Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 51, NWS Wichita, KS

December 13, 2015Cherokee County, Labette County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this river flood warning at Dec 13, 2015, 7:06 PM CST for Cherokee County, Labette County, Kansas. It took effect at Dec 14, 2015, 1:15 PM CST. It was in force for 42 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Dec 13, 2015, 7:06 PM CST (01:06 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 14, 2015, 1:15 PM CST
Expired: Dec 16, 2015, 7:42 AM CST
In force: 42 hr
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Cherokee County, KS, Labette County, KS

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neosho River at Oswego (OSWK1).

Action stage: 15 ft
Minor stage: 17 ft
Moderate stage: 20 ft
Major stage: 25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 13, 5:58 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 5:58 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
558 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

LARGE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG STORM SYSTEM
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A SIGNIFICANT UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WHICH WAS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE AT 20Z.

SEVERAL REPORTS OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 3 INCHES IN THE LAST
24 HOURS. HAVE EVEN HAD A FEW REPORTS EXCEEDING 4 INCHES. THIS IS
CAUSING FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS.

A DRY SLOT HAD MOVED INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AS OF 20Z AND CONTINUES
MOVINGNORTHWARD. OBSERVED WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 KNOTS HAVE
BEEN REPORTED IN THE BRIEF MIXED AREA RIGHT WHERE THE CLEARING IS
AS THE DRY SLOT MOVES NORTH. THIS LASTS FOR LESS THAN AN HOUR.
HAVE BEEN ADDRESSING THIS WITH SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS.

CONVECTION WAS DEVELOPING IN AN AREA FROM PRATT TO DODGE CITY TO
AREAS WEST...WHICH COINCIDED IN AN AREA OF EPV REDUCTION IN THE
MID LEVELS. THIS CONVECTION MARKS THE ONSET OF THE SIGNIFICANT
WINTER PRECIPITATION AREA THAT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM.
IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BLOSSOM AND CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

FRONTOGENESIS FROM SHORT RANGE NWP CONTINUES TO AGREE WITH THIS
SCENARIO. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO SNOW IN CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS EVENING...PROBABLY BY 9 OR 10 PM AND LAST OVERNIGHT.

BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW A LOSS OF CLOUD ICE IN AREAS THAT ARE OUTSIDE
THE MAIN FRONTOGENTIC RESPONSE AREA...AND ACROSS ALL AREAS BY 12Z.
SO FREEZING DRIZZLE/DRIZZLE ALSO BECOMING AN EVOLVING PROBLEM.

SO PUTTING ALL OF THIS TOGETHER - HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CONTINUED
PRECIPITATION AND CHANGEOVER TO SNOW ACROSS THE WARNED AND ADVISED
AREA. AMOUNTS REMAIN ON TRACK BUT AM LESS CONFIDENT IN THOSE BEING
ATTAINED BECAUSE OF THE WARM/WET GROUND. IT WILL NEED TO SNOW HARD
TO OVERCOME THAT.

PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OUT TOMORROW MORNING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION...THOUGH BRIEFLY.

KRC

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

A STORM SYSTEMS MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THE GFS/GEM/ECMWF ALL KEEP THE
PRECIPITATION NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES REMAIN
TOWARD NORMAL FOR A GOOD PART OF THE WEEK...WITH A WARMING TREND
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. PRECIPITATION CHANCES QUITE LOW.

KRC

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 558 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

IFR CIGS TO COVER ALL OF CNTRL KS THRU EARLY MON MRNG AS INTENSE
SFC LOW RESPONSIBLE WDSPRD RA & SN MOVES NE FROM THE KS/MO BDR. AS
THE LOW REACHES THE UPR MS VALLEY ~12Z. THE BULK OF PCPN WOULD OCR
OVER CNTRL KS WHERE THE GREATEST POTL FOR IFR VSBYS WOULD BE
ENCOUNTERED. NW WINDS FROM WL INCR TO ~17KTS/20MPH W/ 25-30KT
GUSTS LKLY ACRS CNTRL KS. SC KS WAS BEING DRY-SLOTTED AT ISSUANCE
BUT THE LOW MOVES NE WRAP-ARND RAINS WL SPREAD E ACRS THESE AREAS
& LKLY RESULT IN IFR VSBYS. ALL TERMINALS SHUD IMPROVE INTO MVFR
STATUS MON MRNG.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    33  49  36  51 /  50   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      31  46  34  49 /  90  10   0  10
NEWTON          32  45  35  50 /  70  10   0  10
ELDORADO        35  49  36  53 /  40  10   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   34  51  36  55 /  30   0   0  10
RUSSELL         28  41  29  40 / 100  10  10  20
GREAT BEND      28  42  29  41 /  90  10  10  10
SALINA          32  45  33  48 /  90  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       32  45  33  49 /  90  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     38  53  36  59 /  50   0   0  10
CHANUTE         38  51  36  58 /  60  10   0  10
IOLA            38  49  37  57 /  60  10   0  10
PARSONS-KPPF    38  52  36  58 /  50  10   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR KSZ033-048-050.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR KSZ032-047.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 5:21 PM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 13, 1:36 PM CST, 5 hours 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
136 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

KSZ032-047-048-050>052-067-068-083-132030-
SEDGWICK-ELLSWORTH-RUSSELL-HARVEY-MCPHERSON-MARION-RENO-BARTON-RICE-
136 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

A TRANSIENT AREA OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.  SOME CLEARING SKIES UNDERNEATH A
VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL CREATE BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
THE GUSTY WINDS WILL SLOWLY TRANSLATE TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT WINDS
OF 20-30 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA.

KETCHAM

Local storm report, Dec 13, 2:29 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
229 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HUTCHINSON AIRPORT      38.07N 97.87W
12/13/2015  M1.68 INCH       RENO               KS   ASOS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 6AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NW GOESSEL            38.27N 97.37W
12/13/2015  M2.35 INCH       MARION             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 6AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HILLSBORO               38.35N 97.20W
12/13/2015  M2.25 INCH       MARION             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 6AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SALINA AIRPORT          38.80N 97.65W
12/13/2015  M2.26 INCH       SALINE             KS   ASOS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 6AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0615 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SSE LANGDON           37.80N 98.30W
12/13/2015  M1.13 INCH       RENO               KS   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 615AM.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N MOUNDRIDGE          38.22N 97.52W
12/13/2015  M2.83 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 ESE TAMPA             38.53N 97.10W
12/13/2015  M2.92 INCH       MARION             KS   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ANTHONY                 37.15N 98.03W
12/13/2015  M2.77 INCH       HARPER             KS   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SW WILLOWDALE         37.51N 98.31W
12/13/2015  M2.14 INCH       KINGMAN            KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOUNT HOPE              37.87N 97.66W
12/13/2015  M2.55 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BARTLETT                37.05N 95.21W
12/13/2015  M1.47 INCH       LABETTE            KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       STERLING                38.21N 98.21W
12/13/2015  M1.52 INCH       RICE               KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0735 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 NE PRETTY PRAIRIE     37.85N 97.93W
12/13/2015  M3.16 INCH       RENO               KS   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 735AM.

0750 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE NORWICH           37.51N 97.82W
12/13/2015  M2.95 INCH       KINGMAN            KS   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 750AM.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE HESSTON           38.19N 97.40W
12/13/2015  M3.00 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 8AM. RAIN STILL FALLING AT
            THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.

0915 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NW HARPER             37.34N 98.09W
12/13/2015  E3.00 INCH       HARPER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.

&&

BDK

Special weather statement, Dec 13, 2:33 PM CST, 4 hours 33 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
233 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

KSZ032-033-047>051-132100-
SALINE-ELLSWORTH-RUSSELL-MCPHERSON-BARTON-LINCOLN-RICE-
233 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT SALINE...ELLSWORTH...RUSSELL...
MCPHERSON...BARTON...LINCOLN...RICE...

AT 231 PM CST...A TRANSIENT AREA OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MOVE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.  SOME CLEARING
SKIES UNDERNEATH A VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL CREATE BRIEF WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SALINA...MCPHERSON...RUSSELL...LINDSBORG...ELLSWORTH...MOUNDRIDGE...
GALVA...WILSON...CANTON...CLAFLIN...KANOPOLIS...LINCOLN...
MARQUETTE...LITTLE RIVER...HOLYROOD...ASSARIA...GYPSUM...LUCAS...
SYLVAN GROVE AND BUSHTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 135 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 46 AND 95.
 INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 186 AND 266.

LAT...LON 3915 9793 3894 9794 3895 9738 3818 9740
      3842 9846 3908 9903 3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 239DEG 49KT 3857 9803

KETCHAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 13, 8:00 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	ICT	Harper, Sumner	18 hr
Dec 13, 9:33 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Harvey, McPherson, Reno, Sedgwick	6 hr
Dec 14, 1:27 AM CST	River Flood Warning	ICT	Sumner	48 hr
Dec 14, 1:27 AM CST	River Flood Warning	ICT	Cowley	3 days
Dec 14, 1:31 AM CST	River Flood Warning	ICT	Labette, Neosho	46 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.