Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Chill Advisories in 2015

Wind Chill Advisory 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

January 9, 2015Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 9, 2015, 4:15 AM EST for Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 10, 2015, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 9, 2015, 4:15 AM EST (09:15 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 10, 2015, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 10, 2015, 9:00 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-01-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-01-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2640 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
305 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

487 
WWUS42 KGSP 090915
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
415 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL AGAIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL REINFORCE THE COLD AIR ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM
THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STRONG
WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK DOWN INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS...WILL COMBINE TO BRING THE WIND CHILL DOWN INTO THE MINUS
5 TO MINUS 10 RANGE.

NCZ033-049-050-091715-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.150110T0500Z-150110T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
415 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 7 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES 8 TO 
  19 ABOVE...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL MAY RESULT IN FROST BITE ON
  UNPROTECTED SKIN. EXTRA LAYERS OF CLOTHING WILL BE NECESSARY TO
  STAY WARM AND SAFE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
942 
WWUS42 KGSP 091648
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1148 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LOW WIND CHILL AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA LATER TODAY...WHICH WILL REINFORCE THE COLD AIR ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM
THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STRONG
WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK DOWN INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS...WILL COMBINE TO BRING THE WIND CHILL DOWN INTO THE MINUS
5 TO MINUS 10 RANGE.

NCZ033-049-050-100330-
/O.CON.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.150110T0500Z-150110T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
1148 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 7 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES 8 TO 
  19 ABOVE...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL MAY RESULT IN FROST BITE ON 
  UNPROTECTED SKIN. EXTRA LAYERS OF CLOTHING WILL BE NECESSARY 
  TO STAY WARM AND SAFE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
LANE
328 
WWUS42 KGSP 100235
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
935 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LOW WIND CHILL AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING OVER
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.A REINFORCING COLD AIR MASS HAS MOVED INTO REGION TONIGHT AND
WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS HAVE INCREASED
AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING ON SATURDAY. THE
STRONG WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK DOWN INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS...WILL COMBINE TO BRING THE WIND CHILL DOWN INTO THE
MINUS 5 TO MINUS 10 RANGE.

NCZ033-049-050-101045-
/O.CON.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.150110T0500Z-150110T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
935 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 10 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES 9 TO
  19 ABOVE...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL MAY RESULT IN FROST BITE ON 
  UNPROTECTED SKIN. EXTRA LAYERS OF CLOTHING WILL BE NECESSARY 
  TO STAY WARM AND SAFE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
544 
WWUS42 KGSP 101138
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
638 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LOW WIND CHILL AGAIN EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.A REINFORCING COLD AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THIS
MORNING. STRONG WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS...WILL COMBINE TO BRING THE WIND CHILL DOWN INTO THE MINUS
5 TO MINUS 10 RANGE.

NCZ033-049-050-101400-
/O.CON.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
638 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 10 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES 9 
  TO 19 ABOVE...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL MAY RESULT IN FROST BITE ON 
  UNPROTECTED SKIN. EXTRA LAYERS OF CLOTHING WILL BE NECESSARY 
  TO STAY WARM AND SAFE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 9, 4:10 AM EST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 4:10 AM EST, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
410 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FARTHER OFFSHORE TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE AREA LATE TODAY AND STALL OUT ACROSS FLORIDA OVER THE
WEEKEND. WEAK WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG THE FRONT EARLY
NEXT WEEK...BRINGING A RETURN OF PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO OUR REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 145 AM...AS SUGGESTED BY THE NAM...A LOW CLOUD DECK WAS
DEVELOPING IN EARNEST ACROSS UPSTATE SC. THIS SHOULD HELP TO KEEP
MIN TEMPS ABOUT TEN DEGREES ABOVE THURSDAY MORNINGS VALUES. THE LOW
CLOUD DECK IS NOT EXPECTED TO LINGER MUCH BEYOND DAYBREAK.

RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT
ACROSS THE REGION. THE OVERALL UPPER PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH
WITH A DOMINANT BROAD LONG WAVE MID/UPPER TROF. A SERIES OF STRONGER
WAVES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROF TODAY AND TONIGHT BUT
THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE PAST WELL TO THE NORTH. WARM ADVECTION AHEAD
OF THE SHORT WAVE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD HELP TEMPS REBOUND
NICELY THIS AFTERNOON...PERHAPS TEN DEGREES OR SO WARMER THAN
THURSDAY. THE PASSAGE OF THE WAVE TO THE NORTH SHOULD HELP TO DRIVE
ANOTHER REINFORCING DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
DAY. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BUILD BACK IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT WITH
MORE COLD AIR.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 PM EST FRIDAY...LATEST 00Z SHORT RANGE MODELS AGREE THAT
UPPER H5 HEIGHTS WILL RISE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES SAT THROUGH SAT
NIGHT AS THE EASTERN CONUS UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES OFF THE ATLANTIC
COAST. THE UPPER PATTERN BECOMES SWLY BY SUN IN LIGHT OF A SOUTHERN
STREAM UPPER SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE WESTERN GULF. THIS UPPER
WAVE IS PROGGED TO PASS OVERHEAD THRU SUN NIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD 1037MB+ CP HIGH CENTERED OVER TN/KY SAT WILL
GRADUALLY MIGRATE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THRU SAT NIGHT...WITH
COLD AIR DAMMING SETTING UP ACROSS THE CWA BY SAT NIGHT IN ITS WAKE.
TEMPS ON SAT WILL REMAIN 10-15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS RANGING FROM M30S/U30S OVER THE NC PIEDMONT AND U30S/L40S OVER
THE SC PIEDMONT/NE GA TO 20S/M30S IN THE MTNS/VALLEYS. SAT
NIGHT...TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN IN THE 10S/20S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS UNDER THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE.

SUN AND SUN NIGHT...EXPECT CAD TO PERSIST AS THE HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. MEANWHILE...A WEAK WAVE OF SURFACE
LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL LIFT NE...WITH ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW
FORMING OFF THE SE COAST THRU SUN NIGHT. THESE FEATURES WILL DRAW
PLUMES OF GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO THE CWA SUN AFTERNOON INTO
SUN NIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL INTENSITY OVER
THE SE AS MOIST SWLY ALOFT INCREASES ATOP THE COLD SURFACE WEDGE. AS
FOR THE POPS...MODELS HAVE TRENDED A BIT SLOWER WITH THE ONSET OF
PRECIP. THE LATEST GFS/NAM/ECMWF KEEP THE CONDITIONS DRY UNTIL 18Z
SUN. HENCE...HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY ON SUN MORNING...WITH POPS
RAMPING UP FROM WEST TO EAST SUN AFTERNOON THRU SUN NIGHT. POPS WILL
PEAK IN THE 50/60S RANGE ON SUN NIGHT AS THE UPPER WAVE PASSES
OVERHEAD WHILE A WAVE OF SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS JUST OFF THE SE COAST.
MODEL THERMAL PROFILE IS SUPPORTIVE OF ALL LIQUID PRECIP THRU THE
PERIOD...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF OUR EXTREME NE ZONES OF THE CWA WHERE
A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE DUE TO FREEZING SURFACE
TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 330 PM EST...LATEST 00Z GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT
WE WILL SEE AN ACTIVE WX PATTERN WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS THRU THE
MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. HOWEVER...THERE STILL REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
WRT THE P-TYPE. THUS...HAVE GONE WITH THE MODEL BLEND SOLUTION FOR
THIS FCST PACKAGE.

A WEAK UPPER WAVE WILL PASS OVERHEAD ON
MON...WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT SETTING UP BY MON NIGHT. THE UPPER
PATTERN REMAINS NEARLY ZONAL TUE INTO WED...BEFORE A SOUTHERN STREAM
UPPER WAVE PASSING OVERHEAD BY WED NIGHT/EARLY THU.

AT THE SURFACE...POPS RAMP DOWN TO THE CHANCE RANGE FROM WEST TO
EAST THRU MON AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER SHORTWAVE AND THE SURFACE LOW
OFF THE SE COAST MOVE FARTHER NE AWAY FROM THE REGION. A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED MON NIGHT...AS A COLD 1045MB HIGH OVER
THE UPPER MID-WEST MIGRATES EAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. BY
TUE...ANOTHER CAD WILL SET UP ACROSS THE CWA BY TUE AS THE HIGH
CONTINUES TO SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE NE STATES. WITH INCREASING
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND THE PASSAGE OF A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES IN
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...POPS REMAIN IN THE LOW-END CHANCE RANGE
TUE/WED. MODEL SOUNDINGS AND THICKNESS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF PREDOMINANT
LIQUID PRECIP TUE. HOWEVER BY TUE NIGHT...RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO
THE SNOW MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN MTNS AS TEMPS ALOFT
COOL DOWN BELOW FREEZING LEVEL. THERE COULD BE SOME FREEZING RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN NC PIEDMONT WHEN SURFACE TEMPS FALL
INTO THE FREEZING LVL WHILE WARM NOSE ALOFT PERSISTS. WED NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...POPS RAMP UP INTO THE 40/50S RANGE AS A SOUTHERN STREAM
UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES THRU THE REGION WHILE A CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS
JUST OFF THE SE COAST. THE LATEST MODEL PROFILE IS SUPPORTIVE OF
SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND PORTIONS OF THE NC PIEDMONT
BETWEEN WED NIGHT AND THU MORNING. ELSEWHERE WILL SEE ALL LIQUID
PRECIP. THE PRECIP SHOULD TAPER OFF BY THU NIGHT AS DRY AND COLD
HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPS THRU THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN 3-5
DEGREES BELOW CLIMO.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT KCLT...CONDITIONS WERE KEPT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE TAF
BEGINS WITH A BAND OF MID/UPPER CLOUDINESS MOVING OVERHEAD...AND A
LIGHT S WIND AS THE RESULT OF HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST AND A
CLIPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS THE GT LAKES. ONE INTERESTING FEATURE OF
NOTE IN SOME THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW CLOUD
DECK ACROSS THE MIDLANDS OF SC...WHICH THE NAM BRINGS OVER THE CLT
METRO AREA IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS. SHORTLY AFTER THE 06Z
ISSUANCE...THE LOW CLOUDS DID IN FACT DEVELOP OVER UPSTATE SC...SO
THE KCLT TAF WAS AMENDED TO INCLUDE THEM. THE GUIDANCE MOVES THIS
DECK TO THE EAST AROUND DAYBREAK. OTHERWISE...EXPECT THINNING
MID/UPPER CLOUDS THRU THE DAY. THE WIND SHOULD VEER TO SW THIS
MORNING...THEN TO NW DURING EARLY FRIDAY EVENING AFTER A REINFORCING
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

ELSEWHERE...SIMILAR TO KCLT WITH EARLIER TIMING. KAVL MAY EXPERIENCE
A SW CROSS-WIND THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING...BUT THE DIRECTION SHOULD
COME AROUND TO SOMETHING MORE NW BY MID MORNING AT THE LATEST.

OUTLOOK...A DRY ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND.
RESTRICTIONS MAY RETURN LATER THIS WEEKEND AS GULF MOISTURE BUILDS
BACK OVER THE REGION.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            09-15Z        15-21Z        21-03Z        03-06Z
KCLT       HIGH  81%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AN UNUSUAL SCENARIO IS EXPECTED IN THE HIGH NC MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...
WITH RH LOWERING WHILE WINDS PICK UP. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER OVERNIGHT...MAINLY IN AREAS ABOVE 5000 FEET
THAT ARE NOT SNOW COVERED.. THE MOST VULNERABLE AREAS WILL BE THE
BALSAM MOUNTAINS...AND NEAR MOUNTAIN MITCHELL. AFTER COORDINATION
WITH LAND MANAGERS...A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
NC MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

DRY ARCTIC AIR WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION INTO THIS
WEEKEND. DESPITE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE
EXTREMELY DRY...AND RH VALUES WILL RUN 25 PERCENT OR LOWER ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. THOUGH WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT...FINE FUELS ARE
DRYING OUT. THE FIRE DANGER DOES NOT PRESENTLY WARRANT A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...MOSTLY ON ACCOUNT OF THE LIGHT WINDS...BUT FIRE
DANGER STATEMENTS MAY BE ISSUED AT SOME POINT IN COLLABORATION WITH
FORESTRY OFFICIALS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NCZ033-049-050.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...JOH
LONG TERM...JOH
AVIATION...PM
FIRE WEATHER...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 8, 2:48 PM EST, 13 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
248 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-092130-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
248 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

   SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. THOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CONDITIONS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE VERY
LOW. FUEL MOISTURES MAY BECOME VERY LOW BY THAT TIME AS WELL. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY.
..SATURDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-
SCZ001>014-019-092130-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
248 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. THOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CONDITIONS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE VERY
LOW. FUEL MOISTURES MAY BECOME VERY LOW BY THAT TIME AS WELL. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY.
..SATURDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

07

Nearby

Wind Chill Advisories in North Carolina, 2015Every wind chill advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.