Gale Warning 29, NWS Northern Indiana

050 
WHUS73 KIWX 190905
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
405 AM EST THU NOV 19 2015

LMZ043-046-191715-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0029.151119T1400Z-151120T0300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
405 AM EST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: WEST TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOT GALES.

* WAVES: 5 TO 10 FEET BUILDING TO 6 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

054 
WHUS73 KIWX 191505
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1005 AM EST THU NOV 19 2015

LMZ043-046-192315-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-151120T0300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1005 AM EST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: WEST TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOT GALES.

* WAVES: 5 TO 10 FEET BUILDING TO 6 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

400 
WHUS73 KIWX 192128
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
428 PM EST THU NOV 19 2015

LMZ043-046-200300-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-151120T0300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
428 PM EST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: WEST TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES.

* WAVES: 6 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

292 
WHUS73 KIWX 200303
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1003 PM EST THU NOV 19 2015

LMZ043-046-201115-
/O.EXP.KIWX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-151120T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0052.151120T0303Z-151120T2100Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1003 PM EST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY.
THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS: WEST 20 TO 30 KNOTS OVERNIGHT...EASING TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
  BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: 5 TO 10 FEET OVERNIGHT...SUBSIDING TO 4 FEET OR LESS BY
  LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
659 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 559 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

RAIN SHOWERS WILL END THIS EVENING AND WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH SOMEWHAT. LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 40S.
HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL ONLY RECOVER INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 557 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER TROF/FRONT MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD THE
FORECAST HAS BEEN EXTREMELY CHALLENGING. COLD FRONT IS NOW ACROSS
THE IN/IL STATE LINE WITH SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AND COOLER AIR. THIS
IS ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET AND WE ARE SEEING
CONVECTIVELY DRIVEN WIND GUSTS AHEAD OF THE FINE LINE. THIS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE FORECAST - NEXT 6 HOURS -
AND WILL NOT BE GRIDDED. WILL HANDLE WITH SOCIAL MEDIA POSTS AND
OTHER GRAPHIC-CAST PRODUCTS. GUSTING WINDS WILL PERSIST 6 TO 10
HOURS AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS 30 TO 45
MPH. WHILE THERE IS SOME INSTABILITY ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...SHEAR IS SIGNIFICANT AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE IS
SHALLOW. THIS DOES NOT FAVOR ORGANIZED OR LONG LIVED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT.

AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...SHRA WILL CONTINUE. STRONGEST PRESSURE
FALLS ARE NOW MOVING INTO MICHIGAN AND SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY AND THIS IS KEEPING SUSTAINED WINDS 20 TO 30 WITH
OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. EXPECT TO SEE THE WINDS INCREASE AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH OVERNIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 557 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AN UPPER TROF WILL TRAVERSE THE GTLKS
REGION THU TAKING ON A NEG TILT FRI AS IT LIFTS NE OF THE REGION.
THE FCST AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY AS THE MAIN DYNAMICS ARE WELL
NORTH OF THE FCST AREA. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SAT AS THE NEXT UPPER TROF APPROACHES FROM THE MIDWEST.
LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND A COOLING THERMAL PROFILE WILL SET THE
STAGE FOR OUR FIRST ACUMMULATING SNOW OF THE SEASON. THE ECMWF
CONTINUES TO BE THE FARTHEST NW SOLUTION OF THE MODELS WHILE THE
GFS/NAM/GEM HAVE TRNEDED SOMEWHAT FURTHER SOUTH. THE NAM DEPCITED
THE SFC LOW MOVING ACROSS THE OH RIVER VALLEY WHILE THE ECMWF AND
GFS TAKE THE LOW ACROSS NE IN INTO SE MI ON SAT. WITH SNOW RATIOS
OF ABOUT 12 TO 1 AND THE GROUND STILL SOMEWHAT WARM...EXPECT
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO
LAKE MI. AS THE LOW CONTS TO LIFT NE...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SHOULD
DEVELOP THOUGH DON'T EXPECT THE DURATION TO BE FOR AN EXTENDED
PERIOD. THE CANADIEN AIRMASS BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE
COLDEST OF THE SEASON WITH LOWS SAT NIGHT EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
LOWER 20S WITH HIGHS SUN STRUGGLING TO REACH THE THE LOWER 30S. A
WARMING TRNED WILL BEGIN MON AS TEMPS RISE INTO THE UPR 30S AND
LOW 40S FOR TUE-WED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 659 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

PRIMARY FOCUS WITH STRONG GRADIENT FLOW OVERNIGHT AND STRONGER
GUSTS INTO THU AS DEEPER MOMENTUM XFER INCREASES. POST FRONTAL
ENVIRONMENT PRODUCING A MORE UNIFORM DIRECTIONAL AND STEADY
INCREASE OF SPEED WITH HEIGHT IN SFC-2KFT LAYER TO AFFORD DROPPING
MENTION OF LLWS...ALBEIT STILL LIKELY GENRICALLY TURBULENT. PERIOD
OF LOWER MVFR CIGS OVERNIGHT AS COLD AIR ADVECTION DEEPENS...
THOUGH OVERALL CHCS FOR CIGS BLO CRITICAL 2KFT REMAIN QUITE LOW.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MURPHY
SHORT TERM...LEWIS
LONG TERM...FRAZIER
AVIATION...MURPHY

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
733 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-191200-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
733 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015 /633 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY OVER FAR
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN INTO NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO.
SNOW AMOUNTS WERE STILL UNCERTAIN. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD
OVER THE AREA SUNDAY WITH WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES FALLING TO
AROUND 10 DEGREES BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-191200-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
733 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE