River Flood Warning 69, NWS Lincoln, IL

019 
WGUS83 KILX 281640
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1040 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Spoon River at London Mills affecting Fulton and Knox Counties.
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County.
  
.Rises will continue through early Wednesday, before the Spoon River 
crests. Flooding is expected to subside on Thursday. 

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-095-290640-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0068.151229T0312Z-160101T0200Z/
/LNMI2.1.ER.151229T0312Z.151230T0600Z.151231T2000Z.NO/
1040 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at London Mills. 
* From this evening until Thursday evening.
* At  945 AM Monday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 19.1 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu

Spoon River
 London Mills      15  10.3 Mon 10 AM   17.6   18.9   16.3


&&

LAT...LON 4081 9020 4079 9012 4070 9024 4058 9027
      4059 9036 4071 9032             

$$
ILC057-290640-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0069.151229T0900Z-160101T0527Z/
/SEVI2.1.ER.151229T0900Z.151230T1200Z.151231T2327Z.NO/
1040 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* From late tonight until Thursday evening.
* At  945 AM Monday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and 
  continue to rise to near 24.9 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, the easterly access road into Seville is 
  inundated. At At 26.0 feet, residences in Bernadotte begin to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu

Spoon River
 Seville           22  17.3 Mon 10 AM   22.8   24.9   23.6


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$
Geelhart

786 
WGUS43 KILX 290339
FLWILX


FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
939 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Illinois...
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County

.Synopsis...Additional heavy rainfall is resulting in further rises on
the Spoon River with forecast crests now expected to reach moderate
flood stage with the crest forecast to reach 25.3 feet Wednesday morning.

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to prepare for flooding.
Stay tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

&&

ILC057-291739-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0069.151229T0336Z-160101T1230Z/
/SEVI2.2.ER.151229T0007Z.151230T1200Z.160101T0630Z.NO/
939 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Spoon River at Seville.
* From this evening until Friday morning.
* At 845 PM Monday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Residences in Bernadotte begin to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu

Spoon River
 Seville           22  22.7 Mon 9 PM    24.0   25.3   24.5


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$
Smith

172 
WGUS83 KILX 291712
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1112 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Spoon River at London Mills affecting Fulton and Knox Counties
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-095-300712-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160101T0320Z/
/LNMI2.1.ER.151228T2241Z.151230T0000Z.151231T2120Z.NO/
1112 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at London Mills. 
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 1045 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.2 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Spoon River
 London Mills      15  19.6 Tue 11 AM   19.7   16.5   13.2


&&

LAT...LON 4081 9020 4079 9012 4070 9024 4058 9027
      4059 9036 4071 9032             

$$

ILC057-300711-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160101T1323Z/
/SEVI2.2.ER.151229T0007Z.151230T1200Z.160101T0723Z.NO/
1112 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* Until Friday morning.
* At 1045 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Residences in Bernadotte begin to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Spoon River
 Seville           22  23.6 Tue 11 AM   25.0   24.4   21.0


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$

052 
WGUS83 KILX 300323
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
923 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County
  Spoon River at London Mills affecting Fulton and Knox Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-095-301723-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160101T0320Z/
/LNMI2.1.ER.151228T2241Z.151230T0600Z.151231T2120Z.NO/
923 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at London Mills. 
* Until Thursday evening.
* At  845 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.


&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Spoon River
 London Mills      15  20.1 Tue 9 PM    19.7   16.5   13.2


&&

LAT...LON 4081 9020 4079 9012 4070 9024 4058 9027
      4059 9036 4071 9032             

$$

ILC057-301723-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160102T0000Z/
/SEVI2.1.ER.151229T0007Z.151231T0600Z.160101T1800Z.NO/
923 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* Until Friday evening.
* At  845 PM Tuesday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.8 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Residences in Bernadotte begin to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Spoon River
 Seville           22  23.4 Tue 9 PM    23.7   24.8   23.1


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$

133 
WGUS83 KILX 301709
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1109 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  Spoon River at London Mills affecting Fulton and Knox Counties
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-095-310709-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160101T0320Z/
/LNMI2.1.ER.151228T2241Z.151230T0415Z.151231T2120Z.NO/
1109 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at London Mills. 
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 1045 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Spoon River
 London Mills      15  19.1 Wed 11 AM   16.5   13.2   11.1


&&

LAT...LON 4081 9020 4079 9012 4070 9024 4058 9027
      4059 9036 4071 9032             

$$

ILC057-310708-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160102T0000Z/
/SEVI2.1.ER.151229T0007Z.151231T0600Z.160101T1800Z.NO/
1109 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* Until Friday evening.
* At 1045 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.8 feet by 
  early tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Residences in Bernadotte begin to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Spoon River
 Seville           22  24.5 Wed 11 AM   24.8   23.1   18.9


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$

517 
WGUS83 KILX 310400
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1000 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  Salt Creek near Greenview affecting Mason and Menard Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC125-129-311800-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160102T0045Z/
/GREI2.2.ER.151229T2352Z.151230T2245Z.160101T1845Z.NO/
1000 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Salt Creek near Greenview. 
* Until Friday evening.
* At  945 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Widespread agricultural flooding is in 
  progress.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Salt Creek
 Greenview         16  17.1 Wed 10 PM   17.1   16.6   13.8


&&

LAT...LON 4017 8960 4009 8960 4011 8968 4009 8982
      4016 8982 4018 8969             

$$

393 
WGUS83 KILX 311652
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1052 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Spoon River at London Mills affecting Fulton and Knox Counties.
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County.
  
.The crest on the Spoon River passed Seville overnight, and the 
river is falling upstream. Flooding at Seville and London Mills 
is expected to subside on Friday.

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-095-010652-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160102T0508Z/
/LNMI2.1.ER.151228T2241Z.151230T0415Z.160101T2308Z.NO/
1052 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at London Mills. 
* Until Friday evening.
* At  945 AM Thursday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Spoon River
 London Mills      15  18.0 Thu 10 AM   16.4   13.6   11.7


&&

LAT...LON 4081 9020 4079 9012 4070 9024 4058 9027
      4059 9036 4071 9032             

$$
ILC057-010651-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160102T0742Z/
/SEVI2.2.ER.151229T0007Z.151231T0445Z.160102T0142Z.NO/
1052 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* Until late Friday night.
* At  945 AM Thursday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday evening.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Spoon River
 Seville           22  24.7 Thu 10 AM   23.3   20.7   17.8


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$
Geelhart

528 
WGUS83 KILX 010238
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
838 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Spoon River at London Mills affecting Fulton and Knox Counties
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-095-011638-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160102T2217Z/
/LNMI2.1.ER.151228T2241Z.151230T0415Z.160102T1617Z.NO/
838 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at London Mills. 
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At  745 PM Thursday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday morning.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Spoon River
 London Mills      15  18.0 Thu 8 PM    17.7   15.5   12.9


&&

LAT...LON 4081 9020 4079 9012 4070 9024 4058 9027
      4059 9036 4071 9032             

$$

ILC057-011638-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160102T1900Z/
/SEVI2.2.ER.151229T0007Z.151231T0445Z.160102T1300Z.NO/
838 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At  745 PM Thursday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Easterly access road to Seville inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Spoon River
 Seville           22  24.0 Thu 8 PM    23.5   22.1   19.4


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$

315 
WGUS83 KILX 011652
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1052 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Spoon River at London Mills affecting Fulton and Knox Counties.
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County.
  
.River levels continue to fall, and much of the river should be 
below flood stage by late tonight. 

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-095-020136-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160102T0136Z/
/LNMI2.1.ER.151228T2241Z.151230T0415Z.160101T1936Z.NO/
1052 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at London Mills. 
* Until this evening.
* At  945 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Spoon River
 London Mills      15  16.5 Fri 10 AM   12.5   11.1   10.2


&&

LAT...LON 4081 9020 4079 9012 4070 9024 4058 9027
      4059 9036 4071 9032             

$$
ILC057-020652-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160102T1500Z/
/SEVI2.2.ER.151229T0007Z.151231T0445Z.160102T0900Z.NO/
1052 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  945 AM Friday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow morning.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Spoon River
 Seville           22  23.1 Fri 10 AM   21.8   19.3   16.6


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$
Geelhart

085 
WGUS83 KILX 020241
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
841 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC057-021500-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160102T1500Z/
/SEVI2.2.ER.151229T0007Z.151231T0445Z.160102T0900Z.NO/
841 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spoon River at Seville. 
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  745 PM Friday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Easterly access road to Seville inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Spoon River
 Seville           22  22.6 Fri 8 PM    21.8   19.3   16.6


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$

Shimon

822 
WGUS83 KILX 020902
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
302 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Illinois...

