Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 18, 2015, 4:00 PM EDT for Burke County, McDowell County, North Carolina. It was in force for 45 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 18, 2015, 4:00 PM EDT (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 18, 2015, 4:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 45 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Burke County, NC, McDowell County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 4:10 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ssw Glen Alpine, NC | SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN AT SILVER CREEK PLANTATION GOLF COURSE. RADAR VELOCITY IMAGE GAVE THE TIME. |
| Jun 18, 4:15 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Nne Dysartsville, NC | MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF MORNING STAR CHURCH ROAD AND TALLENT ROAD. |
| Jun 18, 4:15 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Nne Dysartsville, NC | SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF MORNING STAR CHURCH RD AND TALLENT RD. |
| Jun 18, 4:17 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Ssw Glen Alpine, NC | A TREE THAT WAS A FOOT IN DIAMETER FELL NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF VALLEY TRAIL ROAD AND JAMESTOWN ROAD. |
| Jun 18, 4:22 PM EDT | HAIL 0.75 | 6 Sse Glen Alpine, NC | DIME SIZED HAIL ALONG HOPEWELL ROAD. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 10 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 354 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -141 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1202 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 33 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
532
WUUS52 KGSP 182000
SVRGSP
NCC023-111-182045-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0080.150618T2000Z-150618T2045Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
400 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BURKE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 445 PM EDT
* AT 400 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAKE JAMES STATE
PARK...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORGANTON...VALDESE...DREXEL...RUTHERFORD COLLEGE...GLEN ALPINE...
LAKE RHODHISS...LAKE JAMES...SOUTH MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...LAKE
JAMES STATE PARK AND DYSARTSVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3578 8155 3578 8150 3560 8151 3557 8154
3557 8167 3558 8169 3558 8170 3561 8172
3561 8175 3559 8177 3559 8179 3558 8180
3559 8193 3577 8193 3580 8158
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 270DEG 14KT 3568 8184
$$
RWH2 follow-up statements
434
WWUS52 KGSP 182024
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
424 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
NCC023-111-182045-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-150618T2045Z/
BURKE NC-MCDOWELL NC-
424 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN BURKE AND SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTIES...
AT 424 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON...OR 5
MILES SOUTH OF GLEN ALPINE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORGANTON...VALDESE...DREXEL...RUTHERFORD COLLEGE...GLEN ALPINE...
LAKE RHODHISS...LAKE JAMES...SOUTH MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...LAKE JAMES
STATE PARK AND DYSARTSVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3578 8155 3578 8150 3560 8151 3557 8154
3557 8167 3558 8169 3558 8170 3561 8172
3561 8175 3559 8177 3559 8179 3558 8180
3559 8193 3577 8193 3580 8158
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 283DEG 13KT 3565 8176
$$
RWH169
WWUS52 KGSP 182032
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
432 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
NCC111-182042-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-150618T2045Z/
MCDOWELL NC-
432 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
LAT...LON 3568 8151 3560 8151 3557 8154 3557 8167
3558 8169 3558 8170 3561 8172 3561 8176
3559 8177 3559 8179 3558 8180 3558 8183
3572 8187 3576 8158
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 278DEG 11KT 3563 8177
$$
NCC023-182045-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-150618T2045Z/
BURKE NC-
432 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN BURKE COUNTY...
