Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Northern Indiana

021 
WWUS53 KIWX 110015
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
715 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

INC091-110045-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150611T0045Z/
LA PORTE IN-
715 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL LA PORTE COUNTY...

AT 714 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER KINGSFORD
HEIGHTS...OR NEAR LA PORTE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
CENTRAL LA PORTE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SOUTH
WANATAH...KINGSBURY...TRACY...FISH LAKE...PINHOOK...STILLWELL...
BYRON...UNION MILLS...SOUTH CENTER AND HANNA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 43 AND
46.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 8683 4167 8653 4144 8653 4144 8665
      4141 8668 4140 8670 4138 8671 4139 8693
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 279DEG 27KT 4152 8669 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JAL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
317 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 307 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING...
AND THEN BECOME STATIONARY TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...
SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE... ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH
INTO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN THURSDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO TO IOWA. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 60S
WITH HIGHS THURSDAY IN THE 80S. WARM AND HUMID WEATHER WITH A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 307 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

SKIES HAVE CLEARED OUT THIS AFTN AND TEMPS RISING THROUGH THE L-
M80S. CONVECTIVE TEMPS IN THE U80S SHOULD BE REACHED LATE THIS AFTN
ALLOWING THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH
MLCAPE >3KJ/KG. CONVERGENCE ALONG LAKE BREEZE OVER SWRN MI/NWRN
INDIANA MAY INITIATE CONVECTION... ALTHOUGH NRN IL WHERE CONVERGENCE
ALONG APCHG CDFNT AND INSTABILITY A LITTLE STRONGER.... APPEARS TO
BE A BETTER CANDIDATE. CAMS SUGGESTS CONVECTION IN BOTH AREAS LATE
THIS AFTN/EARLY THIS EVE AND SEEM REASONABLE. STAYED CLOSE TO
PREVIOUS GRIDS THROUGH THIS EVE WITH LIKELY POPS... GRDLY DECREASING
TO SLIGHT CHC BY 06Z AS INSTABILITY AND FORCING DECREASE. CDFNT
EXPECTED TO STALL OVERNIGHT IN AN E-W FASHION ACROSS OUR CWA AS
RIDGE ALOFT MOVES EAST INTO OUR AREA AHEAD OF STRONG SHRTWV MOVG
INTO THE SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. MAIN FORCING FOR CONVECTION THURSDAY
SHOULD BE WK CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH SHOULD
LIFT SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THE DAY AS MAIN SHRTWV LIFTS SLOWLY NE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. SCT TSTMS EXPECTED MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT WITH HIGHEST POPS NW WHERE A WK PSBLY CONVECTIVELY
ENHANCED LEAD SHRTWV LIFTS NE INTO THE WRN GRTLKS. INSTABILITY FCST
TO BE SIMILAR TOMORROW AFTN AS THIS AFTN AND SHEAR A BIT STRONGER
DUE TO BACKED ALBEIT WK LOW LEVEL WINDS ALONG THE FRONT... SO AGAIN
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR STORMS IN THE AFTN. LOWS TONIGHT
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE L60S NORTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN MI TO
THE U60S SOUTHERN ZONES. TEMPS TOMORROW SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO
TODAY... EXCEPT PRBLY A LITTLE COOLER ACROSS NRN ZONES WHICH STAY
NORTH OF FRONT MOST IF NOT ALL DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 307 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

WARM/MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OSCILLATING
BETWEEN THE LOWER LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY WILL KEEP PERIODIC CHANCES
FOR SHOWER/STORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...

UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE EJECTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL/HIGH PLAINS WILL
TRACK ENE INTO THE WESTERN/CENTRAL LAKES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.
FEED OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD
SUPPORT PERIODS OF CONVECTION DURING THIS TIME ALONG ANY PRE-FRONTAL
FEATURES AND PRIMARY FROPA. AS A RESULT HELD WITH HIGHER LIKELY
POPS...AND WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE AFTN/EVE
GIVEN MODEST SHEAR (0-3 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES NEARING 30) AND
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE BL DESTABLIZATION (DEPENDENT ON WARM SECTOR
CLOUD COVER). THE RISK APPEARS TO BE LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE IF ANY
MULTICELL CLUSTERS ORGANIZE.

BETTER CHANCES FOR A PERIOD OF DRY/COOLER WEATHER (ALTHOUGH OPTED TO
HOLD ONTO LOW POPS PER COLLABORATION) EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY AND
EARLY SUNDAY AS MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS BUILDS OVER THE AREA AND
INCREASINGLY DIFFUSE SFC BOUNDARY STALLS OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF OUR
SOUTHERN ZONES. ACTIVE PATTERN (OPPORTUNTIES FOR HEAVY RAIN/SVR WX)
THEN RETURNS THEREAFTER WITH STATIONARY BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY
UNDER PERTURBED WSW FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 105 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

AREA OF SHRA/TS HAS SLOWLY DIMINISHED AS IT SHIFTED E-SE ACROSS
NRN INDIANA LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTN. CDFNT MOVG INTO
SRN MI/NRN IL SHOULD MOVE THROUGH SBN THIS EVE THEN BECOME STNRY
ACROSS NRN INDIANA OVERNIGHT AS ACCOMPANYING SHRTWV PASSES BY TO
THE NORTH. CONTD TEMPO TSRA GROUP IN TAFS BUT MOVED BACK TIMING
SOME DUE TO DELAY IN DESTABILIZATION AS A RESULT OF MORNING
CONVECTION... ESPECIALLY AT FWA. FOR REST OF THE EVE AND INTO THU
MORNING EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS AT THE TERMINALS. POTENTIAL
FOR BR LATE TONIGHT/EARLY THU MORNING BUT HELD OFF ADDING TO TAFS
ATTM TO SEE HOW EXTENSIVE COVERAGE OF TSRA IS THIS AFTN/EVE.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JT
SHORT TERM...JT
LONG TERM...STEINWEDEL
AVIATION...JT

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
336 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-111945-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
336 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE THE STORMS COULD
BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THUNDERSTORMS COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON... AND AGAIN
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-111945-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
336 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THERE
IS A CHANCE SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS AND
LARGE HAIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
715 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

MIZ081-102345-
HILLSDALE-
715 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL HILLSDALE COUNTY...

AT 714 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR HILLSDALE...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HILLSDALE...HUDSON...JONESVILLE...READING...LONG LAKE...CAMBRIA...
PITTSFORD...NORTH ADAMS...BEAR LAKE...ALLEN...SHADYSIDE...OSSEO AND
LAKE WILSON.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4202 8436 4178 8436 4182 8481 4203 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 285DEG 23KT 4197 8454

BENTLEY