Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Gray, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
308 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH GUSTY WINDS...TORRENTIAL
RAIN...AND HAIL...WILL CROSS THE AREA BY EARLY EVENING BEFORE
EXITING THE COAST WITH A COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FRIDAY
AND MOVES OFF THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND ALLOWING A WARM AND HUMID
SOUTHWEST FLOW TO RETURN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION
SUNDAY MORNING. COOL...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK
OVER THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING ALL
AREAS. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY IN
STORMS. THE FRONT MOVES OFF THE COAST EARLY THIS EVENING BRINGING
AN END TO ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A COOLER AND DRIER
AIRMASS MOVES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY FRIDAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S...WITH
SOME LOWER 80 DEGREE READINGS POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
OFFSHORE. LARGE SCALE TROUGHING SWINGS THROUGH CANADA PUSHING A
COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE 70S AND 80S THAT HAVE BEEN
HAVING LATELY CLOSER TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S AS COOL CANADIAN CP
AIR FILTERS IN. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM UP AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS LARGE SCALE RIDGING BUILDS UP AND SW WINDS SET
UP.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS/STORMS THROUGH 00Z
THIS EVENING...THEN VFR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING SHOULD REMAIN VFR
WITH CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO MVFR OR LOWER AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...EXPECT MARGINAL SCA CONDS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA FOR LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL GIVE ISOLATED AREAS HEAVY RAIN THIS
EVENING. DRIER WEATHER ARRIVES FOR FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ANZ150-
152-154.

&&

EKSTER/HANES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1201 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>015-291615-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
1201 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 233 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ151-153-291615-
PENOBSCOT BAY-CASCO BAY-
1201 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 233 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY AND PENOBSCOT BAY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150-152-154-291615-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
1201 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE
ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT
CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTH BEFORE HEADING
TOWARDS THE COASTLINE LATE IN THE DAY THURSDAY. A FEW STORMS
COULD PRODUCE STRONG WINDS...LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL AS
THEY CROSS THE WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
345 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

MEZ018-NHZ006-008>010-013-282030-
INTERIOR YORK ME-SOUTHERN CARROLL NH-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM NH-
MERRIMACK NH-STRAFFORD NH-BELKNAP NH-
345 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  INTERIOR YORK COUNTY IN MAINE
  SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  MERRIMACK COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  STRAFFORD COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  BELKNAP COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT

* AT 345 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GILMANTON...MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT
  40 MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
  THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LACONIA...
  CONCORD...
  ROCHESTER...
  OSSIPEE...
  AND NORTHWOOD.

LAT...LON 4310 7156 4357 7162 4384 7099 4379 7099
      4379 7093 4380 7090 4325 7079 4323 7081
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 244DEG 35KT 4336 7145

MLE

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