Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Huntsville, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1213 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 908 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015/
THIS AFTN SHRA/TSRA ARE WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CWA BUT THERE IS
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS THAT ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A CDFNT NOW OVER
SERN MO/CENTRAL AR. THESE STORMS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT EXTREME NW AL
ARND MIDNIGHT. AS THE STORMS MOVE ACROSS THE CWA DURING THE EARLY
MRNG HOURS ON MONDAY THEY WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN...ESPECIALLY EAST OF
I65. THE SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY SHOULD TAPER OFF BY MONDAY MRNG AFTER
12Z. AS FOR SVR WX STILL NOT OUT OF THE WOODS WITH THE CHC OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY OVER NW AL. THE TORNADO
THREAT IS LOW BUT NOT ZERO. ALSO NEW NAM DATA COMING IN KEEP THE
HEAVIEST RAIN THREAT OVER NRN TN AND KY.

OTHERWISE CURRENT FCST LOOKS ON TRACK AND DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES.

007

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...SFC LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY HAD A CDFNT EXTENDING
THRU SERN MO AND INTO NW LA. AHEAD OF THE CDFNT WAS A LINE OF SHRA/TSRA
THAT WILL MOVE THRU KMSL BETWEEN 08Z AND 10Z AND FROM 09Z TO 11Z AT
KHSV. THE CDFNT SHOULD BE THRU THE TAF SITES BY 15Z. OTHERWISE VFR
CONDITIONS THRU 09Z...BETWEEN 09Z AND 18Z MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. AFTER 18Z VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST
PERIOD.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
939 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-201100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
939 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO NORTHWEST ALABAMA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE
REST OF THE AREA EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT...HOWEVER DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL
STILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWEST ALABAMA. THE TORNADO
THREAT IS LOW BUT NOT ZERO. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL TAPER OFF
TOWARDS SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. THE COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL INCREASE
ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1214 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

ALZ001-002-200545-
LAUDERDALE AL-COLBERT AL-
1214 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL LAUDERDALE AND
NORTHWESTERN COLBERT COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 AM CDT...

AT 1213 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
IUKA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLORENCE...CHEROKEE...ST. FLORIAN...UNDERWOOD-PETERSVILLE...
WATERLOO...WRIGHT...MALONE...ZIP CITY...MT HESTER AND OAKLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREE
LIMBS...ALONG WITH OTHER SMALL UNSECURED ITEMS. SEEK SAFE SHELTER
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3490 8809 3500 8788 3501 8772 3500 8770
      3485 8759 3484 8760 3467 8812
TIME...MOT...LOC 0513Z 243DEG 44KT 3480 8808

SL.77

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1220 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

ALZ001-200530-
LAUDERDALE AL-
1220 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY
UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

AT 1220 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
WALNUT GROVE...OR NEAR J P COLEMAN STATE PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATERLOO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREE
LIMBS...ALONG WITH OTHER SMALL UNSECURED ITEMS. SEEK SAFE SHELTER
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3501 8796 3500 8782 3490 8804 3491 8805
      3490 8807 3489 8810 3490 8811 3500 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 0520Z 242DEG 34KT 3497 8807

SL.77

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1242 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

ALZ003-200615-
FRANKLIN AL-
1242 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY UNTIL 115
AM CDT...

AT 1242 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED NEAR BELGREEN...OR 11 MILES EAST OF RED
BAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSSELLVILLE...RED BAY...PHIL CAMPBELL...BELGREEN...VINA...LITTLE
BEAR CREEK RESERVOIR...ATWOOD...DEMPSEY...ROCKWOOD AND CEDAR CREEK
RESERVOIR.

LAT...LON 3443 8816 3457 8784 3457 8767 3437 8763
      3432 8813 3432 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0541Z 239DEG 49KT 3445 8794

70/DD