Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2015, 12:31 PM EDT for Habersham County, Stephens County, Georgia; Oconee County, South Carolina. It was in force for 59 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 30, 2015, 12:31 PM EDT (16:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 30, 2015, 1:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 59 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Habersham County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Oconee County, SC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 12:45 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | Toccoa, GA | MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 713 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -96 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1029 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 76 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
481
WUUS52 KGSP 301631
SVRGSP
GAC137-257-SCC073-301730-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0142.150630T1631Z-150630T1730Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1231 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
STEPHENS COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
SOUTHEASTERN HABERSHAM COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
SOUTHERN OCONEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 130 PM EDT
* AT 1230 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF TOCCOA...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOCCOA...SENECA...WESTMINSTER...HOLLYWOOD...EASTANOLEE...OAKWAY...
BOYDVILLE...TOWNVILLE...FAIR PLAY...LAKE HARTWELL AND WALHALLA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAKE HARTWELL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS THIS STORM. BOATERS SHOULD
SEEK IMMEDIATE SHELTER ONSHORE.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3465 8351 3479 8293 3458 8288 3452 8295
3452 8309 3453 8308 3454 8311 3452 8313
3451 8346
TIME...MOT...LOC 1630Z 260DEG 27KT 3459 8342
$$
LANE3 follow-up statements
929
WWUS52 KGSP 301650
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1250 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
GAC137-301658-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-150630T1730Z/
HABERSHAM GA-
1250 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HABERSHAM COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
HOWEVER...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS IN THE
TALLULAH FALLS AREA THROUGH ABOUT 1 PM.
LAT...LON 3465 8336 3479 8293 3458 8288 3452 8295
3452 8309 3453 8308 3454 8311 3452 8313
3455 8331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1648Z 260DEG 27KT 3461 8326
$$
GAC257-SCC073-301730-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-150630T1730Z/
STEPHENS GA-OCONEE SC-
1250 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL STEPHENS AND SOUTHERN OCONEE COUNTIES...
AT 1248 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF TOCCOA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE DAMAGING WINDS.
THIS STORM BLEW DOWN MULTIPLE TREES IN THE MOUNT AIRY AREA.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOCCOA...SENECA...WESTMINSTER...OAKWAY...TOWNVILLE...FAIR PLAY AND
LAKE KEOWEE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3465 8336 3479 8293 3458 8288 3452 8295
3452 8309 3453 8308 3454 8311 3452 8313
3455 8331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1648Z 260DEG 27KT 3461 8326
$$
LANE440
WWUS52 KGSP 301711
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
111 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
GAC257-301721-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-150630T1730Z/
STEPHENS GA-
111 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL STEPHENS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
LAT...LON 3467 8313 3479 8293 3458 8288 3452 8295
3454 8305 3457 8307
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 260DEG 27KT 3462 8303
$$
SCC073-301730-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-150630T1730Z/
OCONEE SC-
111 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE COUNTY...
AT 111 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SENECA...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WESTMINSTER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO
ACCOMPANY THE DAMAGING WINDS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SENECA...WESTMINSTER...OAKWAY...TOWNVILLE AND LAKE KEOWEE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 8313 3479 8293 3458 8288 3452 8295
3454 8305 3457 8307
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 260DEG 27KT 3462 8303
$$
LANE158
WWUS52 KGSP 301729
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
129 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
SCC073-301739-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-150630T1730Z/
OCONEE SC-
129 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 130 PM EDT...
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
LAT...LON 3467 8313 3479 8293 3458 8288 3452 8295
3454 8305 3457 8307
TIME...MOT...LOC 1727Z 260DEG 27KT 3462 8303
$$
LANEWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 12:23 PM EDT, 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 12:23 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1223 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
MER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES BY MID WEEK...INCREASING CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS UNSETTLED PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH TYPICAL SUMMERTIME AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EACH DAY AND HIGH TEMPERATURES
WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1215 PM...KGSP RADAR INDICATED THAT A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
WAS PUSHING EAST ACROSS EXTREME NE GA...MOVING AT 25 MPH. STRONG
MORNING INSOLATION HAS RESULTED IN TEMPS TO REACH WELL INTO THE U80S
EAST OF THE MTNS. CAPES ACROSS THE REGION HAVE RISEN TO 2000 J/KG
ACROSS THE LAKELANDS...WITH DCAPE ABOVE 1000 J/KG. THE STORMS
EXITING NRN GA SHOULD CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS THEY MOVE
EAST...POSSIBLY YIELDING SVR WIND GUSTS. I WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST
TO THE LATEST TRENDS.
