Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Lincoln, IL

183 
WWUS53 KILX 050026
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
726 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

ILC057-050115-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-150505T0115Z/
FULTON IL-
726 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FULTON COUNTY...

AT 726 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ASTORIA...OR
12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAVANA...MARBLETOWN...BLUFF CITY...CHATAUQUA PARK AND DUNCAN MILLS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4033 9005 4031 9007 4029 9007 4026 9011
      4022 9013 4022 9016 4018 9020 4019 9037
      4031 9029 4037 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 259DEG 17KT 4022 9028 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

BAK

967 
WWUS53 KILX 050055
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
755 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

ILC057-050104-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-150505T0115Z/
FULTON IL-
755 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FULTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4033 9005 4031 9007 4029 9007 4026 9011
      4022 9013 4022 9016 4018 9020 4019 9037
      4031 9029 4037 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 249DEG 16KT 4037 8976 

$$

BAK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
654 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TO NORTHERN
KANSAS WILL SINK SOUTHWARD...EVENTUALLY STALLING NEAR THE I-72
CORRIDOR LATER THIS EVENING.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE BOUNDARY...WITH MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGESTING THE
GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE OF PRECIP ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
KILX CWA.  HRRR IS SHOWING WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE CONVECTION BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD AFTER SUNSET AS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS.  HAVE
ADJUSTED RAIN CHANCES ACCORDINGLY...WITH LIKELY POPS ALONG/NORTH OF
I-72 TAPERING DOWN TO JUST SLIGHT CHANCE ALONG/SOUTH OF I-70.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTER OF THE
NATION STARTING ON TUESDAY WHICH SHOULD PUSH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...AT LEAST INTO
THURSDAY. SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS THEN FORECAST TO EJECTS NORTH OUT OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND BRING ABOUT A CHANCE FOR MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR WEST...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. A MORE POTENT 500 MB TROF IS THEN FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK
OUT OF THE ROCKIES DURING THE WEEKEND BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST AREA. MOST MODELS TRACK THIS LOW
NORTH-NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY SUGGESTING THE MORE SIGNIFICANT LIFT TO
REMAIN WEST OF OUR AREA UNTIL LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK
WHEN THE SYSTEM WILL SWING A COLD FRONT THROUGH CENTRAL ILLINOIS.
UNTIL THEN...WARM TEMPERATURES TO PREVAIL WITH THE SHOWER AND STORM
CHANCES ACROSS THE FAR NORTH TOMORROW AS THE FRONT RETREATS BACK
TO THE NORTH...AND THEN RAIN CHANCES RETURN LATE THU INTO FRIDAY
AND HOLDS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE WE FINALLY GET A CHANGE
IN AIR MASS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND TRACK
ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT IN THE VICINITY OF A
STALLED W-E ORIENTED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. BASED ON THE EXPECTED
POSITION OF THE FRONT, KPIA, KBMI, AND KCMI ARE THE MOST LIKELY OF
THE LOCAL TAF SITES TO BE IMPACTED. EXPECT MOSTLY VARIABLE WINDS
THROUGH THE NIGHT IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT, WITH WINDS
TRENDING SOUTHERLY TUESDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES BACK NORTHWARD,
ALSO TAKING THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION RISK WITH IT.
PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE
STEADIER RAINFALL.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...BAK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
346 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-051100-
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-
COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
346 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE STORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DROPS INTO THE REGION. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS...AND BRIEF DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...HOWEVER
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. AFTER A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN
FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-051100-
CUMBERLAND-CLARK-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
346 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...HOWEVER
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AFTER A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DAILY
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

BARNES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
649 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

ILZ036-050045-
FULTON IL-
649 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTY UNTIL
745 PM CDT...

AT 649 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
IPAVA...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LEWISTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEWISTOWN...ASTORIA...VERMONT...IPAVA...TABLE GROVE...MARBLETOWN...
BLUFF CITY AND DUNCAN MILLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 9044 4042 9006 4032 9006 4022 9014
      4022 9016 4021 9017 4020 9017 4018 9020
      4018 9033 4020 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 269DEG 15KT 4029 9035

BAK