHIFTS TO THE EAST OF THE AREA. /CME/

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT ALL
TAF SITES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WL INCREASE FROM
THE SOUTHWEST...WITH SOME 4000-6000FT CIGS MOVING IN AROUND MIDDAY
TODAY. LIGHT RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SPREAD NORTHEAST
INTO AREAS MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 AFTER 20Z SUNDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WINDS WL BE NEAR CALM
EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 3-5 KNOTS FROM THE
SOUTH BY 15Z TODAY...THEN LIGHT EAST FOR TONIGHT. /17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       62  46  57  55 /  22  58  79  98
MERIDIAN      65  46  58  55 /   9  47  70  99
VICKSBURG     59  46  56  54 /  37  63  80  92
HATTIESBURG   69  49  62  59 /   8  45  67  90
NATCHEZ       62  47  57  55 /  22  64  81  88
GREENVILLE    55  43  53  49 /  80  62  80  92
GREENWOOD     58  44  55  52 /  64  63  80  90

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 4:47 AM CDT, 6 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
447 AM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
091000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
447 AM CDT SUN MAR 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

LIMITED FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A CROSSETT ARKANSAS TO GREENWOOD
MISSISSIPPI LINE. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A
WET WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP FOR THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.