Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 67, NWS Lincoln, IL
NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Dec 26, 2015, 11:03 PM CST for McLean County, Tazewell County, Woodford County, Illinois. It took effect at Dec 28, 2015, 8:24 AM CST. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 26, 2015, 11:03 PM CST (05:03 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 28, 2015, 8:24 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 31, 2015, 6:30 PM CST
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Lincoln, IL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
Counties McLean County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Woodford County, IL
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Mackinaw River near Congerville (CNGI2). The gauge peaked at 18.53 ft at Dec 30, 2015, 12:00 AM CST.
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 20 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05567500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
342
WGUS43 KILX 270503
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1103 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
.Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are likely across parts of central
Illinois through Monday night. This will cause significant rises
on the Mackinaw River at Congerville, with the river reaching
flood stage by Monday night or early Tuesday morning.
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along this river need to prepare for flooding.
Stay tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.
&&
ILC113-179-203-271903-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0067.151229T0000Z-151231T1545Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.151229T0000Z.151230T0000Z.151231T0945Z.NO/
1103 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* From Monday evening until Thursday morning.
* At 1045 PM Saturday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to
rise to near 15.4 feet by Tuesday evening.The river will fall below
flood stage by next Thursday morning.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 5.7 Sat 11 PM 6.2 11.1 14.7
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$
Smith10 follow-up statements
777
WGUS83 KILX 271629
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1029 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties.
.Rapid rises are continuing on the Mackinaw River in response to
Saturday's rainfall. The river near Congerville is expected to
reach flood stage a bit earlier than first projected, now around
midday Monday.
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-280629-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0067.151228T1525Z-151231T0800Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.151228T1525Z.151229T1200Z.151231T0200Z.NO/
1029 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* From Monday morning until late Wednesday night.
* At 945 AM Sunday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
to rise to near 15.9 feet by Tuesday morning. The river will fall
below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 10.5 Sun 10 AM 12.6 15.9 14.7
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$
Geelhart631
WGUS83 KILX 280227
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
827 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-281627-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0067.151228T1424Z-151231T0824Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.151228T1424Z.151229T1200Z.151231T0224Z.NO/
827 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* From Monday morning until late Wednesday night.
* At 1245 PM Sunday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
to rise to near 16.2 feet by Tuesday morning.The river will fall
below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 11.2 Sun 1 PM 12.8 16.2 14.9
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$
Smith538
WGUS83 KILX 281637
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1037 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties.
.River levels continue to rise from the recent heavy rain, and are
near flood stage near Congerville. Additional rises are expected
through Tuesday morning, before the river begins to fall.
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-290637-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151231T0916Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.151228T1205Z.151229T0600Z.151231T0316Z.NO/
1037 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* No observed stage is available, but it was estimated to be
near 13 feet at 10 AM.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise to near 16.9 feet by early tomorrow morning.
The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 11.2 Sun 1 PM 16.9 15.8 11.6
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$
Geelhart240
WGUS83 KILX 290331
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
931 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-291731-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151231T0900Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151229T0600Z.151231T0300Z.NO/
931 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest at 16.9 feet early tomorrow
morning.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 MSG 16.9 15.7 11.7 11.2
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$914
WGUS83 KILX 291711
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1111 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-300711-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151231T0900Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151229T1800Z.151231T0300Z.NO/
1111 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 16.8
feet this afternoon.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 MSG 15.7 11.6 7.7
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$727
WGUS83 KILX 300317
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
917 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-301717-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151231T0600Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T0600Z.151231T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 14.2
feet early tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Widespread agricultural flooding occurs.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 MSG 13.9 11.4 7.6
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$085
WGUS83 KILX 301727
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1127 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-310727-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160101T0527Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T1630Z.151231T2327Z.NO/
1127 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 1030 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow afternoon.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 17.6 Wed 10 AM 15.0 10.0 8.2
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$030
WGUS83 KILX 310401
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1001 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-311801-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160101T0527Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T1630Z.151231T2327Z.NO/
1001 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 1030 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow afternoon.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 17.6 Wed 10 AM 15.0 10.7 8.6
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$407
WGUS83 KILX 311644
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1044 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties.
.The river continues to fall, and flooding near Congerville is
expected to subside by this evening.
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC113-179-203-010644-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160101T0742Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T1630Z.160101T0142Z.NO/
1044 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 945 AM Thursday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
this evening.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 14.3 Thu 10 AM 11.8 9.4 7.9
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$
Geelhart029
WGUS83 KILX 010030
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
630 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in
Illinois...
Mackinaw River near Congerville affecting McLean...Tazewell and
Woodford Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation. River levels are
expected to continue falling.
Since flooding has subsided, this will be the last statement for this
flooding event.
ILC113-179-203-010100-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160101T0742Z/
/CNGI2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T1630Z.151231T2207Z.NO/
630 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Mackinaw River near Congerville.
* At 515 PM Thursday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 407 PM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.4 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Mackinaw River
Congerville 13 12.7 Thu 5 PM 11.8 9.4 7.9
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8906 4062 8907 4061 8920 4051 8933
4056 8939 4068 8925
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 26, 8:40 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 8:40 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Lincoln IL 840 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 830 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 Rather persistent band of rain and isolated thunderstorms from this afternoon into early this evening is showing signs of backing more to the north and northwest as the frontal boundary over extreme southeast Illinois shifts north. It still appears the axis of heavy rain will be roughly along the I-72 corridor and north where we have already received 2 to 3 inches of rain already. Meanwhile, further north, winds were starting to increase out of the north as a weak surface low tracks northeast along the frontal boundary over southeast Illinois. Precipitable water values on the 00z ILX sounding were up to 1.3 inches this evening, well above were it should be for late December. Current forecast has only a few changes to it, mainly for temperatures and winds this evening, as a result, no ZFP update will be needed at this time. && .SHORT TERM...(Tonight) ISSUED AT 350 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 Steady stream of rain and embedded thunderstorms continues to track northeast out of Missouri this afternoon. Areas northwest of the Illinois River have remained on the periphery of the rain through the day and little has accumulated up there, but a more substantial northward push is expected this evening as the frontal boundary starts to pivot a bit. Latest water vapor imagery shows a deep upper low over southeast Arizona with a steady plume of moisture coming up from Texas into the Midwest. Precipitable water values remain in record territory for late December, around 1.4 inches through tonight, although some decrease will occur from the northwest late as the frontal boundary tracks southeast again. Another 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain is likely across the watch area overnight. Have maintained thunder mention over most areas southeast of the Illinois River with a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE available, with some more numerous storms south of I-70. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Saturday) ISSUED AT 350 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 Two largest concerns this forecast period: 1. Heavy rain and flooding potential from around I-72 corridor southward through Monday afternoon, and 2. potential for significant icing from freezing rain northwest of the Illinois River Sunday night/Monday morning. The flash flood watch will continue through Monday afternoon for areas along and south of the I-72 corridor where storm total rainfall of 4 to 5 inches is expected beginning Saturday morning through Monday evening. Have already seen reports to around 1.75 inch of rainfall from morning rain/thunderstorms inside a swath from around Taylorville to Danville. While rainfall looks to be on the lighter side Sunday morning...another round of moderate to heavy rain looks to spread NE across central IL late in the day sunday as the intense low currently over the Southwest approaches. Precipitable water values approaching 1.25 inches will wrap around the low...and enough instability indicated for a chance of thunderstorms south of a line from Springfield to Paris. Temperatures will max out around 39 at Galesburg to 53 at Lawrenceville Sunday...cooling off through the day as colder air pushes in from the NW. Freezing rain will be a possibility Sunday night as the push of low level cold air continues northwest of the Illinois River Sunday night. Although uncertainty with timing and extent of subfreezing temperatures exist...accumulations could be rapid for several hours starting early Monday morning and have issued a winter storm watch for Knox and Stark counties for the potential of significant icing to around one