Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

June 13, 2015Mercer County, Ohio

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this special weather statement at Jun 13, 2015, 3:25 PM EDT for Mercer County, Ohio. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 13, 2015, 3:25 PM EDT (19:25 UTC)
Expired: Jun 13, 2015, 4:00 PM EDT
In force: 35 min
Issued by: NWS Wilmington, OH

County Mercer County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 454 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -61 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1007 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 13, 2:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 13, 2:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION COMBINED WITH A WARM
AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
INCREASING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
IN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. MOST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SHORT-
LIVED AND WEAK...ALBEIT WITH BRIEF DOWNPOURS. WITH D-CAPES NEAR OR
ABOVE 1000 J/KG WILL HAVE TO MONITOR AS AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO
COULD APPROACH/EXCEED SEVERE LEVELS. INCREASED CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXPECTED INCREASED COVERAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. WITH THE PRIMARY BOUNDARY
WELL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THIS PERIOD...THERE IS
LITTLE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. EXPECT STORMS TO BE PRIMARILY
DIURNALLY DRIVEN WITH GREATER COVERAGE IN THE NORTHERN COUNTIES.
MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE COULD BE A BIT MORE BULK SHEAR ON SUNDAY
WHICH WOULD BE SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS. STAYED CLOSE TO PERSISTENCE FOR LOWS. LEANED TOWARDS
WARMER HIGHS ON SUNDAY AND WENT A BIT ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LONG TERM. EAST-
WEST SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTH INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY
AND THEN LIFT BACK NORTH ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE MORE
ORGANIZED FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK. ONCE THE FRONT GETS BACK NORTH OF THE AREA IT WILL BE
BACK TO DISORGANIZED FORCING AND LARGELY DIURNAL CONVECTION. LOWS
WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGHS WILL DROP
BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND THEN SLOWLY
WARM AFTER THE BOUNDARY RETREATS NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS THOUGH WITH VERY MOISTURE LADEN
ENVIRONMENT...OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE. MVFR VSBYS
POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERTORMS MAINLY NEAR/BEFORE 00Z...AS WELL AS
POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 30-35KTS IN SOME STORMS. OVERALL PRECIPITATION
COVERAGE WILL DECREASE AFTER 00Z. QUESTION FOR THE NORMAL MVFR
VSBY LOCTIONS OF KLUK/KILN...CONFIDENCE IS LOW ATTM SO STUCK WITH
HIGHER LEVEL MVFR VSBY POTENTIAL.

NEAR/AFTER 18Z GREATER POTENTIAL FOR MORE THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WITH HIGH MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT...MVFR TO POSSIBLY EVEN
IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN SOME STORMS.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JDR

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 13, 1:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
138 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

INZ080-KYZ089-090-094>099-141745-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-
MASON-
138 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-KYZ091>093-100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-141745-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-BOONE-
KENTON-CAMPBELL-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-
UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-
PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-
CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
SCIOTO-
138 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

HATZOS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 2:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
219 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

OHZ064-065-074-131900-
FAIRFIELD OH-HOCKING OH-PICKAWAY OH-
219 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN PICKAWAY...
NORTHWESTERN HOCKING AND SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM
EDT...

AT 216 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TARLTON...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
LANCASTER...AMANDA...BUENA VISTA...CLEARPORT...GIBISONVILLE...
SUGAR GROVE...ROCKBRIDGE...ENTERPRISE...LAKE LOGAN STATE PARK...
HIDEAWAY HILLS AND NORTH BERNE.

LAT...LON 3975 8249 3963 8243 3946 8245 3949 8283
      3966 8282

HATZOS

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 2:43 PM EDT, 42 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
243 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

OHZ065-131915-
FAIRFIELD OH-
243 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY
THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 241 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
DUMONTVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
BALTIMORE...DUMONTVILLE...THURSTON...
MILLERSPORT AND PLEASANTVILLE.

LAT...LON 3972 8264 3980 8275 3989 8270 3993 8251
      3990 8246 3984 8247 3983 8239 3979 8240

HATZOS

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 3:04 PM EDT, 21 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
304 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

OHZ073-082-131930-
PIKE OH-ROSS OH-
304 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN ROSS AND PIKE
COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT...

AT 303 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CHILLICOTHE TO ELM GROVE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...

WAVERLY...PIKETON...MASSIEVILLE...LAKE WHITE...
SCIOTO TRAIL STATE PARK...MOORESVILLE...PIKE COUNTY AIRPORT...
OMEGA...GIVENS...LONDONDERRY...GERMANY AND RICHMOND DALE.

LAT...LON 3917 8277 3917 8278 3897 8280 3898 8313
      3905 8321 3942 8304 3943 8275

HATZOS

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 3:25 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
325 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

OHZ034-042-132000-
DARKE OH-MERCER OH-
325 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN MERCER AND EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN DARKE COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EDT...

AT 324 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FORT
RECOVERY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...COLDWATER.

ALSO...BURKETTSVILLE...ST. HENRY...CARTHAGENA...MARIA STEIN...
OSGOOD...MONTEZUMA AND CHICKASAW ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4051 8445 4036 8445 4033 8444 4035 8481
      4047 8481 4048 8480

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 13, 2:09 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Hocking	2 hr
Jun 13, 2:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hocking	41 min
Jun 13, 2:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Fairfield	32 min
Jun 13, 2:55 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Hocking, Pickaway	2 hr
Jun 13, 3:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Pike, Ross	26 min
Jun 13, 3:33 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin	3 hr
Jun 13, 4:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Shelby	30 min
Jun 13, 4:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Logan	24 min
Jun 13, 4:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Union	35 min
Jun 13, 5:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Logan	31 min
Jun 13, 5:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Union	33 min
Jun 13, 6:18 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Fayette	27 min
Jun 13, 6:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Miami	23 min
Jun 13, 6:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Pickaway	39 min
Jun 13, 7:09 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Fayette, Pickaway	3 hr
Jun 13, 7:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Madison	26 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.