Severe Thunderstorm Warning 208, NWS Wichita, KS

673 
WWUS53 KICT 271217
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
717 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

KSC001-271300-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-150827T1300Z/
ALLEN KS-
717 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL ALLEN COUNTY...

AT 715 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GAS...OR NEAR
IOLA...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WINDS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
IOLA...LA HARPE...GAS...MORAN...ELSMORE...MILDRED...BASSETT AND IOLA
AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
WICHITA.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO 
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. 
IN FACT...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF ALLEN COUNTY 
UNTIL 1145 AM CDT.

&&

LAT...LON 3777 9509 3777 9541 3804 9541 3804 9516
TIME...MOT...LOC 1215Z 356DEG 37KT 3787 9537 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

ES

033 
WWUS53 KICT 271232
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
732 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

KSC001-271241-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-150827T1300Z/
ALLEN KS-
732 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL ALLEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER SMALL HAIL IS 
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3777 9509 3777 9541 3804 9541 3804 9516
TIME...MOT...LOC 1230Z 357DEG 20KT 3778 9536 

$$

ES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
616 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 257 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

ISOLATED-SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER FAR EASTERN KANSAS...ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER...WHERE WEAK MOISTURE TRANSPORT/ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE (310K) IS
INDICATED. MUCAPES OF 2000-3000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF
25-45 KT COULD RESULT IN A COUPLE OF STRONG-SEVERE STORMS WITH A
HAIL THREAT. ANY STORM ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD WANE TOWARD
MID-LATE MORNING...AS THE WEAK LLJ WEAKENS/BACKS.

A WELL-ADVERTISED SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES
EARLY THIS MORNING PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...WILL TRANSLATE SLOWLY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST LATE TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH A WEAK ATTENDANT COLD FRONT. SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD
DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONT AND PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH...FROM WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AS SURFACE-
BASED INHIBITION IS REMOVED FROM HEATING AND HEIGHT FALLS/ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE CONVECTION MAY MERGE INTO
ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS TONIGHT...AS A 45 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL
JET DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION. A RELATIVELY GREATER STORM COVERAGE
AND HIGHER RAINFALL FORECAST (0.25-0.75 INCH) IS EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS...WITH LESSER COVERAGE/AMOUNTS FURTHER SOUTH.
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND 25-35 KNOTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY SUPPORT
A FEW STRONG-MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS IN CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING
WITH HAIL/WIND THREATS.

A SECONDARY VORT LOBE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH...IS
PROGGED TO SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH THE WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWER TO MOVE THROUGH
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. SCATTERED DIURNALLY-ENHANCED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THOSE AREAS...WITH WEAKENED
INHIBITION...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WEAK-MODERATE SHEAR...ALTHOUGH
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE PROGGED TO BE WEAKER THAN DAY 1.

A DRY POST-FRONTAL REGIME IS ANTICIPATED ON SATURDAY BEHIND THE
DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH...AND FRONT WHICH MAY HANG UP JUST SOUTH
OF THE OKLAHOMA BORDER.

FORECAST 1000-850 THICKNESSES ON THE GFS/NAM-WRF/RAP INDICATE WARMER
THAN AVERAGE HIGHS TODAY...ALTHOUGH LEANED WITH THE MIDDLE OF ROAD
GFS BASED ON IT'S VERIFICATION YESTERDAY. DRIER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING A
FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE BUT STILL SEASONABLY WARM.

JMC

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 257 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

AN ELONGATED MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS PROGGED FROM THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL
PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. A MID-
LEVEL WEAKNESS/UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO RETROGRADE SLIGHTLY
WESTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS SHOULD
SUPPORT A MAINLY DRY FORECAST IN OUR AREA...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

JMC

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 611 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED STRONG-SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT FAR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS THROUGH MID-LATE MORNING BEFORE
ENDING...IN AREA OF 850 MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE.
WILL INCLUDE TEMPO +TSRA AT CNU TERMINAL. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE DIURNALLY TODAY AREA-WIDE
WITH SOME GUSTS OF 20-26 KNOTS IN CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
SCATTERED STORMS ARE PROGGED TO DEVELOP ALONG A WEAK COLD FRONT
LATE THIS PM/EVE FROM WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO NORTHWESTERN KS. THESE
STORMS SHOULD INCREASE INTO A CLUSTER OR TWO OF STORMS AS THEY
PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN KANSAS OVERNIGHT...AIDED
BY A 45 KNOT LOW-LEVEL JET AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT. RSL
AND SLN HAVE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TSRA IMPACTS
OVERNIGHT...WITH LESSER CHANCES AT THE MORE SOUTHERN TERMINAL
SITES.

JMC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    93  72  88  66 /  10  30  20  10
HUTCHINSON      94  70  88  64 /  10  40  20  10
NEWTON          92  70  88  65 /  10  40  20  10
ELDORADO        92  69  89  66 /  10  20  30  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   94  72  89  67 /  10  20  30  20
RUSSELL         96  67  87  61 /  50  70  10  10
GREAT BEND      97  67  88  61 /  40  60  10  10
SALINA          94  70  87  62 /  20  60  10  10
MCPHERSON       93  70  87  64 /  10  50  20  10
COFFEYVILLE     89  69  87  67 /  50  10  40  30
CHANUTE         89  68  87  66 /  60  10  40  30
IOLA            88  68  86  66 /  60  10  40  30
PARSONS-KPPF    89  69  87  67 /  60  10  40  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
633 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-281145-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
633 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
OF QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS...WHERE A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
AND HAIL OF DIME TO QUARTER SIZE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
EVENING...ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.
A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE
MAIN THREATS WILL BE WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH...AND HAIL OF
NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
513 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

KSZ071-072-271045-
WOODSON KS-ALLEN KS-
513 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  ALLEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 545 AM CDT

* AT 506 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEOSHO FALLS...
  OR 12 MILES NORTH OF IOLA...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

HAIL CLOSE TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THE THUNDERSTORM IS INTENSIFYING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  IOLA...HUMBOLDT...LA HARPE...GAS...MORAN...NEOSHO FALLS...PIQUA...
  BASSETT AND IOLA AIRPORT.

LAT...LON 3781 9513 3779 9558 3804 9557 3804 9522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1006Z 354DEG 24KT 3811 9546

ES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
634 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0633 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N IOLA                37.96N 95.41W
08/27/2015  M1.25 INCH       ALLEN              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JMR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
644 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 AM     FLOOD            IOLA                    37.93N 95.40W
08/27/2015                   ALLEN              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING AT USUAL FLOOD PRONE AREAS IN
            IOLA.

&&

JMR