Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Lincoln, IL

593 
WWUS53 KILX 282358
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
658 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

ILC021-167-290015-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-150629T0015Z/
SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-
658 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SANGAMON AND SOUTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTIES...

AT 657 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ROCHESTER...OR
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...CHATHAM...ROCHESTER...PAWNEE...KINCAID...
EDINBURG...MORRISONVILLE...STONINGTON...BULPITT...JEISYVILLE...
JEROME...SOUTHERN VIEW...TOVEY...BERRY...PALMER...SHARPSBURG...
TAYLORVILLE AIRPORT AND SANGCHRIS LAKE STATE PARK.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 55 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 84 AND 93.
 INTERSTATE 72 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 95 AND 99.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3949 8954 3952 8953 3953 8957 3970 8972
      3977 8969 3966 8917 3935 8937 3935 8941
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 307DEG 26KT 3968 8955 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

BARKER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
234 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

1007 MB SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL IA WHILE UPPER LEVEL TROF
WAS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN WI...EASTERN MN AND INTO NE IA AND NW IL.
12Z FORECAST MODELS SHOW VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGGING SE INTO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN IL THIS EVENING AS SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO
CENTRAL IL BY 06Z/1 AM TONIGHT. ALREADY HAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL IL AT MID AFTERNOON AS FAR SE AS
I-70 FROM WEAKENING MCS. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD DURING LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING AS
AIRMASS GETS MORE UNSTABLE AND APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROF.
CONVECTION TO THEN DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST LATER TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING AS UPPER LEVEL TROF AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS
EAST OF IL INTO INDIANA BY MONDAY MORNING. SPC HAS SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS FROM PEORIA TO LINCOLN TO SHELBVILLE SW LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO MID EVENING FOR 15% RISK OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL AND 5% RISK OF TORNADOES. AREAS SW OF WINCHESTER IN SW
SCOTT COUNTY HAS AN ENHANCED SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WHERE UP
TO 30% RISK OF LARGE HAIL. INSTABILITY ELEVATES A BIT TO 1000-1600
J/KG SW CWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH SOME HEATING
AS CLOUDS BREAK UP FOR A TIME (ALREADY HAPPENING FROM I-55 WEST)
WITH WEAKENING MCS OVER CENTRAL IL. MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS OVER MO
WHERE CAPES PEAK FROM 2-3K J/KG. THE BULK SHEAR IS MORE IMPRESSIVE
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH 35-40 KTS SW OF I-74 AND THE BULK SHEAR
IS ALSO STRONGER SW OVER MO WHERE 40-50 KTS. SO THE BIGGER SEVERE WX
THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO MID EVENING UNTIL SUNSET WILL BE
OVER MO AND SW IL. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE LOW TO MID 60S WITH COOLEST
READINGS NW OF THE IL RIVER.

&&

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

LITTLE IN OVERALL LONG-WAVE PATTERN CHANGE FORECASTED BY MODELS AT
LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RIDGE REMAINING FROM THE ROCKIES WEST AND
A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S.  WITH THE BERMUDA HIGH SHUNTED
AWAY FROM THE GULF COAST...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD
AND INTERACT WITH SHORT-WAVES ROTATING THROUGH THE TROUGH. MODELS
OFTEN HAVE PROBLEMS FORECASTING THESE TYPE OF WAVES MORE THAN A FEW
DAYS OUT AND WE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BROADBRUSH MID-WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH CHANCES OF RAIN EACH DAY.  THERE IS SOME INDICATION
THAT HEAVY RAIN MAY ONCE AGAIN BECOME AN ISSUE WED-FRI AS 12Z GFS
PRECIP WATER APPROACHES 2 INCHES AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY.

AS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THE WAVE NOW PUSHING THROUGH THE MIDWEST
WILL TEMPORARILY SHUNT DEEP MOISTURE EAST OF ILLINOIS. STILL MAY BE
SOME RAIN CHANCES...PARTICULARLY TUESDAY...BUT COVERAGE AND AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE LESS THAN THEY HAVE BEEN TODAY OR LAST WEEK.