quarter inch. Temperatures look to rise above freezing Monday afternoon ending the ice accumulation threat. East to northeast Winds will become substantial Sunday night through Monday...with speeds 20 to 30 mph mainly north of I-70 as intense pressure gradients surrounding the low arrive. The 12Z extended forecast models and their ensembles are in good agreement with a cooler and drier weather pattern setting up during 2nd half of week. A weak weather system to move into the Midwest on Wednesday and bring small chances of light rain and snow to central IL with mainly light rain chances southeast of I-70. Deeper moisture to stay SE of IL Wed so any precipitation that occurs will be quite light. Highs Wed mainly in the 30s with some lower 40s southeast of I-70. Large Canadian high pressure settling into the nations heartland, brings even cooler temperatures Thu thru Saturday to central IL despite return of partly sunny skies with highs in mid to 20s to around 30 northern CWA and 30-35 southeast of I-70. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening) ISSUED AT 500 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 Large area of rain continues to stream northeast out of Missouri late this afternoon and that is expected to continue through the overnight hours as well bringing mostly IFR/LIFR conditions to the forecast area. Rain with isolated TSRA are expected with the better thunder chances mostly around SPI and DEC. The rain looks to begin to taper off from northwest to southeast later tomorrow morning into the afternoon as one phase of the storm moves out of the area. Still looking at least MVFR cigs during the day with some IFR conditions where the rain lingers longer, mainly at SPI and DEC. Surface winds will be variable in direction for the next few hours but are expected to shift into the north to the northeast and increase over the area after 02z, with speeds in the 10 to 15 kt range thru about 07z before winds increase to 12 to 17 kts with gusts up to 27 kts at times into Sunday morning. During the day Sunday, we look for winds in the 360-030 direction at 20 to 30 kts with gusts to around 35 kts at times as the main part of the storm starts to move in our direction. && .HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 350 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 Widespread river flooding is anticipated to develop over the next couple days, due to the large area of 2 to 5 inch rains forecast. Have issued some sort of statement or outlook for all 16 river forecast points in our CWA. With a lot of it based on QPF, we issued Hydrologic Outlooks for the Mackinaw, Vermilion, Sangamon and Vermilion Rivers, as well as Salt Creek near Greenview and the Illinois River at Henry. At the moment, the only river that may be borderline in terms of flood potential is the Spoon River, but the forecast QPF does bring London Mills very close to flood stage. With the rains that have occurred so far today heavier than expected due to the morning convection, flood warnings may need to be expanded with the evening hydrologic model run. This would be most likely with the Sangamon River. && .ILX Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Winter Storm Watch from late Sunday night through Monday afternoon for ILZ027-028. Flash Flood Watch through Monday afternoon for ILZ044>046- 049>057-061>063-066>068-071>073. && UPDATE...Smith SHORT TERM...Geelhart LONG TERM...Onton AVIATION...Smith HYDROLOGY...Geelhart
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 3:20 PM CST, 7 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 320 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ILZ027-028-271200- KNOX-STARK- 320 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR KNOX AND STARK COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND A HALF INCH ARE LIKELY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AROUND 2 INCHES IS LIKELY BY THE TIME THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS MONDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN LOW SPOTS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES BACK OVER TO RAIN. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH WOULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING BY MIDDAY MONDAY. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS MONDAY NIGHT...BUT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE MINOR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER... RAINFALL MEASUREMENTS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. ILZ029>031-036>038-040>043-047-048-271200- CASS-DE WITT-FULTON-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-PEORIA- SCHUYLER-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD- 320 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH ARE LIKELY...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS SOUTH OF PEORIA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIER TOTALS FURTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE I-72 CORRIDOR. THIS WILL CAUSE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING BY MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...MAINLY NORTHWEST OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER...BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES BACK OVER TO RAIN. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS MONDAY NIGHT...BUT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE MINOR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER... RAINFALL MEASUREMENTS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. ILZ049-050-271200- MORGAN-SCOTT- 320 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO 2 INCHES IS LIKELY BY SUNRISE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...WITH TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. THE RAIN MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES. AREAS OF FLOODING MAY DEVELOP WITH TIME. MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER THIS WEEKEND...WITH RISES CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER... RAINFALL MEASUREMENTS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. ILZ044>046-051>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-271200- CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS- EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-MACON-MOULTRIE-PIATT-RICHLAND- SANGAMON-SHELBY-VERMILION- 320 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY CONTAIN WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES IS LIKELY TONIGHT...WITH LOCAL HEAVIER AMOUNTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND LOW SPOTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED IN AREAS BETWEEN I-72 AND I-70. WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL REPORTS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WOULD ALSO BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. GEELHART
In the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 26, 5:09 PM CST, 5 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
509 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 S DECATUR 39.82N 88.93W
12/26/2015 M1.69 INCH MACON IL BROADCAST MEDIA
AT WAND-TV STUDIOS
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN COLES COUNTY AIRPORT 39.48N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.76 INCH COLES IL ASOS
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN WILLARD AIRPORT 40.04N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.31 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL ASOS
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN DECATUR AIRPORT 39.83N 88.87W
12/26/2015 M1.79 INCH MACON IL ASOS
&&
GEELHARTLocal storm report, Dec 26, 5:17 PM CST, 5 hours 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
517 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HEAVY RAIN ARCOLA 39.68N 88.30W
12/26/2015 E2.00 INCH DOUGLAS IL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT VIA FACEBOOK
&&
GEELHARTLocal storm report, Dec 26, 6:42 PM CST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
642 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN DECATUR AIRPORT 39.83N 88.87W
12/26/2015 M1.91 INCH MACON IL ASOS
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN COLES COUNTY AIRPORT 39.48N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.93 INCH COLES IL ASOS
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN WATSON 39.03N 88.57W
12/26/2015 M1.17 INCH EFFINGHAM IL MESONET
RAINFALL SINCE 0730 AM
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN WILLARD AIRPORT 40.04N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.45 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL ASOS
&&
EJLLocal storm report, Dec 26, 9:05 PM CST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
905 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM FLOOD 2 N EFFINGHAM 39.15N 88.55W
12/26/2015 EFFINGHAM IL EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL FEET OF STANDING WATER OVER ROAD AT 1800 STREET
AND TWIN OAKS SUBDIVISION
0700 PM HEAVY RAIN DANVILLE 40.14N 87.62W
12/26/2015 M1.80 INCH VERMILION IL COCORAHS
RAINFALL THE PAST 9 HOURS
0715 PM HEAVY RAIN SULLIVAN 39.60N 88.61W
12/26/2015 M2.31 INCH MOULTRIE IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0715 PM HEAVY RAIN SHELBYVILLE 39.41N 88.80W
12/26/2015 M2.79 INCH SHELBY IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0730 PM HEAVY RAIN MATTOON 39.48N 88.37W
12/26/2015 M1.93 INCH COLES IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0800 PM HEAVY RAIN DANVILLE 40.14N 87.62W
12/26/2015 M1.61 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR
0810 PM HEAVY RAIN OGDEN 40.12N 87.96W
12/26/2015 M1.75 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0830 PM HEAVY RAIN SPRINGFIELD 39.78N 89.64W
12/26/2015 M1.02 INCH SANGAMON IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0830 PM HEAVY RAIN MOUNT PULASKI 40.01N 89.28W
12/26/2015 M1.19 INCH LOGAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR
&&
EJLLocal storm report, Dec 26, 9:11 PM CST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
911 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0326 PM HEAVY RAIN DANVILLE 40.14N 87.62W
12/26/2015 M1.06 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR
0330 PM FLOOD CHARLESTON 39.48N 88.18W
12/26/2015 COLES IL PUBLIC
PONDING OF WATER IN LOCALIZED AREAS
0400 PM HEAVY RAIN ARCOLA 39.68N 88.30W
12/26/2015 E2.00 INCH DOUGLAS IL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT VIA FACEBOOK
0421 PM HEAVY RAIN OGDEN 40.12N 87.96W
12/26/2015 M1.25 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL CO-OP OBSERVER
SINCE 845 AM
0421 PM HEAVY RAIN MATTOON 39.48N 88.37W
12/26/2015 M1.58 INCH COLES IL MESONET
SWOP REPORT
0421 PM HEAVY RAIN TAYLORVILLE 39.52N 89.26W
12/26/2015 M2.15 INCH CHRISTIAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER
SINCE 7 AM
0430 PM FLOOD ROYAL 40.19N 87.97W
12/26/2015 CHAMPAIGN IL PUBLIC
PONDING OF WATER ON SECONDARY ROAD JUST NORTH OF TOWN.
