Flash Flood Watch 6, NWS Indianapolis, IN

Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN

302 
WGUS63 KIND 140435
FFAIND

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1235 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES HAS OCCURRED IN THE LAST SIX DAYS... WITH POCKETS AS HIGH
AS NEARLY 9 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
WILL BE LIKELY TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN THESE AREAS.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-141200-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150714T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
1235 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  BARTHOLOMEW...BOONE...BROWN...CARROLL...CLAY...CLINTON... 
  DAVIESS...DECATUR...DELAWARE...FOUNTAIN...GREENE...HAMILTON... 
  HANCOCK...HENDRICKS...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JENNINGS... 
  JOHNSON...KNOX...LAWRENCE...MADISON...MARION...MARTIN... 
  MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...OWEN...PARKE...PUTNAM... 
  RANDOLPH...RUSH...SHELBY...SULLIVAN...TIPPECANOE...TIPTON... 
  VERMILLION...VIGO AND WARREN. 

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
  AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY TO
  EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

807 
WGUS63 KIND 140805
FFAIND

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
405 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL CONTINUES...

.THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE NIGHT ADDED 2 TO MORE
THAN 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN CERTAIN AREAS ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA TO
THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. WITH MORE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
THROUGH THE DAY UNTIL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SUBSIDE.

INZ038>042-046>049-053>057-061>065-068>072-141615-
/O.EXT.KIND.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150715T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-HENDRICKS-MARION-
HANCOCK-HENRY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-
BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
405 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  BARTHOLOMEW...BROWN...DAVIESS...DECATUR...DELAWARE...GREENE... 
  HAMILTON...HANCOCK...HENDRICKS...HENRY...JACKSON...JENNINGS... 
  JOHNSON...LAWRENCE...MADISON...MARION...MARTIN...MONROE... 
  MORGAN...OWEN...RANDOLPH...RUSH...SHELBY AND TIPTON. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
  AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY TO
  EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

INZ021-028>031-035>037-043>045-051-052-060-067-141200-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150714T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-VERMILLION-PARKE-PUTNAM-VIGO-CLAY-SULLIVAN-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...TERRE HAUTE...VINCENNES
405 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BOONE...
   CARROLL...CLAY...CLINTON...FOUNTAIN...HOWARD...KNOX... 
  MONTGOMERY...PARKE...PUTNAM...SULLIVAN...TIPPECANOE... 
  VERMILLION...VIGO AND WARREN. 

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
  AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY TO
  EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

CP

043 
WGUS63 KIND 141435
FFAIND

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1035 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL CONTINUES...

.THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE NIGHT ADDED 2 TO MORE
THAN 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN CERTAIN AREAS ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA TO
THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. WITH MORE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN A THREAT
THROUGH THE DAY UNTIL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SUBSIDE.

INZ038>042-046>049-053>057-061>065-068>072-142245-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150715T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-HENDRICKS-MARION-
HANCOCK-HENRY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-
BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
1035 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  BARTHOLOMEW...BROWN...DAVIESS...DECATUR...DELAWARE...GREENE... 
  HAMILTON...HANCOCK...HENDRICKS...HENRY...JACKSON...JENNINGS... 
  JOHNSON...LAWRENCE...MADISON...MARION...MARTIN...MONROE... 
  MORGAN...OWEN...RANDOLPH...RUSH...SHELBY AND TIPTON. 

* UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY. AREAS
  RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE
  FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

297 
WGUS63 KIND 141910
FFAIND

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
310 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

.WHILE ISOLATED STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
EVENING...COVERAGE WILL BE SPARSE AND THE WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOOD
THREAT IS ENDING.

INZ038>042-046>049-053>057-061>065-068>072-142015-
/O.CAN.KIND.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150715T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-HENDRICKS-MARION-
HANCOCK-HENRY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-
BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
310 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF INDIANA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. WHILE HIGH WATER REMAINS IN MANY AREAS COVERED BY FLOOD
WARNINGS...THE WIDER FLASH FLOOD THREAT IS ENDING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
251 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

.UPDATE...
THE LONG TERM SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 242 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING LOOK LIKE A GOOD
BET...ESPECIALLY TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DRY WEATHER WILL TAKE OVER BY TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT MORE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE TOWARD AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
VERY WARM AND HUMID TODAY AND TUESDAY AND AGAIN DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY AND TONIGHT/...
ISSUED AT 1021 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

HAVE UPDATED GRIDS TO REFLECT LINE OF STORMS ON OUR DOORSTEP AT
THIS TIME AND ALSO ADDED DAMAGING WIND MENTION TO THE GRIDS. MAY
SEE INTENSIFICATION OF THE LINE AS IT MOVES INTO CLEAR AIR WITH
INSOLATION/DESTABILIZATION ONGOING. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.

ISSUED AT 242 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

COULD BE A ROUGH DAY AND NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AS MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MARCH SOUTHEAST OVER CENTRAL
INDIANA. FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...AND THERE IS A MODERATE RISK
FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY
EVEN A FEW SUPERCELL AND OR BOW ECHO EMBEDDED TORNADOES.

MESOSCALE MODELS SUGGEST EASTERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHWESTERN
WISCONSIN THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL TAKE A TURN SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT
PARALLEL TO 850-300 MILLIBAR THICKNESS LINES AND ALONG A WARM FRONT
AND COULD MAKE IT INTO OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES TOWARD NOON.
MEANWHILE...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO DEVELOP AND ARE
SHOWING LESS LIFE OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
EARLY THIS OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH 25 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET
FROM THE OZARKS TO WESTERN ILLINOIS FEEDING THESE STORMS AND AN 100
KNOT UPPER JET STREAK MOVING INTO CENTRAL IOWA ON THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE...OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...SHOULD SEE THE STORMS INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST
ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND SHARP INSTABILITY GRADIENT. SURFACE
BASE CAPES WERE STILL 2000 J/KG OR HIGHER EARLY THIS AM...SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE FIRST NORTHERN ILLINOIS STORM
CLUSTERS SHOULD MAKE IT INTO OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES BEFORE 12Z.

1000-500 MILLIBAR BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDE TO 30 KNOTS OR MORE...STORM
STORM MOTION ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND INSTABILITY GRADIENT...AND
LONG CURVED HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH ALL TYPES OF SEVERE WEATHER ON THE TABLE...EVEN DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. FLASH FLOODING COULD CERTAINLY CONTINUE BE AN
ISSUE...ESPECIALLY IF AREAS EFFECTED BY LAST NIGHT'S STORMS TAKE
ANOTHER HIT. 3 HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE LESS THAN 2
INCHES FOR THOSE COUNTIES. FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL GO IN EFFECT AT 5
AM FOR ALL OF CENTRAL INDIANA AND RUN THROUGH 5 AM TUESDAY.

AFTER THE MORNING AND OR EARLY AFTERNOON CONVECTION MOVES
THROUGH...THE STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD SLIP A LITTLE SOUTHWARD DUE TO
STORM OUTFLOW...BEFORE SHORTLY THEREAFTER RETURNING NORTHEAST...AS
THE ATMOSPHERE RECOVERS. AS IT DOES...INSTABILITY SHOULD QUICKLY
BUILD AGAIN FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WITH MIXED LAYER CAPES TO
3000 J/KG OR MORE AND LITTLE INHIBITION. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO MORE
LATE DAY STORMS BEFORE ANOTHER COMPLEX LIKELY MOVES IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST DURING THE EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
WILL BE A THREAT WITH THESE STORMS ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND
RESULTANT FLOODING. WPC 24 HOUR QPF FORECAST ENDING AT 12Z TUESDAY
HAS A LARGE AREA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL
INDIANA...WHICH LOOKS EASILY ATTAINABLE WITH SEVERAL THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEXES READY TO ROLL THROUGH. MANY LOCALES COULD SEE MUCH MORE
THAN 2 INCHES.

SPC DAY1 MODERATE RISK LOOKS ABOUT RIGHT WITH BEST HAIL CHANCES AND
TORNADO CHANCES ACROSS ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWESTERN PARTS OF CENTRAL
INDIANA AND 45% CONVECTIVE WIND CONTOUR ACROSS ALL BUT OUR FAR
NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES.

