Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Wilmington, OH

599 
WGUS71 KILN 141057
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
657 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

INC029-115-137-155-141107-
/O.EXP.KILN.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150714T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OHIO IN-SWITZERLAND IN-RIPLEY IN-DEARBORN IN-
657 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR OHIO...SWITZERLAND...RIPLEY AND
SOUTHWESTERN DEARBORN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 AM EDT...

FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED AND ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT
TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD CLOSURES.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS FLASH FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMITTING YOUR REPORT
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 3920 8544 3925 8532 3892 8488 3890 8487
      3889 8484 3887 8481 3875 8507 3883 8520
      3892 8520 3891 8544

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
225 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN WORK
INTO THE REGION FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
LINGERING STORMS ARE FIRING IN A CONVERGENT BOUNDARY BEHIND THE
LARGE SWATH OF STORMS THAT WERE OVER THE REGION EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY NEAR PORTSMOUTH AND WEST OF
COLUMBUS AND HAVE A SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK. MORE STORMS UPSTREAM OF
THE REGION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO FIRE ON THE BOUNDARY THAT
EXISTS FROM SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO INTO CENTRAL INDIANA. THE UPSTREAM
STORMS ARE CURRENTLY NORTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS AND MAY PERSIST AND
BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER WEST CENTRAL OHIO LATE THIS
EVENING...THEN DIVE SOUTHWARD. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE STILL IN A
STATE OF FLUX WITH HOW THE UPSTREAM CONVECTION EVOLVES OVERNIGHT
BUT FORECAST CONTINUES TO LEAN HEAVILY TOWARDS THE HRRR MODEL.

IF THE LINE DEVELOPS...THE OVERNIGHT THREAT WILL PRIMARILY BE A
HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL AND COULD CONTAIN SOME DAMAGING WINDS IN
SPOTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
THERE WILL BE A LULL OR A DECREASE IN PRECIPITATION FOR THE
MORNING DAYTIME HOURS ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE FA. A DISTURBANCE WILL
WORK THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
EXPECT QUITE A BIT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP IN AN
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE A THREAT AND
HAVE ADDED SEVERE MENTION INTO THE FORECAST. IN ADDITION HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE A THREAT AS WELL AND HAVE HEAVY RAIN MENTION IN THE
FORECAST...HWO...AND HAVE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OUT ACROSS THE
REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TUESDAY NIGHT.

EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO GET QUITE WARM ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE FA ON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION DEW POINTS WILL ALSO BE NEAR 70.
HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL NEAR 100 ACROSS EXTREME SW PORTIONS OF THE
FA.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
PERIOD BEGINS ON WEDNESDAY WITH TUESDAY/S SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTING
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND RAPIDLY RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT ATOP BUILDING
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. IT APPEARS WE/LL ACTUALLY GET A COUPLE OF
DAYS WITHOUT THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY...THOUGH IT
WOULDN/T BE TOO MUCH OF A SURPRISE IF A LIGHT SHOWER DEVELOPED OVER
CENTRAL OHIO ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO LINGERING EFFECTS OF THE EJECTING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WILL BE THE COOL DAYS OF THE
WEEK...WITH TEMPS AND HUMIDITY CLIMBING BY FRIDAY AS THE RETURN FLOW
BEGINS TO SET UP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT
SLIDES INTO THE NORTHEAST BY FRIDAY.

PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT  A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON
FRIDAY...DRAGGING A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON - BUT THE BULK
OF THE DAY LOOKS DRY AS FORCING IS WEAK. THE WEAK LOW MOVES THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES SATURDAY/SUNDAY WITH ILL-DEFINED SURFACE FEATURES
WASHING OUT A BIT. TEMPS WILL DEFINITELY BE WARMER THAN WE/VE SEEN
FOR THE PAST FEW WEEKS...WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 80S OVER THE
WEEKEND. UNFORTUNATELY SOME PRETTY STEAMY AIR COMES WITH IT - SO IT
WILL BE MUGGY. UNCERTAINTY INCREASES LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS
TROUGHING TRIES TO REASSERT ITSELF OVER THE ERN SEABOARD...AND
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SEEMS ENOUGH
THERE WITH THE WARM/MUGGY AIR THAT LOOSELY ORGANIZED SHRA/TSRA ARE
POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS...WITH THE BETTER CHANCES ON MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAIN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES BUT
THERE ARE STILL SOME ISOLATED STRAGGLERS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-70 CORRIDOR AND THESE COULD AFFECT THE TAF SITES IN THE
FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE TAF PERIOD. WILL HANG ON TO THUNDER
A LITTLE LONGER AT KCVG/KLUK AS THERE IS A LITTLE BETTER
REDEVELOPMENT BACK ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AND THIS COULD GET CLOSE
TO KCVG/KLUK IF IT HOLDS TOGETHER. WE SHOULD THEN GET INTO A PCPN
LULL THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING HOURS. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...THINK SOME MVFR STRATUS
DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR TOWARD DAYBREAK. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD THEN REDEVELOP THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AND SHIFT SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPS DOWN ACROSS THE REGION.

OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR INZ050-058-059-066-
     073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOVAK
NEAR TERM...FRANKS
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...BINAU
AVIATION...JGL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
359 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-142000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE-UNION-FRANKLIN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-
CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-
ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-
DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-
GREENE-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-
HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
359 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND
WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW OF THE STORMS
MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING
ISSUES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY
EVENING. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING ISSUES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT AND AGAIN TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
110 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N GREENVILLE          40.12N 84.62W
07/14/2015                   DARKE              OH   PUBLIC

            VEHICLES STALLED IN RISING WATER ON RUSS ROAD.

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
117 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GREENVILLE              40.10N 84.62W
07/13/2015  M5.25 INCH       DARKE              OH   PUBLIC

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
121 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1201 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 W BEAVERCREEK         39.73N 84.16W
07/14/2015                   MONTGOMERY         OH   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
201 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E UNION CITY          40.20N 84.78W
07/14/2015  M2.22 INCH       DARKE              OH   PUBLIC

            RAINFALL LAST 6 HOURS

0130 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PLEASANT HILL           40.05N 84.34W
07/14/2015  M2.17 INCH       MIAMI              OH   OTHER FEDERAL

            RAINFALL LAST 6 HOURS

0153 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSE NEW WESTON        40.32N 84.64W
07/14/2015  M1.97 INCH       DARKE              OH   PUBLIC

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
235 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 WSW BEAVERCREEK       39.71N 84.17W
07/13/2015                   MONTGOMERY         OH   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE TREE FELL INTO HOME ON PEACH ORCHARD AVENUE. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
252 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CARROLLTON              38.68N 85.16W
07/14/2015                   CARROLL            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MANY ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY COMPLETELY FLOODED LEAVING A
            FEW CARS STRANDED.

&&

KURZ