Gale Warning 33, NWS Northern Indiana

174 
WHUS73 KIWX 271531
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1031 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

LMZ043-046-272345-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151228T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0033.151228T1200Z-151229T0600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1031 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS TODAY VEERING TO EAST GALES TO 35
  KNOTS MONDAY AND SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. SOME GUSTS TO 45
  KNOTS GALES MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

090 
WHUS73 KIWX 272112
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
412 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

LMZ043-046-280515-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151228T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0033.151228T1200Z-151229T0600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
412 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT VEERING TO EAST FROM 35 TO
  40 KNOT GALES MONDAY AND SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. SOME GUSTS
  TO 45 KNOTS GALES MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES: GENERALLY 5 TO 8 FEET...WITH SOME WAVES UP TO 10 FEET
  MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

043 
WHUS73 KIWX 280241
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
941 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

LMZ043-046-281045-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151228T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0033.151228T1200Z-151229T0600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
941 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT VEERING TO EAST FROM 35 
  TO 40 KNOT GALES MONDAY AND SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. SOME 
  GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS GALES MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. 

* WAVES: GENERALLY 5 TO 8 FEET...WITH SOME WAVES UP TO 10 FEET 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

759 
WHUS73 KIWX 280845
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
345 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LMZ043-046-281645-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151228T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0033.151228T1200Z-151229T0600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
345 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
EST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
EST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM
EST THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS: EAST TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS AND VEERING
  SOUTHEAST. SOME GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS GALES.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 5 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

614 
WHUS73 KIWX 281536
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1036 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LMZ043-046-282345-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1036 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: EAST TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS AND VEERING 
  SOUTHEAST. SOME GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS GALES. 

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 5 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

607 
WHUS73 KIWX 282055
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
355 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LMZ043-046-290500-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
355 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: EAST TO 35 KNOTS AND VEERING SOUTHEAST. SOME GUSTS TO 45
  KNOTS GALES.

* WAVES: 5 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

355 
WHUS73 KIWX 290310
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1010 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LMZ043-046-291115-
/O.CAN.KIWX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0065.151229T0310Z-151229T2200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1010 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST
  OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 4 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1247 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 440 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF. A SECOND ROUND OF RAIN WILL MOVE IN
SUNDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT 1 TO 2
INCHES NORTH OF US-24 AND ROUGHLY 2-3.5 INCHES SOUTH OF US-24
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING
BEFORE GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET MONDAY
AFTERNOON...MAINLY NORTH OF US-24 WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE COLDEST.
MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
TUESDAY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE MOST RAINFALL. LOWS TONIGHT WILL
RANGE FROM 38 TO 52...WARMEST SOUTHEAST OF US-24. HIGH TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE 40S AND LOW 50S...THEN DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S
AND LOW 40S BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 422 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

NO CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED TO THE GOING FLASH FLOOD WATCH HEADLINES
FOR THIS FORECAST ISSUANCE. FACTORS STILL APPEAR TO BE INLINE FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL FOR LEAST A PORTION OF THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH AREA...ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE FINER DETAILS STILL REMAIN OF
LOWER CONFIDENCE.

ZONE OF STRONGEST LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT MOVING INTO THE
AREA HAS ALLOWED AN AREA OF RAIN WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA. SPLIT UPPER FLOW PATTERN CHARACTERIZED BY A
MORE PROGRESSIVE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH SHOULD ALLOW FOR BROAD
FRONTAL RESPONSE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS NORTHERN STREAM WAVE WILL DAMPEN ACROSS THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND WITH A VERY SLOW PROGRESSION OF
SOUTHERN STREAM CUT-OFF LOW ACROSS WEST TEXAS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD
FAVORABLE ORIENTATION OF FRONTAL FORCING WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT
LEAST MIDDAY SUNDAY. A HIGHLY ANOMALOUS 1.4-1.5 INCH PWAT AXIS (350-
400 PERCENT OF NORMAL) WILL ALSO REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. LATEST GFS/NAM BUFFER DATA ALSO
CONTINUE TO INDICATE WARM CLOUD DEPTHS RISING IN EXCESS OF 10K FT
TONIGHT. WHILE STRONGER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
JUST SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA...A STRENGTHENING 50-60 KNOT LLJ THIS
EVENING ALSO WILL RESULT IN VERY SMALL PROPAGATION VECTORS.
STRENGTHENING FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IN RESPONSE TO THIS LOW LEVEL
JET/NORTHERN STREAM INTERACTION WILL GIVE RISE TO IMPRESSIVE
GEOSTROPHIC ADJUSTMENT THIS EVENING AND ENHANCEMENT OF LARGER SCALE
SYNOPTIC FORCING IN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF GREAT LAKES UPPER JET
STREAK.