WITH A LOT OF CLOUDS AND CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS AROUND TODAY...PREFER
THE 00Z NAM MOS THAT WAS NOT AS WARM AS THE 00Z GFS OR ENSEMBLE MOS.
CONVERSELY...WENT WITH THE SLIGHTLY WARMER 00Z GFS MOS AND ENSEMBLE
MOS TONIGHT...WITH CONVECTION AROUND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
ISSUED AT 242 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

THUNDERSTORMS AND QUITE POSSIBLY FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN
ISSUE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE SHORT TERM AS MODELS AGREE A SHARP
UPPER TROUGH WILL DROP DOWN OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND FORCE A COMPLEX
SURFACE BOUNDARY OR BOUNDARIES SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER TUESDAY NIGHT
WHICH SHOULD PUT AN END TO THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR NEAR 48
HOURS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST THE FLOODED LOW LYING AREAS AWAY
FROM RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RECOVER.

EXPECT AT LEAST SCATTERED STORMS ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHES...LEFT OVER BOUNDARIES REMAIN OVER THE AREA AND
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE REMAIN PLENTIFUL. WOULD NOT RULE OUT A FEW
SEVERE STORMS...MAINLY SOUTH OF AN ANDERSON TO NOBLESVILLE TO
CRAWFORDSVILLE LINE AND EARLIER IN THE DAY WHEN THE LOW LEVEL
INFLOW IS STILL SOUTHWEST. SPC DAY2 MARGINAL RISK REFLECTS THIS.
THE SEYMOUR AND BEDFORD AREAS WILL BE IN A SLIGHT RISK. THE
REMAINING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE EXITING SOUTHEAST TUESDAY
EVENING AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE APPALACHIANS.

BROAD AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE GREAT
LAKES AND KEEP IT DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STILL COULD SEE SOME
LINGERING CLOUDS TUESDAY NIGHT...DIURNAL CU ON WEDNESDAY AND
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AROUND THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

THE 00Z GFS MOS AGAIN LOOKS TOO WARM TUESDAY WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD
COVER EXPECTED TO BE AROUND. THE REST OF THE SHORT TERM...00Z MOS
FAIRLY CLOSE AND LOOKS REASONABLE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ISSUED AT 251 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

A MORE ZONAL FLOW AND THE RIDGE ATTEMPTING TO EXPAND INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY SHOULD TREND TOWARDS LOWER CONVECTIVE CHANCES FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK. FLATTENED RIDGE SHOULD SHIFT BACK WEST INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...PROMPTING A RESUMPTION OF THE MORE
ACTIVE PATTERN EXPERIENCED OF LATE AS THE REGION RETURNS TO A
FAMILIAR SPOT...IN NORTHWEST FLOW ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.
THIS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN PLACE CENTRAL INDIANA IN A MORE FAVORED
AREA FOR IMPACTS FROM CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

CONTINUED TREND OF UNDERCUTTING HIGH TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES FROM CONVECTIVE TIMING AND
ASSOCIATED CLOUD DEBRIS. WILL MAINTAIN UPPER 80S FOR MOST
AREAS...BUT COULD SEE HIGHS INTO THE LOWER 90S OVER FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR 131800Z TAF ISSUANCE/...
ISSUED AT 120 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

CONTINUED IMPACTS FROM CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...WITH
SUB-IFR RESTRICTIONS IN HEAVIER STORMS.

SEVERE CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUING ITS MOVEMENT SOUTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF INDIANA. KBMG STILL BEING IMPACTED
CURRENTLY...BUT SHOULD SEE  STORMS MOVE SOUTH OF THERE BETWEEN
18-19Z. SKIES ARE CLEARING OUT RAPIDLY IN WAKE OF THE STORM
COMPLEX WITH SUNSHINE AND VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTING TO RETURN TO
ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON. E/SE WINDS IN WAKE OF THE STORMS
WILL QUICKLY VEER BACK TO SOUTHWEST AND MAY SPORADICALLY GUST LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.

FOCUS THEN SHIFTS TO EXPECTED REDEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE CONVECTION
BY LATE AFTERNOON...MOST LIKELY OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL ILLINOIS
INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA. HI-RES GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH
THE DETAILS...SO HAVE TRIED TO TIME WHEN THINK BIGGEST IMPACTS
FROM NEXT ROUND OF STORMS IMPACTS THE TERMINALS DURING THE
EVENING. WITH THAT BEING SAID...WILL BE CARRYING VCTS FROM 21-22Z
THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AS THERE ARE HINTS AT EVEN FURTHER CONVECTION
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SHOULD SEE IMPROVEMENTS IN CEILINGS TUESDAY MORNING AS OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION SHIFTS SOUTH. WINDS WILL VEER TO A W/SW DIRECTION BY
MIDDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.
EXPECTING ADDITIONAL STORMS TO DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT
THIS IS OUTSIDE THE FORECAST WINDOW AT THIS TIME.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR INZ021-028>031-
035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MK
NEAR TERM...MK/NIELD
SHORT TERM...MK
LONG TERM....RYAN
AVIATION...RYAN

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
443 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

INZ021-028>031-035>042-141000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-
443 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TIL 5 AM TUESDAY...
...MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES
POSSIBLE AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. THE HEAT WILL
ALSO AN ISSUE WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S.

RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO CONTINUE.

HAZARDS: DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. HEAVY
RAIN...FLOODING AND FREQUENT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HIGH HEAT INDICES.

TIMING: SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING ANYTIME...BUT BEST
CHANCE IS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIVER FLOODING ONGOING. THE
HEAT THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION: A STATIONARY FRONT AND UPPER WAVES IN NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL INTERACT WITH AN INCREASING WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE AND RESULT IN NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH
COULD BE SEVERE AND OR PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

OUTLOOK: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ACROSS CENTRAL
INDIANA ON TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. SEVERE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.

FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK.

DISCUSSION: FRONTAL SYSTEMS ALONG WITH UPPER WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE AROUND A SOUTHERN PLAINS DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
INTERACT WITH A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND RESULT
IN AN UNSETTLED PERIOD THROUGH TUESDAY AND AGAIN STARTING LATE
THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ043>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-141000-
VERMILLION-PARKE-PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-
OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-
BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
443 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TIL 5 AM TUESDAY...
...MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES
POSSIBLE AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. THE HEAT WILL
ALSO AN ISSUE WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE MID 90S TO OVER
100.

RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO CONTINUE.

HAZARDS: DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. HEAVY
RAIN...FLOODING AND FREQUENT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HIGH HEAT INDICES.

TIMING: SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING ANYTIME...BUT BEST
CHANCE IS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIVER FLOODING ONGOING. THE
HEAT THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION: A STATIONARY FRONT AND UPPER WAVES IN NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL INTERACT WITH AN INCREASING WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE AND RESULT IN NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH
COULD BE SEVERE AND OR PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

OUTLOOK:

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA ON
TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING...BUT
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S TO 100 DEGREES OR MORE
IN THE LOWER WABASH VALLEY TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK.

DISCUSSION: FRONTAL SYSTEMS ALONG WITH UPPER WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE AROUND A SOUTHERN PLAINS DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
INTERACT WITH A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND RESULT
IN AN UNSETTLED PERIOD THROUGH TUESDAY AND AGAIN STARTING LATE
THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

KOCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
118 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 PM     HEAVY RAIN       RUSHVILLE               39.61N  85.45W
07/13/2015  M0.50 INCH       RUSH               IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            RAINFALL FELL OVER ABOUT AN HOUR

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
119 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0118 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     COUNTRY SQUIRE LAKES    39.05N  85.68W
07/13/2015                   JENNINGS           IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
120 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0109 PM     TSTM WND DMG     INDIANAPOLIS            39.78N  86.15W
07/13/2015                   MARION             IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SIGN BLOWN DOWN NEAR 38TH AND MOLLER

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
206 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1207 PM     TSTM WND DMG     INDIANAPOLIS            39.78N  86.15W
07/13/2015                   MARION             IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN NEAR MINNESOTA AND MERIDIAN STREETS. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
211 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SEYMOUR                 38.96N  85.89W
07/13/2015                   JACKSON            IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED NEAR STEAK AND SHAKE ON US
            ROUTE 50.

&&

MDR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
254 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 SE COLUMBUS           39.13N  85.81W
07/13/2015                   BARTHOLOMEW        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG US ROUTE 31 BETWEEN COLUMBUS
            AND SEYMOUR. US 31 IMPASSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS.

&&

MDR