Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 26, 2015, 6:10 PM EDT for Elbert County, Franklin County, Hart County, Georgia. It was in force for 65 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 26, 2015, 6:10 PM EDT (22:10 UTC)
- Expired
- May 26, 2015, 7:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 65 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Hart County, GA
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 6:24 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Sw Nuberg, GA | TREES DOWN. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 485 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -24 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 586 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 130 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 155 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
762
WUUS52 KGSP 262210
SVRGSP
GAC105-119-147-262315-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0041.150526T2210Z-150526T2315Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
610 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HART COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
ELBERT COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
* UNTIL 715 PM EDT
* AT 608 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
COMMERCE TO 9 MILES NORTH OF GREENSBORO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE DAMAGING WINDS.
THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD TREE
DAMAGE.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELBERTON...HARTWELL...CARNESVILLE...MIDDLETON...ROYSTON...REED
CREEK...LAVONIA...GUMLOG...BOWMAN AND CANON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAKE HARTWELL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS THESE STORMS. BOATERS SHOULD
SEEK IMMEDIATE SHELTER ONSHORE.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3399 8265 3397 8278 3401 8294 3417 8310
3423 8308 3427 8312 3424 8317 3426 8330
3423 8335 3433 8339 3446 8340 3448 8318
3454 8311 3447 8301 3449 8294 3446 8287
3437 8284 3427 8275 3415 8272 3396 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 231DEG 36KT 3422 8350 3371 8317
$$
NED3 follow-up statements
601
WWUS52 KGSP 262230
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
630 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
GAC105-119-147-262315-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-150526T2315Z/
HART GA-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-
630 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR HART...ELBERT AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES...
AT 629 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARNESVILLE TO 5 MILES NORTH OF
LEXINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELBERTON...HARTWELL...CARNESVILLE...MIDDLETON...ROYSTON...REED
CREEK...LAVONIA...GUMLOG...BOWMAN AND CANON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAKE HARTWELL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS THESE STORMS. BOATERS SHOULD
SEEK IMMEDIATE SHELTER ONSHORE.
THESE STORMS ALSO PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL. FLOODING OF
DRAINAGE DITCHES AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY OCCUR. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH
AREAS WHERE WATER IS FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3399 8265 3397 8278 3401 8294 3417 8310
3423 8308 3427 8312 3424 8317 3426 8330
3423 8335 3433 8339 3446 8340 3448 8318
3454 8311 3447 8301 3449 8294 3446 8287
3437 8284 3427 8275 3415 8272 3396 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 222DEG 38KT 3433 8334 3394 8308
$$
NED636
WWUS52 KGSP 262257
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
657 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
GAC105-119-147-262315-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-150526T2315Z/
HART GA-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-
657 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR HART...ELBERT AND EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...
AT 657 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES SOUTH OF SENECA TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HARTWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELBERTON...HARTWELL...MIDDLETON...ROYSTON...REED CREEK...LAVONIA...
GUMLOG...BOWMAN...CANON AND BOWERSVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAKE HARTWELL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS THESE STORMS. BOATERS SHOULD
SEEK IMMEDIATE SHELTER ONSHORE.
THESE STORMS ALSO PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL. FLOODING OF
DRAINAGE DITCHES AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY OCCUR. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH
AREAS WHERE WATER IS FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3399 8265 3397 8278 3401 8294 3417 8310
3423 8308 3427 8312 3448 8318 3454 8311
3447 8301 3449 8294 3446 8287 3437 8284
3427 8275 3415 8272 3396 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 219DEG 48KT 3452 8303 3428 8283
$$
NED947
WWUS52 KGSP 262313
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
713 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
GAC105-119-147-262323-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-150526T2315Z/
HART GA-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-
713 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HART...ELBERT AND EASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
LAT...LON 3399 8265 3397 8278 3401 8294 3417 8310
3423 8308 3427 8312 3448 8318 3454 8311
3447 8301 3449 8294 3446 8287 3437 8284
3427 8275 3415 8272 3396 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 231DEG 36KT 3452 8303 3428 8283
$$
NEDWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 26, 4:51 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 26, 4:51 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
451 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
A BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE A MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
430 PM UPDATE...THE NORTH END OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE OVER GEORGIA
HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN LIKELY AS IT ENCOUNTERS MORE STABLE AIR OVER
THE NE GA PIEDMONT. HOWEVER THE SOUTH END OF THAT LINE IS
REORGANIZING ALONG A GUST FRONT OR POSSIBLY SEA BREEZE FRONT.