  Spoon River at Seville affecting Fulton County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation. River levels are 
expected to continue falling.

Since flooding has subsided, this will be the last statement for this
flooding event.

ILC057-020932-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160102T1500Z/
/SEVI2.2.ER.151229T0007Z.151231T0445Z.160102T0752Z.NO/
302 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Spoon River at Seville.
* At  245 AM Saturday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  152 AM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 19.3 feet by tomorrow
  morning.


&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Spoon River
 Seville           22  21.9 Sat 3 AM    19.3   16.6   14.6


&&

LAT...LON 4059 9036 4058 9027 4045 9029 4037 9011
      4030 9015 4041 9040             

$$

Onton

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
540 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1019 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

Northern edge of the rain shield continues to be shunted
southward, and was mainly south of a Danville to Taylorville line.
Some breaks have occurred even south of that area as well, but
rain continues to spread northeast out of southern Missouri.
Highest PoP's through the afternoon will remain across areas along
and south of I-70, with mostly dry conditions north of I-72.
Temperatures will hold fairly steady over most of the CWA, but
will fall a bit more in the far southeast before holding steady
there as well. Updated zones/grids sent to refine the PoP and
temperature trends. The Flash Flood Watch remains in place,
although we have extended it for Sangamon County due to releases
occurring from Lake Springfield.

Early look at the morning run of the NAM model shows a substantial
warm wedge moving into the northern CWA associated with the 850 mb
warm front. Forecast sounding for Galesburg shows temperatures
near that level getting as high as 10C by late morning with the
surface temperatures staying just above freezing. The GFS is not
quite as prominent with that warm layer, but still reaches 5C,
enough to fully melt any precipitation going through that layer.
Numerical guidance from the NAM, GFS and LAMP show the lowest
temperatures occurring around 8-9 am before rising back up above
freezing. Will await early afternoon conference call with Weather
Prediction Center and their new guidance before making any
decisions on how to evolve the Winter Storm Watch.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today)
ISSUED AT 351 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The band of steady rainfall is expected to gradually shift southward
today, putting more focus on our southern counties south of I-72.
Precipitation should become much lighter or end NW of the IL river
by afternoon. Embedded thunderstorms will shift south of our
forecast area this morning, as the warm front slides into southern
Illinois. RAP model forecast precipitable water values are expected
to gradually decrease from 1.4 inches down toward 0.9-1.0 inches
across our southern forecast area by this afternoon. Those numbers
are still well above normal for late December, so steady rains look
likely south of I-72 well into the afternoon. We are still looking
for a northward return of the band of rain toward evening, but only
slightly before 6 pm today. Overall forecast adjustments were mainly
to reduce PoPs in the northern half of the forecast area, while the
southern counties remained in categorical PoPs all day. Winds will
remain gusty from the northeast at 15 to 30 mph, as temperatures
remain relatively steady in the upper 30s to upper 40s through the
day.

.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 351 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

00Z forecast models have trended back south with colder air and
increasing freezing rain threat into northern CWA later Sunday night
through Monday morning. Will be expanding the winter storm watch to
include Fulton, Peoria and Marshall counties from late Sunday
night until 3 pm Monday afternoon for ice accumulations up to a
quarter inch. Will continue Knox and Stark counties in the winter
storm watch as well where the highest amounts of ice around a
quarter inch are likely. Meanwhile the flood watch will continue
through Monday for areas along and south of I-72. Flooding already
widespread over parts of areas south of I-72 to north of I-70
especially in Shelby, Christian and Moultrie counties where as
much as 3-5 inches of rain has fallen in less than 24 hours since
Saturday morning. An additional 2-3 inches of rain with locally
higher amounts is expected over areas from I-72 south through
Monday.

