River Flood Warning 35, NWS Lincoln, IL

048 
WGUS83 KILX 090220
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
920 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC101-091620-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0035.150709T0332Z-150714T0959Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.150709T0332Z.150710T1200Z.150714T0359Z.NO/
920 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* From this evening until late Monday night.
* At  845 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 32.7 feet by Friday evening.The river will fall below flood
  stage by Monday evening.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...Lumber Mill Road is inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  29.7 Wed 9 PM    31.3   32.7   32.3


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

397 
WGUS83 KILX 091512
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1012 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.
  
.Slow rises will continue for another day or so in response to recent
heavy rains...with the river at Lawrenceville remaining above flood 
stage through the first part of the weekend. 

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC101-100512-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150712T0600Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.150709T0715Z.150710T0600Z.150712T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* Until late Saturday night.
* At  945 AM Thursday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.2 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  evening.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  30.3 Thu 10 AM   31.2   30.5   29.5


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$
Geelhart

316 
WGUS83 KILX 100604
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
104 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC101-102004-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150712T0600Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.150709T0715Z.150711T0000Z.150712T0000Z.NO/
104 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 1245 AM Friday the stage was 30.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor agricultural flooding begins.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  30.2 Fri 1 AM    30.5   29.5   28.2


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

010 
WGUS83 KILX 101435
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
935 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.River levels are expected to hover around flood stage through this
evening, before beginning a steady fall.

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC101-110435-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150711T1200Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.150709T0715Z.150709T2045Z.150711T0600Z.NO/
935 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  845 AM Friday the stage was 29.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will hover around 30.0 feet through this 
  evening, before beginning to fall overnight.
  rise to near 30.1 feet by this evening.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor agricultural flooding begins.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  29.9 Fri 9 AM    29.7   28.7   27.5


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$
Geelhart

631 
WGUS83 KILX 110148
FLSILX


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
848 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC101-111200-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150711T1200Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.150709T0715Z.150709T2045Z.150711T0600Z.NO/
848 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  745 PM Friday the stage was 29.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor agricultural flooding begins.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  29.9 Fri 8 PM    29.7   28.7   27.5


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
706 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 324 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

1021MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES HAS BROUGHT A COOLER/DRIER
AIRMASS INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS EARLY THIS MORNING...AS
EVIDENCED BY 08Z/3AM DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S.
FURTHER SOUTHWEST...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS DEVELOPING ALONG A
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.  THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD TODAY...REACHING SAINT LOUIS
BY EARLY EVENING.  LATEST RADAR MOSAIC AND SURFACE OBS ALREADY SHOW
LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING NORTHWARD INTO WEST-CENTRAL ILLINOIS...HOWEVER
PRECIP WILL BE FIGHTING A DRY NE FLOW AS IT TRIES TO WORK ITS WAY
FURTHER NORTHWARD THIS MORNING.  MOST HIGH-RES MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS
THE SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE I-74 CORRIDOR UNTIL CLOSER TO MIDDAY.  AS
THE AIRMASS MOISTENS...SHOWERS WILL EVENTUALLY OVERSPREAD ALL OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS BY AFTERNOON.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW ONLY MEAGER ELEVATED INSTABILITY TODAY...SO THUNDER SHOULD BE
AT A MINIMUM.  HAVE THEREFORE ONLY MENTIONED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE KILX CWA.  FLASH FLOOD
WATCH CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS WILL CONTINUE FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.  DUE TO
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IN THE 60S.  IN FACT...THESE
READINGS WILL LIKELY BREAK PREVIOUS RECORDS FOR LOWEST MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURE FOR THE DATE BY SEVERAL DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT...AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS ACROSS THE HEART OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO NORTHERN INDIANA BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  WITH THIS PARTICULAR TRACK...LOCATIONS
ALONG/SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR WILL PUNCH INTO THE WARM SECTOR OF
THE SYSTEM.  INCREASING SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS AREA
COULD RESULT IN A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING HOURS
AS SUGGESTED BY THE 4KM NAM.  HAVE THEREFORE HIT THUNDER HARDER
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CWA TONIGHT...WITH JUST ISOLATED MENTION
ELSEWHERE.  TOTAL RAINFALL TODAY/TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1
TO 1.50 INCHES...BUT WILL BE LIGHTER NORTHWEST OF THE ILLINOIS
RIVER.  ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THUNDERSTORMS.