WHILE THE VORT MAXES ASSOC WITH THE SYNOPTIC SCALE SHORTWAVE
APPEAR TO BE ON TRACK TO PASS WEST OF THE MTNS THIS EVENING...MCVS
FROM THESE LINES WILL SWING OVER OUR CWFA. LATEST PROGS STILL
FEATURE INCREASING CAPE VALUES THRU THE EVENING WITH WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT AS WELL AS THE DYNAMIC LIFT HIGHER ALOFT. REVISED
POPS TO BRING THE NRN LINE IN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HRS...AS WELL
AS TO REFLECT BETTER CHANCES OVER THE WRN UPSTATE WITH THIS NEW
SEGMENT ORGANIZING. SOME DISCRETE ACTIVITY WILL ALSO CONTINUE
PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE LINES...BUT FROM THE LOOK OF THE CU
FIELD ON VIS SAT...WHICH DOES NOT LOOK CONGESTED OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA...THIS WILL MAINLY AFFECT JUST THE UPSTATE AS CELLS DEVELOP
OVER THE CSRA AND MIDLANDS AND MOVE N.
AS OF 230 PM EDT...DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW HAS SET UP OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BETWEEN OFFSHORE HIGH PRESSURE AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LIFTING NE FROM THE PLAINS. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CONTINUE TO
INCREASE AND WILL MAXIMIZE AT NEARLY 1.75 INCHES OVER THE HEART OF
THE AREA TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...SEVERAL CONSECUTIVE RUNS OF THE HRRR
HAVE BEEN QUITE ACCURATE IN HANDLING THE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
DEVELOPING OVER WRN GA THIS AFTN AS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER
DEEP SOUTH CONVECTION WORKS EAST. THE HRRR SHOWS THIS ACTIVITY
MOVING TOWARD THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER REGION AROUND 22Z AND THEN
ACROSS THE UPSTATE AND WRN NC THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND EARLY
OVERNIGHT. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE EXPECTED ARRIVAL OF UPPER
DIVERGENCE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH
A WEAK H5 VORITICITY LOBE. INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL IN MOST
AREAS...BUT A LOBE OF BRIEFLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL BULK SHEAR...AND
ANY OUTFLOW PUSH WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE CONVECTION...COULD PRODUCE
MARGINALLY SEVERE WINDS INTO FAR SW SECTIONS THIS EVENING WITH ANY
STRONG TSRA. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD WANE OVERNIGHT WITH JUST LINGERING
SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED. ANTICIPATE ANOTHER NIGHT OF VERY WARM
MIN TEMPS AS A BLANKET OF LOW CLOUDS FORMS IN THE MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER.
ALTHOUGH THE H5 PATTERN WILL FLATTEN OUT SOMEWHAT THROUGH
WED...ADDITIONAL WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA IN THE
BROAD SW FLOW ALOFT...WITH DEEP MOISTURE PERSISTING. HEATING WILL
GET OFF TO A SLOW START AGAIN ON WED WITH THE ABUNDANT MORNING
CLOUDS...BUT SBCAPE VALUES SHOULD RISE TO 1500 J/KG OR BETTER BY WED
AFTN WITH ANY BREAKS GIVEN THE ELEVATED DEWPOINTS. ANTICIPATE HIGH
SCATTERED TO LOW LIKELY SHRA/TSRA COVERAGE IN THE MOIST AIRMASS ON
WED AFTN...BUT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL LEAD TO THE BEST COVERAGE
OVER THE NC MTNS. TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE THROUGH THE 70S AGAIN TO MAX
OUT NEAR 80 EAST OF THE MTNS...LOWER 80S IN THE PIEDMONT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT 200 PM EDT TUESDAY...ON WEDNESDAY EVENING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
CENTERED OFF THE EAST COAST...WHILE WEAK UPPER TROUGHING WILL BE
OVER THE WESTERN USA...AND A SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
AND OH RIVER VALLEY. THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
ON THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT INTO FRIDAY.
AT THE SURFACE...ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS A FOOTHOLD OVER
THE CAROLINAS AND GA FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY...WHILE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS BANKED UP AGAINST THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED UNDER THE UPPER
RIDGE. WITH A LACK OF ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE...AND ONLY MODEST LOW LEVEL
UPSLOPE FLOW...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE RATHER MODEST...AND GREATEST
NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE. TEMPERATURES WILL EXHIBIT A REDUCED DIURNAL
TREND DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND MOISTURE.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 200 PM EDT TUESDAY...ON SATURDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
CENTERED SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND ATLANTIC CANADA...WHILE UPPER
TROUGHING WILL EXTEND FROM HUDSON BAY TO THE SOUTHERN US PLAINS. THE
UPPER HIGH WILL VERY SLOWLY BREAKS DOWN....WHILE THE UPPER TROUGH
SLOWLY PROGRESSES...SUCH THAT BY TUESDAY THE UPPER TROUGH CROSSES
THE MS RIVER VALLEY.
AT THE SURFACE...ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC TOT HE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS....WHILE MODEST GULF
INFLOW EXISTS OVER THE GULF STATES...AND A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE
GREAT LAKES...MID MS RIVER VALLEY...AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGH
PRESSURE STARTS TO WEAKEN OVER THE CAROLINAS AND GA ON SUNDAY...
WHILE THE APPROACHING FRONT STRETCHES FROM NEW ENGLAND TO THE OH
RIVER VALLEY. THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE FRONT STALLS TO OUR N ON
MONDAY...WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION MOVES INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER
VALLEY. MOIST INFLOW FROM THE ATLANTIC IMPROVES AHEAD OF THIS FRONT.
ON TUESDAY THE FRONT STALLS TO OUR N AND W.
WITH HEIGHTS FALLING ALOFT...AND INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE
INCREASING...CONVECTIVE CHANCES SHOULD IMPROVE WITH TIME. MOIST
INFLOW NEVER REALLY GETS ROBUST...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED
TO BE EXCESSIVE ON A GRAND SCALE. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN WITHIN A FEW
DEGREES OF NORMAL.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...ANTICIPATE MAINLY VFR CIGS THROUGH LATE DAY AS CONVECTIVE
CUMULUS ABOUNDS. THE HRRR SHOWS LINEAR CONVECTION OVER GA THIS AFTN
MAKING A RUN ACROSS THE SC UPSTATE AND THREATENING THE KCLT AIRFIELD
BY 02Z. SHRA ARE MORE LIKELY THAN TSRA WITH DIMINISHING
INSTABILITY...BUT THERE APPEARS ENOUGH UPPER FORCING AND LINGERING
MUCAPE TO EXPECT A COUPLE OF EMBEDDED TSRA WITHIN A RAIN SHIELD AS
THE FEATURES MOVE IN. OTHERWISE...WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS SHOULD
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN IN THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH A WINDOW OF
DAYBREAK IFR ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE. CANNOT RULE OUT A LINGERING SHOWER
IN THE VICINITY AT JUST ABOUT ANY TIME DURING THE TAF PERIOD. EXPECT
STEADY S TO SW FLOW AT 10 KT OR LESS.
ELSEWHERE...LOWER VFR TO SPOTTY MVFR CIGS WILL PERSIST AROUND THE
REGION WITH ABUNDANT CONVECTIVE CUMULUS FORMING AT 3 TO 4 KFT. THE
HRRR SHOWS THE UPSTREAM CONVECTION OVER GA MAKING A RUN ACROSS THE
SW HALF OF THE FORECAST THIS EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING
ACROSS THE NE PART OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE TIMING...AND THE RELATIVE
CONSISTENCY OF THE HRRR SOLUTIONS...WILL PUSH THE TSRA INTO A TEMPO
GROUP FOR GENERALLY 00Z TO 04Z...A LITTLE SOONER AT KAND...AND WITH
JUST SHRA AT KHKY. EXPECT A QUICK TRANSITION TO MVFR
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL DEVELOPS...WITH A
PERIOD OF DAYBREAK IFR EXPECTED. SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE AIRFIELDS AT JUST ABOUT ANY TIME THROUGHOUT THE TAF
PERIOD GIVEN THE MOIST PROFILES AND SW FLOW..
OUTLOOK...MOIST SW FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TERMINAL
FORECAST AREA RIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...AS A COLD FRONT
LAYS OVER TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. EXPECT MORNING STRATUS TO RESULT
EACH DAY...WITH CONTINUED BETTER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL CHANCES OF
AFTN/EVENING SHRA/TSRA EACH DAY.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
21-03Z 03-09Z 09-15Z 15-18Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 98% MED 73% HIGH 82%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 98% HIGH 88% HIGH 92%
KAVL HIGH 85% HIGH 89% HIGH 86% HIGH 90%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% MED 78% HIGH 80%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 88% HIGH 87%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 84% HIGH 87%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...HG/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...HG/WIMBERLEYHazardous weather outlook, May 26, 3:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 311 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-271915- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 311 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON...PEAKING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD-TO- GROUND LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED FLOOD AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. 07
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 26, 5:05 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
505 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
SCZ012-019-262145-
LAURENS SC-GREENWOOD SC-
505 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
LAURENS AND EASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...
AT 505 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GREENWOOD...OR 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NINETY SIX
HISTORIC SITE...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLINTON...NINETY SIX...JOANNA...CROSS HILL...WATERLOO...LAKE
GREENWOOD...NINETY SIX HISTORIC SITE...GREENWOOD STATE PARK...
CORONACA AND MOUNTVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAKE GREENWOOD IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.
&&
LAT...LON 3399 8202 3433 8214 3452 8186 3454 8165
3452 8165 3446 8170 3444 8173 3437 8178
3430 8190 3424 8191 3420 8194 3418 8191
3416 8191 3413 8187 3409 8192 3402 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 176DEG 18KT 3408 8195
NEDSpecial weather statement, May 26, 5:30 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
GAZ010-017-018-262200-
STEPHENS GA-RABUN GA-HABERSHAM GA-
530 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF WESTERN
STEPHENS...HABERSHAM AND WESTERN RABUN COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM EDT...
AT 529 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF
HIAWASSEE TO 7 MILES WEST OF HOMER...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CORNELIA...BALDWIN...DEMOREST...MOUNT
AIRY...ALTO...TIGER...TALLULAH FALLS AND MOCCASIN CREEK STATE PARK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
LAKE BURTON IS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.
&&
LAT...LON 3482 8365 3484 8366 3488 8366 3498 8340
3447 8336 3446 8340 3448 8347 3449 8354
3443 8362 3450 8367 3454 8362 3462 8364
3465 8366 3467 8365 3471 8364 3473 8362
3477 8363 3480 8368
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 256DEG 18KT 3478 8371 3436 8362
NEDSpecial weather statement, May 26, 5:54 PM EDT, 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
554 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
SCZ019-262230-
GREENWOOD SC-
554 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GREENWOOD
COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM EDT...
AT 554 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GREENWOOD...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENWOOD...NINETY SIX...COKESBURY...HODGES...NINETY SIX HISTORIC
SITE...GREENWOOD STATE PARK...PROMISED LAND...CORONACA...DYSON AND
EPWORTH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.
&&
LAT...LON 3405 8220 3415 8225 3420 8224 3422 8225
3425 8227 3427 8230 3430 8231 3431 8231
3434 8217 3433 8217 3433 8216 3414 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 168DEG 12KT 3415 8212
NEDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 5:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Habersham, Rabun | 30 min |
| May 26, 6:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Stephens | 38 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.