Strong 544 dm 500 mb low in northern Mexico just south of AZ will
eject ne into eastern IA by midnight Monday night, and pass ne of MI
by Tue afternoon. Water Vapor loop shows a tropical plume of deep
moisture streaming into IL from the western Gulf and southern
Mexico. Precipitable water values were 1.3 inches at ILX 00Z
sounding early Sat evening and projected to peak at 1.4-1.6 inches
in southern CWA early this morning and then gradually lower
especially northern half of CWA this afternoon and evening.
Precipitable Water values rise back up to between 1-1.5 inches on
Monday. So showers and a few thunderstorms to be more prominent over
SE IL tonight, and shifting northward toward I-72 Monday morning
along with heavy rain threat as 2nd surge of moisture/lift moves
into IL. Meanwhile northern CWA should dry out for a time this
afternoon and early evening, before moisture lifts back northward
later this evening and overnight. Surface temps will get to near or
just below freezing along and north of a Rushville to Bloomington
line overnight into Monday morning where freezing rain appears more
likely with a tenth to quarter inch of ice along with some sleet.
Have highest amounts of ice nw of Peoria and expanded winter storm
watch as stated above. Surface temps should elevate into mid to
upper 30s by Monday afternoon with freezing rain turning back to
rain. Very windy conditions develop later Sunday night into Monday
with ENE winds 25-35 mph and peak wind gusts of 40-50 mph, so a
wind advisory will likely be needed then as event draws closer.
These strong winds with ice accumulations up to a quarter inch
especially north of Peoria Monday morning could cause additional
problems.

Precipitation will diminish from SW to ne during Monday night and
could change to some light snow showers nw half of CWA before ending
but little if any accumulations expected.

A northern stream weather system approaching the Pacific Northwest
will track into the Midwest by Wed morning and bring small chances
of light rain/snow showers to central IL on Wed. Southeast IL looks
drier now on Wed and wx system shifts ne of central IL Wed night.
Highs Wed to range from 30-35F nw of the IL river to 40-45F from I-
70 southeast.

Strong upper level trof dominates the northeast half of the country
during 2nd half of the week, while large Canadian high pressure
settling into the Rockies and high plains will bring an extended
period of below normal temperatures to IL for a change. The coldest
air will be over area on Thu/Fri with highs staying below freezing
all but far southeast IL. Have partly cloudy skies Thu/Fri (more
clouds in ne CWA). Highs will only modify slightly New Years weekend
into the low to mid 30s despite more sunshine. CPC's 6-10 day
outlook for Jan 1-5th has great than normal chances of below normal
precipitation and temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

One more storm to go through over the next 24 hours with
additional rainfall and some freezing rain potential, especially
for PIA. The main impact with this storm not only will be with
the wintry precip across the north, but with strong easterly
winds tonight and especially on Monday as the storm moves towards
our area. Wind gusts of 40 to 45 kts possible on Monday out of
the east before winds slowly diminish after 21z as the storm
shifts off to our northwest by evening. The dry easterly flow
has eroded some of the lower clouds over the forecast area and
that should hold for several hours this evening at CMI, but
it appears as the rain moves from south to north this evening,
the low levels will gradually moisten and all areas should be
IFR to LIFR after 06z and continue thru the remainder of the
forecast period.

&&

.ILX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Monday afternoon for ILZ044>046-049-
050-052>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CST Monday for
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061.

Winter Storm Warning from 3 AM to 3 PM CST Monday for ILZ027>031.

Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for ILZ051.

Freezing Rain Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Monday
for ILZ036>038.

&&

UPDATE...Geelhart
SHORT TERM...Shimon
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...Smith

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

ILZ027>031-281200-
KNOX-MARSHALL-PEORIA-STARK-WOODFORD-
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST
MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

FREEZING RAIN ALONG WITH SOME SLEET WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED BY
SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FREEZING RAIN WILL BE MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING...
BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO QUARTER INCH ARE LIKELY BEFORE
TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT
SNOW BEFORE ENDING MONDAY NIGHT...BUT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE MINOR.

STRONG EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...AS AN INTENSE STORM
SYSTEM PASSES. WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY MUCH OF THE
DAY...WHICH MAY CAUSE POWER LINES AND TREE BRANCHES TO BREAK FROM
THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS...IN RESPONSE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
PRECIPITATION AND ICE MEASUREMENTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

ILZ036>038-281200-
FULTON-MCLEAN-TAZEWELL-
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST
MONDAY...
...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON
CST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...FROM AROUND CANTON EAST TO BLOOMINGTON.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING. AS TEMPERATURES
FALL OVERNIGHT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET AT TIMES. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE
SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE BACK TO RAIN BY LATE MORNING. TOTAL ICE
ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH A TENTH INCH BEFORE TEMPERATURES RISE
ABOVE FREEZING. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW BEFORE ENDING
MONDAY NIGHT...BUT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINOR.