ONCE THE LOW LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...SHORT-WAVE RIDGING IN ITS WAKE
WILL LEAD TO A MOSTLY DRY DAY ON THURSDAY.  HAVE HUNG ON TO SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE EAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS IN CASE A FEW
SHOWERS LINGER...WITH DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BOARD DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER WAVE APPROACHES
FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION.
STRONGEST WARM AIR/MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS
NORTHERN MISSOURI/SOUTHERN IOWA...SO HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY POPS WEST
OF I-55 OVERNIGHT ACCORDINGLY.  FURTHER EAST...POPS DECREASE TO JUST
LOW CHANCE ALONG THE INDIANA BORDER.  RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY FRIDAY...WITH HIGHEST POPS GRADUALLY SHIFTING
NORTH OF THE I-74 CORRIDOR BY AFTERNOON.

UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL TEMPORARILY BUILD INTO THE MIDWEST THIS
WEEKEND...HOWEVER EXACT STRENGTH OF RIDGE REMAINS IN QUESTION.  IT
STILL APPEARS THE RIDGE WILL BE PRONOUNCED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE MAIN
STORM TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...RESULTING IN A HOT AND MOSTLY DRY FORECAST.  WILL CARRY LOW
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA SATURDAY NIGHT AS NOCTURNAL
CONVECTION MAY BUILD FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO IMPACT LOCATIONS FROM THE
PEORIA AREA NORTHWARD.  BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WHEN THE RIDGE SHIFTS FURTHER WESTWARD AND A
DEEP TROUGH DIGS OVER THE GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 700 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

SHOWERS HAVE OVERSPREAD ALL TERMINAL SITES ALREADY THIS MORNING,
WELL AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE AND NORTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT
ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. VFR CLOUD HEIGHTS ARE BEING REPORTED
ACROSS THE AREA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS
SHOW THAT CLOUD LEVELS WILL DROP TO IFR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENTUALLY LIFR OVERNIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES DIRECTLY ACROSS
ILLINOIS FROM SW TO NE. THUNDER CHANCES ARE LOW AT ANY TAF
LOCATION, SO NO THUNDER WAS INCLUDED THROUGH TONIGHT. NEARLY
STEADY RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. SHOWERS WILL COME
TO AN END AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM SW TO NE AS THE LOW DEPARTS INTO
INDIANA.

WINDS WILL BE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING, THEN BECOME SOUTHEAST AS THE
LOW APPROACHES, WITH SOUTHWEST-WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING
BEHIND THE LOW AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR ILZ027>031-
036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM...BARNES
AVIATION...SHIMON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
604 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-047-049-050-091100-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MORGAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-
SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
604 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. WHILE THESE ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE...SOME OF THEM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN.
WITH RECENT HEAVY RAIN CAUSING SATURATED GROUND...SOME FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AFTER A SHORT BREAK ON THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. CHANCES FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN OCCUR THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH THE
BEST CHANCES DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. STORM CHANCES INCREASE
AGAIN FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RIVER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY
DECREASE...ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE RENEWED RISES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ042>046-048-051>057-061>063-091100-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-COLES-CUMBERLAND-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-
LOGAN-MACON-MENARD-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-SHELBY-VERMILION-
604 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. WHILE
THESE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE...SOME OF THEM WILL PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN...WITH AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES LIKELY. WITH RECENT
HEAVY RAIN CAUSING SATURATED GROUND...SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AFTER A SHORT BREAK ON THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK...FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ066>068-071>073-091100-
CLAY-CRAWFORD-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
604 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY
APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS FROM LATE AFTERNOON TO MID EVENING...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARD. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN...WITH AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LIKELY. WITH RECENT
HEAVY RAIN CAUSING SATURATED GROUND...SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AFTER A SHORT BREAK FROM STORMS ON THURSDAY...SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH RIVER
INTO THE WEEKEND. WHILE RIVER LEVELS WILL GENERALLY DECREASE...
THE HEAVY RAIN MAY RESULT IN SOME RENEWED RISES BY LATE WEEK.
PORTIONS OF THE EMBARRAS AND LITTLE WABASH RIVER BASINS WILL
LIKELY SEE RENEWED RISES AS WELL DUE TO THIS HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHIMON