Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Lincoln, IL

234 
WGUS73 KILX 150302
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1002 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

ILC095-123-143-175-150630-
/O.CON.KILX.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150615T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-PEORIA-KNOX-STARK-
1002 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL...NORTHERN PEORIA...EAST CENTRAL KNOX AND STARK
COUNTIES...

AT 1001 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. 
ADDTIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT FLOODING HEAVY 
RAINFALL APPEARS UNLIKELY. FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBISDE OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LACON...HENRY...PRINCEVILLE...WYOMING...TOULON...BRADFORD...
WILLIAMSFIELD...SPARLAND...WEST JERSEY...LAURA...ELMORE...CAMP
GROVE...CASTLETON...HOPEWELL...DUNCAN...LAKE WILDWOOD...DAHINDA...
MARSHALL COUNTY AIRPORT...MONICA AND LAWN RIDGE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 58 AND 65.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4122 8964 4115 8964 4115 8935 4114 8933
      4112 8933 4110 8935 4110 8917 4098 8938
      4085 9012 4093 9019 4124 8970

$$

AUTEN

581 
WGUS73 KILX 150623
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
123 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015

ILC095-123-143-175-150632-
/O.EXP.KILX.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150615T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-PEORIA-KNOX-STARK-
123 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL...NORTHERN
PEORIA...EAST CENTRAL KNOX AND STARK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 130 AM
CDT...

FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED...AND ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD
CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 4122 8964 4115 8964 4115 8935 4114 8933
      4112 8933 4110 8935 4110 8917 4098 8938
      4085 9012 4093 9019 4124 8970

$$

SMITH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
635 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 301 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN IL. NUMEROUS LOW LEVEL
BOUNDARIES...SOME APPARENT IN THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS AND OTHERS
CONVECTIVELY INDUCED...WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. THE MAIN CONCERN
WILL BE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SOME OF THE STORMS DUE
TO COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AND WEAKER WINDS ALOFT THAN THE PAST
FEW DAYS. INSTABILITY WILL BE MODERATE...BUT THE LACK OF WIND SHEAR
SHOULD KEEP WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS FROM DEVELOPING. HOWEVER...
ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG/SEVERE GUSTS DUE TO HEAVY
PRECIPITATION LOADING THIS EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG A
WSW-ENE BOUNDARY WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND
ISOLATED FLOODING DUE TO TRAINING EFFECTS.

MUCH OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD START TO WANE TOWARD MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT
FOR LINGERING AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-74. THE REST OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS CAN ONLY EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT DUE TO WEAKER FORCING AND MORE DIFFUSE
BOUNDARIES.

AS THE COLD FRONT IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS PROGRESSES TOWARD CENTRAL
IOWA AROUND DAYBREAK...STORMS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF IT OVERNIGHT MAY
MAKE INTO WEST CENTRAL IL. THUS...HAVE INCREASED POPS BACK INTO THE
LIKELY CATEGORY MAINLY WEST OF THE IL RIVER VALLEY BY SUNRISE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 301 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

AN ACTIVE CONVECTIVE WEATHER PATTERN, ALONG WITH WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS, IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE THERE WILL BE PERIODS
WHERE MORE WIDESPREAD AND/OR POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE,
IT PRETTY TOUGH TO PICK OUT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR COMPLETELY DRY
WEATHER AT THIS POINT. THIS IS RESULTING IN AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
POPS THAT WILL HOPEFULLY BE ABLE TO BE FINE TUNED BETTER AS THE
DETAILS BECOME MORE CLEAR.

THE WORK WEEK WILL START OUT WITH ONE OF THE BETTER CHANCES FOR
SIGNIFICANT STORMS. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW, CURRENTLY SPINNING OVER THE
PLAINS, AS WELL AS A WEAK SURFACE FRONT, WILL TRACK THROUGH THE
MIDWEST. PRE-FRONTAL CAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500 J/KG SHOULD BE COMMON
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING, ALONG WITH BULK SHEAR VALUES
APPROACHING 35 KTS. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTIVE OF SCATTERED STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA INTO
MONDAY NIGHT, WHICH IS WELL DEPICTED IN THE SPC DAY 2 OUTLOOK.

THE FRONT WILL STALL NOT TOO FAR SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY
NIGHT, AND IT SHOULD STAY NEAR WHERE IT STALLS UNTIL THE NEXT
STRONGER UPPER WAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO
THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT, AND THE FACT THAT THE AIRMASS WILL
REMAIN VERY MOIST AND POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE, POPS WILL STAY FAIRLY
HIGH INTO WEDNESDAY (LOWEST IN THE NORTH, FURTHER AWAY FROM SURFACE
BOUNDARY). THE PASSAGE OF THE NEXT MAJOR WAVE ON WEDNESDAY COULD
ALSO SUPPORT MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER, WITH SHEAR PROFILES EVEN
BETTER THAN ANTICIPATED MONDAY, AT LEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA.

THE PASSAGE OF THE WEDNESDAY SYSTEM SHOULD RESULT IN A RELATIVE LULL
IN THE RAINFALL RISK. HOWEVER, BY THE END OF THE WEEK, CHANCES MAY
RAMP UP YET AGAIN AS POTENTIAL REMNANTS FROM A TROPICAL SYSTEM
COMING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TRACK NEAR THE AREA. THEN, BY LATE
IN THE WEEKEND, A PIECE OF ENERGY MORE TIED TO THE MAIN BELT OF THE
WESTERLIES TO OUR NORTH, WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA
WITH AN ASSOCIATED SHOWER/STORM RISK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 635 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

CONDITIONS WILL PRIMARILY BE VFR NEXT 24HRS EXCEPT FOR WHEN
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OVER THE SITES. WILL HAVE VCTS FOR ALL
SITES FOR NEXT 2-3 HRS AND THEN THINK PCPN WILL DISSIPATE AFTER
SUNSET. ONLY SITE WITH A TEMPO GROUP WILL BE BMI WHERE
THUNDERSTORM IS CURRENTLY THERE. BASED ON HIGH RES MODELS...MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT SO HAVE ANOTHER VCTS AFTER
09Z OR 10Z. THINK THIS WILL ONLY LAST TIL MID MORNING LEAVING
BEHIND BROKEN CIGS FOR REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. WITH FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DROPPING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST BELIEVE MORE
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TOMORROW EVENING. THESE WILL BE AFTER
00Z...END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...BAK
AVIATION...AUTEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
324 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>051-151100-
CASS-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-
MORGAN-PEORIA-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
324 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING.
ISOLATED STORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH THE
THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING AND WORSEN AREAS OF RIVER FLOODING ALREADY IN PROGRESS.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE
ILLINOIS...SANGAMON AND SPOON RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE
SEVERE RISK...THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK ENHANCING THE RIVER AND FLASH
FLOOD THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY. HOWEVER...REPORTS OF
WIND GUSTS...HEAVY RAINFALL OR FLOODING WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

ILZ044>046-052>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-151100-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-
EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-MACON-MOULTRIE-PIATT-RICHLAND-
SHELBY-VERMILION-
324 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE WHICH WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING
AND WORSEN AREAS OF RIVER FLOODING ALREADY IN PROGRESS. MINOR
RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SANGAMON AND PARTS OF THE
WABASH AND LITTLE WABASH RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE THREAT FOR MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE OVER
THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE
RISK...THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK ENHANCING THE RIVER AND FLASH FLOOD
THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY. HOWEVER...REPORTS OF
WIND GUSTS...HEAVY RAINFALL OR FLOODING WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

BAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
507 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE LINCOLN           40.16N 89.35W
06/13/2015                   LOGAN              IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LATE REPORT. LARGE TREE DOWN OFF 1400E 1/4 MILE SOUTH OF
            1700N.

0840 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE LINCOLN           40.16N 89.33W
06/13/2015                   LOGAN              IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LATE REPORT. POWER POLE SNAPPED OFF AND POWER LINES ON
            THE GROUND ON 1500E 1/4 MILE NORTH OF 1700N.

&&

AUTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
511 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LUDLOW                  40.39N 88.13W
06/14/2015  M0.75 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   MESONET

            RAIN FELL IN 20 MINS.

&&

AUTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
529 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     HEAVY RAIN       PETERSBURG              40.01N 89.85W
06/14/2015  M1.77 INCH       MENARD             IL   MESONET

            RAINFALL FROM 1540 TO 1700.

0515 PM     HEAVY RAIN       PETERSBURG              40.01N 89.85W
06/14/2015  M1.77 INCH       MENARD             IL   MESONET

            RAINFALL FROM 340 TO 500 PM.

&&

AUTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
625 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     FLASH FLOOD      W MCLEAN                40.32N 89.17W
06/14/2015                   MCLEAN             IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            WATER OVER ROAD WEST OF MCLEAN ON US 136 EASTBOUND LANE

0545 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E HEYWORTH            40.31N 88.96W
06/14/2015  M3.78 INCH       MCLEAN             IL   COCORAHS

            RAIN FELL IN PAST 60 MINUTES

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
639 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HEYWORTH                40.31N 88.98W
06/14/2015  E5.00 INCH       MCLEAN             IL   PUBLIC

            RAINFALL SINCE 430 PM.

0630 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HEYWORTH                40.31N 88.98W
06/14/2015                   MCLEAN             IL   PUBLIC

            SMALL CREEKS AROUND TOWN ARE OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
            SUBDIVISION FLOODING IN DITCHES AND STREETS.

&&

AUTEN