THE ABOVE FACTORS STILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...ALTHOUGH AS PREVIOUS DISCUSSION NOTED...STILL
SOME ASPECTS OF THIS SETUP LEND TO SOME LOW CONFIDENCE IN EXACT
PLACEMENT OF HEAVIER RAINFALL. HIGHER RES GUIDANCE OVER THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS SUPPORTED HEAVIER RAINFALL ALONG LOWER BRANCH OF FRONTAL
CIRCULATION WHERE LOWER BASED INSTABILITY/CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS
MAXIMIZED JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOWER RES GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO REMAIN A BIT FARTHER NORTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE
AREA. DIFFICULT AT THIS TIME TO DEVIATE MUCH FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST
THINKING...WITH CURRENT TRENDS STILL LARGELY SUPPORTIVE. CONFIDENCE
IN HIGHER AMOUNTS STILL REMAINS A BIT LOWER FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA GIVEN THE ABOVE FACTORS HOWEVER. RAIN
RATES SHOULD DIMINISH FOR SUNDAY AS FORCING BECOMES INCREASINGLY
ELEVATED AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY SAGS SOUTHEASTWARD...WITH POPS
DIMINISHING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 422 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

FOR THIS PACKAGE...FLOODING AND WINTRY WEATHER CONCERNS AND
CHALLENGES PERSIST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH
GENERALLY DRY AND COLDER WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. COLD
AIR ADVECTION SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT TO BRING IN A SHALLOW COLD LAYER ABOUT THE GROUND SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE AIR JUST ABOUT THIS LAYER WARMS UP DRAMATICALLY SO BY
THE TIME PRECIPITATION BEGINS...THERE IS ONLY A MINIMUM CHANCE FOR
SNOW. INSTEAD...LOWER ATMOSPHERIC PROFILE SUPPORTS MORE OF A
FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET SOUNDING. DEFINITELY SOME CONCERN ON HOW
FAST THE LOWER COLD LAYER WILL BE ABLE TO MIX OUT. TRIED TO SPLIT
THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE COLDER 12K NAM AND WARMER GFS. THE
GREATEST CONCERNS OCCUR LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BELOW FREEZING FOR SEVERAL
HOURS. INCREASED ICE ACCUMULATIONS DURING THIS PERIOD...BUT KEPT
AMOUNTS UNDER A QUARTER OF AN INCH. STILL SOME QUESTION IF ROADS
WILL BECOME ICY GIVEN RECENT VERY WARM WEATHER. IT IS POSSIBLE A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NEED TO COVER THIS WEATHER. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING EVERYWHERE BY OR DURING
THE AFTERNOON...SO ANY WINTRY WEATHER CONCERNS SHOULD SUBSIDE.

IN ADDITION TO THE WINTRY WEATHER...THIS LAST ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
WILL LIKELY AMPLIFY FLOOD CONCERNS. MESONET OBS THIS AFTERNOON
ALREADY WERE SHOWING SOME RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND AND ABOVE AN INCH.
THIS SCENARIO WOULD LIKELY BE MORE OF A GENERAL FLOOD SCENARIO
DURING THIS TIME WITH RISING AND POSSIBLY FLOODING RIVERS ALONG WITH
LOWLAND FLOODING. HAVE KEPT THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OUT UNTIL MONDAY
EVENING TO COVER THESE CONCERNS.

OTHERWISE...GENERALLY DRY AND PROGRESSIVELY COLD BY THE END OF THE
WEEK CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS FALLING BELOW FREEZING BY THE NEW
YEAR ON FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1247 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

IFR/LIFR CONDITONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS
ACTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS DRAPED OVER THE AREA. HEAVIEST
RAIN CURRENTLY MOVING INTO NORTHERN INDIANA AND SHOULD KEEP
CEILINGS PREDOMINATELY BELOW 500 FT THROUGH ROUGHLY 10-12Z. AFTER
THAT...SLOW IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED DURING THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND FORCES FRONT FURTHER SOUTH. VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KSBN BUT KFWA COULD REMAIN MVFR THROUGH THE
PERIOD GIVEN SOME LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR INZ008-009-
     012>018-020-022>027-032>034.

MI...NONE.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR OHZ001-002-004-
     005-015-016-024-025.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MCD
SHORT TERM...MARSILI
LONG TERM...SKIPPER
AVIATION...AGD

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
605 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-271115-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
605 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015 /505 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT... MAINLY IN THE
MAUMEE AND WABASH RIVER BASINS IN NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST
OHIO. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA TONIGHT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY. THIS MAY LEAD TO
SOME FLOODING... ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MAUMEE AND WABASH RIVER
BASINS IN NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

THE PRECIPITATION MONDAY MAY BEGIN AS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET... MAINLY NORTH OF ROUTE 30... POSSIBLY CAUSING A
PERIOD OF SLICK SURFACES FOR WALKING AND DRIVING... BEFORE
TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY MONDAY EVENING.

EAST WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ON MONDAY... POSSIBLY
CAUSING MINOR TREE LIMB DAMAGE AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED... BUT REPORTS OF ANY
OBSERVED HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR FLOODING ARE APPRECIATED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-271115-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
605 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE