Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2015
Wind Advisory 5, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Jan 31, 2015, 3:25 PM EST for 8 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 1, 2015, 5:00 PM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 31, 2015, 3:25 PM EST (20:25 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 1, 2015, 5:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2015, 5:00 AM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2842 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 62 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -52 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -4 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
278 WWUS72 KGSP 312025 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 325 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE RIDGES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT... .WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH LATE SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS SHOULD WEAKEN AS THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY. NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-010500- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.150201T2200Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 325 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY ABOVE 3500 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NED
7 follow-up statements
931 WWUS72 KGSP 010250 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 950 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE RIDGES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT... .WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH LATE SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS SHOULD WEAKEN AS THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY. NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-011100- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.150201T2200Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 950 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
569 WWUS72 KGSP 010844 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 344 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE RIDGES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT... .WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH LATE SUNDAY. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS SET TO ARRIVE DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD RELAX IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-012000- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.150201T2200Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 344 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN BRISK THROUGH TONIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ WIMBERLEY
870 WWUS72 KGSP 011714 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1214 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE RIDGES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT... .WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH LATE SUNDAY. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS SET TO ARRIVE DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD RELAX IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-020115- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.150201T2200Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 1214 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN BRISK THROUGH TONIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
205 WWUS72 KGSP 012115 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 415 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION... .WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS SET TO ARRIVE DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD RELAX AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. N THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...WITH GUSTS PEAKING DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. NCZ064-020515- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.150201T2200Z-150202T1000Z/ TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BREVARD 415 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND REMAIN BRISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY...WINDS SHOULD RELAX AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...WITH GUSTS PEAKING DURING THE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ065-501-503-505-507-509-020515- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER... EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH 415 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH FOOTHILLS...WITH GUSTS PEAKING DURING THE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-020515- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.150201T2200Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 415 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL REMAIN BRISK THROUGH TONIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NED
565 WWUS72 KGSP 020300 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1000 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION... .WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVERNIGHT. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS SET TO ARRIVE DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD RELAX AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...WITH GUSTS PEAKING DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. NCZ064-021100- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150202T1000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BREVARD 1000 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL REMAIN BRISK OVERNIGHT. DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY... WINDS SHOULD RELAX AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...WITH GUSTS PEAKING DURING THE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ065-501-503-505-507-509-021100- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER... EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH 1000 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH FOOTHILLS...WITH GUSTS PEAKING DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON ON MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-021000- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 1000 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL REMAIN BRISK THROUGH TONIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
984 WWUS72 KGSP 020802 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 302 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THIS MORNING. COLD AIR SURGING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND THE ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. NCZ035-502-504-506-021615- /O.EXA.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ ALEXANDER-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHLEHEM...TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT 302 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION THIS MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND MAXIMIZE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND GUSTS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WINDS...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ064-021615- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150202T1000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BREVARD 302 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 5 AM...BUT THEN QUICKLY PICK UP FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH DAYBREAK BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL MAXIMIZE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ065-501-503-505-507-509-021615- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER... EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH 302 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL MAXIMIZE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-021000- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 302 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 5 AM THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL COME UP SHARPLY AGAIN FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE DAY. THE LATER WIND HAZARDS ARE COVERED IN THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND AND RAIN...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ GERAPETRITIS
846 WWUS72 KGSP 021009 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 509 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THIS MORNING. COLD AIR SURGING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND THE ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. NCZ064-021700- /O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150202T1000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BREVARD 509 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. THE WIND GUSTS WILL MAXIMIZE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-021115- /O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150202T1000Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA... HIGHLANDS 509 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... ALTHOUGH THE WIND ADVISORY FOR STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS HAS EXPIRED THIS MORNING...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK UP THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. THIS WIND HAZARD IS NOW COVERED IN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE THAT STATEMENT FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. $$ NCZ035-065-501>507-509-021700- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.150202T1200Z-150203T0000Z/ ALEXANDER-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL- BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHLEHEM...TAYLORSVILLE... STONY POINT...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH 509 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL MAXIMIZE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE WIND...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ GERAPETRITIS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 31, 2:58 PM EST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 2:58 PM EST, 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
258 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. MOISTURE WILL RETURN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT
AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNING TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM EST SATURDAY...A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS
PROGGED TO CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT ALLOWING A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST TO SHIFT OFFSHORE. UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE...WE WILL SEE CONTINUED DRY WEATHER WITH
HIGH CLOUDS OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST AS AN
UPPER LVL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE
ROCKIES. OVERNIGHT TEMPS WILL BE AROUND 3-7 DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS
MORNING/S LOW GIVEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AND PREVAILING WAA SWLY
WINDS.
UPPER LVL DIFFLUENCE IN MOIST SWLY FLOW WILL SET UP OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES
EASTWARD INTO THE MID/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SUN AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL PUSH A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW INTO IN/KY...WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT REACHING THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY 00Z
MON. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...A STRONG 45-55KTS OF 850MB LOW LEVEL
SOUTHERLY JET WILL DEVELOP BY LATE SUN AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS
SHOULD LEAD TO GUSTY SSW WINDS OF +45MPH ACROSS HIGHER RIDGE TOPS
OF THE NC MTNS. THEREFORE...WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE SW
AND CENTRAL NC MTNS ABOVE 3500FT BETWEEN 22Z SUN AND 10Z MON. AS FOR
THE PRECIP...LATEST MODEL VERTICAL PROFILE OVER THE WESTERN ZONE
INDICATES THAT LLVL LAYER BELOW 600MB WILL REMAIN DRY UNTIL 18Z SUN.
HENCE...HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY ACROSS ENTIRE CWA THRU SUN
MORNING. HOWEVER....POPS QUICKLY RAMP UP FROM WEST TO EAST 18Z INTO
00Z MON AS UPPER DIVERGENCE INCREASES AND DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ARRIVES THE AREA AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. NO WINTRY
PRECIP IS EXPECTED GIVEN WARMER THERMAL PROFILE. TEMPS ON SUNDAY
WILL RUN NEAR...OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 245 AM SATURDAY...12Z GFS INDICATES THAT A SHARP H5 TROUGH
WILL RIPPLE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT. H5 Q
VECTOR CONVERGENCE INCREASES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN AREA
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...PEAKING DURING EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS MONDAY. AT
THE SFC...MODELS HAVE TRENDED A LITTLE NORTH WITH THE TRACK OF THE
LOW CENTER...PASSING MORE ACROSS PA/LI MONDAY MORNING. THE TIMING OF
THE STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS...BUT NOT SIGNIFICANTLY SO. H85 WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT MAY REACH 50 KTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MTNS...PLAN
TO HIGHLIGHT WITH A HIGH ELEVATION WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10Z.
HOWEVER...CAA WILL BE RAPID MON AM...H85 OVER KAVL WILL FALL FROM 6C
AT 9Z TO -10C BY 21Z. THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL BE
CHALLENGING...LIKELY FEATURING WIDESPREAD COOLING TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NATURALLY...THE TIMING OF THE CAA WILL BE
PIVOTAL TO THE SNOW FORECAST. BASICALLY...PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO FALL
AS RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT...BEGINNING TO MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS THE RIDGES
1 TO 2 HOURS BEFORE SUNRISE MON. MTN PRECIP WILL TRANSITION TO
COMPLETELY SNOW BY MID MORNING MONDAY. APPLYING WPC SNOW RATIO
GUIDANCE TO PRECIP TIMING...NWF AREAS SHOULD RECEIVE 1-2 INCHES MON.
IN ADDITION...NW WINDS SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH MID DAY AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE FRONT AND APPROACHING HIGH
PRESSURE...WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO.