AT 432 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON...OR 6
MILES WEST OF SOUTH MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORGANTON...GLEN ALPINE...SOUTH MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...PLEASANT
GROVE...DREXEL AND VALDESE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3568 8151 3560 8151 3557 8154 3557 8167
3558 8169 3558 8170 3561 8172 3561 8176
3559 8177 3559 8179 3558 8180 3558 8183
3572 8187 3576 8158
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 278DEG 11KT 3563 8177
$$
RWHWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 18, 2:47 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 2:47 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF DEEP HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
WEAKEN...ALLOWING FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. YET ANOTHER STRONG AND HOT UPPER RIDGE WILL
BEGIN BUILDING OVER THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT A COLD FRONT
ARRIVING TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY MAY PROVIDE SOME RELIEF.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EDT THURSDAY...UPPER ANTICYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH SLOWLY FLATTENING OUT ON
FRIDAY. CURRENTLY...SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
AMONGST A RATHER UNSTABLE AIRMASS. LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS
CONTINUES INDICATE UPWARDS OF 2500J/KG SPC CAPE ALONG WITH NEARLY
1500J/KG DCAPE. THIS SETUP IS HIGHLY SUPPORTIVE OF MICROBURSTS
WITHIN THE TALLEST OF PULSE UPDRAFTS. ADDITIONALLY...ABUNDANT CAPE
IN THE HAIL GROWTH ZONE IS SUPPORTIVE OF SVR HAIL DESPITE FZ LEVELS
IN EXCESS OF 14KFT. THUS...THE FCST FEATURES SCATTERED CONVECTION
THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE POPS TAPER WITH HEATING LOSS AFTER SUNSET.
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIDE EAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
AND EFFECTIVELY ALLOW FOR GRADUAL HEIGHT FALLS INTO FRIDAY. AS
SUCH...TEMPERATURES ARE FCST TO BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN DAYS
PAST WHICH WILL LEAD TO LESS INSTABILITY AVAILABLE FOR CONVECTION.
THAT SAID...WEAKER INHIBITION THANKS TO THE MIGRATION OF THE RIDGE
WILL OFFSET SUCH...ALLOWING FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ON
FRIDAY. EXPECTING INITIATION TO OCCUR FIRST OVER THE NC MTNS AND
NORTHEAST GA...THEN MIGRATE EAST OVER THE NC/SC PIEDMONT REGIONS
WITH THE HIGHEST PROBS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I40 CORRIDOR DUE TO
FALLEN UPPER HEIGHTS. SINCE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FCST TO BE A TAD
COOLER...DO NOT FORESEE ANY BORDERLINE HEAT INDICES ON FRIDAY ALBEIT
STILL RATHER WARM AND HUMID WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 90S
OVER THE LOWER TERRAIN WITH 80S OVER THE MTNS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 115 PM THURSDAY...AS MENTIONED YESTERDAY...ANY TIME A REMNANT
CIRCULATION OF A TROPICAL LOW ENTERS THE PICTURE...UNCERTAINTY GOES
UP...AND THAT WILL BE THE CASE THROUGH THE SHORT RANGE. WE BEGIN
FRIDAY EVENING WITH ONGOING CONVECTION THAT WILL HAVE A PULSE SEVERE
TYPE THREAT...THAT SHOULD WANE WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING THROUGH LATE
EVENING. OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE REMNANTS OF BILL...WHICH
COME OUT ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY FRIDAY NITE AND OVER THE OH/TN
VALLEY ON SATURDAY. AS THE REMNANT LOW OPENS AND MOVES UP THE OH
VALLEY...THE MODELS STILL SUGGEST THAT SATURDAY WILL BE A BIT LESS
CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE WITH THE FLOW ALOFT COMING AROUND MORE SW...AND
SLIGHTLY LESS BUOYANCY. THE FCST DOES NOT REALLY REFLECT THIS
POSSIBILITY TO ANY GREAT DEGREE APART FROM A LOWER POP OVER THE
LAKELANDS. FCST SOUNDINGS AGAIN INDICATE THE INGREDIENTS FOR PULSE
SEVERE TYPE STORMS WITH WET MICROBURSTS. HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE A FEW
DEGREES BELOW FRIDAY BECAUSE OF LOWER HEIGHTS AND MORE CLOUD
COVER...STILL PLENTY WARM...BUT WITH NO HEAT INDEX PROBLEMS
ANTICIPATED. WHICH BRINGS US TO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS A MORE SOUTHWARD TREND WITH THE REMNANTS OF BILL ON SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE NAM ACTUALLY HOLDING ONTO A SFC LOW THAT MOVES S OF
THE OH RIVER. THE NAM AND GFS BOTH BRING A SHORT WAVE TROF ACROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. IF THIS WERE TO COME TO PASS...THEN SOME
WEAKLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION COULD MOVE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY THRU THE
EARLY EVENING AND MOVE INTO THE NC MTNS AFTER 00Z SUNDAY. HARD TO
SAY IF THERE WOULD BE ANY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH
THIS ACTIVITY...DUE TO UNCERTAINTY OVER ORGANIZATION. ALSO HARD TO
SAY IF IT WOULD CROSS THE MTNS OVERNIGHT...BUT THE NAM SUGGESTS NOT
IN ANY GREAT CAPACITY AS THE SFC BASED CAPE WILL BE ALL BUT USED UP
BY THE TIME THE CONVECTION WOULD ARRIVE FROM THE W. NEVERTHELESS...