AS OF 1010 AM...LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGES INDICATED A WEAKEN
TREND IN THE BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NC MTNS.
RECENT SPC ANALYSIS INDICATED CIN VALUES REMAIN AROUND 100 J/KG WITH
CAPES ABOVE 500 J/KG ACROSS THE SC UPSTATE AND NE GA. MORNING
CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AM.
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MARGINALLY TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON...AS DEWPOINTS RANGE IN THE MID 60S WITH TEMPS IN THE U80S
TO L90S. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT 0-6 KM BULK
SHEAR MAY PEAK AROUND 30 KTS...WITH EHI VALUES AROUND .5. ALSO...TT
ARE FORECAST TO RANGE IN THE MID 50S WITH SWEAT GREATER THAN 400.
CAMS AND THE FORECAST ENVIRONMENT SUPPORT A SCENARIO OF A BROKEN BAND
OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE
APPALACHIANS AND NORTHERN GA. ONCE THE LINE FORMS...STEERING FLOW
AND COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT SHOULD RESULT IN A QUICK MOTION TO THE
EAST. DCAPE VALUES ACROSS THE UPSTATE AND SOUTHERN PIEDMONT MAY
RANGE ABOVE 1000 J/KG. AS THE LINE TRACKS EAST AND
ORGANIZES...SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY CONCERN. I
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST AND HWO TO HIGHLIGHT THE AFTERNOON-EARLY
EVENING RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER.
0940 UTC UPDATE...POPS HAVE BEEN RAISED ALONG THE TN BORDER PER
RADAR TRENDS.
0830 UTC UPDATE...POPS AND QPF WERE ADJUSTED BASED ON RADAR TRENDS
AND FOR A BETTER FIT WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES.
AT 230 AM EDT TUESDAY...AN ANOMALOUS UPPER TROUGH AXIS WAS LOCATED
OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA THIS MORNING...WITH A RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE CONTINENT. A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
BASED OF THIS TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS
AFTERNOON...CROSSING THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL
APPROACH THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE WEST TOWARD DAWN ON WEDNESDAY.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FIRST SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
OUR AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED MY MODEST DRYING TONIGHT. MODELS FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW SUBSTANTIAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY DEVELOPING WITH
DAYTIME HEATING...SUPPORTING ROBUST CONVECTION THAT SHOULD ONLY
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. INITIALLY PLENTY OF DRY AIR WILL BE
AVAILABLE ALOFT FOR EVAPORATIVE COOLING...BUT AS THE MID AND UPPER
LEVELS MOISTEN...ONLY THE LOWEST LEVELS WILL REMAIN DRY. STEERING
FLOW WILL KEEP CELLS MOVING...AND WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW NEARLY
PARALLEL TO THE BLUE RIDGE...UPSLOPE FLOW WILL BE LIMITED.
NEVERTHELESS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN NEAR NORMAL.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 AM TUESDAY...THE SHORT TERM FCST PICKS UP AT 12Z ON
WEDNESDAY WITH THE PERSISTENT UPPER TROF AXIS OVER THE FCST AREA AND
UPPER RIDGING IN PLACE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. AS WE MOVE INTO
THURS...THE TROF BEGINS TO DEAMPLIFY AND LIFT NE WHILE VARIOUS LOBES
OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY STREAM ACROSS THE FCST AREA. THIS IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO FRI AS THE PERIOD ENDS.
ON WEDNESDAY...A LEE TROF WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE CWFA IN THE WAKE
OF A WEAK FROPA FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY. A LARGE PLUME OF DEEP LYR
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE CWFA FROM THE WEST BY LATE WED
AS THE LOW LVL FLOW REMAINS WEST TO SWLY. POPS WILL STEADILY RAMP UP
THRU THE DAY/EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST WITH SOME LOW END LIKELY
VALUES IN THE FAR WESTERN MTS. SPC CURRENTLY HAS A DAY 2 MARGINAL
RISK AREA EXTENDING INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF OUR CWFA VALID THRU 12Z
THURS. THIS MAKES SENSE WHEN CONSIDERING MODEL PROFILES GENERATE A
FAIR AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND SOME HEALTHY LOW LVL
SHEAR...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS IS LARGELY DUE TO A
POTENT LOOKING UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS WESTERN NC THURS
MORNING WITH SOME IMPRESSIVE MID TO UPPER LVL OMEGA ASSOCIATED WITH
IT AS WELL AS A STOUT 40 T0 50KT LOW LVL JET STREAK. THE MODELS KEEP
DEEP LYR MOISTURE OVER THE FCST AREA WELL INTO FRI WITH A CENTRAL
PLAINS LOW APPROACHING THE AREA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD 12Z FRI.
TEMPS START OUT AROUND CLIMO ON WED AND DROP A FEW DEGREES FOR THURS
WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND POSSIBLE PRECIP.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 2 AM TUESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT 12Z ON FRIDAY
WITH A DEAMPLIFICATION OF THE PERSISTENT UPPER TROF BY THE START OF
THE PERIOD. AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND HEIGHTS SLOWLY RISE AS THE
UPPER PATTERN FLATTENS OUT AND REMAINS THAT WAY THRU DAY 7. THE LONG
RANGE MODELS GENERATE MULTIPLE UPPER TROFS WITHIN THE NORTHERN
STREAM...YET THESE SYSTEMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED ENERGY WILL REMAIN
WELL TO OUR NORTH. AT THE SFC...THE REGION WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
UNSETTLED THRU MOST OF THE PERIOD. ON FRIDAY...THE MODELS DEVELOP A
COMPLEX LOOKING LOW OVER THE FCST AREA AND ARE SLOW TO MOVE THE
SYSTEM NE. AS IT DOES MOVE WELL OFFSHORE ON SAT...ANOTHER SERIES OF
LOWS FORM IN ROUGHLY THE SAME AREA AND KEEP SOME DEGREE OF LEE
TROFFING OVER THE CWFA THRU THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE MODELS
GENERALLY AGREE THAT DEEP LYR MOISTURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION
THRU MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH LOW LVL FLOW REMAINING OUT OF THE SOUTH
AND/OR SW MOST OF THE TIME. AS FOR THE SENSIBLE FCST...I KEPT THE
DIURNAL HIGH END CHANCES FOR CONVECTION EACH DAY/EVENING WITH SOME
LIKELY POPS OVER THE NC/TENN BORDER REGION FOR FRI AND SAT. TEMPS
START OUT AROUND CLIMATOLOGY ON FRI AND WARM THRU THE PERIOD WITH
HIGHS NEARLY A CATEGORY ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR. MODEL TIME HEIGHTS SUGGEST A LOW VFR CIG MOVING OVER
THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY AS THE REMAINS OF A COLD FRONT MOVE IN FROM
THE WEST. WINDS WILL FAVOR THE SW...BECOMING GUSTY DURING THE DAY.
CONVECTIVE CHANCES WARRANT A MENTION IN THE TAF THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS INSTABILITY IMPROVES WITH DAYTIME HEATING. A GUIDANCE
CONSENSUS IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF A DAYBREAK FOG RESTRICTION WITH THIS
MORNING OR WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ELSEWHERE...VFR. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CROSSING THE MOUNTAINS MAY
STRUGGLE TO REACH KAVL THIS MORNING BEFORE INSTABILITY CAN RAMP UP.
ALTHOUGH A FEW GUIDANCE MEMBER FAVOR A DAYBREAK FOG RESTRICTION AT
KAVL...THE CONSENSUS DOES NOT. LOW VFR CIGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION STARTING IN THE MOUNTAINS...AND REACHING THE FOOTHILLS BY
LATE MORNING...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SURFACE BOUNDARY. CONVECTIVE
CHANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY WARRANT A MENTION FOR LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL FAVOR THE SW...WITH
DAYTIME GUSTS...EXCEPT AT KAVL WHERE WINDS WILL CHANNEL UPVALLEY
FROM THE NW.