WITH TROUGH IN PLACE...HIGH TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE JUNE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1259 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

A WEAKENING MCS OVER SE IA AND WEST CENTRAL IL IS TRACKING ESE
INTO CENTRAL IL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS RECENTLY MOVING THROUGH SPI. DEC WILL GET SKIRTED BY
THIS CONVECTION IN NEXT HOUR WITH BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR
VSBYS/CEILINGS POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER RAINS. MEANWHILE BE MORE
WIDELY SCATTERED INTO MID AFTERNOON ALONG I-74 (PIA...BMI AND
CMI). MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THIS
AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN IA AND NE MO AHEAD OF 1007 MB SURFACE LOW
OVER CENTRAL IL AND TRACK SE INTO WEST CENTRAL IL LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO CENTRAL IL DURING THIS EVENING. THIS WILL
BRING CHANCES OF MVFR VSBYS/CEILINGS IN HEAVIER RAINS TO CENTRAL
IL THOUGH MOST OF THE TIME WILL STILL HAVE VFR CONDITIONS. MODELS
SHOW QPF PASSING SHIFTING EAST OF CENTRAL IL BETWEEN 03-07Z FROM
WEST TO EAST. MODELS ALSO SHOW LOW CLOUDS AND REDUCED VSBYS
OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING...WITH IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS AND
GRADUALLY IMPROVING AFTER 15Z/MON. SW WINDS AROUND 10 KTS THIS
AFTERNOON TO VEER NNW 5-9 KTS OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AS LOW
PRESSURE PASSES EAST OF IL INTO CENTRAL INDIANA MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE ILLINOIS FROM HAVANA DOWNSTREAM.
RIVER LEVELS HAVE CRESTED FROM HENRY TO PEROIA AND SHOULD VERY
SLOWLY FALL THIS WEEK. HOWEVER...LEVELS WILL STILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY FROM HAVANA SOUTHWARD THROUGH MIDWEEK. LEVELS ARE
EXPECTED TO TOP OUT WITHIN A FOOT OF RECORD LEVELS AT
LAGRANDE...MERIDOSA...AND BEARDSTOWN. INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER
FROM MASON AND FULTON COUNTIES DOWNSTREAM SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...BARKER
AVIATION...07
HYDROLOGY...BARKER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
259 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

ILZ027>029-036-037-040>042-047>052-291100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-
SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-
259 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF
THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO MID
EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY FROM JACKSONVILLE
SOUTHWEST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY...AND AGAIN TUESDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS AND SANGAMON RIVERS
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED BETWEEN 4 AND 9 PM TODAY
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS SOUTHWEST OF SPRINGFIELD.

ILZ030-031-038-291100-
MARSHALL-MCLEAN-WOODFORD-
259 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO MID
EVENING WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
HEAVY RAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY...AND AGAIN TUESDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER THROUGH THE
ENTIRE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ043>046-053>057-061-291100-
CHAMPAIGN-COLES-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MACON-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SHELBY-
VERMILION-
259 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL
HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY...AND AGAIN TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SANGAMON RIVER AROUND MONTICELLO
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-291100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
259 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WITH A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
HEAVY RAINS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY...AND AGAIN TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL
HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON
SOUTHEAST OF I-70.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH...LITTLE WABASH AND
EMBARRAS RIVER NEAR LAWRENCEVILLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

07

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
602 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

ILZ041-042-048-282345-
LOGAN-MASON-MENARD-
602 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASON...MENARD AND
WESTERN LOGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 602 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES EAST OF KILBOURNE...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MASON CITY...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MASON CITY...PETERSBURG...GREENVIEW...ELKHART...MIDDLETOWN...
OAKFORD...NEW HOLLAND...BROADWELL...SWEETWATER...FANCY PRAIRIE AND
ATTERBERRY.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 155 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 3 AND 5.
 INTERSTATE 55 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 112 AND 118.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4002 8998 4020 8998 4024 8944 3997 8945
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 271DEG 19KT 4012 8989

BARKER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
609 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

ILZ051-290000-
SANGAMON-
609 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SANGAMON COUNTY
UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 609 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES EAST OF PLEASANT PLAINS...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SPRINGFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRINGFIELD...SHERMAN...RIVERTON...WILLIAMSVILLE...GRANDVIEW...
SPAULDING...DAWSON...CANTRALL...SALISBURY...CAPITAL AIRPORT AND
FARMINGDALE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 55 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 99 AND 109.
 INTERSTATE 72 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 107 AND 112.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3990 8977 3992 8977 3992 8971 3994 8970
      3997 8948 3994 8948 3993 8945 3982 8944
      3981 8986 3990 8990
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 263DEG 14KT 3984 8980

BARKER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
640 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

ILZ029-036-290030-
PEORIA-FULTON-
640 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN PEORIA AND
NORTHEASTERN FULTON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

AT 640 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
FAIRVIEW...OR 6 MILES NORTH OF CANTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FARMINGTON...HANNA CITY...TRIVOLI...KICKAPOO AND NORRIS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 80 AND 81.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4081 8974 4060 8983 4062 9015 4069 9016
      4071 9005 4071 8999 4073 8998
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 267DEG 18KT 4066 9008

BARKER