REPORT VIA TWITTER
0430 PM HEAVY RAIN CHARLESTON 39.48N 88.18W
12/26/2015 M2.61 INCH COLES IL PUBLIC
EAST SIDE OF CHARLESTON. REPORT VIA FACEBOOK
0430 PM FLOOD MORRISONVILLE 39.42N 89.46W
12/26/2015 CHRISTIAN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 48 SOUTHWEST OF MORRISONVILLE
0455 PM FLOOD PANA 39.39N 89.08W
12/26/2015 CHRISTIAN IL MESONET
MULTIPLE STREETS FLOODED WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF FLOWING
WATER OVER SOME. SWOP REPORT
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 S DECATUR 39.82N 88.93W
12/26/2015 M1.69 INCH MACON IL BROADCAST MEDIA
AT WAND-TV STUDIOS
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN DECATUR AIRPORT 39.83N 88.87W
12/26/2015 M1.79 INCH MACON IL ASOS
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN WILLARD AIRPORT 40.04N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.31 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL ASOS
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN COLES COUNTY AIRPORT 39.48N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.76 INCH COLES IL ASOS
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN WATSON 39.03N 88.57W
12/26/2015 M1.17 INCH EFFINGHAM IL MESONET
RAINFALL SINCE 0730 AM
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN COLES COUNTY AIRPORT 39.48N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.93 INCH COLES IL ASOS
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN DECATUR AIRPORT 39.83N 88.87W
12/26/2015 M1.91 INCH MACON IL ASOS
0600 PM HEAVY RAIN WILLARD AIRPORT 40.04N 88.28W
12/26/2015 M1.45 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL ASOS
0700 PM HEAVY RAIN DANVILLE 40.14N 87.62W
12/26/2015 M1.80 INCH VERMILION IL COCORAHS
RAINFALL THE PAST 9 HOURS
0700 PM FLOOD 2 N EFFINGHAM 39.15N 88.55W
12/26/2015 EFFINGHAM IL EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL FEET OF STANDING WATER OVER ROAD AT 1800 STREET
AND TWIN OAKS SUBDIVISION
0715 PM HEAVY RAIN SHELBYVILLE 39.41N 88.80W
12/26/2015 M2.79 INCH SHELBY IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0715 PM HEAVY RAIN SULLIVAN 39.60N 88.61W
12/26/2015 M2.31 INCH MOULTRIE IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0730 PM HEAVY RAIN MATTOON 39.48N 88.37W
12/26/2015 M1.93 INCH COLES IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0800 PM HEAVY RAIN DANVILLE 40.14N 87.62W
12/26/2015 M1.61 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR
0810 PM HEAVY RAIN OGDEN 40.12N 87.96W
12/26/2015 M1.75 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
0830 PM HEAVY RAIN MOUNT PULASKI 40.01N 89.28W
12/26/2015 M1.19 INCH LOGAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR
0830 PM HEAVY RAIN SPRINGFIELD 39.78N 89.64W
12/26/2015 M1.02 INCH SANGAMON IL MESONET
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
&&
EJLLocal storm report, Dec 26, 10:16 PM CST, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1016 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 PM HEAVY RAIN MATTOON 39.48N 88.37W
12/26/2015 M2.20 INCH COLES IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR...SWOP REPORT
&&
EJLThe office that day
Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 8:01 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Christian, Effingham, Macon, Moultrie, Shelby | 8 hr |
| Dec 26, 8:18 PM CST | River Flood Warning | ILX | Crawford, Jasper | 9 days |
| Dec 26, 9:16 PM CST | River Flood Warning | ILX | Sangamon | 9 days |
| Dec 26, 9:16 PM CST | River Flood Warning | ILX | Menard | 12 days |
| Dec 26, 9:16 PM CST | River Flood Warning | ILX | Cass, Mason, Menard | 12 days |
| Dec 26, 9:16 PM CST | River Flood Warning | ILX | Cass, Mason | 13 days |
| Dec 26, 9:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | ILX | Mason, Menard | 6 days |
| Dec 26, 9:32 PM CST | River Flood Warning | ILX | Marshall, Putnam | 22 days |
| Dec 26, 10:28 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Champaign, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas, Edgar, Vermilion | 8 hr |
| Dec 27, 4:03 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | ILX | Christian, Effingham, Macon, Moultrie, Piatt, Sangamon and 1 more | 12 hr |
| Dec 27, 5:15 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | ILX | Champaign, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas, Edgar and 1 more | 12 hr |
| Dec 27, 10:41 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | ILX | Effingham | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:15 PM CST | Wind Advisory | ILX | Cass, Champaign, Christian, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas and 21 more | 26 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:51 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | ILX | Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles, Cumberland and 10 more | 24 hr |
| Dec 27, 4:09 PM CST | Winter Storm Warning | ILX | Knox, McLean, Marshall, Peoria, Stark, Woodford | 26 hr |
| Dec 27, 4:09 PM CST | Freezing Rain Advisory | ILX | Fulton, McLean, Tazewell | 20 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.