OUTLOOK...A LINGERING BERMUDA HIGH COMBINED WITH AN AMPLIFYING
LONGWAVE TROF OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY THROUGH MOST OF THE WORK WEEK. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
MAY INCREASE EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH SCT TO NUM DIURNAL
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE WEEK. RESTRICTIONS MAY OCCUR WITH PASSING
STORMS...AND EACH MORNING OVER AREAS OF WET SOIL.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
16-22Z 22-04Z 04-10Z 10-12Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% MED 61%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...JPT
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...JATHazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 7:51 AM EDT, 4 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 751 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-011200- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 751 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THIS LINE WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS AND ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA BY MID AFTERNOON. SHORTLY AFTER DEVELOPING...THESE STORMS SHOULD MOVE QUICKLY EAST ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. THROUGH MID EVENING...THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL LIKELY SUPPORT SEVERAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY OCCUR WITH ANY STORM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. NED
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 7:16 AM EDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
716 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
NCZ048-051>053-058-059-301145-
BUNCOMBE NC-SWAIN NC-HAYWOOD NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-MADISON NC-
GRAHAM NC-
716 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...NORTHWESTERN JACKSON...SWAIN...EASTERN
GRAHAM...NORTHWESTERN BUNCOMBE AND HAYWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 745 AM
EDT...
AT 715 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES WEST OF MARSHALL
TO 10 MILES NORTH OF ROBBINSVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRYSON CITY...NORTH ASHEVILLE...WAYNESVILLE...WOODFIN...LAKE
JUNALUSKA...CLYDE...MAGGIE VALLEY...SMOKY MOUNTAINS...OCONALUFTEE...
B.R. PARKWAY...SMOKY MOUNTAINS TO BALSAM GAP AND FONTANA VILLAGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3550 8390 3557 8369 3556 8350 3566 8335
3566 8330 3569 8326 3572 8325 3572 8320
3575 8317 3577 8299 3583 8294 3586 8284
3565 8251 3529 8359 3528 8367 3525 8370
3525 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 1115Z 318DEG 13KT 3578 8287 3548 8377
NEDSpecial weather statement, Jun 30, 12:03 PM EDT, 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1203 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
GAZ010-017-301645-
RABUN GA-HABERSHAM GA-
1203 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF HABERSHAM AND
WESTERN RABUN COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM EDT...
AT 1200 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER BEFORE THE STORMS ARRIVE.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...DEMOREST...MOUNTAIN CITY...TIGER...MOCCASIN
CREEK STATE PARK...BLACK ROCK MOUNTAIN STATE PARK...LAKE BURTON...
MOCCASIN CREEK STATE PARK AND LAKEMONT.
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3482 8365 3484 8366 3488 8366 3491 8363
3492 8360 3494 8360 3496 8333 3457 8344
3448 8365 3451 8366 3454 8362 3462 8364
3465 8366 3467 8365 3471 8364 3473 8362
3477 8363 3480 8368
TIME...MOT...LOC 1600Z 240DEG 49KT 3464 8369
LGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 12:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Habersham, Rabun | 42 min |
| Jun 30, 12:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Franklin | 34 min |
| Jun 30, 12:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Franklin | 45 min |
| Jun 30, 1:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Hart | 42 min |
| Jun 30, 1:24 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Hart | 36 min |
| Jun 30, 2:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Stephens | 51 min |
| Jun 30, 2:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Elbert | 48 min |
| Jun 30, 1:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Anderson | 47 min |
| Jun 30, 1:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Anderson | 22 min |
| Jun 30, 2:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Abbeville, Anderson, Greenville, Greenwood, Laurens, Spartanburg | 55 min |
| Jun 30, 2:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Union | 27 min |
| Jun 30, 2:50 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Laurens | 25 min |
| Jun 30, 2:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Union | 33 min |
| Jun 30, 3:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Greenwood | 26 min |
| Jun 30, 3:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Union | 30 min |
| Jun 30, 3:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Chester | 30 min |
| Jun 30, 4:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Chester | 34 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.