Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2015

Wind Advisory 4, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

January 29, 2015Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Jan 29, 2015, 3:44 PM EST for Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 30, 2015, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jan 29, 2015, 3:44 PM EST (20:44 UTC)
In effect from: Jan 30, 2015, 12:00 AM EST
Expired: Jan 31, 2015, 12:00 AM EST
In force: 24 hr
Issued by: NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2047 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 158 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

843 
WWUS72 KGSP 292044
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
344 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY...

.A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND GEORGIA TONIGHT.
STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
DECREASE FRIDAY EVENING.

NCZ033-049-050-300800-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0004.150130T0500Z-150131T0500Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
344 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS

* TIMING...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND REMAIN
  VERY GUSTY THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL
  GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FRIDAY EVENING HOURS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
  ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5000 FEET WILL SEE GUSTS PEAK BETWEEN 60 TO 65
  MPH AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN
  PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE
  WINDS...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NED

4 follow-up statements

013 
WWUS72 KGSP 300758
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
258 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS TODAY...

. STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED BEHIND A COLD FRONT
AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
DECREASE THIS EVENING.

NCZ033-049-050-301600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150131T0500Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
258 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AND REMAIN VERY GUSTY
  THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM
  LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.
  ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5000 FEET MAY SEE OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 60 TO 65
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN MOUNTAIN
  PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE
  WINDS...CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
08

238 
WWUS72 KGSP 301508
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1008 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS TODAY...

STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE THIS EVENING.

NCZ033-049-050-302315-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150131T0500Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
1008 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
  DAYLIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM LATE AFTERNOON
  THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN 
  MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE 
  WINDS... CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
JOH

026 
WWUS72 KGSP 302037
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
337 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS TODAY...

STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE THIS EVENING.

NCZ033-049-050-310500-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150131T0500Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
337 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH
  THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND IN 
  MOUNTAIN PASSES. A FEW TREES OR LIMBS COULD BE DOWNED BY THE 
  WINDS... CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

187 
WWUS72 KGSP 310455
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1155 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

NCZ033-049-050-310600-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150131T0500Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE
1155 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

WINDS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL REMAIN
BREEZY THROUGH MORNING.

$$
08

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 29, 3:27 PM EST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 3:27 PM EST, 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
327 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION LATER ON FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA
INTO SUNDAY BEFORE MOISTURE RETURNS OUT AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. DRY CANADIAN HIGH MOVES BACK INTO THE AREA BY
TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM EST THURSDAY...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A RATHER
FAST MOVING LIGHT BAND OF PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER WAVE WAS
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NC PIEDMONT AND UPSTATE SC. THERE HAVE
BEEN NUMEROUS REPORTS OF A MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET AS THIS BAND MOVED
ACROSS THE NC MTNS/VALLEYS AND INTO THE PIEDMONT DUE TO WET-BULB
COOLING EFFECT. HENCE...HAVE CARRIED A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT WHERE THE BAND WAS PUSHING EASTWARD. AS THIS
FEATURE PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST...THERE WILL BE A LULL IN PRECIP
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED MAINLY
ACROSS THE NC MTNS ZONES AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS ASSOCIATED
WITH A SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. AS OVERNIGHT
TEMPS PLUMMET WELL BELOW FREEZING...SNOW SHOULD BE A DOMINANT
P-TYPE. LATEST MESO-SCALE MODELS AGREE THAT THE BEST CHANCE OF NW
SNOW WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3Z-12Z WHEN THE BEST UPPER FORCING...MOIST
LLVL LAYER (SURFACE TO 700MB) WILL BE PRESENT WITHIN STRONG CAA NW
UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME. THEREFORE...USING A BLEND OF CAMPOP AND OTHER
GUIDANCE...CATEGORICAL POPS WERE MENTIONED ALONG THE TN LINE WITH
SOLD CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS ELSEWHERE IN THE MTNS/VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN RELATIVELY SHORT DURATION OF SNOW AND LESS FAVORING
H85 WSWLY WINDS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMS WILL BE LESS THAN 2 INCHES WHICH
IS BELOW THE ADVISORY CRITERIA. SO NO WSW WILL BE ISSUED AT THIS
TIME. STRONG CAA NWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT SETS UP. WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE NORTHERN NC
MTNS TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHERE GUSTY NW WINDS OF
45-50MPH WILL OCCUR. CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT ALONG THE TN LINE
TOWARD FRI MIDDAY AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NW.
ELSEWHERE WILL SEE CONTINUED DRY WEATHER. TEMPS OVERNIGHT WILL BE
AROUND NEAR CLIMO FOR MOST LOCATIONS. DAYTIME TEMPS ON FRI WILL STAY
5-7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL OVER THE MTNS/VALLEYS WITH 2-3 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM THURSDAY...FORECAST TRENDS IMPROVING FOR THE WEEKEND
WEATHER. SHORT RANGE MODELS AGREE THAT THE CENTER OF A CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY...WITH THE CENTER
PASSING OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE FAVORS TEMPERATURES 5 TO 7 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FOR SATURDAY. AFTERNOON RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

ON SUNDAY...MODELS HAVE TRENDED SIGNIFICANTLY SLOWER WITH ARRIVAL OF
DEEP MOISTURE AND FORCING...NOW ARRIVING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
NAM...GFS...AND ECMWF INDICATE THAT GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THE ONSET
OF MEASURABLE PRECIP WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 18Z TO 0Z. TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE MTNS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE GENERALLY IN THE MID 30S TO
LOW 40S. I WILL INDICATE IN THE FORECAST THAT PRECIP WILL FALL AS
RAIN WITH HIGH ELEVATION SNOW...LITTLE TO NO ACCUM BEFORE 0Z MON.
SUN HIGHS WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS THE MTNS TO
AROUND 50 EAST OF I-85.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM THURSDAY...GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE OVERALL PATTER FOR THE
MEDIUM RANGE...BUT CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT REMAINS IN THE DETAILS
AND EXPECTED SENSIBLE WX. A NRN STREAM SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE AREA
MONDAY WITH A FLAT TROF IN PLACE ON TUE. AN UPPER LOW THAT STARTS
THE PERIOD OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA OPENS UP AND MOVES EAST INTO THE
AREA WED OR WED NITE WITH SOME DEGREE OF PHASING WITH A NRN STREAM
SHORT WAVE DROPPING INTO THE TROF AT THAT SAME TIME. THE WAVE THEN
MOVES EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY.

AT THE SFC...PRECIP WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD IN THE MOIST SLY FLOW AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING
NE TO THE WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. THE LOW THEN SLIDES EAST NEAR
THE VA/NC BORDER AND DRAGS A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL
KEEP THE AREA OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS TOO WARM FOR ANYTHING BUT RAIN.
HOWEVER...TEMPS WILL BE COLD ENUF FOR SNOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
HIGH ELEVATIONS...THEN FALL TO THE VALLEY FLOORS TOWARD DAYBREAK
MON. PRECIP ENDS AS A BRIEF NW FLOW SNOW MON AFTERNOON. QPF AMOUNTS
WILL BE HIGH ENUF FOR A HIGH END ADVISORY ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND A LOW END ADVISORY IN THE VALLEYS FROM HAYWOOD NORTH.
HOWEVER...THE TEMPS REMAINING QUESTION AS THE COOLING COULD BE
DELAYED DEPENDING ON THE MOVEMENT AND SPEED OF THE LOW AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. COLD AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN MON NITE
AND TUE. TEMPS MON NITE ABOVE NORMAL WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS THRU
TUE.

THE NEXT WX SYSTEM MOVES IN DURING THE WED TIME FRAME. THE ECMWF IS
FASTER AND HAS A MORE COHERENT MILLER A TYPE GULF LOW...WHILE THE
GFS IS SLOWER AND HAS MORE OF AN ELONGATED FRONTAL ZONE CROSSING THE
AREA WITH A LOW IN QUEBEC AND A WEAKER MILLER A FARTHER SOUTH IN THE
GULF. HAVE USED A MODEL BLEND FOR TIMING. IF THE PRECIP MOVED IN
FAST ENUF AND OUT SLOW ENUF...THEN THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW OUTSIDE
OF THE MTNS AT ONSET AND BEFORE DISSIPATION. HOWEVER...THIS REMAINS
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. IT IS ALSO QUESTIONABLE HOW MUCH SNOW WOULD FALL
ACROSS THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE MTNS...RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS SUB-
ADVISORY. DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS THU AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. TEMPS REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FROM TUE NITE THRU
THU.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT KCLT...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY. A
LIGHT BAND OF PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER WAVE WILL CROSS
THE NC MTNS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LATEST MESO-MODELS
INDICATE THAT THIS FEATURE WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY AS IT ENTERS THE
NC FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SO NO PRECIP WAS
MENTIONED IN THE TAF. SW WINDS SHOULD PERSIST WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
TO AROUND 15-20KTS POSSIBLE THRU THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT...SW WINDS
SHOULD TO VEER TO THE NW AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE
REGION. AS SURFACE PRESSURE TIGHTENS UP BEHIND THE FRONT...GUSTY NW
WINDS OF 15-20KTS WILL DEVELOP BY AROUND 15Z. CLOUD CIGS WILL BOTTOM
OUT AROUND 8K FT DURING THE FROPA TONIGHT.