THE MODELS SUGGEST HOLDING ONTO A GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIP OVER THE NC
MTNS OVERNIGHT...AND BRIEFLY KILLING OFF THE ACTIVITY E OF THE MTNS
BEFORE INCREASING IT A BIT TOWARD DAYBREAK. A BOUNDARY OF SORTS
WOULD CROSS THE FCST AREA EARLY IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH SOME LOW
END PRECIP CHANCES...THEN BY AFTERNOON MOST OF THE FCST AREA WOULD
BE UNDER A FAIRLY DEEP WNW FLOW THAT WOULD BE LESS THAN FAVORABLE
FOR CONVECTION OUTSIDE THE MTNS NEAR THE TN BORDER. TEMPS WOULD
REBOUND A CATEGORY WARMER WITH THE WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW E OF THE MTNS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND THE LACK OF CONVECTION.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM THU...FAST AND NEARLY ZONAL UPPER FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE
AT THE START OF THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. A CLOSED UPPER RIDGE WILL
BE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...GRADUALLY PUSHING EWD THRU
THE EARLY WEEK AND AMPLIFYING THE PATTERN SLIGHTLY. MEAN SOUTHWEST
SFC FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE CWFA AROUND BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE.
RATHER ORDINARY DIURNAL CONVECTION IS INITIALLY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
MONDAY AS A RESULT. HOWEVER A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL SWING ACRS THE
AREA MON AFTN OR NIGHT. WHILE THE BETTER ENERGY WILL BE TO OUR
NORTH...THE GFS DOES DEVELOP SOME QPF RESPONSE PAST THE DIURNAL PEAK
OVER WRN NC. FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE WAVE WILL BE A BIT MORE
WESTERLY ON TUE...BUT THIS MAY CONTINUE TO ENHANCE DIURNAL
CONVECTION VIA UPSLOPE NEAR THE TENN BORDER. THE AMPLIFYING PATTERN
PUTS OUR AREA MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SHORTWAVES ROUNDING THE
RIDGE TO OUR WEST TUE NIGHT OR WED...AND A WEAK COLD FRONT SAGS INTO
THE AREA THEREAFTER. A WEAK SFC WAVE MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST AS
IT DOES SO...THANKS TO THE CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN HOT...WITH 850 AND 1000 MB TEMPS UPWARDS OF 2 STD
DEV ABOVE CLIMO PER NAEFS. WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST MAX TEMPS IN
THE UPPER 90S EACH AFTN. THE FRONT MAY BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF
COOLER TEMPS BEFORE THE FRONT WASHES OUT AND/OR THE AIRMASS
MODIFIES...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON WHICH DAY THIS MAY OCCUR. BY
COOLER...WE ARE STILL TALKING SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
POSSIBLE PULSE CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON YIELDING MVFR CONDITIONS.
INITIALIZED TAF WITH LOW VFR CU AND LIGHT SW FLOW. EARLIER TEMPO
WAS CARRIED OVER TO ACCOUNT FOR MVFR CONVECTIVE RESTRICTIONS WITH
VRB GUSTS. MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY...SOUNDINGS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
MICROBURST POTENTIAL THUS THIS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREAT TO THE
AIRFIELD IF ANY STRONGER/DEEPER CELLS MOVE NEARBY.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL CALM UNDER A SCT/BKN HIGH LEVEL DECK THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT BEFORE LIGHT SW WINDS AND SCT LOW VFR CU PREVAILS BY
LATE MORNING FRIDAY.
ELSEWHERE...MUCH THE SAME AS KCLT ABOVE WITH VFR PREVAILING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF POSSIBLE MVFR TSRA
RESTRICTIONS. THUS...WHERE PROBS ARE GREATEST ACROSS THE NC
SITES...TEMPO GROUPS WHERE INCLUDED...WITH VCTS BEING THE PRIMARY
WEATHER MENTION AT THE SC SITES. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MICROBURST
POTENTIAL IS ELEVATED THUS THIS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY SVR WEATHER
CONCERN. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNSET WITH ALL SITES BEING
DRY AFTER 02-03Z UNDER BKN/SCT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. GOING WITH
PERSISTENCE...OPTED TO CONTINUE PREVIOUS TAF MENTION OF MVFR/IFR FOG
AND PERHAPS CIGS AT KAVL AS THE MTN VALLEYS HAVE BEEN PRONE TO SUCH
OVER MORNINGS PAST. BEYOND THAT...EXPECTING LIGHT NW FLOW AT KAVL
WHILE FLOW REMAINS BACKED SW AT ALL OTHER SITES THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING HOURS WITH LOW VFR CU DEVELOPING.
OUTLOOK...NEAR NORMAL COVERAGE OF AFTN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH SCT COVERAGE OVER THE MTNS AND ISOLATED OVER THE
PIEDMONT. MORNING RESTRICTIONS DUE TO FOG AND/OR STRATUS ARE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL THE PREVIOUS DAY...AND
IN MTN VALLEYS.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
18-24Z 00-06Z 06-12Z 12-18Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 94% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 83% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 94% HIGH 82% HIGH 83%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 88% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 97% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 83% HIGH 94%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY JUNE 18TH...
GSP 101 1887
CLT 99 1944
AVL 94 1944
RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY JUNE 19TH...
GSP 103 1887
CLT 102 1944
AVL 92 1931/1933
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WIMBERLEY
NEAR TERM...CDG
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...WIMBERLEY
AVIATION...CDG
CLIMATE...Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 5:44 AM EDT, 10 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 544 AM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035-048>053-056-058-059-062>065-501>507-509- SCZ001>003-190945- RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-ALEXANDER-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN- HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- 544 AM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE FROM FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...A FEW STORMS WILL BECOME BRIEFLY SEVERE...PRODUCING LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ036-037-057-068>072-082-508-510-SCZ004>014-019- 190945- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN- GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 544 AM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND MODERATE LEVELS OF HUMIDITY WILL AGAIN RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 99 TO 104 THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. STAY IN AN AIR- CONDITIONED AREA AND OUT OF THE SUN AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU DO GO OUTSIDE...DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...AND WEAR LIGHT COLORED AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE FROM FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...A COUPLE OF STORMS COULD BECOME BRIEFLY SEVERE...PRODUCING LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. LANE
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 2:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 218 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 NCZ053-065-181900- BUNCOMBE NC-HENDERSON NC- 218 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN BUNCOMBE AND NORTHERN HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT... AT 218 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTH OF WEST ASHEVILLE...OR NEAR BILTMORE FOREST...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WEST ASHEVILLE...EAST ASHEVILLE...DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE...NORTH ASHEVILLE...ARDEN...ASHEVILLE AIRPORT...SKYLAND...BLACK MOUNTAIN... FLETCHER AND SWANNANOA. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3545 8268 3561 8268 3567 8233 3540 8233 TIME...MOT...LOC 1818Z 272DEG 15KT 3551 8257 MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 2:45 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
245 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
NCZ049-050-181915-
YANCEY NC-MITCHELL NC-
245 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MITCHELL AND NORTHEASTERN YANCEY COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM EDT...
AT 245 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES NORTHEAST OF BURNSVILLE...OR 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BAKERSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRUCE PINE...BURNSVILLE...BAKERSVILLE...CELO...MICAVILLE...
BANDANA...GREEN MOUNTAIN AND LITTLE SWITZERLAND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.
&&
LAT...LON 3605 8206 3601 8204 3601 8205 3595 8204
3593 8202 3585 8206 3585 8210 3582 8213
3582 8214 3590 8233 3607 8225
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 290DEG 6KT 3597 8221
RWHLocal storm report, Jun 18, 2:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
250 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0232 PM HAIL 2 NNW FLETCHER 35.47N 82.52W
06/18/2015 E1.75 INCH BUNCOMBE NC PUBLIC
GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT BILTMORE PARK IN ARDEN.
0230 PM HAIL 4 SSE ASHEVILLE 35.51N 82.53W
06/18/2015 E0.50 INCH BUNCOMBE NC PUBLIC
&&
WIMBERLEYSpecial weather statement, Jun 18, 3:31 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 331 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 NCZ065-507>510-182000- EASTERN POLK NC-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD NC- POLK MOUNTAINS NC-HENDERSON NC- 331 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL RUTHERFORD...POLK AND NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT... AT 331 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTH OF COLUMBUS...OR 5 MILES SOUTH OF CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... COLUMBUS...LAKE LURE...BAT CAVE...CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK...LAKE ADGER...GREEN CREEK...EDNEYVILLE...MILL SPRING...GREEN HILL AND SHINGLE HOLLOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES. CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS... STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM APPROACHES. && LAT...LON 3528 8237 3546 8233 3546 8198 3519 8203 TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 279DEG 14KT 3537 8226 RWH
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 3:43 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
343 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
NCZ048-052-182015-
HAYWOOD NC-MADISON NC-
343 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MADISON
AND NORTHERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...
AT 343 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15
MILES SOUTH OF NEWPORT...OR OVER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...BIG CREEK...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOT SPRINGS...SMOKY MOUNTAINS...BIG CREEK...SMOKY MOUNTAINS...
CATALOOCHEE...MAX PATCH...FINES CREEK...LUCK...SPRING CREEK AND
WATERVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.
DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.
CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.
&&
LAT...LON 3592 8282 3594 8279 3569 8282 3570 8285
3568 8289 3562 8285 3562 8283 3559 8283
3565 8320 3567 8318 3568 8321 3572 8320
3576 8316 3579 8308 3578 8299 3584 8292
3587 8292 3588 8290 3593 8292 3595 8287
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 274DEG 17KT 3575 8311
RWHSpecial weather statement, Jun 18, 3:48 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
348 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
NCZ504>506-182015-
EASTERN MCDOWELL NC-GREATER BURKE NC-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS NC-
348 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN BURKE
AND CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...
AT 348 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4
MILES NORTHEAST OF MARION...OR NEAR LAKE JAMES STATE PARK...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORGANTON...MARION...GLEN ALPINE...LAKE JAMES STATE PARK...LAKE
JAMES...SOUTH MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...DYSARTSVILLE...OAK HILL...NEBO
AND PLEASANT GARDENS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.
DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.
CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.
&&
LAT...LON 3557 8166 3558 8169 3558 8170 3561 8172
3560 8174 3559 8177 3559 8179 3558 8180
3562 8214 3580 8210 3581 8199 3577 8193
3582 8186 3583 8163
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 270DEG 14KT 3572 8195
RWHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2:18 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Rowan | 42 min |
| Jun 18, 12:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell | 46 min |
| Jun 18, 1:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Haywood | 33 min |
| Jun 18, 1:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell | 31 min |
| Jun 18, 1:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Buncombe | 30 min |
| Jun 18, 2:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell | 44 min |
| Jun 18, 2:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Buncombe | 42 min |
| Jun 18, 2:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Buncombe, Henderson | 38 min |
| Jun 18, 2:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Mitchell, Yancey | 30 min |
| Jun 18, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Transylvania | 52 min |
| Jun 18, 3:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Polk | 29 min |
| Jun 18, 3:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Burke, McDowell | 27 min |
| Jun 18, 4:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Haywood | 29 min |
| Jun 18, 4:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Buncombe, Henderson, Transylvania | 38 min |
| Jun 18, 4:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Burke, Catawba, Cleveland, Lincoln | 52 min |
| Jun 18, 5:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Jackson, Transylvania | 48 min |
| Jun 18, 7:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Cabarrus, Union | 29 min |
| Jun 18, 7:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Cabarrus, Rowan | 37 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.