TUESDAY...THE CENTER OF A SOUTHERN PLAIN HIGH WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA. CONDITIONS WILL FEATURE A LIGHT
DOWNSLOPE WIND AND CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. COOL THICKNESSES WILL
RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY 7-10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMS.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM SATURDAY...MODELS STILL AT ODDS OVER THE STORM SYSTEM
CENTERED ON THURSDAY. THE GFS SHOWS THE SRN STREAM UPPER LOW
STARTING OVER MEXICO OPENING UP AN MOVING EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST
AND PHASING WITH A NRN STREAM SHORT WAVE DIVING INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY WED AND THU. THIS WAVE THEN SLIDES ACROSS THE SE ON FRI WITH
NWLY FLOW SETTING UP ON SAT. THE ECMWF KEEPS THE OPENING UPPER LOW
SUPPRESSED AND DAMPENED AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE
NRN STREAM SHORT WAVE DOES NOT PHASE AND REMAINS WEAKER AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA THU AND THU NITE...WITH NWLY FLOW DEVELOPING FRI AND
ZONAL FLOW SAT.
AT THE SFC....THE GFS MAINTAINS ITS WETTER FORECAST EVEN AS THE
ASSOCIATED MILLER-A LOW HAS BEEN SUPPRESSED FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO. A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA THU AS A CAD
SETS UP AND A COMBINATION OF UPPER JET FORCING AND ISENTROPIC LIFT
OVER THE CAD...SPREADS PRECIP INTO THE AREA WED NITE AND THU...
WHICH THEN DIMINISHES THU NITE. THE ECMWF MAINTAINS ITS GENERALLY
DRY FCST WITH THE EVEN FURTHER SUPPRESSED MILLER-A LOW AND A DRIER
FRONT AND CAD. THERE IS SOME NW FLOW PRECIP ACROSS THE MTNS WED NITE
WITH THE FRONT AND THU NITE WITH A SHORT WAVE. THE GEFS ENSEMBLE
MEAN SHOWS SLIGHT TO LOW CHC POP DURING THIS TIME FRAME...SO HAVE
TRENDED TOWARD THAT SCENARIO GIVEN THE CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY AND LOW
CONFIDENCE. GIVEN THE COLD TEMPS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...
PRECIP WOULD BE SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE MTNS WITH MAINLY
RAIN ELSEWHERE...AT LEAST THRU MOST OF THE PRECIP PERIOD. IT COULD
END AS SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS HOWEVER. TEMPS NEAR
TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL WED...FALL BELOW NORMAL THU AND FRI...THEN
BACK TO NEAR NORMAL SAT.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...VFR THRU SUN MORNING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE. EXPECT HIGH CLOUDS TO INCREASE THRU THE
EVENING AS AN UPPER LVL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE APPROACH
FROM THE ROCKIES. MOISTURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION BY SUN
MORNING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED FEATURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. HENCE...CIGS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY LOWERED TONIGHT
THRU SUN MORNING...WITH MVFR CLOUDS SPREADING IN BY AROUND 15-16Z
FOR MOST LOCATIONS. LIGHT SW WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO GUSTY SSW WINDS
OF 15-18KT BY LATE SUN MORNING/MIDDAY.
OUTLOOK...MOISTURE BEGINS TO RETURN SUNDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...WHICH IS LIKELY TO BRING PRECIP AND RESTRICTIONS.
DRYING IS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY AFTER THE LOW PASSES. ANOTHER
MOIST LOW PRES SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE REGION LATE NEXT WEEK.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
20-02Z 02-08Z 08-14Z 14-18Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 93%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR NCZ048-
051-052-058-059-062>064.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...JOH
SHORT TERM...NED
LONG TERM...RWH
AVIATION...JOHHazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 4:40 AM EST, 10 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 440 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 NCZ033-048>052-058-059-010945- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON- 440 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...HIGH WINDS AND LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SUPPORT SNOW SHOWERS IN AND NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-053-056-057-062>065-068>072- 082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-010945- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL- DAVIE-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 440 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. HG
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2015Every wind advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.