STRONG EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...AS AN INTENSE STORM
SYSTEM PASSES. WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY MUCH OF THE
DAY...WHICH MAY CAUSE POWER LINES AND TREE BRANCHES TO BREAK FROM
THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS...IN RESPONSE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
PRECIPITATION AND ICE MEASUREMENTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

ILZ040>043-047-048-281200-
CASS-DE WITT-LOGAN-MASON-MENARD-SCHUYLER-
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER HALF INCH
LIKELY BY MORNING. WIND GUSTS WILL APPROACH 40 MPH TOWARD SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...BEFORE FINALLY
DIMINISHING MONDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
1.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM
PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. EAST WINDS WILL GUST FROM 45 TO 50 MPH.
SOME MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES IS
POSSIBLE...AND DRIVING WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. WIND SPEEDS WILL START TO DECREASE BY LATE AFTERNOON.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD EARLY THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

ILZ049-050-052-053-281200-
CHRISTIAN-MACON-MORGAN-SCOTT-
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING...WITH ANOTHER HALF
INCH LIKELY BY MORNING. WIND GUSTS WILL APPROACH 40 MPH TOWARD
SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...BEFORE FINALLY
DIMINISHING MONDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
1.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM
PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. EAST WINDS WILL GUST FROM 45 TO 50 MPH.
SOME MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES IS
POSSIBLE...AND DRIVING WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. WIND SPEEDS WILL START TO DECREASE EARLY AFTERNOON.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD EARLY THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

ILZ051-281200-
SANGAMON-
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SANGAMON COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING...WITH ANOTHER HALF
INCH LIKELY BY MORNING. WIND GUSTS WILL APPROACH 40 MPH TOWARD
SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...BEFORE FINALLY
DIMINISHING MONDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
1.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING TO
FORM. ALSO...RELEASES FROM SPAULDING DAM MAY HEIGHTEN THE FLOOD
RISK ALONG SUGAR CREEK DOWNSTREAM OF THE DAM.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM
PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. EAST WINDS WILL GUST FROM 45 TO 50 MPH.
SOME MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES IS
POSSIBLE...AND DRIVING WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. WIND SPEEDS WILL START TO DECREASE EARLY AFTERNOON.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD EARLY THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER
RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061-281200-
CHAMPAIGN-COLES-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN MANY AREAS EAST OF A TAYLORVILLE TO
RANTOUL LINE...DUE TO THE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN
SINCE SATURDAY MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH OF RAIN IS
LIKELY TONIGHT...WHICH COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING ISSUES.
ALSO...WIND GUSTS WILL APPROACH 40 MPH BY SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ANOTHER 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...CONTINUING
THE FLOOD THREAT. IN ADDITION...STRONG EAST WINDS WILL GUST FROM
45 TO 50 MPH...AS AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION. WINDS WILL DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-281200-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
341 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.
HOWEVER...ANOTHER HALF INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED. GIVEN RAINFALL
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OCCURRED SINCE SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN IS LIKELY ON MONDAY...BEFORE THE RAIN FINALLY
TAPERS OFF BY EVENING. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING.

EAST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING...AS
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION.

RIVER FLOODING WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD...PERSISTING MUCH OF THE
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
408 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     FLOOD            WATSON                  39.03N 88.57W
12/27/2015                   EFFINGHAM          IL   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            US-45 BEING CLOSED FROM STATE HIGHWAY 37 SOUTHWARD DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
651 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SHELBYVILLE             39.41N 88.80W
12/27/2015  M5.45 INCH       SHELBY             IL   MESONET

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT

0430 PM     HEAVY RAIN       NEOGA                   39.32N 88.45W
12/27/2015  M5.22 INCH       CUMBERLAND         IL   MESONET

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DANVILLE                40.14N 87.62W
12/27/2015  M1.50 INCH       VERMILION          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CHARLESTON              39.48N 88.18W
12/27/2015  M1.57 INCH       COLES              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W SPRINGFIELD         39.78N 89.72W
12/27/2015  M2.54 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   MESONET

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT

0615 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MATTOON                 39.48N 88.37W
12/27/2015  M3.96 INCH       COLES              IL   MESONET

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT

&&

EJL