ELSEWHERE...VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD EXCEPT KAVL WHERE MVFR CLOUDS
WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT DUE TO THE FROPA. A LIGHT BAND
OF PRECIP WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NC MTN ZONES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THE PRECIP APPEARS TO BE VERY LIGHT AND IT WILL BE MAINLY
CONFINED TO THE RIDGE TOPS OF THE MTNS. HENCE...NO PRECIP WAS
MENTIONED IN KAVL. OTHERWISE...EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SW
WINDS PERSISTING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION. WINDS WILL VEER THE NW TONIGHT AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. AGAIN...PRECIP CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO
MENTION IN THE TAF. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
RESULT IN GUSTY NW WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION BY FRI MORNING.

OUTLOOK...A PAIR OF CLIPPER SYSTEMS WILL BRING CHANCES FOR RAIN OR
SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NC MTNS FRI. MOST OF THESE SHOWERS WILL REMAIN
WEST AND NORTH OF KAVL...BUT BRIEF PERIODS OF RESTRICTIONS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. OTHERWISE...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA UNTIL MOISTURE BEGINS TO RETURN SUNDAY. DRYING IS EXPECTED ON
MONDAY.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            20-02Z        02-08Z        08-14Z        14-18Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH  98%     HIGH  80%     LOW   58%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY
     NIGHT FOR NCZ033-049-050.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...JOH
SHORT TERM...NED
LONG TERM...RWH
AVIATION...JOH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 6:17 AM EST, 9 hours 27 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
617 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-301130-
RABUN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
617 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...HIGH WINDS AND LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. STRONG NORTHWEST ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW...MAINLY
NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER. THE HIGH WIND AND LIGHT SNOW SHOULD
TAPER OFF GRADUALLY BY LATE EVENING.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-301130-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
617 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...HIGH WINDS LIKELY. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP EARLY FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE WIND SHOULD
GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-301130-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
617 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...GUSTY WINDS LIKELY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP EARLY FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE WIND SHOULD
GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

JPT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 29, 2:29 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     SLEET            3 NNE MAULDIN           34.83N  82.28W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        GREENVILLE         SC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT

0215 PM     SLEET            MOORESVILLE             35.58N  80.81W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        IREDELL            NC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT

&&

CSH

Local storm report, Jan 29, 2:30 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
230 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     SLEET            GASTONIA                35.25N  81.17W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        GASTON             NC   OTHER FEDERAL

&&

CSH

Local storm report, Jan 29, 2:51 PM EST, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
251 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     SLEET            TERRELL                 35.59N  80.98W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        CATAWBA            NC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT

0235 PM     SLEET            CLOVER                  35.11N  81.23W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        YORK               SC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT

0240 PM     SLEET            3 ESE HUNTERSVILLE      35.40N  80.79W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        MECKLENBURG        NC   OTHER FEDERAL

0240 PM     SLEET            CHINA GROVE             35.57N  80.58W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        ROWAN              NC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT

0245 PM     SLEET            KANNAPOLIS              35.49N  80.62W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        CABARRUS           NC   OTHER FEDERAL

&&

CSH

Local storm report, Jan 29, 3:02 PM EST, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
302 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     SLEET            MOUNT PLEASANT          35.40N  80.44W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        CABARRUS           NC   OTHER FEDERAL

&&

CSH

Local storm report, Jan 29, 3:04 PM EST, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
304 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     SLEET            FORT MILL               35.01N  80.94W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        YORK               SC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

CSH

Local storm report, Jan 29, 3:05 PM EST, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
305 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0257 PM     SLEET            HARRISBURG              35.32N  80.67W
01/29/2015  E0.0 INCH        CABARRUS           NC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

CSH

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2015 Every wind advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.